Gen-Min Lin1, Laura A Colangelo2, Barbara E K Klein3, Mary Frances Cotch4, Tien Y Wong5, Carol Y Cheung6, Susan R Heckbert7, Alvaro Alonso8, Younghoon Kwon9, Richard A Kronmal10, Donald M Lloyd-Jones2, Kiang Liu2. 1. Department of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois; Department of Medicine, Hualien Armed Forces General Hospital, Hualien, Tri-Service General Hospital, National Defense Medical Center, Taipei, Taiwan. Electronic address: gen-min.lin@northwestern.edu. 2. Department of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois. 3. Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin. 4. Division of Epidemiology and Clinical Applications, NIH Intramural Research Program, National Eye Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland. 5. Singapore Eye Research Institute, Singapore National Eye Centre, Duke-NUS Medical School, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Republic of Singapore. 6. Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China. 7. Department of Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington. 8. Department of Epidemiology, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia. 9. Department of Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia. 10. Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.
Abstract
PURPOSE: Microvascular diseases may contribute to the occurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF). Retinal microvascular signs that are similar to other microvasculature in the body and can be visualized directly via ophthalmoscopy may provide insights into such a relationship. DESIGN: Prospective, longitudinal, multiethnic study. PARTICIPANTS: We examined the association between retinal microvascular signs and incident AF in 4994 participants 47 to 86 years of age and free of prior AF who underwent fundus photography from 2002 through 2004 and were followed up through 2015 in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). METHODS: Retinal microvascular signs evaluated include central retinal arteriolar equivalent and central retinal venular equivalent (CRVE) and presence of any retinopathy signs (e.g., retinal microaneurysms or hemorrhages). A multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to determine the relationship while adjusting for traditional risk factors, alcohol intake, body mass index, diabetes status, chronic kidney disease status, hemoglobin A1c level, C-reactive protein level, medications, and prevalent cardiovascular diseases or heart failure. MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES: Incident AF events were identified using 12-lead electrocardiographic findings, hospital discharge records, and Medicare claims data. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 14.1 years, 643 AF events were identified. No association was found between any retinal microvascular signs and incident AF except for retinal focal arteriolar narrowing (hazard ratio, 1.75; 95% confidence interval, 1.06-2.87) in the overall population. However, in the subgroup analyses by gender, wider CRVE was associated with a higher risk of incident AF in women, but not in men (hazard ratio for every 10-μm increase in CRVE, 1.08 [95% confidence interval, 1.01-1.15] and 0.97 [95% confidence interval, 0.92-1.03], respectively; P = 0.041 for interaction). CONCLUSIONS: No consistent pattern of association was found between retinal microvascular signs and incident AF. We observed an association in women, but not in men, of wider retinal venular calibers with incidence of AF. The reasons for a possible interaction are incompletely understood.
PURPOSE: Microvascular diseases may contribute to the occurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF). Retinal microvascular signs that are similar to other microvasculature in the body and can be visualized directly via ophthalmoscopy may provide insights into such a relationship. DESIGN: Prospective, longitudinal, multiethnic study. PARTICIPANTS: We examined the association between retinal microvascular signs and incident AF in 4994 participants 47 to 86 years of age and free of prior AF who underwent fundus photography from 2002 through 2004 and were followed up through 2015 in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). METHODS: Retinal microvascular signs evaluated include central retinal arteriolar equivalent and central retinal venular equivalent (CRVE) and presence of any retinopathy signs (e.g., retinal microaneurysms or hemorrhages). A multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to determine the relationship while adjusting for traditional risk factors, alcohol intake, body mass index, diabetes status, chronic kidney disease status, hemoglobin A1c level, C-reactive protein level, medications, and prevalent cardiovascular diseases or heart failure. MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES: Incident AF events were identified using 12-lead electrocardiographic findings, hospital discharge records, and Medicare claims data. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 14.1 years, 643 AF events were identified. No association was found between any retinal microvascular signs and incident AF except for retinal focal arteriolar narrowing (hazard ratio, 1.75; 95% confidence interval, 1.06-2.87) in the overall population. However, in the subgroup analyses by gender, wider CRVE was associated with a higher risk of incident AF in women, but not in men (hazard ratio for every 10-μm increase in CRVE, 1.08 [95% confidence interval, 1.01-1.15] and 0.97 [95% confidence interval, 0.92-1.03], respectively; P = 0.041 for interaction). CONCLUSIONS: No consistent pattern of association was found between retinal microvascular signs and incident AF. We observed an association in women, but not in men, of wider retinal venular calibers with incidence of AF. The reasons for a possible interaction are incompletely understood.
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