| Literature DB >> 32802963 |
Mark J Siedner1,2,3, Guy Harling1,4,5,6, Anne Derache1, Theresa Smit1, Thandeka Khoza1, Resign Gunda1, Thobeka Mngomezulu1, Dickman Gareta1, Nomathamsanqa Majozi1, Eugene Ehlers1, Jaco Dreyer1, Siyabonga Nxumalo1, Njabulo Dayi1, Gregory Ording-Jesperson1, Nothando Ngwenya1, Emily Wong1,2,3, Collins Iwuji1,7, Maryam Shahmanesh1,4, Janet Seeley1,8, Tulio De Oliveira9,10, Thumbi Ndung'u1,11,12,13, Willem Hanekom1,11, Kobus Herbst1,14.
Abstract
A coordinated system of disease surveillance will be critical to effectively control the coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) pandemic. Such systems enable rapid detection and mapping of epidemics and inform allocation of scarce prevention and intervention resources. Although many lower- and middle-income settings lack infrastructure for optimal disease surveillance, health and demographic surveillance systems (HDSS) provide a unique opportunity for epidemic monitoring. This protocol describes a surveillance program at the Africa Health Research Institute's Population Intervention Platform site in northern KwaZulu-Natal. The program leverages a longstanding HDSS in a rural, resource-limited setting with very high prevalence of HIV and tuberculosis to perform Covid-19 surveillance. Our primary aims include: describing the epidemiology of the Covid-19 epidemic in rural KwaZulu-Natal; determining the impact of the Covid-19 outbreak and non-pharmaceutical control interventions (NPI) on behaviour and wellbeing; determining the impact of HIV and tuberculosis on Covid-19 susceptibility; and using collected data to support the local public-sector health response. The program involves telephone-based interviews with over 20,000 households every four months, plus a sub-study calling 750 households every two weeks. Each call asks a household representative how the epidemic and NPI are affecting the household and conducts a Covid-19 risk screen for all resident members. Any individuals screening positive are invited to a clinical screen, potential test and referral to necessary care - conducted in-person near their home following careful risk minimization procedures. In this protocol we report the details of our cohort design, questionnaires, data and reporting structures, and standard operating procedures in hopes that our project can inform similar efforts elsewhere. Copyright:Entities:
Keywords: Covid-19; Health and Demographic Surveillance System; Screening; South Africa; Surveillance
Year: 2020 PMID: 32802963 PMCID: PMC7424917 DOI: 10.12688/wellcomeopenres.15949.2
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Wellcome Open Res ISSN: 2398-502X
Figure 1. Study flow diagram.
The 95% confidence intervals for prevalence estimates for surveillance platform based on sub-group and total population prevalence of 1 and 5%.
| Sex | Age Band | Population Size | 95% confidence interval for 1%
| 95% confidence interval for 5%
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Female | <19 years | 21,922 | 0.87 – 1.11% | 4.71 – 5.29% |
| Male | <19 years | 22,041 | 0.87 – 1.13% | 4.71 – 5.30% |
| Female | 20–49
| 23,853 | 0.87 – 1.13% | 4.73 – 5.29% |
| Male | 20–49
| 17,220 | 0.86 – 1.16% | 4.67 – 5.33% |
| Female | >49 years | 11,241 | 0.82 – 1.20% | 4.60 – 5.42% |
| Male | >49 years | 4,958 | 0.75 – 1.33% | 4.41 – 5.64% |
| Total Pop | -- | 101,235 | 0.94 – 1.06% | 4.87 – 5.13% |
*Confidence intervals estimated with the exact method to account for small proportion sizes.