| Literature DB >> 32669499 |
Kunitoshi Iseki1, Tsuneo Konta2, Koichi Asahi3, Kunihiro Yamagata4, Shouichi Fujimoto5, Kazuhiko Tsuruya6, Ichiei Narita7, Masato Kasahara8, Yugo Shibagaki9, Toshiki Moriyama10, Masahide Kondo11, Chiho Iseki12, Tsuyoshi Watanabe13.
Abstract
Objective In Japan, the Specific Health Check and Guidance (Tokutei-Kenshin) program was started in 2008 to decrease the social burden related to metabolic syndrome (MetS). However, so far this program has not been found to have any impact on the mortality rate. Methods The subjects consisted of individuals who participated in the Tokutei-Kenshin in seven districts between 2008 and 2015. Using a National database of death certificates, we identified those who might have died and then further confirmed such deaths with the collaboration of the regional National Health Insurance agency and public health nurses. The diagnosis of MetS was made according to the Japanese criteria. The causes of death were classified by ICD-10. Mortality risk was evaluated after adjusting for age, sex, smoking, alcohol intake and past medical history such as stroke, heart disease and kidney disease. Results Among the total of 664,926 subjects, we identified 8,051 fatal cases by the end of 2015. The crude death rate was 1.6% for those with MetS, 1.3% for those with preliminary metabolic syndrome, and 1.1% those without MetS. In MetS, the adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) was 1.08 (1.02-1.15) for all-cause and 1.39 (1.22-1.58) for cardiovascular disease mortality when the reference was for those without MetS. Conclusion The death rate was found to be significantly higher among the participants with MetS.Entities:
Keywords: all-cause mortality rate; cardiovascular disease (CVD); metabolic syndrome; obesity; social burden
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32669499 PMCID: PMC7691040 DOI: 10.2169/internalmedicine.4975-20
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Intern Med ISSN: 0918-2918 Impact factor: 1.271
Demographics of the Screened Subjects (n=664,926). Specific Health Check was Performed between April 1, 2008 to March 31, 2015.
| Variables | Total (n=664,926) | Men (n=284,320) | Women (n=380,606) | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | Median | 25% | 75% | Count | Median | 25% | 75% | Count | Median | 25% | 75% | |||
| Age, years | 664,508 | 64 | 58 | 69 | 284,105 | 65 | 58 | 69 | 380,403 | 64 | 58 | 69 | ||
| Body height, cm | 664,434 | 157 | 151.1 | 163.9 | 284,066 | 164.7 | 160.5 | 169.0 | 380,368 | 152.2 | 148.4 | 156.0 | ||
| Body weight, kg | 664,445 | 57.1 | 50.4 | 65.0 | 284,075 | 64.3 | 58.4 | 70.9 | 380,370 | 52.4 | 47.4 | 58.0 | ||
| Body mass index, kg/m2 | 664,431 | 23.1 | 21.0 | 25.4 | 284,068 | 23.7 | 21.9 | 25.8 | 380,363 | 22.6 | 20.5 | 25.0 | ||
| Waist circumference, cm | 637,464 | 84 | 78 | 90 | 275,648 | 85.5 | 80.2 | 91.0 | 361,816 | 83.0 | 76.0 | 89.0 | ||
| Systolic blood pressure, mmHg | 664,291 | 129 | 118 | 140 | 284,014 | 130 | 120 | 140 | 380,277 | 128 | 116 | 138 | ||
| Diastolic blood pressure, mmHg | 664,263 | 76 | 70 | 83 | 284,002 | 79 | 70 | 86 | 380,261 | 74 | 68 | 81 | ||
| AST, U/L | 660,943 | 22 | 19 | 27 | 282,674 | 23 | 20 | 28 | 378,269 | 22 | 19 | 25 | ||
| GPT, U/L | 660,940 | 19 | 15 | 25 | 282,674 | 21 | 16 | 29 | 378,266 | 17 | 14 | 22 | ||
| γ-GTP, U/L | 664,272 | 24 | 17 | 40 | 283,904 | 34 | 23 | 57 | 380,368 | 20 | 15 | 29 | ||
| Triglyceride, mg/dL | 664,423 | 103 | 74 | 148 | 284,043 | 114 | 80 | 168 | 380,380 | 96 | 70 | 135 | ||
| HDL-cholesterol, mg/dL | 664,449 | 59 | 50 | 71 | 284,076 | 54 | 46 | 65 | 380,373 | 63 | 54 | 74 | ||
