| Literature DB >> 32909510 |
Daniel I Rhon1,2,3, Suzanne J Snodgrass3, Joshua A Cleland4, Chad E Cook5.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Due to their potentially deleterious effects, minimizing the use of opioids for musculoskeletal pain is a priority for healthcare systems. The objective of this study was to examine the risk of future opioid prescription use based on prior opioid use within a non-surgical cohort with musculoskeletal knee pain. We also examined the risk of pre-existing comorbidities on future opioid use, and the risk of prior opioid use on future comorbidities (sleep, mental health, cardiometabolic disorders).Entities:
Keywords: comorbidities; health services research; knee; musculoskeletal pain; opioid naive; opioid risk; opioids; patellofemoral pain
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32909510 PMCID: PMC7493235 DOI: 10.1177/2150132720957438
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Prim Care Community Health ISSN: 2150-1319
Figure 1.Flow diagram of cohort derivation.
Abbreviation: ICD9: International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 9th edition.
Descriptive and Demographic Variables for Cohort Based on Opioid Use Before and After Initial Knee Pain Diagnosis.
| Variable | Total sample | Opioid prescription before initial knee diagnosis | Opioid prescription after initial knee diagnosis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean age (SD) | 33.3 (8.8) | 33.3 (8.8) | 33.3 (8.9) |
| Female sex (% within column) | 28 024 (34.9) | 622 (44.9) | 1498 (39.9) |
| Beneficiary status (% within column) | |||
| Active duty | 64 579 (80.4) | 1050 (75.8) | 3037 (80.8) |
| Reserve or National Guard | 1453 (1.8) | 27 (1.9) | 72 (1.9) |
| Dependent | 8406 (10.5) | 204 (14.7) | 426 (11.3) |
| Retired service member | 5527 (6.9) | 101 (7.3) | 213 (5.7) |
| Other | 26 (0.0) | 0 | 2 (0.1) |
| Race (% within column) | |||
| White | 36 929 (46.0) | 583 (42.1) | 1580 (42.1) |
| Black | 14 842 (18.0) | 225 (16.2) | 744 (19.8) |
| Hispanic | 6284 (7.8) | 101 (7.3) | 312 (8.3) |
| Asian/Pacific Islander | 5151 (6.4) | 81 (5.8) | 234 (6.2) |
| Native American | 823 (1.0) | 12 (1.5) | 36 (1.0) |
| Other/unknown | 16 656 (20.7) | 383 (27.7) | 851 (22.6) |
| Military service branch (% within column) | |||
| Army | 36 862 (45.9) | 656 (47.4) | 1854 (49.3) |
| Air force | 21 743 (27.1) | 353 (25.5) | 987 (26.3) |
| Navy | 13 572 (16.9) | 233 (16.8) | 559 (14.9) |
| Marines | 6309 (7.9) | 108 (7.8) | 279 (7.4) |
| Coast guard | 1628 (2.0) | 34 (2.1) | 71 (4.4) |
| Other | 176 (0.2) | 0 | 0 |
| Socioeconomic status (% within column) | |||
| Junior enlisted | 31 000 (38.6) | 549 (39.6) | 1430 (38.1) |
| Senior enlisted | 33 417 (41.6) | 606 (43.8) | 1713 (45.6) |
| Junior officer | 8144 (10.1) | 102 (7.4) | 312 (8.3) |
| Senior officer | 7727 (9.6) | 128 (9.2) | 302 (8.0) |
Values are N (percentage) unless otherwise stated.
Absolute Risk (Within Group) for Opioid Use After Initial Knee Diagnosis.
| Predictor | Predictor present before initial knee diagnosis | |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | No | |
| Opioid use (n = 1385) | 903 (65.2) | 2854 (3.6) |
| Chronic pain (n = 4375) | 264 (19.1) | 3493 (4.4) |
| TBI or concussion (n = 1105) | 69 (5.0) | 3688 (4.7) |
| Cardiometabolic syndrome (n = 3349) | 157 (11.3) | 3600 (4.6) |
| Insomnia (n = 4251) | 250 (18.1) | 3507 (4.4) |
| Sleep apnea (n = 3511) | 189 (13.6) | 3568 (4.5) |
| Depression (n = 4713) | 272 (19.6) | 3485 (4.4) |
| Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) (n = 1371) | 94 (6.8) | 3663 (4.6) |
| Substance or tobacco abuse disorder (n = 4928) | 265 (19.1) | 3492 (4.4) |
Abbreviation: TBI: traumatic brain injury.
Both columns represent the number and percentages of individuals with opioid use after initial knee diagnosis. The total n receiving opioid use after the index knee diagnosis was 3757.
