| Literature DB >> 32577417 |
Pailin Ratanawatkul1, Joshua J Solomon2, Darlene Kim3, Marjorie P George2, Lia R Matarrese McGibbon4, M Kristen Demoruelle4, Mehrnaz Maleki-Fischbach4, Isabelle Amigues4, Liudmila Kastsianok4, Evans R Fernández Pérez2.
Abstract
There are limited data nationwide on the burden of systemic sclerosis (SSc)-related mortality. We aimed to determine recent trends in SSc and SSc-related pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) mortality overall and across population subgroups. Using death certificate data from the National Center for Health Statistics, we computed the age-adjusted mortality rates of SSc and SSc-SSc-PAH, a lethal prevailing complication, across demographic groups, geographic regions and comorbid cardiorespiratory conditions, and used Joinpoint regression analysis to calculate the average annual percentage change (APC) in mortality. From 2003 to 2016, 25 175 death records contained a code for SSc. Decedents were predominantly female (81%) and white (73%), with an average age of 66±14 years. The age-adjusted mortality rate decreased by 3% per year from 6.6 in 2003 to 4.3 per 1 000 000 population in 2016. Also, a decreasing trend was found when SSc was stratified by age, sex, race and geographic region. The prevalence of PAH was 23%. The odds of PAH were highest in female and black decedents, and in decedents with concomitant pulmonary embolism, cardiomyopathy and interstitial lung disease (ILD). SSc-PAH mortality remained stable from 2003 to 2008 then decreased by 3% per year from 2008 to 2016. In decedents with SSc-PAH, among all concomitant comorbidities, the mortality rate associated with ILD had the highest increase (average APC 6%, 95% CI 2%-10%). The mortality rate from SSc decreased from 2003 to 2016. Decreases in mortality rates were similar across demographic groups and geographic regions. SSc-PAH-related mortality remained stable. The death rate for SSc-ILD and concomitant PAH increased during this period.Entities:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32577417 PMCID: PMC7293989 DOI: 10.1183/23120541.00309-2019
Source DB: PubMed Journal: ERJ Open Res ISSN: 2312-0541
Number of decedents, age-adjusted mortality rates and odds ratio of pulmonary hypertension by demographic characteristics and contributing cardiopulmonary causes-of-death among scleroderma decedents, 2003–2016
| Male | 4829 (19.2) | 2.05 (1.86 to 2.23) | 885 (15.4) | 3944 (20.3) | 0.71 (0.66 to 0.77) | <0.01 |
| Female | 20 346 (80.8) | 8.76 (8.17 to 9.34) | 4880 (84.6) | 15 466 (79.7) | 1.41 (1.30 to 1.52) | <0.01 |
| White | 18 288 (72.6) | 5.90 (5.48 to 6.33) | 4165 (72.2) | 14 123 (72.8) | 0.97 (0.91 to 1.04) | 0.44 |
| Black | 3700 (14.7) | 5.86 (5.28 to 6.45) | 918 (15.92) | 2782 (14.3) | 1.13 (1.04 to 1.23) | <0.01 |
| Hispanic | 2356 (9.4) | 2.97 (2.67 to 3.26) | 509 (8.8) | 1847 (9.5) | 0.92 (0.83 to 1.02) | 0.11 |
| White men | 3410 (13.5) | 2.17 (1.97 to 2.37) | 652 (11.3) | 2758 (14.2) | 0.77 (0.70 to 0.84) | <0.01 |
