| Literature DB >> 32811256 |
Ryusuke Ae1,2, Joseph Y Abrams1, Ryan A Maddox1, Lawrence B Schonberger1, Yosikazu Nakamura2, Masanari Kuwabara2, Nobuko Makino2, Yuri Matsubara2, Koki Kosami2, Teppei Sasahara2, Ermias D Belay1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND Randomized controlled trials previously provided different conclusions about the superiority of adding corticosteroids to initial intravenous immunoglobulin treatment for the prevention of coronary artery abnormalities in patients with Kawasaki disease (KD). To further assess this issue, we analyzed large-scale data from nationwide KD surveys in Japan, where combination treatment (corticosteroids added to initial standard intravenous immunoglobulin treatment) has become commonly used for patients at high risk for KD. METHODS AND RESULTS Standard intravenous immunoglobulin treatment and combination treatment were compared using data from time periods with and without combination treatment. Outcome measures were coronary artery abnormalities and initial intravenous immunoglobulin treatment failure. Hospitals where ≥20% of patients received combination treatment were identified, and treatment and control groups were selected via matching by age, sex, illness day at initial treatment, and KD recurrence. Matched group selection and subsequent analyses were conducted 1000 times to minimize sampling bias and potential confounders (bootstrapping). From 115 hospitals, 1593 patients with KD in the treatment group and 1593 controls were selected for each of the 1000 sample iterations. The median proportion of patients who developed coronary artery abnormalities among the treatment group and controls were 4.6% (95% CI, 3.8%-5.8%) and 8.8% (95% CI, 7.5%-10.0%), respectively: an estimated risk ratio of 0.53 (0.41-0.67). A median of 14.1% (95% CI, 12.4%-15.9%) of the patients in the treatment group and 21.7% (95% CI, 19.8%-23.4%) in the controls had treatment failure: an estimated risk ratio of 0.65 (0.56-0.75). CONCLUSIONS Combination treatment reduced coronary artery abnormality risk by an estimated 47% and treatment failure by 35%. Multiple-dose corticosteroids may provide benefit in selected patients at high risk for KD.Entities:
Keywords: Kawasaki disease; bootstrapping; coronary artery abnormality; corticosteroids; treatment
Year: 2020 PMID: 32811256 PMCID: PMC7660775 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.119.015308
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Am Heart Assoc ISSN: 2047-9980 Impact factor: 5.501
Figure 1Flow chart for selection of patients with Kawasaki disease for the treatment group and controls.
*Separate iterations were performed for matching and rematching steps, resulting in 1000 unique sets of 1593 patients each in the treatment group and controls. IVIG indicates intravenous immunoglobulin.
Figure 2Flow chart for selection of patients with Kawasaki disease for low‐risk groups from surveys 24 and 21.
*Separate iterations were performed for matching and rematching steps, resulting in 1000 unique sets of 8024 patients each in the low‐risk group from survey 24 and 21. IVIG indicates intravenous immunoglobulin.
Figure 3Temporal trends in proportion of coronary artery abnormalities and corticosteroid combination treatment.
*Information on combination treatment was unavailable for survey 21.
Characteristics of Patients With Kawasaki Disease Identified in Surveys 21 and 24
| Characteristic | Survey 21 | Survey 24 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total, N (%) | Total, N (%) | Treatments, | ||
| Standard | Combination | |||
| N=13 481 | N=20 460 | n=17 825 | n=2635 | |
| Sex | ||||
| Male | 7669 (56.9) | 11 685 (57.1) | 10 162 (57.0) | 1523 (57.8) |
| Female | 5812 (43.1) | 8775 (42.9) | 7663 (43.0) | 1112 (42.2) |
| Age, median (IQR), mo | 25 (13–43) | 27 (15–45) | 26 (14–44) | 33 (18–51) |
| Age groups | ||||
| ≤1 y | 6328 (46.9) | 9047 (44.2) | 8183 (45.9) | 864 (32.8) |
| 2–4 y | 5616 (41.7) | 8863 (43.3) | 7529 (42.2) | 1334 (50.6) |
| 5–7 y | 1327 (9.8) | 2068 (10.1) | 1722 (9.7) | 346 (13.1) |
| 8–17 y | 210 (1.6) | 482 (2.4) | 391 (2.2) | 91 (3.5) |
| Day of illness at initial treatment, median (IQR), d | 5 (4–6) | 5 (4–6) | 5 (4–6) | 4 (4–5) |
| 1–3 d | 1041 (7.7) | 2101 (10.3) | 1660 (9.3) | 441 (16.7) |
| 4–6 d | 10 989 (81.5) | 16 373 (80.0) | 14 299 (80.2) | 2074 (78.7) |
| 7–9 d | 1451 (10.8) | 1986 (9.7) | 1866 (10.5) | 120 (4.6) |
| Recurrence status | 491 (3.6) | 832 (4.1) | 663 (3.7) | 169 (6.4) |
| Corticosteroid use | ||||
| Multiple‐dose treatment | NA | 2298 (11.2) | NA | 2298 (87.3) |
| Pulse treatment | NA | 335 (1.6) | NA | 335 (12.7) |
| Coronary artery abnormalities | ||||
| Total | 959 (7.1) | 1114 (5.4) | 923 (5.2) | 191 (7.2) |
| Dilatations | 850 (6.3) | 997 (4.9) | 846 (4.7) | 151 (5.7) |
| Aneurysms | 161 (1.2) | 166 (0.8) | 108 (0.6) | 58 (2.2) |
| Treatment failure | 2509 (18.6) | 3918 (19.1) | 3311 (18.6) | 607 (23.0) |
IQR indicates interquartile range; and NA, not applicable.
