| Literature DB >> 32957404 |
Jin-Duo Shou1, Fei-Bo Li2, Liu-Hong Shi3, Liang Zhou3, Lei Xie3, Jian-Biao Wang3.
Abstract
The ability to identify patients with aggressive papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) from the low-risk patients is critical to planning proper management of PTMC. Lymph node metastases showed association with recurrence and low survival rate, especially in patients with >5 or ≥2 mm metastatic lymph nodes. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the preoperatively predictive factors of non-small-volume (metastatic lymph nodes >5 or ≥2 mm in size) central lymph node metastases (NSVCLNM) in PTMC patients. A total of 420 patients with clinically node-negative (cN0) PTMC without extrathyroidal extension underwent thyroidectomy plus central neck dissection (CND) between January 2013 and December 2015, were retrospectively analyzed. Of the 420 patients, 33 (7.9%) had NSVCLNM. The 5-year recurrence-free survival was significantly less in cN0 PTMC patients with NSVCLNM, when compared with patients without NSVCLNM (80.8% vs 100%, P < .001). Multivariate logistic regression revealed age ≤36 years (P < .001), male sex (P = .002), ultrasonic tumor sizes of >0.65 cm (P < .001), and ultrasonic multifocality (P = .039) were independent predictive factors of NSVCLNM. A prediction equation (Y = 1.714 × age + 1.361 × sex + 1.639 × tumor size + 0.842 × multifocality -5.196) was developed, with a sensitivity (69.7%) and a specificity (84.0%), respectively, at an optimal cutoff point of -2.418. In conclusion, if the predictive value was >-2.418 according to the equation, immediate surgery including CND rather than active surveillance might be considered for cN0 PTMC patients.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32957404 PMCID: PMC7505309 DOI: 10.1097/MD.0000000000022338
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Medicine (Baltimore) ISSN: 0025-7974 Impact factor: 1.817
Patient characteristics.
Figure 1The ROC curve analyses of cut-off point for size of the primary tumor (A), age (B), and Y value (C) in predicting non-small-volume central lymph node metastasis in clinically node-negative papillary thyroid microcarcinoma. AUC = area under the curve, ROC = receiver-operating characteristic.
Univariate logistic regression analyses of NSVCLNM in cN0 PTMC patients without ETE.
Multivariate logistic regression analyses of NSVCLNM in cN0 PTMC patients without ETE.
Predictive efficiency of each independent predictive factor for NSVCLNM in cN0 PTMC patients without ETE.
Figure 2Kaplan-Meier curves of recurrence-free survival in 420 patients with clinically node-negative papillary thyroid microcarcinoma according to NSVCLNM. NSVCLNM = non-small-volume central lymph node metastasis.