Absolute Risk (Within Group) for Specific Comorbidity Diagnoses Present After Initial Knee Diagnosis Based on Prior Opioid Use.
| Comorbid diagnosis present after index knee event (total n in cohort with diagnosis) | Opioid prescription filled prior to knee diagnosis | |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | No | |
| Chronic pain (n = 10 506) | 252 (18.2) | 10 254 (13.0) |
| TBI or concussion (n = 2161) | 54 (3.9) | 2107 (2.7) |
| Cardiometabolic syndrome (n = 7078) | 135 (9.7) | 6943 (8.8) |
| Insomnia (n = 9532) | 205 (14.8) | 9327 (11.8) |
| Sleep apnea (n = 8072) | 143 (10.3) | 7929 (10.0) |
| Depression (n = 8381) | 233 (16.8) | 8148 (10.3) |
| Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) (n = 3193) | 70 (5.1) | 3123 (4.0) |
| Substance or tobacco abuse disorder (n = 2332) | 42 (3.0) | 2290 (2.9) |
Both columns represent number and percentages of opioid use history before initial knee diagnosis for individuals that were given each comorbidity diagnosis after the initial knee pain visit.
Risk of Future Opioid Utilization Based on Presence of the Predictor Prior to Initial Knee Diagnosis.
| Predictor | Relative risk (95% confidence interval) | Relative risk increase (RRI)—% | Absolute risk increase (ARI)—% | Number needed to harm (NNH) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opioid use | 18.0 (17.1, 19.0) | 1700.0 (1610.0, 1800.1) | 61.6 (59.0, 64.1) | 2 (2, 2) |
| Chronic pain | 1.3 (1.2, 1.5) | 31.2 (16.2, 48.1) | 1.4 (0.8, 2.2) | 70 (46, 134) |
| TBI or concussion | 1.3 (1.1, 1.7) | 34.1 (6.5, 68.9) | 1.6 (0.3, 3.2) | 63.0 (31, 336) |
| Cardiometabolic syndrome | 1.0 (0.9, 1.2) | 0.2 (−14.2, 17.1) | 0 (−0.7, 0.8) |
[ |
| Insomnia | 1.3 (1.1, 1.4) | 27.5 (12.6, 44.4) | 1.3 (0.6, 2.0) | 79 (49, 171) |
| Sleep apnea | 1.2 (1.0, 1.3) | 15.8 (0.5, 33.6) | 0.7 (0, 1.6) | 136 (65, 4787) |
| Depression | 1.3 (1.1, 1.4) | 25.1 (11.0, 41.1) | 1.2 (0.5, 1.9) | 86 (53, 192) |
| Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) | 1.5 (1.2, 1.8) | 47.7 (21.2, 80.0) | 2.2 (1.0, 3.7) | 45 (27, 102) |
| Tobacco or substance abuse disorder | 1.2 (1.0, 1.3) | 16.1 (2.8, 31.1) | 0.7 (0.1, 1.4) | 134 (70, 776) |
Not calculated as RR is not significant (95% confidence intervals cross 1.00). All values calculated with: Herbert R. Confidence Interval Calculator (2013). https://www.pedro.org.au/english/downloads/confidence-interval-calculator/. Accessed February 19, 2020.
Risk of Comorbidity Diagnosis After Initial Knee Diagnosis Based on Presence of Prior Opioid Use.
| Comorbid diagnosis present after index knee event | Relative risk—RR (95 CI) | Relative risk increase | Absolute risk increase | Number needed to harm—NNH (95 CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chronic pain | 1.4 (1.3, 1.6) | 40.0 (25.0, 56.8) | 5.2 (3.2, 7.3) | 19 (14, 31) |
| TBI or concussion | 1.5 (1.1, 1.9) | 46.0 (12.0, 90.3) | 1.2 (0.3, 2.4) | 81 (42, 310) |
| Cardiometabolic syndromes | 1.1 (0.9, 1.3) | 10.8 (−5.8, 30.2) | 1.0 (−0.5, 2.6) |
[ |
| Insomnia | 1.3 (1.1, 1.4) | 25.2 (10.2, 42.3) | 3.0 (1.2, 5.0) | 34 (20, 84) |
| Sleep apnea | 1.0 (0.9, 1.2) | 2.8 (−12.2, 20.2) | 0.3 (−1.2, 2.0) |
[ |
| Depression | 1.6 (1.5, 1.8) | 62.9 (44.7, 83.5) | 6.5 (4.6, 8.6) | 15 (12, 22) |
| Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) | 1.3 (1.0, 1.6) | 27.7 (1.4, 60.9) | 1.1 (0.1, 2.4) | 91 (42, 1902) |
| Substance or tobacco abuse disorder | 1.1 (0.8 to 1.4) | 4.5 (−22.6, 41.1) | 0.1 (−0.7, 1.2 |
[ |
Not calculated as RR is not significant (95% confidence intervals cross 1.0). All values calculated with: Herbert R. Confidence Interval Calculator (2013). https://www.pedro.org.au/english/downloads/confidence-interval-calculator/. Accessed February 19, 2020.