| Literature DB >> 32623666 |
Huaping Sun1,2, Abdul Razzaq Khan3, Ahmed Bashir3, David Ajene Alemzero4, Qaiser Abbas5, Hermas Abudu6.
Abstract
Wind energy is seen as an important energy to sustainably meet the energy needs of Ghana. However, the industry in Ghana is yet to take off due to policy uncertainty and regulatory costs. The paper analyzed the key determinants and how they interact to impact the scaling up of wind energy in Ghana, using time series data, the vector auto regression (VAR) model from 2013 to 2019.There were four endogenous variables, grouped under policy, population growth, wind capacity, and electrification rate. The findings revealed the dynamic behavior of the variables from the VAR to a strongly significant positive correlation to deploying wind energy in Ghana. The impulse response functions (IRFs) equally exhibited a positive impact long-run trajectory growth of the variables after a shock to the system. The response of the first lags had differences of log policy and that of the log of GDP produced a curious result from the shock by taking a steady positive growth path in the short run and nosedived to a negative pathway in the long run. On the other hand, the interaction of the first differences of the lags of log wind capacity and log policy is quite instructive, as the headwind produced a negative relationship in the short run and to a positive growth path in the long run. This was anticipated, as the wind capacity installation of Ghana is expected to increase in the long run, when pipeline projects materialize.Entities:
Keywords: Energy efficiency; Energy policy; Energy rises; Ghana; VAR; Wind energy
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32623666 PMCID: PMC7371795 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-020-09709-w
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ISSN: 0944-1344 Impact factor: 4.223
The technical and geographical potential of wind energy in Ghana
| Ghana | Total area PCS (km2) | Grid restriction | No grid restriction | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total available for wind farm (km2) | % of the area availability | Total available for wind farm (km2) | % of area availability | ||
| Geographical | 244,728 | 20,674 | 8.45% | 20,674 | 8.45% |
| Technical | Energy (TWh/year) no grid restriction | Energy (TWh/year) grid restriction | Electricity TFC (TWh)/annum | ||
| Energy (TWh/year) | |||||
| CF > 20% | |||||
| 82.8 | 82.8 | 0 | 6.9 | ||
Fig. 1Plot of the average wind speed of Ghana (Global Wind Atlas)
Fig. 2Flow and speed of the wind on the various cardinal points (Global Wind Atlas)
Fig. 3Wind power density used to evaluate the wind resource potential of a site (Global Wind Atlas)
Fig. 4Wind power density of the eastern region (Global Wind Atlas)
Fig. 5Vertical axis plots, mean wind speed, and horizontal axis in the windiest areas. Source: Global Wind Atlas
Fig. 6The direction of the blow of wind in the Greater Accra region (Global Wind Atlas)
Fig. 7The Asante region of Ghana which has the theoretical potential for utility wind farm operation. Source: Global Wind Atlas Maps
Fig. 8Wind speed of the Asante region. Source: Global Wind Atlas Maps
Cost breakdown of cost for 2019
| Fuel type | Cost (million dollars) |
|---|---|
| VRA-GAS | 278.91 |
| Total VRA fuel cost | 278.91 |
| IPP-LCO | – |
| IPP-GAS | 314.18 |
| IPP-HFO | 445.93 |
| Total IPP fuel cost | 760.81 |
| Total VRA and IPP fuel cost | 1039.72 |
Source: 2019 (Energy Commission of Ghana 2016) Table 3
Criteria and sub-criteria for wind energy
| Criteria | Sub-criteria | Reference |
|---|---|---|
| Social (SO) | Employment opportunities (SO2) | IRENA ( |
| Public acceptance (SO1) | Guo et al. (2015) | |
| Local economic effect on development (SO3) | Enevoldsen and Valentine (2016) | |
| Population density (LO4) | Enevoldsen and Valentine (2016) | |
| Location (LO) | Distance to residential areas (LO1) | Enevoldsen and Valentine (2016) |
| Distance to main roads (LO2) | Enevoldsen et al. (2016) | |
| Distance to power lines transmission (on-grid) (LO3) | (Renewable and Energy Agency | |
| Environmental (EN) | Wildlife and habitat (EN2) | Ramsi et al. (2020) |
| Carbon emissions saving (EN3) | Sepulveda et al. (2018) | |
| Geomorphological (GR) | Elevation (GR1) | Peter Bafoe and D.Sarpong (2018) |
| Slope (GR2) | Dzebre DEK, Adaraamola ( | |
| Aspect (GR3) | Dzebre DEK, Adaramola ( | |
| Climate (CL) | Solar irradiation (CL1) | Michael et al. ( |
| Relative humidity (CL2) | Marques et al. ( | |
| Annual air temperature (CL3) | Md. Shariful Islam et al. (2013) | |
| Cost of land (EC1) | Stefano Grass et al. (2012); Valentina Dinica (2011) | |
| Economic (EC) | Infrastructural cost (EC2) | International et al. ( |
| O/M cost (EC3) | Voormolen, Junginger, and Sark (2020) | |
| Electricity demand (EC4) | Shiu and Lam ( |
Source: author’s own creation
Fig. 9Framework for wind energy development in Ghana
Regression results
| Coef. | Std. Err. | Z | 95% conf. | Interval | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
lnwindcap lnwindcap L1. | 1.929 | 0.000 | 3.60e + 14 | 0.000 | 1.929 | 1.929 |
lnelectrrate L1. | − 2.530 | 0.000 | − 8.30e + 13 | 0.000 | − 2.530 | − 2.530 |
lngdpgrwth L1. | 0.026 | 0.000 | 1.10e + 13 | 0.000 | 0.026 | 0.026 |
lnpolicy L1. | 0.439 | 0.000 | 8.00e + 13 | 0.000 | 0.439 | 0.439 |
lngdpgrwth lnwindcap L1. | 0.122 | 0.000 | 1.50e + 13 | 0.000 | 0.122 | 0.122 |
lnelectrrate L1. | − 4.261 | 0.000 | − 8.80e + 13 | 0.000 | − 4.261 | − 4.261 |
lngdpgrwth L1. | − 0.064 | 0.000 | − 1.80e + 13 | 0.000 | − 0.064 | − 0.064 |
lnpolicy L1. | 1.997 | 0.000 | 2.30e + 14 | 0.000 | 1.997 | 1.997 |
| _cons | 14.038 | 0.000 | 6.10e + 13 | 0.000 | 14.038 | 14.038 |
lnpolicy lnwindcap L1. | − 0.970 | 0.000 | − 1.80e + 14 | 0.000 | − 0.970 | − 0.970 |
lnelectrrate L1. | − 3.972 | 0.000 | − 1.30e + 14 | 0.000 | − 3.972 | − 3.972 |
lngdpgrwth L1. | − 0.625 | 0.000 | − 2.80e + 14 | 0.000 | − 0.625 | − 0.625 |
lnpolicy L1. | 0.130 | 0.000 | 2.40e + 13 | 0.000 | 0.130 | 0.130 |
| _cons | 24.320 | 0.000 | 1.70e + 14 | 0.000 | 24.320 | 24.320 |
Author’s calculation
Fig. 10Impulse response function