| Literature DB >> 32578683 |
Omar Ariel Espinosa1, Andernice Dos Santos Zanetti2, Ednardo Fornanciari Antunes1, Fabiana Gulin Longhi3, Tatiane Amorim de Matos2, Paula Franciene Battaglini4.
Abstract
The new coronavirus, COVID-19 was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization on March 11, 2020. Risk factors associated with this disease are age, sex, and the presence of comorbidities, the most common being hypertension, diabetes, and heart disease. The aim of this meta-analysis was to calculate the prevalence and geographical distribution of comorbidities in all patients admitted to intensive care units (ICUs), and the mortality rate of COVID-19. We selected studies based upon epidemiological and clinical descriptions of the patients and mortality from the disease to determine the pooled prevalence of comorbidities in all patients and in mortality cases due to COVID-19. The pooled prevalence was estimated using the random effects model, and odds ratios were used to measure the probability of death for a patient with a comorbidity. The total prevalence of comorbidities in patients with COVID-19 was 42% (95% CI: 25-60), 61% (95% CI: 42-80) in those admitted to the ICU, and 77% (95% CI: 68-86) among death cases; males were the most affected. Hypertension was the most prevalent comorbidity in all three groups studied, accounting for 32%, 26%, and 35%, respectively. The odds ratio of death for a patient with a comorbidity compared to one with no comorbidity was 2.4 (P < 0.0001). The higher the prevalence of comorbidities the higher the odds that the COVID-19 patient will need intensive care or will die, especially if the pre-existing disease is hypertension, heart disease, or diabetes.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32578683 PMCID: PMC7310609 DOI: 10.1590/S1678-9946202062043
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Rev Inst Med Trop Sao Paulo ISSN: 0036-4665 Impact factor: 1.846
A summary of the included studies.
| Study | Country | Total | ICU | Death | M | F | Co % | H % | CV % | D % | COPD % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| China | 99 | N.S. | 11 | 67 | 32 | 50.5 | 0.0 | +40 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Wang | China | 138 | 36 | 6 | 75 | 63 | 46.4 | 31.2 | 14.5 | 10.1 | 2.9 |
| CDC Korea7 | Korea | 54 | N.S. | 54 | 33 | 21 | 90.7 | 0.0 | 59.3 | 29.6 | 13.0 |
| Cheng | China | 698 | 138 | 113 | 367 | 331 | 42.6 | 33.4 | 0.0 | 14.3 | 1.9 |
| Huang | China | 41 | 13 | N.S. | 30 | 11 | 31.7 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 |
| Liu | China | 137 | 13 | 16 | 61 | 76 | 19.7 | 9.5 | 7.3 | 10.2 | 17.5 |
| Liu | China | 12 | 6 | N.S. | 7 | 5 | 58.3 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 16.6 | 8.3 |
| Guan | China | 1099 | 33 | 15 | 640 | 459 | 23.7 | 15.0 | 2.5 | 7.4 | 1.1 |
| Du | China | 109 | 51 | 72 | 74 | 35 | 78.0 | 59.6 | +33.9 | 31.2 | 15.6 |
| Guan | China | 1590 | 99 | 50 | 904 | 686 | 25.0 | 20.3 | 3.8 | 9.0 | 1.5 |
| Xu | China | 63 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 27 | 31.7 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Chen | China | 203 | N.S. | 26 | 108 | 95 | 43.3 | 12.9 | 3,4 | 2.7 | 3.9 |
| Liang | China | 1590 | 90 | 50 | 904 | 674 | 25.1 | 16.9 | 3.7 | 8.2 | 1.5 |
| Wang | China | 399 | N.S. | 65 | 226 | 173 | 60.7 | 40.8 | 17.7 | 16.0 | 6.2 |
| Cao | China | 102 | N.S. | 17 | 53 | 49 | 46.1 | 27.5 | 4.9 | 10.8 | 9.8 |
| Zhou | China | 191 | 50 | 54 | 119 | 72 | 47.6 | 30.0 | 8.0 | 19.0 | 3.0 |
| Zhang | China | 120 | N.S. | 7 | 43 | 77 | 26.7 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 |
| Chen | China | 274 | N.S. | 113 | 171 | 103 | 48.5 | 34.0 | 8.0 | 17 | 7.0 |
| Zhang | China | 140 | N.S. | N.S. | 71 | 69 | 64.3 | 30.0 | 5.0 | 12.1 | 1.4 |
| Wang | China | 69 | N.S. | 5 | 32 | 37 | 36.2 | 13.0 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 |
| Yang | China | 52 | 37 | 32 | 35 | 17 | 40.4 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 8.0 |
| Wu | China | 201 | 53 | 44 | 128 | 73 | 32.8 | 19.4 | 4.0 | 10.9 | 2.5 |
| Huang | China | 34 | 8 | N.S. | 20 | 14 | 47.1 | 23.5 | 17.6 | 11.8 | 2.9 |
| Li | China | 83 | 6 | N.S. | 44 | 39 | 18.1 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 7.8 | 6.0 |
| Xu | China | 90 | N.S. | N.S. | 39 | 51 | 50.0 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 |
| Wu | China | 80 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 41 | 47.5 | 0.0 | +31.2 | 6.2 | 1.2 |
| Yang | China | 149 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 68 | 34.9 | 0.0 | +18.7 | 6.0 | 0.7 |
| Liu | China | 3 | N.S. | N.S. | 2 | 1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Lei | China | 34 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 58.8 | 58.8 | 20.6 | 23.5 | 2.9 |
