| Literature DB >> 32653892 |
YiJun Xia1, DongSheng Cao1, Jun Zhao2, BangZhong Zhu1, Juan Xie1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC) occurs primarily among elderly patients over 70 years old, but the ability to predict the prognosis of these elderly patients is poor. This population-based study aimed to identify prognostic risk factors for elderly patients with MCC. MATERIAL AND METHODS The survival and disease information of MCC patients age 65 years or older was downloaded from the SEER database, and all data were split into 2 groups based on age 80 years, with overall survival and MCC-specific survival as the main outcome indicators. RESULTS Application of the inclusion criteria yielded 1973 patients with MCC, of whom 55.6% were age 65-80 years. Among them, 1258 were males, accounting for 63.8%. In survival analysis, factors that were significantly correlated with overall survival and MCC-specific survival were N stage, M stage, liver metastasis, and lymph node surgery. CONCLUSIONS We provide epidemiological insights into Merkel cell carcinoma in elderly patients and confirmed that patients receiving lymph node surgery have better outcomes. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to show that the occurrence of liver metastasis is associated with poor prognosis. Our results will help strengthen monitoring of the liver condition of elderly patients and to perform necessary lymph node surgery within the patient's tolerance.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32653892 PMCID: PMC7375029 DOI: 10.12659/MSM.924570
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Med Sci Monit ISSN: 1234-1010
General characteristics of elderly patients with Merkel cell carcinoma.
| Variables | Age | P value | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65–80 years | >80 years | ||
| Race | 0.899 | ||
| White | 1056 (96.2%) | 838 (95.8%) | |
| Black | 14 (1.3%) | 11 (1.3%) | |
| Other | 25 (2.3%) | 22 (2.5%) | |
| Unknown | 3 (0.3%) | 4 (0.5%) | |
| Sex | 0.031 | ||
| Male | 723 (65.8%) | 535 (61.1%) | |
| Female | 375 (34.2%) | 340 (38.9%) | |
| Marital status | <0.001 | ||
| Single | 314 (28.6%) | 379 (43.3%) | |
| Married | 721 (65.7%) | 424 (48.5%) | |
| Unknown | 63 (5.7%) | 72 (8.2%) | |
| Primary site | <0.001 | ||
| Face/head/neck | 401 (36.5%) | 460 (52.6%) | |
| Trunk | 107 (9.7%) | 87 (9.9%) | |
| Upper and lower extremities | 523 (47.6%) | 305 (34.9%) | |
| Other | 67 (6.1%) | 23 (2.6%) | |
| Tumor size | <0.001 | ||
| No mass/tumor found | 71 (6.5%) | 19 (2.2%) | |
| 1–10 mm | 338 (30.8%) | 247 (28.2%) | |
| 11–20 mm | 311 (28.3%) | 279 (31.9%) | |
| 21–30 mm | 168 (15.3%) | 148 (16.9%) | |
| 31–40 mm | 85 (7.7%) | 66 (7.5%) | |
| 41–50 mm | 55 (5.0%) | 44 (5.0%) | |
| >50 mm | 64 (5.8%) | 62 (7.1%) | |
| Unknown | 6 (0.5%) | 10 (1.1%) | |
| T stage | <0.001 | ||
| T0 | 66 (6.0%) | 17 (1.9%) | |
| T1 | 642 (58.5%) | 513 (58.5%) | |
| T2 | 291 (26.5%) | 240 (27.4%) | |
| T3 | 55 (5.0%) | 50 (5.7%) | |
