| Literature DB >> 32661318 |
Justin W Fischer1, Nathan P Snow2, Bradley E Wilson3, Scott F Beckerman3, Christopher N Jacques4, Eric H VanNatta2,5, Shannon L Kay6, Kurt C VerCauteren2.
Abstract
The human-mediated spread of exotic and invasive species often leads to unintentional and harmful consequences. Invasive wild pigs (Sus scrofa) are one such species that have been repeatedly translocated throughout the United States and cause extensive damage to natural ecosystems, threatened and endangered species, agricultural resources, and private lands. In 2005, a newly established population of wild pigs was confirmed in Fulton County, Illinois, U.S. In 2011, a state-wide wild pig damage management program involving federal, state, and local government authorities directed a concerted effort to remove wild pigs from the county until the last wild pig (of 376 total) was successfully removed in 2016. We examined surveillance data from camera traps at bait sites and records of wild pig removals during this elimination program to identify environmental and anthropogenic factors that optimized removal of this population. Our results revealed that wild pigs used bait sites most during evening and nocturnal periods and on days with lower daily maximum temperatures. Increased removals of wild pigs coincided with periods of cold weather. We also identified that fidelity and time spent at bait sites by wild pigs was not influenced by increasing removals of wild pigs. Finally, the costs to remove wild pigs averaged $50 per wild pig (6.8 effort hours per wild pig) for removing the first 99% of the animals. Cost for removing the last 1% increased 84-fold, and averaged 122.8 effort hours per wild pig removed. Our results demonstrated that increased effort in removing wild pigs using bait sites should be focused during periods of environmental stress to maximize removal efficiency. These results inform elimination programs attempting to remove newly established populations of wild pigs, and ultimately prevent population and geographic expansion.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32661318 PMCID: PMC7359029 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-68264-z
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.996
Figure 1Fulton County, west-central Illinois, U.S.
Highest-ranked linear mixed models for predicting the amount of time that wild pigs spent at bait sites during an elimination program in Fulton County, Illinois, U.S. during January 2012–April 2014.
| Modela | Kb | AICcc | ΔAICcd | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duration ~ Time of day + Time of day2 + Max temp | 7 | 8,652.0 | 0.00 | 0.529 |
| Duration ~ Time of day + Time of day2 + Max temp + Precip | 8 | 8,653.9 | 1.94 | 0.201 |
aTime of day = time of day that feeding bouts started, Max temp = daily maximum temperature (degrees C), Precip = daily sum of precipitation (mm).
bNo. of parameters.
cAkaike’s Information Criterion adjusted for small sample sizes (Burnham and Anderson 2002).
dDifference in AICc relative to minimum AICc.
eAkaike weight (Burnham and Anderson 2002).
Parameter estimates, uncertainty, and relative importance for highest-ranked predictors for describing the amount of time that wild pigs used bait sites, and the monthly count of wild pigs removed during an elimination program in Fulton County, Illinois, U.S. during January 2012–April 2014.
| Parameter | Estimate | Conditional SE | 95% CI | Relative importance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower | Upper | ||||
| Time spent at bait sites | |||||
| Time of day | 0.030 | 0.045 | − 0.058 | 0.118 | 1.00 |
| Time of day2 | 0.279 | 0.091 | 0.102 | 0.457 | 1.00 |
| Max temp | − 0.211 | 0.083 | − 0.373 | − 0.050 | 1.00 |
| Precip | − 0.016 | 0.048 | − 0.109 | 0.078 | 0.28 |
| Monthly removal of wild pigs | |||||
| Average temp | − 0.329 | 0.142 | − 0.623 | − 0.035 | 0.68 |
| Max pigs | 0.785 | 0.438 | − 0.121 | 1.690 | 0.51 |
| Effort | 0.112 | 0.053 | 0.002 | 0.222 | 0.45 |
Figure 2Effect plots from predictors in top-ranked model for describing the amount of time that wild pigs spent at bait sites during an elimination program in Fulton County, Illinois, U.S. during January 2012–April 2014.
Highest-ranked linear models for describing monthly count of wild pigs removed during an elimination program in Fulton County, Illinois, U.S. during January 2012–April 2014.
| Modela | Kb | AICcc | ΔAICcd | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Removed ~ Temp + Effort + Max pigs | 4 | 217.21 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Removed ~ Temp + Effort | 3 | 217.70 | 0.49 | 0.11 |
| Removed ~ (.) | 1 | 217.98 | 0.77 | 0.09 |
| Removed ~ Max pigs | 2 | 218.18 | 0.97 | 0.08 |
| Removed ~ Temp | 2 | 218.61 | 1.40 | 0.07 |
| Removed ~ Temp + Max pigs | 3 | 218.96 | 1.76 | 0.06 |
aTemp = mean monthly temperature, Effort = cumulative monthly hours spent removing wild pigs, Max pigs = mean monthly maximum number of wild pigs observed from camera imagery during a feeding bout.
bNo. of parameters.
cAkaike’s Information Criterion adjusted for small sample sizes (Burnham and Anderson 2002).
dDifference in AICc relative to minimum AICc.
eAkaike weight (Burnham and Anderson 2002).
Figure 3Effect plots from predictors in top-ranked model for describing monthly count of wild pigs removed during an elimination program in Fulton County, Illinois, U.S. during January 2012–April 2014.
Figure 4Average duration of time (± SE) wild pigs spent at bait sites and the cumulative number of wild pigs removed per month during an elimination program in Fulton County, Illinois, U.S. during January 2012–April 2014.
Figure 5The predicted cost ($USD/wild pig) and 95% confidence intervals (dashed lines) for removing wild pigs during an elimination program in Fulton County, Illinois, U.S. during January 2012–January 2016. Points represent raw data used to fit the model.