Makoto Ishii1, Hideki Terai2, Hiroki Kabata1, Katsunori Masaki1, Shotaro Chubachi1, Hiroki Tateno3, Morio Nakamura4, Kazumi Nishio5, Hidefumi Koh6, Risa Watanabe7, Soichiro Ueda8, Takeshi Terashima9, Yusuke Suzuki10, Kazuma Yagi11, Naoki Miyao12, Naoto Minematsu13, Takashi Inoue14, Ichiro Nakachi15, Ho Namkoong16, Satoshi Okamori1, Shinnosuke Ikemura1, Hirofumi Kamata1, Hiroyuki Yasuda1, Ichiro Kawada1, Naoki Hasegawa17, Koichi Fukunaga18. 1. Division of Pulmonary Medicine, Department of Medicine, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan. 2. Division of Pulmonary Medicine, Department of Medicine, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan; Division of Translational Research, Clinical and Translational Research Center, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan. 3. Department of Pulmonary Medicine, Saitama City Hospital, 2460 Mimuro, Midori-ku, Saitama City, Saitama 336-8522, Japan. 4. Department of Pulmonary Medicine, Tokyo Saiseikai Central Hospital, 1-4-17, Mita, Minato-ku, Tokyo 108-0073, Japan. 5. Department of Pulmonary Medicine, Kawasaki Municipal Ida Hospital, 2-27-1, Ida, Nakahara-ku, Kawasaki-shi, Kanagawa 211-0035, Japan. 6. Division of Pulmonary Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Federation of National Public Service Personnel Mutual Aid Associations, Tachikawa Hospital, 4-2-22, Nishiki-cho, Tachikawa-shi, Tokyo 190-8531, Japan. 7. Department of Respiratory Medicine, National Hospital Organization Tokyo Medical Center, 2-5-1, Higashigaoka, Meguro-ku, Tokyo 152-8902, Japan. 8. Department of Internal Medicine, Saitama Medical Center, 4-9-3, Kitaurawa, Urawa-ku, Saitama-shi, Saitama 330-0074, Japan. 9. Department of Respiratory Medicine, Tokyo Dental College Ichikawa General Hospital, 5-11-13, Sugano, Ichikawa-shi, Chiba, Japan Chiba 272-0824, Japan. 10. Department of Medicine, Kitasato University Kitasato Institute Hospital, 5-9-1, Shirokane, Minato-ku, Tokyo 108-8642, Japan. 11. Department of Internal Medicine, Keiyu Hospital, 3-7-3, Minatomirai, Nishi-ku, Yokohama-shi, Kanagawa 220-8521, Japan. 12. Department of Internal Medicine, Nihon Koukan Hospital, 1-2-1, Koukan-douri, Kawasaki-ku, Kawasaki-shi, Kanagawa 210-0852, Japan. 13. Department of Internal Medicine, Hino Municipal Hospital, 4-3-1, Tamadaira, Hino-shi, Tokyo 191-0062, Japan. 14. Sano Kousei General Hospital, 1728 Horigome-cho, Sano-shi, Tochigi 327-8511, Japan. 15. Pulmonary Division, Department Internal Medicine, Saiseikai Utsunomiya Hospital, 911-1, Takebayashi-machi, Utsunomiya-shi, Tochigi 321-0974, Japan. 16. Division of Pulmonary Medicine, Department of Medicine, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan; Laboratory of Clinical Immunology and Microbiology, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, 9000 Rockville Pike, Building 10, Room 11S261, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA. 17. Department of Infectious Diseases, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan. 18. Division of Pulmonary Medicine, Department of Medicine, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan. Electronic address: kfukunaga@keio.jp.