| T4 | 44 (4.0%) | 55 (6.3%) | |
| N stage | 0.005 | ||
| N0 | 696 (63.4%) | 610 (69.7%) | |
| N1 | 371 (33.8%) | 236 (27.0%) | |
| N2 | 31 (2.8%) | 29 (3.3%) | |
| M stage | 0.101 | ||
| M0 | 1043 (95.0%) | 816 (93.3%) | |
| M1 | 55 (5.0%) | 59 (6.7%) | |
| Primary site surgery | 0.119 | ||
| No | 110 (10.0%) | 111 (12.7%) | |
| Yes | 987 (89.9%) | 764 (87.3%) | |
| Unknown | 1 (0.1%) | 0 | |
| Scope regional lymph node surgery | <0.001 | ||
| None | 300 (27.3%) | 486 (55.5%) | |
| Regional lymph nodes removed | 305 (27.8%) | 173 (19.8%) | |
| Sentinel lymph node biopsy | 393 (35.8%) | 163 (18.6%) | |
| Sentinel lymph node biopsy+regional lymph nodes removed | 91 (8.3%) | 43 (4.9%) | |
| Unknown | 9 (0.8%) | 10 (1.1%) | |
| Regional nodes examined | <0.001 | ||
| No | 326 (29.7%) | 502 (57.4%) | |
| Yes | 770 (70.1%) | 372 (42.5%) | |
| Unknown | 2 (0.2%) | 1 (0.1%) | |
| Regional nodes positive | <0.001 | ||
| No | 422 (38.4%) | 167 (19.1%) | |
| Yes | 347 (31.6%) | 205 (23.4%) | |
| No nodes examined | 326 (29.7%) | 502 (57.4%) | |
| Unknown | 3 (0.3%) | 1 (0.1%) | |
| Radiation | <0.001 | ||
| No | 481 (43.8%) | 536 (61.3%) | |
| Yes | 617 (56.2%) | 339 (38.7%) | |
| Chemotherapy | <0.001 | ||
| No/unknown | 950 (86.5%) | 831 (95.0%) | |
| Yes | 148 (13.5%) | 44 (5.0%) | |
| Bone metastasis | 0.003 | ||
| No | 1085 (98.8%) | 851 (97.3%) | |
| Yes | 12 (1.1%) | 13 (1.5%) | |
| Unknown | 1 (0.1%) | 11 (1.3%) | |
| Brain metastasis | 0.013 | ||
| No | 1095 (99.7%) | 863 (98.6%) | |
| Yes | 1 (0.1%) | 1 (0.1%) | |
| Unknown | 2 (0.2%) | 11 (1.3%) | |
| Liver metastasis | 0.004 | ||
| No | 1079 (98.3%) | 849 (97.0%) | |
| Yes | 18 (1.6%) | 15 (1.7%) | |
| Unknown | 1 (0.1%) | 11 (1.3%) | |
| Lung metastasis | 0.002 | ||
| No | 1087 (99.0%) | 852 (97.4%) | |
| Yes | 10 (0.9%) | 11 (1.3%) | |
| Unknown | 1 (0.1%) | 12 (1.4%) | |
Survival rates of Merkel cell cancer patients stratified by age.
| Variables | Age | P value | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65–80 years | >80 years | ||
| Overall survival | <0.001 | ||
| 1-year OS (95% CI) | 84.8% (82.6%–87.0%) | 67.8% (64.7%–70.9%) | |
| 3-year OS (95% CI) | 63.0% (59.9%–66.1%) | 39.2% (35.7%–42.7%) | |
| 5-year OS (95% CI) | 54.8% (51.1%–58.5%) | 24.7% (20.6%–28.8%) | |
| Median OS (months) | 66.0 | 25.0 | |
| MCC-specific survival | 0.087 | ||
| 1-year MSS (95% CI) | 92.6% (91.0%–94.2%) | 89.8% (87.6%–92.0%) | |
| 3-year MSS (95% CI) | 81.9% (79.2%–84.6%) | 80.3% (77.0%–83.6%) | |
| 5-year MSS (95% CI) | 80.1% (77.2%–83.0%) | 76.2% (71.3%–81.1%) | |
| Median MSS (months) | 69.7 | 66.9 | |
OS – overall survival; MSS – MCC-specific survival.
Figure 1(A) Overall survival (OS) stratified by age and primary site. (B) MCC-specific survival (MSS) stratified by age and primary site.
Figure 2(A) Overall survival (OS) stratified by tumor size and age. (B) MCC-specific survival (MSS) stratified by tumor size and age.
Univariate and multivariate survival analysis of elderly patients with Merkel cell carcinoma.