| Black men | 877 (3.5) | 2.90 (2.51 to 3.29) | 152 (2.6) | 725 (3.7) | 0.70 (0.58 to 0.83) | <0.01 |
| Hispanic men | 400 (1.6) | 0.98 (0.81 to 1.15) | 56 (0.9) | 344 (1.8) | 0.54 (0.41 to 0.72) | <0.01 |
| White women | 14 878 (59.1) | 9.70 (9.08 to 10.31) | 3513 (60.9) | 11 365 (58.5) | 1.10 (1.04 to 1.17) | 0.01 |
| Black women | 2823 (11.2) | 8.61 (7.74 to 9.48) | 766 (13.3) | 2057 (10.6) | 1.29 (1.18 to 1.41) | <0.01 |
| Hispanic women | 1956 (7.8) | 5.11 (4.65 to 5.56) | 453 (7.9) | 1503 (7.7) | 1.02 (0.91 to 1.13) | 0.78 |
| Northeast | 4873 (19.4) | 6.13 (5.19 to 7.08) | 1169 (20.3) | 3704 (19.1) | 1.08 (1.00 to 1.16) | 0.05 |
| South | 8828 (35.1) | 5.15 (4.83 to 5.47) | 1923 (33.4) | 6905 (35.7) | 0.91 (0.85 to 0.96) | <0.01 |
| Midwest | 5829 (23.1) | 6.09 (5.38 to 6.81) | 1376 (23.9) | 4453 (23.0) | 1.05 (0.98 to 1.13) | 0.14 |
| West | 5587 (22.2) | 5.54 (4.45 to 6.43) | 1286 (22.3) | 4301 (22.2) | 1.01 (0.94 to 1.08) | 0.81 |
| <35 | 614 (2.4) | 0.30 (0.27 to 0.33) | 110 (1.9) | 504 (2.6) | 0.73 (0.59 to 0.90) | <0.01 |
| 35–54 | 4621 (18.4) | 3.87 (3.53 to 4.20) | 1085 (18.8) | 3536 (18.2) | 1.04 (0.97 to 1.12) | 0.30 |
| 55–74 | 12 159 (48.3) | 15.30 (13.85 to 16.75) | 3150 (54.6) | 9009 (46.4) | 1.39 (1.31 to 1.48) | <0.01 |
| ≥75 | 7781 (30.9) | 29.79 (28.32 to 31.25) | 1420 (24.6) | 6361 (32.7) | 0.67 (0.63 to 0.72) | <0.01 |
| Respiratory | ||||||
| Interstitial lung disease | 1010 (4.0) | 0.21 (0.20 to 0.22) | 257 (4.5) | 753 (3.9) | 1.16 (1.00 to 1.34) | 0.05 |
| COPD | 629 (2.5) | 0.13 (0.12 to 0.14) | 120 (2.1) | 509 (2.6) | 0.79 (0.65 to 0.97) | 0.02 |
| Pulmonary embolism | 351 (1.4) | 0.07 (0.07 to 0.08) | 102 (1.8) | 249 (1.3) | 1.39 (1.10 to 1.75) | 0.01 |
| Cardiovascular | ||||||
| Ischaemic heart disease | 2991 (11.9) | 0.64 (0.56 to 0.72) | 483 (8.4) | 3577 (13.4) | 0.62 (0.56 to 0.68) | <0.01 |
| Cardiomyopathy | 4028 (16.0) | 0.86 (0.81 to 0.91) | 1368 (23.7) | 2660 (13.7) | 1.96 (1.82 to 2.11) | <0.01 |
| Hypertension | 2626 (10.4) | 0.56 (0.52 to 0.60) | 387 (6.7) | 2239 (11.5) | 0.55 (0.49 to 0.62) | <0.01 |
| Valvular heart disease | 473 (1.9) | 0.10 (0.09 to 0.12) | 126 (2.2) | 347 (1.8) | 1.23 (1.00 to 1.51) | 0.055 |
Data are presented as n (%), unless otherwise stated. PAH: pulmonary arterial hypertension; COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. COPD (J40–J44); interstitial lung disease (J84.1, J84.9); pulmonary embolism (I26); ischaemic heart disease (I20-I25); cardiomyopathy (I42); hypertension (I10-I16); valvular heart disease (I35). #: Crude rates.
FIGURE 1Underlying causes of death among US decedents with systemic sclerosis, 2003−2016. Systemic sclerosis ICD-10 (International Classification of Diseases, 10th edition): M34.0, M34.1, M34.8, M34.9; circulatory system diseases ICD-10: I00-I99; malignancies ICD-10: C00-C96; digestive system diseases ICD-10: K00-K95; respiratory system diseases ICD-10: J00-J99; infectious diseases ICD-10: A00-A99, B00-B99; metabolic diseases ICD-10: E00-E89; genitourinary system diseases ICD-10: N00-N99; nervous system diseases ICD-10: G00-G99.
