Matthew E Eagles1, Michael K Tso2, Oliver G S Ayling3, John H Wong4, R Loch MacDonald5. 1. Section of Neurosurgery, Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, USA. Electronic address: matthew.eagles@ucalgary.ca. 2. University at Buffalo Neurosurgery, Buffalo, New York, USA. 3. Division of Neurosurgery, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada. 4. Section of Neurosurgery, Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, USA. 5. UCSF Fresno Department of Neurosurgery, Fresno, California, USA.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: Patients with good-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) are thought to recover well, yet some do not. This work sought to identify predictors of unfavorable functional outcome after good-grade aSAH. METHODS: We performed a post-hoc analysis of the CONSCIOUS-1 trial. Patients with World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies grades I or II aSAH were included. The primary outcome was unfavorable functional outcome (defined as a modified Rankin Scale score >2) at 12 weeks. Parametric and nonparametric testing were used as appropriate. Variables were classified as modifiable or nonmodifiable, depending on whether they were present at patient admission. Stepwise logistic regression models were created for modifiable and nonmodifiable predictors of outcome. Independent predictors in the respective multivariate analyses were combined into a final multivariate regression model. RESULTS: We included 301 patients, 67 of whom (22%) had an unfavorable outcome. Of the nonmodifiable predictors, higher admission systolic blood pressure (P = 0.002) and female sex (P = 0.011) were independently associated with unfavorable outcome. Potentially modifiable independent predictors of outcome were delayed cerebral ischemia (P = 0.039), higher maximum temperature (0.036), suffering a respiratory system complication (P = 0.004), and suffering an intracranial hemorrhagic complication (P = 0.022). All variables found to be independently predictive of poor outcome in their respective models retained statistical significance in the combined multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: About 1 in 5 good-grade aSAH patients enrolled in CONSCIOUS-1 suffered an unfavorable functional outcome. Admission systolic blood pressure, female sex, hyperthermia, delayed cerebral ischemia, respiratory complications, and intracranial hemorrhagic complications may be predictive of outcome.
OBJECTIVE:Patients with good-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) are thought to recover well, yet some do not. This work sought to identify predictors of unfavorable functional outcome after good-grade aSAH. METHODS: We performed a post-hoc analysis of the CONSCIOUS-1 trial. Patients with World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies grades I or II aSAH were included. The primary outcome was unfavorable functional outcome (defined as a modified Rankin Scale score >2) at 12 weeks. Parametric and nonparametric testing were used as appropriate. Variables were classified as modifiable or nonmodifiable, depending on whether they were present at patient admission. Stepwise logistic regression models were created for modifiable and nonmodifiable predictors of outcome. Independent predictors in the respective multivariate analyses were combined into a final multivariate regression model. RESULTS: We included 301 patients, 67 of whom (22%) had an unfavorable outcome. Of the nonmodifiable predictors, higher admission systolic blood pressure (P = 0.002) and female sex (P = 0.011) were independently associated with unfavorable outcome. Potentially modifiable independent predictors of outcome were delayed cerebral ischemia (P = 0.039), higher maximum temperature (0.036), suffering a respiratory system complication (P = 0.004), and suffering an intracranial hemorrhagic complication (P = 0.022). All variables found to be independently predictive of poor outcome in their respective models retained statistical significance in the combined multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: About 1 in 5 good-grade aSAH patients enrolled in CONSCIOUS-1 suffered an unfavorable functional outcome. Admission systolic blood pressure, female sex, hyperthermia, delayed cerebral ischemia, respiratory complications, and intracranial hemorrhagic complications may be predictive of outcome.