| Literature DB >> 32699031 |
Donna R Rivera1, Solange Peters2, Yu Shyr3, Gary H Lyman4, Jeremy L Warner, Orestis A Panagiotou5, Dimpy P Shah6, Nicole M Kuderer7, Chih-Yuan Hsu3, Samuel M Rubinstein8, Brendan J Lee8, Toni K Choueiri9, Gilberto de Lima Lopes10, Petros Grivas11,4, Corrie A Painter12, Brian I Rini8, Michael A Thompson13, Jonathan Arcobello14, Ziad Bakouny9, Deborah B Doroshow15,16, Pamela C Egan17, Dimitrios Farmakiotis18, Leslie A Fecher19, Christopher R Friese20, Matthew D Galsky15,16, Sanjay Goel21, Shilpa Gupta22, Thorvardur R Halfdanarson23, Balazs Halmos21, Jessica E Hawley24, Ali Raza Khaki11, Christopher A Lemmon22, Sanjay Mishra25, Adam J Olszewski17, Nathan A Pennell22, Matthew M Puc26, Sanjay G Revankar14, Lidia Schapira27, Andrew Schmidt9, Gary K Schwartz24, Sumit A Shah27, Julie T Wu27, Zhuoer Xie23, Albert C Yeh11, Huili Zhu15.
Abstract
Among 2,186 U.S. adults with invasive cancer and laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, we examined the association of COVID-19 treatments with 30-day all-cause mortality and factors associated with treatment. Logistic regression with multiple adjustments (e.g., comorbidities, cancer status, baseline COVID-19 severity) was performed. Hydroxychloroquine with any other drug was associated with increased mortality versus treatment with any COVID-19 treatment other than hydroxychloroquine or untreated controls; this association was not present with hydroxychloroquine alone. Remdesivir had numerically reduced mortality versus untreated controls that did not reach statistical significance. Baseline COVID-19 severity was strongly associated with receipt of any treatment. Black patients were approximately half as likely to receive remdesivir as white patients. Although observational studies can be limited by potential unmeasured confounding, our findings add to the emerging understanding of patterns of care for patients with cancer and COVID-19 and support evaluation of emerging treatments through inclusive prospective controlled trials. SIGNIFICANCE: Evaluating the potential role of COVID-19 treatments in patients with cancer in a large observational study, there was no statistically significant 30-day all-cause mortality benefit with hydroxychloroquine or high-dose corticosteroids alone or in combination; remdesivir showed potential benefit. Treatment receipt reflects clinical decision-making and suggests disparities in medication access.This article is highlighted in the In This Issue feature, p. 1426. ©2020 American Association for Cancer Research.Entities:
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Year: 2020 PMID: 32699031 PMCID: PMC7541683 DOI: 10.1158/2159-8290.CD-20-0941
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cancer Discov ISSN: 2159-8274 Impact factor: 38.272
Figure 1.CONSORT diagram (top) and registry accrual (bottom) during the data collection period of March 17 to June 26, 2020. Red points represent included cases; blue points represent excluded cases. 1Hydroxychloroquine (HCQ), azithromycin, remdesivir, high-dose systemic corticosteroids, tocilizumab, or other COVID-19 treatments; 2Only excluded if patient has a baseline autoimmune condition; 3Only excluded if patient has baseline chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, or HIV; 4Only excluded if patient has baseline HIV.
Figure 2.Heat map of selected clinical factors stratified by treatment exposures. Coloration depicts the absolute departure from the average for that category; for example, patients with obesity were overrepresented in the tocilizumab exposure group by more than 16% of the average level of obesity in the total population (51% vs. 32%); patients with renal comorbidities were underrepresented in the remdesivir exposure group by 6% to 10% below the average level of renal comorbidities in the total population (9% vs. 18%). aPercentages add up to more than 100 because some patients had multiple malignancies; bIncludes patients enrolled in blinded randomized controlled trials, e.g., of remdesivir vs. placebo. NED, no evidence of disease.
Figure 3.UpSet plot of treatment exposures. There are a total of 865 treatment exposures observed across 49 different patterns.
Figure 4.Distribution of matched and unmatched cohorts stratified by exposure of interest (EOI). Negative controls are patients who did not have any reported COVID-19 treatment; positive controls are patients who had a treatment reported that did not include the EOI. EOI+, EOI with any other exposure; HCQ, hydroxychloroquine.