| Feng | China | 476 | N.S. | 38 | 271 | 205 | 43.1 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 10.3 | 4.6 |
| Yuan | China | 27 | N.S. | 10 | 12 | 15 | 48.1 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 0.0 |
| Mo | China | 155 | N.S. | N.S. | 86 | 69 | 45.8 | 23.9 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 3.2 |
| Wang | China | 116 | 11 | 7 | 67 | 49 | 44.0 | 37.1 | 0.0 | 15.5 | 0 |
| Zhang | China | 221 | 23 | 12 | 108 | 113 | 35.3 | 24.4 | 10 | 10 | 2.7 |
| Guo | China | 256 | 45 | 43 | 91 | 165 | 73.0 | 32.6 | 11.2 | 15.0 | 2.1 |
| Richardson | USA | 5700 | 373 | 553 | 3437 | 2263 | 93.9 | 56.6 | 11.1 | 33.8 | 5.4 |
| Chow | USA | 74439 | 1069 | 2112 | N.S. | N.S. | 3.6 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 10.9 | 9.2 |
| Young | Singapore | 18 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 27.8 | N.S. | N.S. | N.S. | N.S. |
| Gupta | India | 21 | N.S. | N.S. | 14 | 7 | 28.6 | 23.8 | 0.00 | 14.2 | 0.0 |
| Grasselli | Italy | 1591 | 1591 | N.S. | 1304 | 287 | 65.5 | 49.0 | 21.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 |
| Du | China | 85 | N.S. | 85 | 23 | 62 | 68.2 | 37.6 | 11.8 | 22.4 | 2.5 |
| CDC Korea48 | Korea | 7755 | N.S. | 66 | 37 | 29 | 96.8 | 47.6 | 15.9 | 36.5 | 17.5 |
ICU = Intensive Care Unit; M = Male; F = Female; Co. % = Percentage of patients with comorbidities; H % = Percentage of Chronic Heart Disease; CV % = Percentage of Cardiovascular Disease; D % = Percentage of Diabetes; COPD % = Percentage of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease; CDC = Center for Disease Control and Prevention; + = Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease; N.S. = Not Specified
Figure 1A flowchart of the steps performed in the systematic review.
PRISMA Checklist.
| Section/topic | # | Checklist item | Reported on page # |
|---|---|---|---|
|
| |||
| Title | 1 | Identify the report as a systematic review, meta-analysis, or both. | Title |
|
| |||
| Structured summary | 2 | Provide a structured summary including, as applicable: background; objectives; data sources; study eligibility criteria, participants, and interventions; study appraisal and synthesis methods; results; limitations; conclusions and implications of key findings; systematic review registration number. | Abstract |
|
| |||
| Rationale | 3 | Describe the rationale for the review in the context of what is already known. | Introduction |
| Objectives | 4 | Provide an explicit statement of questions being addressed with reference to participants, interventions, comparisons, outcomes, and study design (PICOS). | Introduction and Methods: Review Question. |
|
| |||
| Protocol and registration | 5 | Indicate if a review protocol exists, if and where it can be accessed (e.g., Web address), and, if available, provide registration information including registration number. | Methods |
| Eligibility criteria | 6 | Specify study characteristics (e.g., PICOS, length of follow-up) and report characteristics (e.g., years considered, language, publication status) used as criteria for eligibility, giving rationale. | Methods: Inclusion Criteria |
| Information sources | 7 | Describe all information sources (e.g., databases with dates of coverage, contact with study authors to identify additional studies) in the search and date last searched. | Methods: Search Strategy |
| Search | 8 | Present full electronic search strategy for at least one database, including any limits used, such that it could be repeated. | Methods: Search Strategy |
| Study selection | 9 | State the process for selecting studies (i.e., screening, eligibility, included in systematic review, and, if applicable, included in the meta-analysis). | Methods: Study Strategy |
| Data collection process | 10 | Describe method of data extraction from reports (e.g., piloted forms, independently, in duplicate) and any processes for obtaining and confirming data from investigators. | Methods: Data extraction |
| Data items | 11 | List and define all variables for which data were sought (e.g., PICOS, funding sources) and any assumptions and simplifications made. | Methods: Data extraction/Quality assessment |
| Risk of bias in individual studies | 12 | Describe methods used for assessing risk of bias of individual studies (including specification of whether this was done at the study or outcome level), and how this information is to be used in any data synthesis. | Additional File. |
| Summary measures | 13 | State the principal summary measures (e.g., risk ratio, difference in means). | Methods: Data Synthesis |
| Synthesis of results | 14 | Describe the methods of handling data and combining results of studies, if done, including measures of consistency (e.g., I2) for each meta-analysis. | Methods: Data Synthesis |
