| Literature DB >> 32539768 |
Jian Xi Zhang1, Peipei Li1, Zhibin Chen1, Huogui Lin2, Zhezhen Cai2, Weijia Liao2, Zirong Pan3.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Liver fibrosis or cirrhosis is associated with the dismal prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and it might also be involved in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). The effect of hepatic fibrosis on the survival of ICC patients is still unclear. This study aims to explore whether liver fibrosis impacts the overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) of ICC patients.Entities:
Keywords: Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma; Liver fibrosis; Survival
Year: 2020 PMID: 32539768 PMCID: PMC7296657 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-020-07051-5
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Cancer ISSN: 1471-2407 Impact factor: 4.430
Fig. 1Flowchart displaying the selection procedure of ICC cases in the SEER database
Demographic and clinical characteristics of ICC patients with different fibrosis score
| Variables | Low-fibrosis score group | High-fibrosis score group | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No. of patient, n (%) | 465 (63.9) | 264 (36.1) | |
| Marital status, n (%) | 0.188 | ||
| Married | 287 (61.7) | 146 (55.3) | |
| Single | 157 (33.8) | 107 (40.5) | |
| Unknown | 21 (4.5) | 11 (4.2) | |
| Age (mean (sd)) | 65.94 (11.5) | 64.21 (9.9) | 0.040 |
| Age, ≤60, years, n (%) | 143 (30.8) | 92 (34.8) | 0.292 |
| Sex, male, n (%) | 218 (46.9) | 174 (65.9) | < 0.001 |
| Year of diagnosis, 2010–2015, n (%) | 321 (69.0) | 193 (73.1) | 0.282 |
| Ethnicity, n (%) | 0.053 | ||
| Black | 31 (6.7) | 21 (8.0) | |
| White | 350 (75.3) | 213 (80.7) | |
| Other | 84 (18.1) | 30 (11.4) | |
| AFP, ng/ml, n (%) | < 0.001 | ||
| ≤ 15 | 219 (47.1) | 113 (42.8) | |
| > 15 | 63 (13.5) | 79 (29.9) | |
| Unknown | 183 (39.4) | 72 (27.3) | |
| Number of tumors, single, n (%) | 338 (72.7) | 208 (78.8) | 0.082 |
| Tumor size, cm, n (%) | 0.013 | ||
| > 3 | 323 (69.5) | 160 (60.6) | |
| ≤ 3 | 63 (13.5) | 57 (21.6) | |
| Unknown | 79 (17.0) | 47 (17.8) | |
| Lymph nodes metastasis, n (%) | 0.499 | ||
| No | 341 (73.3) | 190 (72.0) | |
| Yes | 112 (24.1) | 63 (23.9) | |
| Unknown | 12 (2.6) | 11 (4.2) | |
| Distance metastasis, n (%) | 0.013 | ||
| No | 361 (77.6) | 181 (68.6) | |
| Yes | 98 (21.1) | 81 (30.7) | |
| Unknown | 6 (1.3) | 2 (0.8) | |
| 6th AJCC TNM stage, n (%) | 0.008 | ||
| I | 135 (29.0) | 84 (31.8) | |
| II | 54 (11.6) | 24 (9.1) | |
| III | 144 (31.0) | 55 (20.8) | |
| IV | 102 (21.9) | 83 (31.4) | |
| Unstaged | 30 (6.5) | 18 (6.8) | |
| Pathological grade, n (%) | 0.009 | ||
| Grade I | 35 (7.5) | 12 (4.5) | |
| Grade II | 166 (35.7) | 74 (28.0) | |
| Grade III | 106 (22.8) | 57 (21.6) | |
| Grade IV | 5 (1.1) | 1 (0.4) | |
| Unstaged | 153 (32.9) | 120 (45.5) | |
| Surgery record, yes, n (%) | 241 (51.8) | 97 (36.7) | < 0.001 |
| Radiation record, yes, n (%) | 74 (15.9) | 35 (13.3) | 0.391 |
| Chemotherapy record, yes, n (%) | 215 (46.2) | 109 (41.3) | 0.224 |
| Survival month (mean (sd)) | 22.43 (24.74) | 16.67 (21.95) | 0.002 |
| Vital status, dead, n (%) | 342 (73.5) | 212 (80.3) | 0.050 |
| Compete risk, n (%) | 0.103 | ||
| Alive | 123 (26.5) | 52 (19.7) | |
| Dead with other reasons | 23 (4.9) | 17 (6.4) | |
| Dead with cancer | 319 (68.6) | 195 (73.9) | |
Abbreviation: AFP serum alpha fetoprotein, AJCC American Joint Committee on cancer
Fig. 2Number of patients with low-Fb scores versus high-Fb scores over time in the National Cancer Center Database, 2004–2015
Fig. 3Overall survival rates in (a) the unmatched, (b) the propensity score-matched, and (c) the inverse probability of treatment weight-adjusted analysis of ICC patients
The univariate and multivariate Cox analysis of overall survival in the unmatched cohort
| Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Characteristics | HR | 95%CI | HR | 95%CI | ||
| Sex, Male vs. Female | 1.239 | 1.047–1.466 | 0.013 | 1.386 | 1.157–1.661 | < 0.001 |