| Variables | Overall survival | MCC-specific Survival | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Univariable | Multivariable | Univariable | Multivariable | |||||
| HR (95% CI) | P value | HR (95% CI) | P value | HR (95% CI) | P value | HR (95% CI) | P value | |
| Age | ||||||||
| 65–80 | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| >80 | 2.096 (1.845–2.381) | <0.001 | 1.714 (1.489–1.973) | <0.001 | 1.219 (0.970–1.531) | 0.089 | 1.009 (0.782–1.302) | 0.945 |
| Race | ||||||||
| White | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Black | 0.856 (0.543–1.348) | 0.502 | 0.760 (0.479–1.205) | 0.243 | 1.118 (0.554–2.256) | 0.756 | 1.157 (0.561–2.388) | 0.693 |
| Other | 0.208 (0.029–1.479) | 0.117 | 0.195 (0.027–1.396) | 0.104 | – | 0.937 | – | 0.808 |
| Unknown | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Sex | ||||||||
| Male | Reference | Reference | Reference | |||||
| Female | 0.713 (0.622–0.818) | <0.001 | 0.660 (0.567–0.768) | <0.001 | 0.702 (0.548–0.899) | 0.005 | 0.786 (0.597–1.034) | 0.086 |
| Marital status | ||||||||
| Single | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Married | 0.840 (0.646–1.092) | 0.193 | 0.906 (0.693–1.183) | 0.468 | 0.649 (0.379–1.113) | 0.116 | 0.739 (0.424–1.288) | 0.286 |
| Unknown | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Primary site | ||||||||
| Face/head/neck | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Trunk | 0.727 (0.632–0.836) | <0.001 | 0.847 (0.728–0.986) | 0.032 | 0.742 (0.574–0.960) | 0.023 | 0.770 (0.580–1.022) | 0.070 |
| Upper and lower extremities | 1.049 (0.777–1.416) | 0.756 | 0.832 (0.438–1.580) | 0.574 | 1.893 (1.235–2.901) | 0.003 | 1.368 (0.488–3.833) | 0.551 |
| Other | – | – | – | – | – | – | ||
| Tumor size | ||||||||
| No mass/tumor found | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| 1–10 mm | 0.553 (0.402–0.761) | <0.001 | 0.400 (0.164–0.976) | 0.044 | 0.277 (0.170–0.453) | <0.001 | 0.624 (0.086–4.556) | 0.642 |
| 11–20 mm | 0.803 (0.588–1.097) | 0.168 | 0.557 (0.229–1.355) | 0.197 | 0.452 (0.284–0.719) | 0.001 | 0.959 (0.132–6.943) | 0.967 |
| 21–30 mm | 1.067 (0.772–1.475) | 0.693 | 0.559 (0.187–1.677) | 0.300 | 0.610 (0.373–0.998) | 0.049 | 1.133 (0.107–11.949) | 0.918 |
| 31–40 mm | 1.189 (0.833–1.696) | 0.341 | 0.535 (0.176–1.628) | 0.271 | 0.820 (0.478–1.406) | 0.470 | 1.303 (0.121–13.989) | 0.827 |
| 41–50 mm | 1.198 (0.814–1.765) | 0.360 | 0.559 (0.182–1.719) | 0.310 | 0.877 (0.485–1.585) | 0.664 | 1.639 (0.151–17.830) | 0.685 |
| >50 mm | 1.692 (1.185–2.415) | 0.004 | 0.705 (0.225–2.213) | 0.550 | 1.535 (0.921–2.558) | 0.100 | 1.786 (0.160–19.936) | 0.637 |
| Unknown | 1.796 (0.930–3.467) | 0.081 | 0.577 (0.173–1.929) | 0.372 | 1.306 (0.452–3.778) | 0.622 | 0.944 (0.077–11.634) | 0.964 |
| T stage | ||||||||
| T0 | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| T1 | 0.691 (0.502–0.951) | 0.023 | 2.236 (0.722–6.929) | 0.163 | 0.347 (0.221–0.546) | <0.001 | 1.778 (0.185–17.069) | 0.618 |
| T2 | 1.126 (0.813–1.561) | 0.474 | 2.622 (0.723–9.510) | 0.143 | 0.650 (0.409–1.035) | 0.070 | 1.351 (0.102–17.876) | 0.820 |
| T3 | 1.604 (1.092–2.355) | 0.016 | 2.484 (0.648–9.524) | 0.185 | 1.421 (0.831–2.429) | 0.199 | 2.099 (0.148–29.773) | 0.584 |
| T4 | 1.576 (1.070–2.323) | 0.021 | 2.628 (0.763–9.045) | 0.126 | 1.038 (0.582–1.852) | 0.898 | 1.555 (0.125–19.390) | 0.732 |
| Unknown | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| N stage | ||||||||
| N0 | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| N1 | 1.823 (1.598–2.079) | <0.001 | 2.178 (1.654–2.869) | <0.001 | 3.567 (2.813–4.524) | <0.001 | 4.335 (2.812–6.684) | <0.001 |
| N2 | 2.251 (1.632–3.104) | <0.001 | 1.804 (1.231–2.643) | 0.002 | 5.365 (3.371–8.539) | <0.001 | 4.500 (2.553–7.931) | <0.001 |
| Unknown | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| M stage | ||||||||