| LDL-cholesterol, mg/dL | 664,374 | 124 | 104 | 145 | 284,026 | 119 | 99 | 140 | 380,348 | 127 | 108 | 148 | ||
| Fasting blood glucose, mg/dL | 455,411 | 94 | 88 | 102 | 194,213 | 97 | 90 | 107 | 261,198 | 92 | 86 | 99 | ||
| Hemoglobin, g/dL | 233,562 | 13.6 | 12.7 | 14.5 | 92,097 | 14.6 | 13.8 | 15.4 | 141,465 | 13.1 | 12.4 | 13.7 | ||
| HbA1c (NGSP), % | 636,289 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 5.6 | 272,609 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 5.6 | 363,680 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 5.5 | ||
| Serum creatinine, mg/dL | 565,684 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 242,864 | 0.80 | 0.70 | 0.90 | 322,820 | 0.60 | 0.53 | 0.70 | ||
| eGFR, mL/min/1.73m2 | 565,684 | 74.7 | 64.3 | 85.8 | 242,864 | 73.8 | 64.3 | 85.0 | 322,820 | 75.0 | 64.2 | 89.0 | ||
| Uric Acid, mg/dL | 500,511 | 5.2 | 4.3 | 6.2 | 215,728 | 6.0 | 5.2 | 6.9 | 284,783 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 5.3 | ||
| Proteinuria, ≥1+(%) | 662,760 | 5.7 | 283,322 | 8.0 | 379,438 | 3.9 | ||||||||
| Hematuria, ≥1+(%) | 394,620 | 16.4 | 170,120 | 9.4 | 224,500 | 21.7 | ||||||||
| Glycosuria, ≥1+(%) | 662,782 | 2.7 | 283,295 | 4.8 | 379,487 | 1.1 | ||||||||
| Lifestyle | ||||||||||||||
| Smoking, % | 664,332 | 15.6 | 284,024 | 27.6 | 380,308 | 6.6 | ||||||||
| Drinking, % | 628,095 | 46.5 | 267,032 | 70.3 | 361,063 | 28.9 | ||||||||
| Walking, % | 513,804 | 49.4 | 215,608 | 51.5 | 298,196 | 47.9 | ||||||||
| Exercise, % | 515,664 | 40.9 | 216,253 | 45.1 | 299,411 | 37.8 | ||||||||
| Medication | ||||||||||||||
| Hypotensives, % | 664,341 | 29.7 | 284,028 | 32.8 | 380,313 | 27.4 | ||||||||
| Lipid lowering, % | 664,333 | 14.9 | 284,022 | 10.8 | 380,311 | 18.0 | ||||||||
| Diabetes mellitus, % | 664,331 | 5.5 | 284,023 | 7.5 | 380,308 | 4.0 | ||||||||
| Past history | ||||||||||||||
| Stroke, % | 628,350 | 3.7 | 267,840 | 5.0 | 360,510 | 2.7 | ||||||||
| Heart disease, % | 628,006 | 5.7 | 267,724 | 7.4 | 360,282 | 4.5 | ||||||||
| Kidney disease, % | 628,342 | 0.8 | 267,815 | 1.0 | 360,527 | 0.7 | ||||||||
AST: aspartate aminotransferase, GPT: glutamyl transpeptidase, NGSP: National Glycohemeglobin Standardization Program
Causes of Death among Subjects Participated at the 2008 Screening and Confirmed Death by the End of 2014 (n=8,051). Specific Health Check was Performed between April 1, 2008 to March 31, 2015.
| Causes of death, ICD-10 | Total | Men | Women | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infection, A00-B99 | 141 | 78 | 63 | |||
| Neoplasm, C00-D48 | 4,159 | 2,611 | 1,548 | |||
| Hematology & Immunology, D50-D89 | 26 | 17 | 9 | |||
| Endocrine, Nutrition and Metabolism, E00-E90 | 64 | 48 | 16 | |||
| Psychology, Behavior, F00-F99 | 16 | 12 | 4 | |||
| Nervous system, G00-G99 | 121 | 71 | 50 | |||
| Circulatory, I00-I99 | 1,616 | 1,044 | 572 | |||
| Respiratory, J00-J99 | 437 | 320 | 117 | |||
| Gastrointestinal, K00-K93 | 272 | 193 | 79 | |||
| Skin and dermal, L00-L99 | 4 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Musculoskeletal, M00-M99 | 52 | 16 | 36 | |||
| Genitourinary, N00-N99 | 44 | 32 | 12 | |||
| Pregnancy related, O00-O99 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Congenial anomaly, Q00-Q99 | 4 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Miscellaneous, R00-R99 | 131 | 86 | 45 | |||
| Accident, toxic, S00-T98 | 920 | 593 | 327 | |||
| Unknown | 43 | 27 | 16 | |||
| Total | 8,051 | 5,151 | 2,900 |
Figure 1.1a(men) and 1b (women) show the all-cause mortality rate (%) among MetS (-), pre-MetS (+), and MetS (+).
Figure 2.2a (men) and 2b (women) show the cardiovascular mortality rate (%) among MetS (-), pre-MetS (+), and MetS (+).