| Age years, ≤60 vs. > 60 | 0.838 | 0.701–1.003 | 0.054 | |||
| Marital status | ||||||
| Married | ref | |||||
| Single | 1.211 | 1.017–1.441 | 0.032 | |||
| Unknown | 1.175 | 0.788–1.752 | 0.430 | |||
| Year of diagnosis, 2010–2015 vs. Elarly | 0.838 | 0.702–1.001 | 0.052 | |||
| Ethnicity | ||||||
| Black | ref | |||||
| Other | 0.760 | 0.52–1.112 | 0.157 | |||
| White | 0.917 | 0.66–1.273 | 0.605 | |||
| AFP, ng/ml | ref | |||||
| > 15 vs. ≤15 | 1.140 | 0.906–1.434 | 0.263 | |||
| Unknown vs. ≤15 | 1.134 | 0.925–1.391 | 0.225 | |||
| Fibrosis score, 5–6 vs. 0–4 | 1.371 | 1.154–1.628 | < 0.001 | 1.282 | 1.067–1.541 | 0.008 |
| Number of tumors, Multi vs. Single | 1.385 | 1.138–1.685 | 0.001 | 1.548 | 1.258–1.904 | < 0.001 |
| Tumor size, cm | ||||||
| 3 cm | ref | |||||
| ≤ 3 cm | 0.475 | 0.364–0.62 | < 0.001 | 0.517 | 0.39–0.684 | < 0.001 |
| Unknown | 2.029 | 1.647–2.499 | < 0.001 | |||
| Lymph nodes metastasis, No | ref | |||||
| Yes | 1.738 | 1.434–2.107 | < 0.001 | |||
| Unknown | 2.240 | 1.427–3.516 | < 0.001 | |||
| Distance metastasis, No | ref | |||||
| Yes | 3.605 | 2.976–4.368 | < 0.001 | 2.376 | 1.112–5.078 | 0.026 |
| Unknown | 5.010 | 2.48–10.118 | < 0.001 | 2.792 | 1.035–7.533 | 0.043 |
| 6th AJCC TNM stage | ||||||
| I | ref | |||||
| II | 1.471 | 1.065–2.032 | 0.019 | 1.934 | 1.39–2.692 | < 0.001 |
| III | 2.291 | 1.806–2.907 | < 0.001 | 2.495 | 1.776–3.506 | < 0.001 |
| IV | 5.402 | 4.245–6.875 | < 0.001 | 1.750 | 0.695–4.403 | 0.235 |
| Unstaged | 3.974 | 2.811–5.618 | < 0.001 | 4.144 | 2.481–6.92 | < 0.001 |
| Pathological grade | ||||||
| I | ref | |||||
| II | 0.940 | 0.64–1.38 | 0.751 | 0.669 | 0.452–0.991 | 0.045 |
| III | 1.545 | 1.043–2.288 | 0.030 | 0.988 | 0.659–1.481 | 0.954 |
| IV | 1.206 | 0.424–3.4 | 0.731 | 0.718 | 0.247–2.082 | 0.542 |
| Unstaged | 2.026 | 1.391–2.951 | < 0.001 | 1.235 | 0.831–1.834 | 0.297 |
| Surgery record, Yes vs. No | 0.221 | 0.184–0.266 | < 0.001 | 0.305 | 0.242–0.383 | < 0.001 |
| Radiation record, Yes vs. No | 0.874 | 0.692–1.102 | 0.255 | |||
| Chemotherapy record, Yes vs. No | 0.830 | 0.702–0.983 | 0.031 | 0.490 | 0.407–0.589 | < 0.001 |
Abbreviation: HR Hazard ratio, CI confidence interval, AFP serum alpha fetoprotein, AJCC American Joint Committee on cancer
Fig. 4Disease-specific survival in (a) the unmatched and (b) the propensity score-matched analysis of ICC patients
Propensity modeling of high fibrosis score (severe/cirrhosis) patients
| Variables | OR | 95%CI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age, years | |||
| > 60 | Reference | ||
| ≤ 60 | 0.999 | 0.929–1.074 | 0.987 |
| Sex | |||
| Female | Reference | ||
| Male | 1.177 | 1.099–1.261 | |
| Marital status | |||
| Married | Reference | ||
| Single | 1.082 | 1.007–1.164 | |
| Unknown | 1.057 | 0.894–1.248 | 0.523 |
| Ethnicity | |||
| Black | Reference | ||
| White | 0.978 | 0.854–1.120 | 0.749 |
| Other | 0.887 | 0.760–1.035 | 0.129 |
| AFP, ng/ml | |||
| ≤ 15 | Reference | ||
| > 15 | 1.217 | 1.109–1.334 | |
| Unknown | 0.959 | 0.888–1.035 | 0.286 |
| Tumor size, cm | |||
| > 3 cm | Reference | ||
| ≤ 3 cm | 1.165 | 1.059–1.283 | |
| Unknown | 0.975 | 0.881–1.080 | 0.635 |
| Number of tumors | |||
| Single | Reference | ||
| Multiple | 1.083 | 1.002–1.172 | |
| Distance metastasis | |||
| No | Reference | ||
| Yes | 1.091 | 0.816–1.458 | 0.559 |
| Unknown | 0.908 | 0.639–1.289 | 0.587 |
| 6th AJCC TNM stage | |||
| I | Reference | ||
| II | 0.92 | 0.817–1.037 | 0.174 |
| III | 0.901 | 0.824–0.986 | |
| IV | 0.94 | 0.700–1.261 | 0.68 |
| Unstaged | 1.018 | 0.862–1.203 | 0.836 |
| Pathological grade | |||
| I | Reference | ||
| II | 1.038 | 0.899–1.197 | 0.619 |
| III | 1.097 | 0.944–1.276 | 0.226 |
| IV | 0.971 | 0.656–1.438 | 0.886 |
| Unstaged | 1.16 | 1.003–1.340 | |
Abbreviation: OR odd ratio, CI confidence interval, AFP serum alpha fetoprotein, AJCC American Joint Committee on cancer
Fig. 5Overall survival in (a) the surgery recorded group and (b) the nonsurgery recorded group of matched cohort