| Literature DB >> 32489454 |
Xianxiong Ma1, Hengyu Chen2,3, Guobin Wang1, Lei Li4, Kaixiong Tao1.
Abstract
DNA methylation has been reported to serve an important role in the carcinogenesis and development of gastric cancer. Our aim was to systematically develop an individualized prediction model of the survival risk combing clinical and methylation factors in gastric cancer. A univariate Cox proportional risk regression analysis was used to identify the prognosis-associated methylation sites based on the differentially expressed methylation sites between early and advanced gastric cancer group, then we applied least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression model to screen candidate methylation sites. Subsequently, multivariate Cox proportional risk regression analysis was conducted to identify predictive signature according to the candidate sites. Relative operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis manifested that an 11-methylation signature exhibited great predictive efficiency for 1-, 3-, 5-year survival events. Patients in the low-risk group classified according to 11-methylation signature-based risk score yield significantly better survival than that in high-risk group. Moreover, Cox regression analysis combing methylation-based risk score and other clinical factors indicated that 11-methylation signature served as an independent risk factor. The predictive value of risk score was validated in the testing dataset. In addition, a nomogram was constructed and the ROC as well as calibration plots analysis demonstrated the good performance and clinical application of the nomogram. In conclusion, the result suggested the 11-DNA methylation signature may be potentially independent prognostic marker and functioned as a significant tool for guiding the clinical prediction of gastric cancer patients' overall survival. © The author(s).Entities:
Keywords: DNA methylation; Nomogram; OS; Signature; gastric cancer
Year: 2020 PMID: 32489454 PMCID: PMC7255367 DOI: 10.7150/jca.44436
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Cancer ISSN: 1837-9664 Impact factor: 4.207
Clinical characteristics of included patients with gastric cancer
| Characteristics | Total | Training dataset (n=268) | Testing dataset (n=114) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sex | |||
| Female | 136(35.6) | 97(36.19) | 39(34.21) |
| Male | 246(64.4) | 171(63.81) | 75(65.79) |
| Histological type | |||
| Stomach Adenocarcinoma | 204(53.4) | 139(51.9) | 65(57.0) |
| Stomach- Intestinal Adenocarcinoma | 177(46.3) | 128(47.8) | 49(43.0) |
| Other | 1(0.26) | 1(0.37) | |
| Stage | |||
| Stage I | 50(13.1) | 30(11.2) | 20(17.6) |
| Stage II | 127(33.2) | 94(35.1) | 33(28.9) |
| Stage III | 172(45.0) | 121(45.1) | 51(44.7) |
| Stage IV | 33(8.64) | 23(8.58) | 10(8.77) |
| Metastasis status | |||
| M0 | 344(90.05) | 243(90.67) | 101(88.6) |
| M1 | 22(5.76) | 13(4.85) | 9(7.89) |
| MX | 16(4.19) | 12(4.48) | 4(3.51) |
| Age | |||
| <=65 | 178(46.6) | 120(44.78) | 58(50.88) |
| >65 | 201(52.62) | 145(54.1) | 56(49.12) |
| NA | 3(0.79) | 3(1.12) | |
| Anatomic sites | |||
| Antrum/Distal | 141(36.91) | 104(38.81) | 37(32.46) |
| Cardia/Proximal | 52(13.61) | 34(12.69) | 18(15.79) |
| Fundus/Body | 142(37.17) | 101(37.69) | 41(35.96) |
| Gastroesophageal Junction | 38(9.95) | 20(7.46) | 18(15.79) |
| Other | 9(2.3) | 9(3.3) | |
Univariate Cox regression analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis outcome based on methylation risk score and other clinical factors.
| Univariate Cox analysis | Multivariate Cox analysis | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Characteristics | HR | HR.95L | HR.95H | P value | HR | HR.95L | HR.95H | P value |
| Score | 2.718282167 | 2.16171357 | 3.418148473 | 1.18E-17 | 2.552291593 | 1.990295974 | 3.272976713 | 1.54E-13 |
| Sex | 1.21780532 | 0.857126589 | 1.730257605 | 0.27149398 | ||||
| Age at initial pathologic diagnosis | 1.022889192 | 1.007768508 | 1.038236749 | 0.002897625 | 1.026042322 | 1.008775545 | 1.043604647 | 0.002987916 |
| Histological type | 1.096262962 | 0.788648413 | 1.523863438 | 0.584410769 | ||||
| Tumor | 1.376148414 | 1.109495583 | 1.706887784 | 0.003666749 | 1.35521211 | 1.016922667 | 1.806036903 | 0.03803348 |
| Lymph node status | 1.362646347 | 1.178750091 | 1.575232171 | 2.87E-05 | 0.977914047 | 0.76106433 | 1.256550656 | 0.861394092 |
| Metastasis status | 1.418931078 | 1.052366548 | 1.913178833 | 0.021750423 | 1.128545617 | 0.792286856 | 1.607517783 | 0.502861885 |
| Stage | 1.60885934 | 1.302363986 | 1.987484608 | 1.03E-05 | 0.958739204 | 0.653299624 | 1.406982076 | 0.82953355 |
| Grade | 1.154911618 | 0.974517914 | 1.368698127 | 0.096496554 | ||||
| Pylori infection | 0.963926203 | 0.737620758 | 1.2596632 | 0.787844008 | ||||
| Reflux history | 0.924983022 | 0.724883645 | 1.180318519 | 0.530665644 | ||||
| Residual tumor | 1.63205323 | 1.328798901 | 2.004515313 | 3.01E-06 | 1.17339795 | 0.922264043 | 1.492916004 | 0.193131887 |
| Anatomic neoplasm subdivision | 0.951290227 | 0.841094269 | 1.075923507 | 0.426631743 | ||||
| Ethnicity | 1.019005844 | 0.741051981 | 1.401214674 | 0.907767476 | ||||
| Race | 1.084867725 | 0.885392834 | 1.329283382 | 0.432000455 | ||||
| Number of lymph nodes positive | 1.048322314 | 1.032019933 | 1.064882217 | 3.60E-09 | 1.033726554 | 1.008532457 | 1.059550024 | 0.008417234 |