| Literature DB >> 32748820 |
Syed Mahfuz Al Hasan1, Jennifer Saulam2, Kanae Kanda1, Akitsu Murakami1, Yusuke Yamadori1, Yukinori Mashima1, Nlandu Roger Ngatu1, Tomohiro Hirao1.
Abstract
We analyzed the temporal trends and significant changes in apparent energy and macronutrient intakes in the Bangladeshi diet from 1961 to 2017. Due to the lack of a long-running national dietary intake dataset, this study used the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)'s old and new food balance sheet dataset. We used the joinpoint regression model and jump model to analyze the temporal trends in apparent energy and macronutrient intakes. The annual percentage change (APC) was computed for each segment of the trends. Bangladesh has experienced a late energy revolution in their dietary history. During the 1960s, 1970s, 1980s, and 1990s, Bangladesh was suffering from substantive calorie deficits, where in apparent energy intake was less than 2200 kcal/day/person. Since the late 1990s, Bangladesh has made significant progress in raising the apparent energy consumption in the diet. Since the late 1970s, apparent fat intake started to increase significantly at a marked rate (APC = 2.16), whereas since the early 1990s, protein intake increased significantly by 1.33% per year. Plant sources have mostly governed the protein and fat intake trends in the Bangladeshi diet since 1960, whereas animal sources began to contribute significantly in protein intake since 1990 (APC = 3.43) and in fat intake since 2000 (APC = 2.88). Bangladesh overcame the substantive calorie deficit condition in the diet from the late 1990s. Excessive carbohydrate intake along with imbalanced and low-quality protein and fat intakes have been the central features in the diet in Bangladesh.Entities:
Keywords: apparent energy intake; apparent macronutrient intake; food balance sheet; joinpoint regression analysis; jump model
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32748820 PMCID: PMC7469017 DOI: 10.3390/nu12082319
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Nutrients ISSN: 2072-6643 Impact factor: 5.717
Apparent consumption of energy and macronutrient in Bangladesh, 1961–2017.
| Energy and Macronutrinet | 1961 | 2017 | % Change 1 | Status 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy (kcal/day/person) | 2154 | 2596 | 20.52 | Increased | <0.05 |
| Macronutrient distribution | |||||
| Carbohydrate (%) | 84.73 | 78.94 | 6.83 | Decreased | <0.05 |
| Protein (%) | 8.45 | 9.29 | 9.94 | Increased | <0.05 |
| Fat (%) | 6.83 | 11.77 | 72.33 | Increased | <0.05 |
| Macronutrient (g/day/person) | |||||
| Carbohydrate | 456.25 | 512.33 | 12.29 | Increased | 0.60 |
| Protein | 45.49 | 60.28 | 32.51 | Increased | <0.05 |
| Animal protein | 5.45 | 11.96 | 119.44 | Increased | <0.05 |
| Plant protein | 40.04 | 48.33 | 20.70 | Increased | <0.05 |
| Fat | 16.34 | 33.95 | 107.77 | Increased | <0.05 |
| Animal fat | 3.84 | 6.68 | 73.96 | Increased | <0.05 |
| Plant fat | 12.50 | 27.27 | 118.16 | Increased | <0.05 |
1 Values of the changes in apparent intake level are given as an absolute figure; directions of the changes from 1961 until 2017 are reported in the status. 2 Status has two responses: increased (when apparent intake increased from the intake level of 1961) or decreased (when apparent intake decreased from the intake level of 1961); the status is based on the direction of the percent change from 1961 to 2017, where 1961 is considered as a baseline year and 2017 is the latest available year. 3 p-values are based on the average annual percent change of the different segment of the trend from 1961 to 2017, considering the introduction of new food balance sheets since 2014 by using the Jump model.
Figure 1Joinpoint regression analysis of the apparent intake of energy (A) and the percentage of available energy from carbohydrates (B), protein (C), and fat (D) in the diets of the Bangladeshi population from 1961 to 2017. A vertical dotted line represents the joinpoints. 1 Apparent energy intake refers to the average availability of energy in the diets for consumption and percentage of available energy from carbohydrates (B), protein (C), and fat (D). 2 A horizontal dotted line represents the recommended energy intake and recommended percent distribution of available energy from macronutrients on the basis of the desirable dietary pattern (DDP) for the Bangladeshi population [23]. 3 A horizontal dotted line represents the mean actual energy intake (kcal/day/person) and macronutrient distribution to energy (carbohydrates (B), protein (C), and fat (D)) in the diet of the Bangladeshi population on the basis of the dietary analysis of the Household (Income and) Expenditure Survey (H(I)ES) in 2010 [23]. 4 A horizontal dotted line represents the mean per capita actual energy intake (kcal/day) in the diet of the Bangladeshi population on the basis of the dietary analysis by the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS) of the latest H(I)ES in 2016 [27]. # denotes the annual percent change (APC) that is significantly different from 0 (p < 0.05).