Standard treatment is defined as intravenous immunoglobulin 2 g/kg given as a single infusion, together with aspirin. Combination treatment is defined as concurrent corticosteroids added to standard treatment.
Some patients had both coronary artery aneurysm and dilatation.
The Risk of Coronary Artery Abnormalities and Treatment Failure Among Patients With Kawasaki Disease in the Treatment Group and Controls Assessed Over 1000 Sampling Iterations*
| Outcome | Treatment Group | Controls | Risk Ratio (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Survey 24; n=1593 | Survey 21; n=1593 | ||
| Coronary artery abnormalities | |||
| Total | 0.53 (0.41–0.67) | ||
| Median (%) | 74 (4.6) | 140 (8.8) | |
| 95% CIs | 60–92 (3.8–5.8) | 120–160 (7.5–10.0) | |
| Dilatations | |||
| Median (%) | 64 (4.0) | 125 (7.8) | |
| 95% CIs | 51–80 (3.2–5.0) | 107–142 (6.7–8.9) | |
| Aneurysms | |||
| Median (%) | 12 (0.8) | 21 (1.3) | |
| 95% CIs | 6–19 (0.4–1.2) | 13–30 (0.8–1.9) | |
| Treatment failure | 0.65 (0.56–0.75) | ||
| Median (%) | 225 (14.1) | 345 (21.7) | |
| 95% CIs | 198–253 (12.4–15.9) | 315–373 (19.8–23.4) | |
The analysis was performed 1000 separate times, and the median values with the percentages are provided along with the 95% CIs. Not all patients in the treatment group received corticosteroid combination treatment.
Some patients had both coronary artery aneurysm and dilatation.
The Risk of Coronary Artery Abnormalities and Treatment Failure Among Patients With Kawasaki Disease in Low‐Risk Groups From Surveys 21 and 24 Assessed Over 1000 Sampling Iterations*
| Outcome |
Survey 24 Low‐Risk Group |
Survey 21 Low‐Risk Group | Risk Ratio (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| n=8024 | n=8024 | ||
| Coronary artery abnormalities | |||
| Total | 0.98 (0.88–1.11) | ||
| Median (%) | 480 (6.0) | 491 (6.1) | |
| 95% CIs | 442–521 (5.5–6.5) | 453–531 (5.6–6.6) | |
| Dilatations | |||
| Median (%) | 441 (5.5) | 438 (5.5) | |
| 95% CIs | 405–481 (5.0–6.0) | 401–475 (5.0–5.9) | |
| Aneurysms | |||
| Median (%) | 52 (0.6) | 72 (0.9) | |
| 95% CIs | 39–66 (0.5–0.8) | 56–88 (0.7–1.1) | |
| Treatment failure | 1.08 (1.02–1.15) | ||
| Median (%) | 1771 (22.1) | 1638 (20.4) | |
| 95% CIs | 1704–1844 (21.2–23.0) | 1571–1705 (19.6–21.2) | |
The analysis was performed 1000 separate times, and the median values with the percentages are provided along with the 95% CIs.
Some patients had both coronary artery aneurysm and dilatation.
Figure 4Risk of coronary artery abnormalities among patients with Kawasaki disease assessed over 1000 sampling iterations.
Dashed lines represent median values for each group.
Figure 5Risk of treatment failure among patients with Kawasaki disease assessed over 1000 sampling iterations.
Dashed lines represent median values for each group.