Death Rate and Effect of Metabolic Syndrome on Survival.
| Metabolic syndrome (-) | Preliminary metabolic syndrome | Metabolic syndrome (+) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Number of participant | 444,122 | 95,559 | 102,989 |
| Number of all-cause death (%) | 5,013 (1.1%) | 1,222 (1.3%) | 1,628 (1.6%) |
| Death Rate, per 1,000 person-year | 3.0 | 3.5 | 4.6 |
| Un-adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.18 (1.11-1.25) | 1.53 (1.45-1.62) |
| Adjusted for age and sex | 1.00 (reference) | 0.88 (0.83-0.94) | 1.10 (1.04-1.17) |
| Adjusted for age, sex, and others* | 1.00 (reference) | 0.91 (0.85-0.97) | 1.08 (1.02-1.15) |
| Number of cardiovascular death (%) | 924 (0.2%) | 264 (0.3%) | 398 (0.4%) |
| Death Rate, per 1,000 person-year | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Un-adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.37 (1.20-1.58) | 2.00 (1.78-2.25) |
| Adjusted for age and sex | 1.00 (reference) | 1.04 (0.91-1.20) | 1.46 (1.29-1.65) |
| Adjusted for age, sex, and others* | 1.00 (reference) | 1.08 (0.94-1.25) | 1.39 (1.22-1.58) |
| Number of cancer-related death (%) | 2,612 (0.6%) | 654 (0.7%) | 799 (0.8%) |
| Death rate, per 1,000 person-year | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| Un-adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.21 (1.11-1.32) | 1.46 (1.34-1.58) |
| Adjusted for age and sex | 1.00 (reference) | 0.91 (0.84-0.998) | 1.05 (0.97-1.14) |
| Adjusted for age, sex, and others* | 1.00 (reference) | 0.94 (0.86-1.03) | 1.06 (0.97-1.15) |
CI: confidence interval
Others* denotes for smoking, alcohol intake, past medical history such as stroke, heart disease and kidney disease.
Death Risks were Summarized with the Change of Metabolic Syndrome Status.
| The change of metabolic syndrome status | MetS (-/-) | MetS (-/+) | MetS (+/-) | MetS (+/+) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of participant | 332,938 | 22,263 | 22,761 | 36,396 | |||||
| Number of all-cause death (%) | 2,532 (0.8%) | 245 (1.1%) | 260 (1.1%) | 416 (1.1%) | |||||
| Death Rate, per 1,000 person-year | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.9 | |||||
| Un-adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.51 (1.33-1.73) | 1.59 (1.40-1.81) | 1.66 (1.50-1.84) | |||||
| Adjusted for age and sex | 1.00 (reference) | 1.67 (1.02-1.33) | 1.23 (1.09-1.40) | 1.23 (1.10-1.36) | |||||
| Adjusted for age, sex, and others* | 1.00 (reference) | 1.15 (1.01-1.32) | 1.20 (1.05-1.38) | 1.18 (1.06-1.32) | |||||
| Number of cardiovascular death (%) | 486 (0.2%) | 63 (0.3%) | 45 (0.2%) | 109 (0.3%) | |||||
| Death rate, per 1,000 person-year | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | |||||
| Un-adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI) | 1.00 (reference) | 2.02 (1.55-2.62) | 1.43 (1.05-1.94) | 2.25 (1.83-2.77) | |||||
| Adjusted for age and sex | 1.00 (reference) | 1.60 (1.23-2.09) | 1.14 (0.84-1.55) | 1.71 (1.39-2.12) | |||||
| Adjusted for age, sex, and others* | 1.00 (reference) | 1.50 (1.13-1.99) | 1.16 (0.85-1.60) | 1.57 (1.26-1.97) | |||||
| Number of cancer-related death (%) | 1,358 (0.4%) | 120 (0.5%) | 147 (0.7%) | 202 (0.6%) | |||||
| Death Rate, per 1,000 person-year | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | |||||
| Un-adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.39 (1.15-1.67) | 1.69 (1.42-2.00) | 1.51 (1.31-1.76) | |||||
| Adjusted for age and sex | 1.00 (reference) | 1.06 (0.88-1.28) | 1.30 (1.09-1.54) | 1.11 (0.95-1.29) | |||||
| Adjusted for age, sex, and others* | 1.00 (reference) | 1.07 (0.88-1.30) | 1.28 (1.07-1.53) | 1.10 (0.94-1.29) |
CI: confidence interval
Others* denotes for smoking, alcohol intake, past medical history such as stroke, heart disease and kidney disease.
Figure 3.Death risks for all-cause cardiovascular disease are summarized with the change of MetS status such as (-/-), (-/+), (+/-), and (+/+) among all, men, and women. *p<0.05 (compared to MetS (-/-).