Trends in apparent energy and macronutrient intakes in the diet in Bangladesh from 1961 to 2017 1.
| AAPC 3 | Trend 1 | Trend 2 | Trend 3 | Trend 4 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1961–2013 | Period | APC 2 | Period | APC 2 | Period | APC 2 | Period | APC 2 | |
| Energy | |||||||||
| Joinpoint model 4 | 0.3 (0.0 to 0.7) ** | 1961–1972 | −0.75 * | 1972–1997 | 0.17 * | 1997–2000 | 3.12 * | 2000–2017 | 0.66 * |
| Jump model 5 | 0.2 (0.0 to 0.5) ** | 1961–1972 | −0.73 * | 1972–1996 | 0.15 * | 1996–2001 | 2.27 * | 2001–2017 | 0.46 * |
| Macronutrient distribution | |||||||||
| Carbohydrate | −0.1 (−0.2 to −0.1) ** | 1961–1980 | −0.05 | 1980–2017 | −0.17 * | ||||
| Protein | 0.2 (0.1 to 0.3) ** | 1961–1968 | −0.18 | 1968–1973 | 1.42 * | 1973–1997 | −0.23 * | 1997–2017 | 0.45 * |
| Fat | 0.9 (0.7 to 1.2) ** | 1961–1979 | −0.04 | 1979–1998 | 2.27 * | 1998–2017 | 0.58 * | ||
| Macronutrient | |||||||||
| Carbohydrate intake 4 | 0.2 (−0.1 to 0.4) | 1961–1972 | −0.73 * | 1972–1997 | 0.02 | 1997–2001 | 2.38 | 2001–2017 | 0.47 * |
| Carbohydrate intake 5 | 0.1 (−0.3 to 0.5) | 1961–1972 | −0.75 * | 1972–1998 | 0.03 | 1998–2001 | 3.41 | 2001–2017 | 0.25 |
| Protein intake | 0.5 (0.4 to 0.6) ** | 1961–1994 | −0.01 | 1994–2017 | 1.33 * | ||||
| Animal protein | 1.3 (1.1 to 1.6) ** | 1961–1970 | 1.25 * | 1970–1990 | −1.33 * | 1990–2017 | 3.43 * | ||
| Plant protein | 0.4 (0.3 to 0.5) ** | 1961–1995 | 0.08 | 1995–2017 | 0.94 * | ||||
| Fat intake | 1.4 (1.1 to 1.7) ** | 1961–1977 | −0.48 | 1977–2017 | 2.16 * | ||||
| Animal fat | 1.0 (0.6 to 1.4) ** | 1961–1979 | 0.23 * | 1979–1982 | −6.88 * | 1982–2000 | 1.40 * | 2000–2017 | 2.88 * |
| Plant fat | 1.4 (1.0 to 1.7) ** | 1961–1977 | −0.84 * | 1977–1998 | 3.20 * | 1998–2017 | 1.29 * | ||
1 Trend analysis identified joinpoints, which are points where line segment of trends are joined. Each joinpoint denotes a statistically significant change (p = 0.05) in trend. 2 APC is the annual percent change within a trend in energy, macronutrient distributions (MDs), and macronutrient intake in the diet. 3 AAPC is the average annual percent change in energy, macronutrient distributions (MDs), and macronutrient intakes in the diet, calculated as a geometric weighted average of the calculated APCs of various segments from 1961 to 2017; in parentheses, the 95% confidence interval is presented. 4 Trends were analyzed on the basis of the standard joinpoint model where the introduction of the new food balance sheet since 2014 was not considered; on the basis of our analysis, the introduction of a new food balance sheet caused only a 3% (comparability ratio, CR = 1.03) increase in the values, mainly in energy and carbohydrate intake. 5 Trends were analyzed on the basis of the Jump model where the effect of the introduction of the new food balance sheet since 2014 was considered. * Denotes that the annual percent change, APC, was significantly different from 0 for a specific trend (two-sided p < 0.05) adjusted with the Jump model due to the introduction of new food balance sheet data from 2014. ** Denotes that the average annual percent change, AAPC, was significantly different from 0 for the entire trend from 1961 to 2017 (two-sided p < 0.05) adjusted with the Jump model due to the introduction of new food balance sheet data from 2014.
Figure 2Joinpoint regression analysis of the apparent intakes of carbohydrate (A), protein (B), and fat (C) in the diets of the Bangladeshi population from 1961 to 2017. A vertical dotted line represents the joinpoints. 1 Apparent intakes of carbohydrate (A), protein (B), and fat (C) refer to the availability of carbohydrate (A), protein (B), and fat (C) in the diets for consumption in the Bangladeshi population. 2 A horizontal dotted line represents the recommended carbohydrate (A), protein (B), and fat (C) intakes on the basis of the desirable dietary pattern (DDP) for the Bangladeshi population [23]. 3 A horizontal dotted line represents the mean actual carbohydrate (A), protein (B), and fat (C) intake (g/day/person) in the diet on the basis of the H(I)ES in 2010 [23]. 4 A horizontal dotted line represents the mean actual protein intake (g/day/person) in the diet of the Bangladeshi population on the basis of the dietary analysis by the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS) of the latest H(I)ES in 2016 [27]. # denotes the annual percent change (APC) that is significantly different from 0 (p < 0.05).
Figure 3A brief summary of the significant changes over the periods in apparent energy and macronutrient intakes in Bangladesh from 1961 to 2017. Shaded area indicates the time after independence and the unshaded area represents the time before independence. The horizontal lines represent the year where significant changes started.