Sarah M Bartsch1, Kelly J O'Shea1, Bruce Y Lee1. 1. Public Health Informatics, Computational, and Operations Research, City University of New York, New York City, New York, USA.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Although norovirus outbreaks periodically make headlines, it is unclear how much attention norovirus may receive otherwise. A better understanding of the burden could help determine how to prioritize norovirus prevention and control. METHODS: We developed a computational simulation model to quantify the clinical and economic burden of norovirus in the United States. RESULTS: A symptomatic case generated $48 in direct medical costs, $416 in productivity losses ($464 total). The median yearly cost of outbreaks was $7.6 million (range across years, $7.5-$8.2 million) in direct medical costs, and $165.3 million ($161.1-$176.4 million) in productivity losses ($173.5 million total). Sporadic illnesses in the community (incidence, 10-150/1000 population) resulted in 14 118-211 705 hospitalizations, 8.2-122.9 million missed school/work days, $0.2-$2.3 billion in direct medical costs, and $1.4-$20.7 billion in productivity losses ($1.5-$23.1 billion total). The total cost was $10.6 billion based on the current incidence estimate (68.9/1000). CONCLUSION: Our study quantified norovirus' burden. Of the total burden, sporadic cases constituted >90% (thus, annual burden may vary depending on incidence) and productivity losses represented 89%. More than half the economic burden is in adults ≥45, more than half occurs in winter months, and >90% of outbreak costs are due to person-to-person transmission, offering insights into where and when prevention/control efforts may yield returns.
BACKGROUND: Although norovirus outbreaks periodically make headlines, it is unclear how much attention norovirus may receive otherwise. A better understanding of the burden could help determine how to prioritize norovirus prevention and control. METHODS: We developed a computational simulation model to quantify the clinical and economic burden of norovirus in the United States. RESULTS: A symptomatic case generated $48 in direct medical costs, $416 in productivity losses ($464 total). The median yearly cost of outbreaks was $7.6 million (range across years, $7.5-$8.2 million) in direct medical costs, and $165.3 million ($161.1-$176.4 million) in productivity losses ($173.5 million total). Sporadic illnesses in the community (incidence, 10-150/1000 population) resulted in 14 118-211 705 hospitalizations, 8.2-122.9 million missed school/work days, $0.2-$2.3 billion in direct medical costs, and $1.4-$20.7 billion in productivity losses ($1.5-$23.1 billion total). The total cost was $10.6 billion based on the current incidence estimate (68.9/1000). CONCLUSION: Our study quantified norovirus' burden. Of the total burden, sporadic cases constituted >90% (thus, annual burden may vary depending on incidence) and productivity losses represented 89%. More than half the economic burden is in adults ≥45, more than half occurs in winter months, and >90% of outbreak costs are due to person-to-person transmission, offering insights into where and when prevention/control efforts may yield returns.
Authors: Noelle-Angelique M Molinari; Ismael R Ortega-Sanchez; Mark L Messonnier; William W Thompson; Pascale M Wortley; Eric Weintraub; Carolyn B Bridges Journal: Vaccine Date: 2007-04-20 Impact factor: 3.641
Authors: Sharia M Ahmed; Aron J Hall; Anne E Robinson; Linda Verhoef; Prasanna Premkumar; Umesh D Parashar; Marion Koopmans; Benjamin A Lopman Journal: Lancet Infect Dis Date: 2014-06-26 Impact factor: 25.071
Authors: J Danial; S Ballard-Smith; C Horsburgh; C Crombie; A Ovens; K E Templeton; A Hardie; F Cameron; L Harvey; J Stevenson; I Johannessen Journal: J Hosp Infect Date: 2016-02-26 Impact factor: 3.926
Authors: Walter Zingg; Carlo Colombo; Thomas Jucker; Walter Bossart; Christian Ruef Journal: Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol Date: 2005-03 Impact factor: 3.254
Authors: Marc-Alain Widdowson; Martin I Meltzer; Xinzhi Zhang; Joseph S Bresee; Umesh D Parashar; Roger I Glass Journal: Pediatrics Date: 2007-04 Impact factor: 7.124
Authors: Cecilia P Johnston; Haoming Qiu; John R Ticehurst; Conan Dickson; Patricia Rosenbaum; Patricia Lawson; Amy B Stokes; Charles J Lowenstein; Michael Kaminsky; Sara E Cosgrove; Kim Y Green; Trish M Perl Journal: Clin Infect Dis Date: 2007-07-18 Impact factor: 9.079
Authors: Aron J Hall; Mariana Rosenthal; Nicole Gregoricus; Sharon A Greene; Jeana Ferguson; Olga L Henao; Jan Vinjé; Ben A Lopman; Umesh D Parashar; Marc-Alain Widdowson Journal: Emerg Infect Dis Date: 2011-08 Impact factor: 6.883
Authors: Sara M Pires; Christa L Fischer-Walker; Claudio F Lanata; Brecht Devleesschauwer; Aron J Hall; Martyn D Kirk; Ana S R Duarte; Robert E Black; Frederick J Angulo Journal: PLoS One Date: 2015-12-03 Impact factor: 3.240
Authors: Alexis N Williams; Michael B Sherman; Hong Q Smith; Stefan Taube; B Montgomery Pettitt; Christiane E Wobus; Thomas J Smith Journal: J Virol Date: 2021-06-10 Impact factor: 5.103
Authors: Patricia L Mabry; Nicolaas P Pronk; Christopher I Amos; John S Witte; Patrick T Wedlock; Sarah M Bartsch; Bruce Y Lee Journal: PLoS Med Date: 2022-06-17 Impact factor: 11.613
Authors: Mark R Zweigart; Sylvia Becker-Dreps; Filemón Bucardo; Fredman González; Ralph S Baric; Lisa C Lindesmith Journal: Viruses Date: 2021-10-09 Impact factor: 5.048