Factors associated with receipt of COVID-19 therapy
| Characteristics | Hydroxychloroquine & azithromycin, aOR (95% CI) | Remdesivir, aOR (95% CI) | Any treatment, aOR (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Number exposed | |||
| Age | 0.97 (0.85–1.11) | 0.87 (0.74–1.03) | 0.96 (1.05–1.14) |
| Sex | |||
| Male vs. female | 1.30 (0.95–1.77) | 1.24 (0.84–1.85) | 1.28 (1.04–1.56) |
| Race/ethnicity | |||
| Hispanic vs. non-Hispanic white | 0.73 (0.44–1.20) | 1.22 (0.71–2.11) | 0.96 (0.70–1.31) |
| Non-Hispanic Black vs. non-Hispanic white | 0.82 (0.57–1.19) | 0.56 (0.31–1.00) | 1.13 (0.87–1.46) |
| Other vs. Non-Hispanic white | 0.65 (0.36–1.16) | 0.56 (0.26–1.22) | 1.01 (0.71–1.45) |
| Region of patient residence | |||
| U.S. Midwest | 0.90 (0.63–1.31) | 0.79 (0.47–1.33) | 0.89 (0.70–1.14) |
| U.S. South | 1.34 (0.87–2.07) | 1.03 (0.56–1.90) | 0.84 (0.61–1.15) |
| U.S. West | 0.34 (0.17–0.69) | 1.85 (1.09–3.15) | 0.63 (0.45–0.87) |
| Smoking status | |||
| Current or former smoker | 1.06 (0.77–1.47) | 0.90 (0.58–1.38) | 0.99 (0.80–1.24) |
| Comorbidities | |||
| Obese vs. not obese | 1.07 (0.77–1.49) | 1.32 (0.87–2.00) | 1.44 (1.16–1.80) |
| Diabetes mellitus present vs. absent | 1.16 (0.84–1.61) | 0.84 (0.55–1.30) | 0.99 (0.79–1.24) |
| Pulmonary comorbidities present vs. absent | 1.09 (0.76–1.56) | 1.53 (0.98–2.40) | 1.41 (1.10–1.80) |
| Cardiovascular comorbidities present vs. absent | 0.68 (0.48–0.98) | 1.15 (0.74–1.79) | 0.77 (0.61–0.98) |
| Renal comorbidities present vs. absent | 1.56 (1.09–2.23) | 0.32 (0.16–0.61) | 1.02 (0.79–1.33) |
| Hypertension present vs. absent | 1.11 (0.78–1.58) | 1.31 (0.84–2.04) | 1.28 (1.02–1.60) |
| ECOG performance status | |||
| 1 vs. 0 | 1.07 (0.71–1.63) | 0.72 (0.43–1.21) | 1.25 (0.95–1.64) |
| 2+ vs. 0 | 0.77 (0.46–1.28) | 0.47 (0.24–0.90) | 0.72 (0.52–1.00) |
| Unknown vs. 0 | 1.10 (0.71–1.71) | 1.00 (0.59–1.69) | 1.10 (0.83–1.47) |
| Cancer status | |||
| Active, progressing vs. remission/NED | 0.94 (0.57–1.55) | 1.03 (0.55–1.93) | 0.99 (0.71–1.39) |
| Active, stable or responding vs. remission/NED | 0.90 (0.62–1.32) | 1.18 (0.74–1.88) | 1.01 (0.79–1.29) |
| Unknown vs. remission/NED | 0.81 (0.48–1.38) | 0.72 (0.36–1.45) | 0.98 (0.69–1.39) |
| Baseline COVID-19 severity | |||
| Moderate vs. mild | 5.68 (3.66–8.82) | 9.88 (5.26–18.6) | 7.53 (5.96–9.53) |
| Severe vs. mild | 6.80 (4.07–11.4) | 21.2 (10.7–42.0) | 11.9 (8.60–16.5) |
aThis includes patients who received hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin without any other COVID-19 treatments.
bThis includes patients who received remdesivir whether or not they received other COVID-19 treatments.
cRisk per decade.
Evaluation of 30-day all-cause mortality associated with hydroxychloroquine exposure, as compared with positive (treated) and negative (untreated) controls using different methodological approaches
| Treatment exposure | With PSM, aOR (95% CI) | Unmatched, aOR (95% CI) | Without severe cases, aOR (95% CI) | HCQ, active cancer only, aOR (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HCQ alone vs. positive control | 1.03 (0.62–1.73) | 0.98 (0.59–1.62) | 1.01 (0.55–1.85) | 1.05 (0.47–2.35) |
| HCQ + any other exposure vs. positive control | 1.99 (1.29–3.08) | 1.93 (1.27–2.94) | 2.58 (1.53–4.33) | 2.44 (1.27–4.69) |
| HCQ alone vs. negative control | 1.11 (0.71–1.74) | 1.27 (0.80–1.99) | 1.52 (0.90–2.57) | 1.25 (0.61–2.57) |
| HCQ + any other exposure vs. negative control | 2.15 (1.51–3.06) | 2.50 (1.74–3.59) | 3.86 (2.50–5.98) | 2.91 (1.69–4.99) |
| Positive control vs. negative control | 1.08 (0.70–1.65) | 1.30 (0.87–1.94) | 1.50 (0.92–2.45) | 1.19 (0.64–2.24) |
aUnmatched controls.
Evaluation of 30-day all-cause mortality associated with additional exposures of interest, as compared with positive (treated) and negative (untreated) controls
| Treatment exposure | Remdesivir, aOR (95% CI) | High-dose sytemic corticosteroids, aOR (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|
| EOI vs. positive control | 0.41 (0.17–0.99) | 1.81 (0.50–6.56) |
| EOI + any other exposure vs. positive control | 0.57 (0.28–1.16) | 2.04 (1.19–3.49) |
| EOI vs. negative control | 0.76 (0.31–1.85) | 2.80 (0.77–10.2) |
| EOI + any other exposure vs. negative control | 1.06 (0.51–2.18) | 3.16 (1.80–5.54) |
| Positive control vs. negative control | 1.85 (1.36–2.51) | 1.55 (1.14–2.11) |
Abbreviation: EOI, exposure of interest.
aPrecision of estimation for this category is poor.