| Risk of bias across studies | 15 | Specify any assessment of risk of bias that may affect the cumulative evidence (e.g., publication bias, selective reporting within studies). | Additional File. |
| Additional analyses | 16 | Describe methods of additional analyses (e.g., sensitivity or subgroup analyses, meta-regression), if done, indicating which were pre-specified. | Methods: Data Synthesis |
|
| |||
| Study selection | 17 | Give numbers of studies screened, assessed for eligibility, and included in the review, with reasons for exclusions at each stage, ideally with a flow diagram. | Results ( |
| Study characteristics | 18 | For each study, present characteristics for which data were extracted (e.g., study size, PICOS, follow-up period) and provide the citations. | Results ( |
| Risk of bias within studies | 19 | Present data on risk of bias of each study and, if available, any outcome level assessment (see item 12). | Additional File. |
| Results of individual studies | 20 | For all outcomes considered (benefits or harms), present, for each study: (a) simple summary data for each intervention group (b) effect estimates and confidence intervals, ideally with a forest plot. | Results. |
| Synthesis of results | 21 | Present results of each meta-analysis done, including confidence intervals and measures of consistency. | Results ( |
| Risk of bias across studies | 22 | Present results of any assessment of risk of bias across studies (see Item 15). | Additional File. |
| Additional analysis | 23 | Give results of additional analyses, if done (e.g., sensitivity or subgroup analyses, meta-regression [see Item 16]). | Results (Odds Ratio) |
|
| |||
| Summary of evidence | 24 | Summarize the main findings including the strength of evidence for each main outcome; consider their relevance to key groups (e.g., healthcare providers, users, and policy makers). | Discussion |
| Limitations | 25 | Discuss limitations at study and outcome level (e.g., risk of bias), and at review-level (e.g., incomplete retrieval of identified research, reporting bias). | Discussion |
| Conclusions | 26 | Provide a general interpretation of the results in the context of other evidence, and implications for future research. | Conclusion |
|
| |||
| Funding | 27 | Describe sources of funding for the systematic review and other support (e.g., supply of data); role of funders for the systematic review. | NA |
Figure S1The methodological quality summary bias risk concern and applicability for each study.
Figure S2The methodological quality summary bias risk concern and applicability for across the included studies.
Figure 2Forest plot for a random-effect meta-analysis of comorbidities in all the patients affected by COVID-19.
Overall prevalence of comorbidities, in the group admitted to the ICU and in the fatal cases by COVID-19.
| Comorbidity | Overall Prevalence | ICUs Patients | Fatal Cases | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| |||||||||
| PP | 95% CI | W % | PP | 95% CI | W % | PP | 95% CI | W % | |
| Hypertension | 32 | 31 - 33 | 6.54 | 27 | 25 - 29 | 6.86 | 35 | 31- 38 | 8.10 |
| Chronic Heart Disease | 13 | 13 - 14 | 6.62 | 18 | 18 - 19 | 7.15 | 17 | 14 - 20 | 8.61 |
| Diabetes | 22 | 21 - 23 | 6.57 | 17 | 15 -19 | 7.17 | 19 | 16 - 22 | 8.53 |
| Malignancy | 3 | 3 - 4 | 6.68 | 5 | 4 - 6 | 7.81 | 5 | 4 -7 | 9.22 |
| COPD | 8 | 7 - 8 | 6.65 | 7 | 6 - 8 | 7.67 | 9 | 7 -11 | 9.03 |
| Asthma | 3 | 3 - 3 | 6.69 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0.00 |
| Chronic Kidney Disease | 5 | 5 - 5 | 6.67 | 5 | 6 - 8 | 7.81 | 4 | 3 - 6 | 9.29 |
| Chronic Liver Disease | 2 | 1- 2 | 6.7 | 2 | 4 - 6 | 8.01 | 3 | 2 - 4 | 9.42 |
| Cerebrovascular Accident | 2 | 1- 3 | 6.7 | 1 | 1 - 2 | 8.05 | 6 | 5 - 9 | 9.15 |
| Immunodeficiency | 2 | 2 - 3 | 6.69 | 2 | 1 - 3 | 7.97 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0.00 |
| Autoimmune Disease | 0 | 0 - 0 | 6.71 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 8.12 | 0 | 0- 1 | 9.57 |
| Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Accident | 1 | 1 - 1 | 6.71 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0.00 |
| Digestive Disease | 0 | 0 - 0 | 6.71 | 0 | 0 - 1 | 8.11 | 0 | 0 - 1 | 9.60 |
| Peripheral Vascular Disease | 0 | 1 - 0 | 6.71 | 0 | 0 -0 | 8.12 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0.00 |
| Other | 8 | 7 - 8 | 6.65 | 18 | 16 - 19 | 7.15 | 2 | 1 - 3 | 9.48 |
|
| |||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ICU = Intensive Care Unit; PP = Pooled Prevalence; W = Weight; COPD = Chronic Obsctructive Pulmonary Disease; CI = Confidence Interval.
Figure S3The forest plot for a random-effect meta-analysis of comorbidities in patients admited in ICUs.
Figure 3Forest plot for a random-effect meta-analysis of comorbidities in fatal cases of COVID-19.