Lu and colleagues recently reviewed mortality-related risk factors of COVID-19. COVID-19 was first reported in Wuhan, China, in December 2019 and subsequently spread globally, leading to a pandemic; as of August 25, 2020, more than 23 million people worldwide had been confirmed to have COVID-19infections, and more than 810,000 patients had died. Although approximately 80% of COVID-19 cases are classified as mild or asymptomatic, 15% of adults infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) developed severe illness and required oxygen supplementation, and an additional 5% progressed to a critical state.An increasing number of literature indicated the specific risk factors for the progression of severe illness and poor outcomes resulting from COVID-19. For example, a recent large-scale study demonstrated that older age and certain clinical conditions (diabetes, respiratory diseases, and heart, kidney, and autoimmune conditions) are risk factors for death from COVID-19. Although there is a limited number of effective therapies to date, the identification of risk factors for disease progression and clinical outcomes is crucial, because it means appropriate care and the proper allocation of medical resources can be timely provided.Japan is characterized by a rapidly aging population, with the highest proportion (28.4%) of elderly citizens (65 years and older) worldwide. In Japan, the first case of COVID-19 was reported in mid-January 2020. The first outbreak in Japan occurred on the Diamond Princess cruise ship in February 2020. Since then, the number of COVID-19patients has increased exponentially. A state of emergency was declared in Tokyo on April 7 and was subsequently lifted on May 25, 2020, due to the decreased number of newly diagnosed COVID-19 cases. Subsequently, the number of COVID-19 cases quickly increased again; more than 63,000 people had been diagnosed with COVID-19, and more than 1200 people had died of COVID-19 in Japan as of August 25, 2020. A few studies have shown the clinical features or the risk factors for the progression of severe illness and death, in a large number of COVID-19patients in Japan affected by community transmission, other than the Diamond Princess cruise ship.6, 7
–For this retrospective multicenter study, we evaluated the characteristics and prognostic factors of 345 patients with COVID-19, who were admitted to either Keio University Hospital or one of 13 community hospitals located in the Greater Tokyo Area from February 1 to June 19, 2020, to investigate the similarity in these risk factors to those previously reported in an aging country such as Japan. All patients were followed up until June 19, 2020 in the hospital or were discharged before June 19.The median age of these patients was 54 years; 198 (57.4%) of the patients were male, and 327 (94.8%) were Japanese (Table 1
