BACKGROUND: We evaluated if risk scores commonly used to predict the absence of significant stenosis at coronary computed tomography (CT) angiography are useful to predict a normal stress myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) study. METHODS: Our cohort included a total of 1422 consecutive patients with zero coronary artery calcium score (ZCS) who underwent 82Rb PET/CT for evaluation of suspected coronary artery disease (CAD). Predictive models were constructed as reported by Genders et al. and Alshahrani et al., and the probability of abnormal summed stress score (SSS) and of reduced myocardial perfusion reserve (MPR) based on these risk scores was assessed. RESULTS: In the overall population, the prevalence of abnormal SSS was 0.10 and the prevalence of reduced MPR was 0.17 (both P < .001).The observed frequencies of abnormal SSS and reduced MPR vs the probabilities predicted by the Genders and Alshahrani models were above the diagonal identity line, highlighting an underestimation of the observed occurrence by these models. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the Genders and Alshahrani models indicated lack of discriminative ability for predicting abnormal SSS (0.547 and 0.527) and reduced MPR (0.509 and 0.538). The Hosmer-Lemeshow test revealed that both models underestimated the observed occurrence of abnormal SSS and reduced MPR. CONCLUSIONS: Available models were unable to identify among patients with ZCS those with a low probability of a normal stress MPI study. Thus, an optimal approach to rule out from MPI patients without detectable coronary calcium still needs to be improved.
BACKGROUND: We evaluated if risk scores commonly used to predict the absence of significant stenosis at coronary computed tomography (CT) angiography are useful to predict a normal stress myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) study. METHODS: Our cohort included a total of 1422 consecutive patients with zero coronary artery calcium score (ZCS) who underwent 82Rb PET/CT for evaluation of suspected coronary artery disease (CAD). Predictive models were constructed as reported by Genders et al. and Alshahrani et al., and the probability of abnormal summed stress score (SSS) and of reduced myocardial perfusion reserve (MPR) based on these risk scores was assessed. RESULTS: In the overall population, the prevalence of abnormal SSS was 0.10 and the prevalence of reduced MPR was 0.17 (both P < .001).The observed frequencies of abnormal SSS and reduced MPR vs the probabilities predicted by the Genders and Alshahrani models were above the diagonal identity line, highlighting an underestimation of the observed occurrence by these models. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the Genders and Alshahrani models indicated lack of discriminative ability for predicting abnormal SSS (0.547 and 0.527) and reduced MPR (0.509 and 0.538). The Hosmer-Lemeshow test revealed that both models underestimated the observed occurrence of abnormal SSS and reduced MPR. CONCLUSIONS: Available models were unable to identify among patients with ZCS those with a low probability of a normal stress MPI study. Thus, an optimal approach to rule out from MPI patients without detectable coronary calcium still needs to be improved.
Authors: Andrew J Einstein; Lynne L Johnson; Sabahat Bokhari; Jessica Son; Randall C Thompson; Timothy M Bateman; Sean W Hayes; Daniel S Berman Journal: J Am Coll Cardiol Date: 2010-11-30 Impact factor: 24.094
Authors: Kenneth C Bilchick; Daniel A Auger; Mohammad Abdishektaei; Roshin Mathew; Min-Woong Sohn; Xiaoying Cai; Changyu Sun; Aditya Narayan; Rohit Malhotra; Andrew Darby; J Michael Mangrum; Nishaki Mehta; John Ferguson; Sula Mazimba; Pamela K Mason; Christopher M Kramer; Wayne C Levy; Frederick H Epstein Journal: JACC Cardiovasc Imaging Date: 2019-12-18
Authors: Donna K Arnett; Roger S Blumenthal; Michelle A Albert; Andrew B Buroker; Zachary D Goldberger; Ellen J Hahn; Cheryl Dennison Himmelfarb; Amit Khera; Donald Lloyd-Jones; J William McEvoy; Erin D Michos; Michael D Miedema; Daniel Muñoz; Sidney C Smith; Salim S Virani; Kim A Williams; Joseph Yeboah; Boback Ziaeian Journal: Circulation Date: 2019-03-17 Impact factor: 29.690