| M0 | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| M1 | 4.397 (3.569–5.415) | <0.001 | 1.967 (1.458–2.653) | <0.001 | 8.056 (5.979–10.854) | <0.001 | 2.951 (1.915–4.548) | <0.001 |
| Primary site surgery | ||||||||
| No | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Yes | 0.535 (0.448–0.640) | <0.001 | 0.917 (0.720–1.169) | 0.485 | 0.437 (0.325–0.588) | <0.001 | 1.128 (0.720–1.767) | 0.600 |
| Unknown | 1.634 (0.229–11.684) | 0.625 | 1.683 (0.188–15.043) | 0.642 | – | 0.936 | – | 0.930 |
| Scope regional lymph node surgery | ||||||||
| None | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Regional lymph nodes removed | 0.904 (0.778–1.050) | 0.187 | 0.449 (0.209–0.964) | 0.040 | 1.418 (1.094–1.838) | 0.008 | 0.138 (0.027–0.699) | 0.017 |
| Sentinel lymph node biopsy | 0.382 (0.320–0.456) | <0.001 | 0.327 (0.151–0.712) | 0.005 | 0.412 (0.293–0.580) | <0.001 | 0.089 (0.017–0.461) | 0.004 |
| Sentinel lymph node biopsy+regional lymph nodes removed | 0.607 (0.465–0.794) | <0.001 | 0.343 (0.154–0.765) | 0.009 | 0.814 (0.512–1.294) | 0.384 | 0.090 (0.017–0.484) | 0.005 |
| Unknown | 1.195 (0.657–2.174) | 0.559 | 0.894 (0.464–1.720) | 0.736 | 2.048 (0.837–5.011) | 0.117 | 1.265 (0.429–3.727) | 0.670 |
| Regional nodes examined | ||||||||
| No | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Yes | 0.619 (0.545–0.702) | <0.001 | 1.479 (0.682–3.209) | 0.322 | 0.963 (0.686–1.087) | 0.211 | 5.510 (0.952–28.868) | 0.073 |
| Unknown | 2.127 (0.530–8.536) | 0.287 | – | 0.906 | 3.791 (0.529–27.160) | 0.185 | – | 0.888 |
| Regional nodes positive | ||||||||
| No | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Yes | 2.789 (2.317–3.358) | <0.001 | 0.961 (0.690–1.339) | 0.815 | 4.662 (3.285–6.615) | <0.001 | 0.723 (0.414–1.262) | 0.253 |
| No nodes examined | 2.797 (2.346–3.334) | <0.001 | – | 0.925 | 2.930 (2.056–4.176) | <0.001 | – | – |
| Unknown | 2.371 (0.588–9.562) | 0.225 | – | 0.906 | 5.152 (0.708–37.493) | 0.105 | – | 0.893 |
| Radiation | ||||||||
| No | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Yes | 0.727 (0.640–0.825) | <0.001 | 0.725 (0.630–0.834) | <0.001 | 1.025 (0.817–1.285) | 0.833 | 0.943 (0.732–1.215) | 0.650 |
| Chemotherapy | ||||||||
| No/unknown | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Yes | 1.929 (1.609–2.312) | <0.001 | 1.178 (0.936–1.482) | 0.164 | 3.273 (2.493–4.298) | <0.001 | 1.072 (0.755–1.522) | 0.697 |
| Bone metastasis | ||||||||
| No | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Yes | 4.505 (2.945–6.893) | <0.001 | 0.822 (0.478–1.414) | 0.479 | 9.004 (5.239–15.477) | <0.001 | 1.082 (0.530–2.208) | 0.829 |
| Unknown | 3.667 (2.075–6.483) | <0.001 | 0.309 (0.017–5.632) | 0.428 | 5.123 (2.115–12.411) | <0.001 | – | 0.950 |
| Brain metastasis | ||||||||
| No | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Yes | 10.389 (2.585–41.749) | 0.001 | 4.384 (0.956–20.113) | 0.057 | 34.582 (8.510–140.539) | <0.001 | 4.062 (0.717–23.013) | 0.113 |
| Unknown | 3.594 (2.079–6.214) | <0.001 | 4.322 (0.582–32.101) | 0.153 | 4.482 (1.851–10.854) | 0.001 | – | 0.948 |
| Liver metastasis | ||||||||
| No | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Yes | 7.016 (4.905–10.034) | <0.001 | 1.883 (1.176–3.015) | 0.008 | 14.114 (8.867–22.466) | <0.001 | 2.790 (1.476–5.274) | 0.002 |
| Unknown | 3.716 (2.102–6.569) | <0.001 | – | – | 5.257 (2.170–12.737) | <0.001 | – | – |
| Lung metastasis | ||||||||
| No | Reference | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Yes | 3.866 (2.422–6.172) | <0.001 | 0.913 (0.524–1.592) | 0.748 | 6.179 (3.174–12.028) | <0.001 | 0.843 (0.369–1.925) | 0.685 |
| Unknown | 3.858 (2.231–6.671) | <0.001 | 1.448 (0.188–11.169) | 0.722 | 5.094 (2.629–13.261) | <0.001 | 3.937 (0.455–34.061) | 0.213 |
HR – hazard ratio; CI – confidence interval.