). Additionally, 167 (48%) had at least one comorbidity, and 17 (6.1%) were obese (defined as a BMI (body mass index) of ≥30 kg/m2). Among various comorbidities, hypertension was the most common (26.1%), followed by diabetes (13.9%) and hyperuricemia (8.1%). The median duration of illness before diagnosis was 5 days. The most common symptoms reported during the observation period were fever (3.0%), followed by cough (48.3%), which were consistent with previous report.
Table 1
Clinical characteristics of 345 patients based on the severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection.
Severity at the end of observation
p-value
Outcomes
p-value
Total
non-severe
severe
alive at the end of observation
died in hospital
N
345
233 (67.5%)
112 (32.5%)
322 (93.3%)
23 (6.7%)
Age, median (IQR), y
54 (32–68)
41 (28–58)
67 (56–79)
<0.0001
52 (31.25–63)
80 (72.5–85)
<0.0001
0–17
13
13
0
13
0
18–29
59
57
2
59
0
30–49
82
67
15
81
1
50–69
110
67
43
107
3
70–89
72
26
46
57
15
90-
9
3
6
5
4
Sex
Female
147 (42.6%)
112 (76.2%)
35 (23.8%)
0.0031
139 (94.6%)
8 (5.4%)
0.516
Male
198 (57.4%)
121 (61.1%)
77 (38.9%)
183 (92.4%)
15 (7.6%)
Current or former smoker
117 (38.0%)
61 (52.1%)
56 (47.9%)
<0.0001
107 (91.5%)
10 (8.5%)
0.2523
Commodities
Any
167 (48.4%)
81 (48.5%)
86 (51.5%)
<0.0001
146 (87.4%)
21 (12.6%)
< 0.0001
Hypertension
90 (26.1%)
34 (37.8%)
56 (62.2%)
<0.0001
80 (88.9%)
10 (11,1%)
0.0493
Diabetes
48 (13.9%)
21 (43.7%)
27 (56.3%)
0.0001
39 (81.3%)
9 (18.8%)
0.0003
Cardiovascular disease
23 (6.7%)
6 (26.1%)
17 (73.9%)
<0.0001
17 (73.9%)
6 (26.1%)
0.0001
Active malignant disease
27 (7.8%)
17 (63.0%)
10 (37.0%)
0.5971
23 (85.2%)
4 (14.8%)
0.0771
Immune-related disease
9 (2.6%)
4 (44.4%)
5 (55.6%)
0.1338
7 (77.8%)
2 (22.2%)
0.058
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
15 (4.3%)
1 (6.7%)
14 (93.3%)
<0.0001
11 (73.3%)
4 (26.7%)
0.0015
Bronchial asthma
22 (6.4%)
14 (63.6%)
8 (36.4%)
0.6864
22 (100%)
0 (0%)
0.1951
Hyperuricemia
28 (8.1%)
10 (35.7%)
18 (64.3%)
0.0002
21 (75.0%)
7 (25.0%)
<0.0001
Chronic liver disease
14 (4.1%)
7 (50.0%)
7 (50.0%)
0.1525
11 (78.6%)
3 (21.4%)
0.0238
Chronic kidney disease
17 (4.9%)
4 (23.5%)
13 (76.5%)
<0.0001
10 (58.8%)
7 (41.2%)
<0.0001
Symptoms reported
Consciousness disorder
15 (4.3%)
3 (20.0%)
12 (80.0%)
<0.0001
10 (66.7%)
5 (33.3%)
<0.0001
Fever
252 (73.0%)
151 (59.9%)
101 (40.1%)
<0.0001
233 (92.5%)
19 (7.5%)
0.2846
Cough
166 (48.3%)
109 (65.7%)
57 (34.3%)
0.4278
156 (94.0%)
10 (6.0%)
0.635
Sputum
71 (20.6%)
43 (60.6%)
28 (39.4%)
0.1469
66 (93.0%)
5 (7.0%)
0.8927
Sore throat
61 (18.2%)
48 (88.7%)
13 (21.3%)
0.0341
60 (98.4%)
1 (1.6%)
0.0858
Rhinorrhoea
36 (10.5%)
35 (97.2%)
1 (2.8%)
<0.0001
36 (100%)
0 (0%)
0.0969
Taste disorder
69 (21.2%)
56 (81.2%)
13 (18.8%)
0.0068
69 (100%)
0 (0%)
0.0141
Olfactory disorder
55 (16.9%)
47 (85.5%)
8 (14.5%)
0.0011
55 (100%)
0 (0%)
0.0328
Shortness of breath
95 (28.0%)
39 (41.1%)
56 (58.9%)
<0.0001
84 (88.4%)
11 (11.6%)
0.0285
Diarrhea
46 (13.3%)
28 (60.9%)
18 (39.1%)
0.2996
42 (91.3%)
4 (8.7%)
0.5535
Nausea, vomiting
16 (4.7%)
7 (43.7%)
9 (56.3%)
0.0392
14 (87.5%)
2 (12.5%)
0.3494
General fatigue
133 (39.5%)
70 (52.6%)
63 (47.4%)
<0.0001
123 (92.5%)
10 (7.5%)
0.6834
Data are expressed as N (%) or median (interquartile range [IQR]). Data were analyzed by χ2 test or by Mann-Whitney U test where appropriate.
