Literature DB >> 32710273

Development and Prospective Validation of a Risk Calculator That Predicts a Low Risk Cohort for Atypical Ductal Hyperplasia Upstaging to Malignancy: Evidence for a Watch and Wait Strategy of a High-Risk Lesion.

Daniel Ben Lustig1,2, Michael Guo3, Claire Liu3, Rebecca Warburton3,4, Carol K Dingee3,4, Jin-Si Pao3,4, Urve Kuusk3,4, Leo Chen3, Elaine C McKevitt3,4.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Guidelines recommend surgical excision of atypical ductal hyperplasia (ADH) due to the concern of undersampling a potential malignancy on core needle biopsy (CNB). The purpose of this study was to determine clinical, radiological and pathological variables associated with ADH upstaging to cancer and to develop a predictive risk calculator capable of identifying women who have a low oncological risk of upstaging.
METHODS: A prospectively collected database from a tertiary breast referral center was analyzed for women diagnosed with ADH on CNB between January 2013 to December 2017 who underwent surgical excision. CNB and surgical pathology reports were examined to determine rate of upstaging. The association between clinical, radiological and pathological variables were evaluated using regression analysis to determine predictors of ADH upstaging to cancer. Significant variables (p ≤ 0.05) identified on univariate analysis were assigned a score of "1" and were included in the ADH upstaging risk calculator.
RESULTS: A total of 1986 patients underwent surgery for a high-risk lesion. We identified 318 (16.0%) patients who had ADH identified on their CNB who underwent surgery-of which 290 were included in our study. The upstage rate was 24.8%. Five variables were associated with upstaging and included in our calculator: (1) lesion > 5 mm on ultrasound; (2) lesion > 5 mm on mammogram; (3) one or more "high-risk" lesion(s) on CNB; (4) pathological suspicion for cancer and; (5) incomplete removal of calcifications on CNB. Patients with a score of 0 had a 2% risk of being upstaged to cancer and were deemed low risk with 17.2% of patients falling within this category.
CONCLUSIONS: Patients with ADH on CNB can be stratified into a low oncological cohort who have a 2% risk of being upstaged to carcinoma. In the future, these select patients may be counselled and potentially offered observation as an alternative to surgery.

Entities:  

Keywords:  Atypical ductal hyperplasia; Benign breast disease; Breast cancer; Prediction; Risk calculator

Mesh:

Year:  2020        PMID: 32710273     DOI: 10.1245/s10434-020-08881-0

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Ann Surg Oncol        ISSN: 1068-9265            Impact factor:   5.344


  2 in total

1.  ASO Author Reflections: Perineural Invasion in pN0M0 Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: Let Pathology Strengthen the Clinical Oncology Practice.

Authors:  Yuan-Ning Guo; Min Su
Journal:  Ann Surg Oncol       Date:  2020-07-06       Impact factor: 5.344

2.  The Virtual Scientific Sessions from the American Society of Breast Surgeons During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

Authors:  Henry M Kuerer; Sarah L Blair
Journal:  Ann Surg Oncol       Date:  2020-08-18       Impact factor: 5.344

  2 in total

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