FIGURE 2a) Age-adjusted mortality rates of systemic sclerosis per 1 000 000 population and number of cases from 2003 to 2016. b) Crude mortality rates of systemic sclerosis per 1 000 000 population from 2003 to 2016. c) Age-adjusted mortality rates of systemic sclerosis per 1 000 000 population by sex and race from 2003 to 2016. d) Age-adjusted mortality rates of systemic sclerosis per 1 000 000 population by region from 2003 to 2016.
Average annual percentage change of age-adjusted mortality rates from systemic sclerosis and systemic sclerosis−related pulmonary hypertension, 2003−2016
| −3.0 (−3.3 to −2.7)# | 0.1 (−2.3 to 2.6)¶ | |
| Male | −3.5 (−4.1 to −2.8) | −1.4 (−3.0 to 0.1) |
| Female | −2.7 (−3.0 to −2.4) | 0.5 (−2.1 to 3.2) |
| White | −2.9 (−3.3 to −2.5) | 0.1 (−2.6 to 2.9) |
| Black | −3.6 (−4.7 to −2.5) | −0.4 (−3.1 to 2.4) |
| Hispanic | −3.5 (−4.7 to −2.2) | −0.9 (−3.1 to 1.3) |
| White men | −3.4 (−4.2 to −2.5) | −1.5 (−3.6 to 0.6) |
| Black men | −4.1 (−6.3 to −1.9) | −1.2 (−5.6 to 3.4) |
| Hispanic men | −4.1 (−6.9 to −1.1) | −1.5 (−12.2 to 10.3) |
| White women | −2.5 (−2.9 to −2.1) | 0.7 (−2.0 to 3.4) |
| Black women | −3.4 (−4.9 to −1.9) | −0.2 (−3.3 to 3.0) |
| Hispanic women | −3.2 (−4.3 to −2.0) | −0.9 (−3.0 to 1.1) |
| Northeast | −1.9 (−3.5 to −0.3) | −0.2 (−3.6 to 3.2) |
| South | −4.2 (−4.9 to −3.5) | −1.0 (−3.4 to 1.3) |
| Midwest | −2.8 (−3.9 to −1.6) | 1.0 (−1.8 to 3.9) |
| West | −2.6 (−3.9 to −1.2) | −0.9 (−3.4 to 1.7) |
| <35 | −0.8 (−3.4 to 1.8) | −1.4 (−7.1 to 4.7) |
| 35–54 | −3.5 (−4.2 to −2.9) | −1.7 (−4.6 to 1.4) |
| 55–74 | −3.7 (−4.2 to −3.3) | −1.2 (−2.7 to 0.3) |
| ≥75 | −1.1 (−2.7 to 0.6) | 3.6 (0.9 to 6.3) |
| Respiratory | ||
| Interstitial lung disease | 1.2 (−0.2 to 2.6) | 6.0 (2.0 to 10.2) |
| COPD | −1.7 (−3.4 to 0) | 2.5 (−2.4 to 7.7) |
| Pulmonary embolism | −0.2 (−2.9 to 2.6) | −1.5 (−5.5 to 2.7) |
| Cardiovascular | ||
| Ischaemic heart disease | −4.9 (−5.7 to −4.1) | 0.2 (−2.9 to 3.4) |
| Cardiomyopathy | −1.7 (−2.7 to −0.8) | 2.7 (1.4 to 4.1) |
| Hypertension | −2.2 (−3.3 to −1.2) | 3.1 (0.6 to 5.7) |
| Valvular heart disease | −2.8 (−5.8 to 0.3) | 3.6 (−1.9 to 9.4) |
COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. #: no joinpoint identified.; ¶: one joinpoint identified at 2008: 2003–2008, APC 5.2% (95% CI −0.8 to 11.5); 2008–2016, APC −3.0% (−5.6 to −0.2%).
FIGURE 3a) Age-adjusted mortality rates of systemic sclerosis per 1 000 000 population in 2003. b) Age-adjusted mortality rates of systemic sclerosis per 1 000 000 population in 2016. c) Average age-adjusted mortality rates of systemic sclerosis per 1 000 000 population from 2003 to 2016.