| Literature DB >> 32863959 |
Wei Mu1,2, Chang Liu3, Feng Gao4, Yafei Qi5, Hong Lu6, Zaiyi Liu7, Xianyi Zhang3, Xiaoli Cai3, Ruo Yun Ji3, Yang Hou3, Jie Tian1,2, Yu Shi3.
Abstract
Rationale: Clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) is among the most formidable complications after pancreatoduodenectomy (PD), heightening morbidity/mortality rates. Fistula Risk Score (FRS) is a well-developed predictor, but it is an intraoperative predictor and quantifies >50% patients as intermediate risk. Therefore, an accurate and easy-to-use preoperative index is desired. Herein, we test the hypothesis that quantitative analysis of contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CE-CT) with deep learning could predict CR-POPFs.Entities:
Keywords: Pancreatic fistula; computed tomography (CT); deep learning; fistula risk score; pancreatoduodenectomy
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32863959 PMCID: PMC7449906 DOI: 10.7150/thno.49671
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Theranostics ISSN: 1838-7640 Impact factor: 11.556
Figure 2Preoperative CT scan of patients with varying CR-POPF risks. Two patients (A, B) ultimately developed CR-POPFs. FRS was 7 in patient A, and DLS was 0.78, both indicating high risk of CR-POPF; whereas a DLS of 0.60 in patient B suggested high probability of CR-POPF (0.85), despite intermediate FRS risk (FRS=4). The other two patients C and D did not develop CR-POPFs. FRS was 2 in patient C, and DLS was 0.05, both conferring low risk of CR-POPF; whereas a DLS of 0.14 in patient D showed low probability of CR-POPF (0.36) at intermediate FRS risk (FRS = 5). The first panel of each subgroup shows CT images and ROI regions used for DLS acquisition. For the second and third rows in each panel, the first and second columns shows the visualization of the activation layers of the ResCNN model, which assess the feature extraction (pancreatic parenchymal region and stump area), and the third column is the localization map that shows the important hot spots contributing to DLS for predicting non-CR-POPF/CR-POPF. The CT images were overlapped to reveal response locations. Corresponding histologic views of pancreatic stumps (patients B and D) are shown in Supplemental .
Performances of various predictive models in training, validation and test cohorts
| AUC (95% CI) | Accuracy (95% CI) | Sensitivity (95% CI) | Specificity (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Training | 0.85 (0.80, 0.90) | 81.3 (77.2, 85.2) | 71.4 (58.9, 82.1) | 83.2 (78.9, 87.5) |
| Validation | 0.81 (0.72, 0.89) | 76.6 (70.1, 83.1) | 75.0 (58.3, 91.7) | 76.9 (70.0, 83.9) |
| Test | 0.89 (0.79, 0.96) | 87.1 (86.8, 87.5) | 86.7 (59.5, 98.3) | 87.3 (75.5, 94.7) |
| Training | 0.78 (0.72, 0.84) | 71.9 (67.4, 76.3) | 75.0 (64.3, 85.7) | 71.3 (66.3, 76.2) |
| Validation | 0.76 (0.66, 0.84) | 69.5 (62.3, 76.6) | 75.0 (58.3, 91.7) | 68.5 (60.8, 76.2) |
| Test | 0.73 (0.61, 0.83) | 72.9 (72.3, 73.4) | 73.3 (44.9, 92.2) | 72.7 (59.0, 83.9) |
| Training | 0.87 (0.82, 0.91) | 81.3 (77.4, 85.5) | 82.1 (71.4, 91.1) | 81.2 (76.9, 85.8) |
| Validation | 0.85 (0.77, 0.91) | 75.9 (68.8, 83.1) | 79.2 (62.5, 91.7) | 75.4 (66.9, 83.1) |
| Test | 0.90 (0.80, 0.96) | 90.0 (89.7, 90.3) | 86.7 (59.5, 98.3) | 90.9 (80.0, 97.0) |
AUC, area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve; ACC, accuracy; CI, confidence interval.