Clinical characteristics of 345 patients based on the severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection.Data are expressed as N (%) or median (interquartile range [IQR]). Data were analyzed by χ2 test or by Mann-Whitney U test where appropriate.Next, we compared the severe (those who required oxygen supplementation) and non-severe patient groups as well as the living and deceased groups. The number of patients with COVID-19 who required oxygen supplementation was 112 (32.5%), and the number of patients who died in the hospital was 23 (6.7%) (Table 1).The risk factors that increased the need for oxygen supplementation were older age, male sex, history of smoking, various comorbidities (hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [COPD], hyperuricemia, and chronic kidney disease), and specific disease symptoms (consciousness disorder, fever, shortness of breath, nausea/vomiting, and general fatigue) (Table 1).Table 1 shows the positive risk factors for COVID-19-related death. We performed univariate analysis of risk factors for severe illness in patients with COVID-19 (not shown). Older age, male sex, a history of smoking, comorbidities (hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, COPD, hyperuricemia, and chronic kidney disease), and specific disease symptoms (consciousness disorder, fever, shortness of breath, nausea/vomiting, and general fatigue) were positively associated with the need for oxygen supplementation. Subsequently, we performed multivariate analysis of risk factors affecting the need for oxygen supplementation in COVID-19patients (Table 2
). Factors, including COPD (odds ratio [OR] 19.13), consciousness disorder (OR 9.23), shortness of breath (OR 4.74), and general fatigue (OR 3.74), were independently associated with the need for oxygen therapy in COVID-19patients.
Table 2
Impact of risk factors for patients requiring oxygen therapy and after SARS-CoV-2 infection.
Risk factors (Oxygen therapy requirement)
Odds ratio (95% CI)
p-value*
Age group
2.24 (1.47–3.43)
< 0.001
Hypertension
3.34 (1.54–7.23)
0.006
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
19.13 (2.14–170.76)
0.008
Consciousness disorder
9.23 (1.52–56.18)
0.016
Rhinorrhoea
0.05 (0.01–0.44)
0.008
Shortness of breath
4.74 (2.31–9.73)
<0.001
General fatigue
3.74 (1.84–7.59)
<0.001
Risk factors (death)
Odds ratio (95%CI)
p-value*
Age group
5.43 (2.68–11.01)
<0.001
Hyperuricemia
3.60 (1.07–12.09)
0.038
Chronic kidney disease
5.74 (1.56–21.07)
0.009
Mulitivariate logistic regression analysis was performed.
95% CI; 95% confidence interval.
Impact of risk factors for patients requiring oxygen therapy and after SARS-CoV-2 infection.Mulitivariate logistic regression analysis was performed.95% CI; 95% confidence interval.Univariate analysis of risk factors for death resulting from COVID-19 was performed (not shown). Older age, comorbidities (diabetes, cardiovascular disease, COPD, hyperuricemia, chronic liver disease, and chronic kidney disease), and specific symptoms (consciousness disorder and shortness of breath) were associated with death resulting from COVID-19. We further performed multivariate analysis of risk factors for death associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection (Table 2), and factors, including chronic kidney disease (OR 5.74), older age (OR 5.43), and hyperuricemia (OR 3.60), were independently associated with death resulting from COVID-19.Our results demonstrate that chronic kidney disease (CKD), followed by older age and hyperuricemia, are the most common independent risk factors for COVID-19-related death in this study (Table 2). CKD and older age have been previously reported as risk factors for in-hospital death; this is consistent with our data. However, preexisting hyperuricemia has not been previously reported as a risk factor for death resulting from COVID-19; to our knowledge, this is the first study demonstrating that hyperuricemia is an independent risk factor for death in COVID-19patients. Hyperuricemia is a well-established risk factor for diabetes and CKD; however, the mechanism underlying the relationship between hyperuricemia and COVID-19-related mortality is unclear. As inflammation and oxidative stress (key status in COVID-19patients) have been reported as potential causes of higher mortality risks associated with hyperuricemia, the inflammation and oxidative stress induced by SARS-CoV-2 infections likely contributed to this process.In conclusion, we have shown the real-world clinical characteristics and risk factors for COVID-19 in the Greater Tokyo Area. Hyperuricemia is a novel risk factor for COVID-related death.
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