| Literature DB >> 32338125 |
Jin Zheng1, Xiaojun Hu1, Xiaoming Ding1, Yang Li1, Chenguang Ding1, Puxun Tian1, Heli Xiang1, Xinshun Feng1, Xiaoming Pan1, Hang Yan1, Jun Hou1, Xiaohui Tian1, Zunwei Liu1, Xuzhen Wang2, Wujun Xue1.
Abstract
Background: Due to the current high demand for transplant tissue, an increasing proportion of kidney donors are considered extended criteria donors, which results in a higher incidence of delayed graft function (DGF) in organ recipients. Therefore, it is important to fully investigate the risk factors of DGF, and establish a prediction system to assess donor kidney quality before transplantation.Entities:
Keywords: HMP; Kidney transplant; acute tubular injury; clinical information; histopathology
Year: 2020 PMID: 32338125 PMCID: PMC7241463 DOI: 10.1080/0886022X.2020.1752716
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ren Fail ISSN: 0886-022X Impact factor: 2.606
Donor and recipient characteristics.
| Parameter | |
|---|---|
| Donor characteristics | |
| Age | 50.8 ± 12.5 |
| Male/female ratio | 136/45 |
| BMI | 23.1 ± 2.9 |
| Primary disease | |
| Trauma | 78 (43.1%) |
| Cerebral hemorrhage | 82 (45.3%) |
| Hypoxic encephalopathy | 11 (6.1%) |
| Tumor | 4 (2.2%) |
| Others | 6 (3.3%) |
| sCr(µmol/L) | 113.0 ± 78.7 |
| BUN(mmol/L) | 8.6 ± 4.9 |
| Urine volume(ml/h) | 186.8 ± 56.8 |
| Warm ischemia time (min) | 5.1 ± 2.2 |
| Cold ischemia time (h) | 8.7 ± 3.4 |
| Hypertension | 115 (63.5%) |
| CPR | 23 (12.7%) |
| ECD | 82 (45.3%) |
| Recipient characteristics | |
| Age | 36.2 ± 9.3 |
| Male/female ratio | 237/96 |
| HLA mismatches (Res M) | 1.9 ± 0.8 |
| PRA | 44 (13.2%) |
| DGF | 46 (13.8%) |
| Following up time (days) | 297.8 ± 110.1 |
HLA: human leucocyte antigen; sCr: serum creatinine; BUN: blood urea nitrogen; CPR: Cardio pulmonary resuscitation; ECD: extended criteria donation; PRA: panel reactive antibody.
Figure 1.Distribution of the donor clinical scores, biopsy pathology scores and HMP parameters. (a) Distribution of donor clinical score; (b) Distribution of donor kidney Remuzzi score; (c) Distribution of donor kidney ATI score; (d) Distribution of donor kidney HMP flow parameter; (e) Distribution of donor kidney HMP RI parameter.
Correlation of donor scores, Remuzzi scores and HMP parameters.
| Correlation of biopsy pathology and HMP parameter | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flow (mL/min) | Resistant index (mmHg/(mL/min)) | Flow (mL/min) | Resistant index (mmHg/(mL/min)) | ||||
| Donor clinical score | Correlation coefficient | −0.183** | 0.248** | Remuzzi | Correlation coefficient | −0.380** | 0.356** |
| Sig. (2-tailed) | 0.001 | <0.001 | Sig. (2-tailed) | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||
**Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
Univariate analysis for risk factors of DGF (N = 333).
| Variables | Odds ratios | 95% Confidence interval for mean | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower bound | Upper bound | |||
| Donor score | 1.17 | 1.11 | 1.24 | <0.001 |
| Hypertension (mmHg) | 1.18 | 1.09 | 1.28 | <0.001 |
| sCr (µmol/L) | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.02 | <0.001 |
| Remuzzi | 1.33 | 1.15 | 1.53 | <0.001 |
| AN | 1.82 | 1.18 | 2.81 | 0.007 |
| ATI | 5.38 | 2.85 | 10.18 | <0.001 |
| Flow (mL/min) | 0.98 | 0.96 | 1.00 | 0.024 |
| RI ≥ 0.3 (mmHg/(mL/min)) | 2.97 | 1.54 | 5.72 | 0.001 |
Logistic regressions were performed, odds ratios and the 95% confidence intervals were reported.
sCr: serum creatinine; AN: Arteriole Narrow; ATI: Acute tubular atrophy; RI: resistance index.
Multivariate analysis for risk factors of DGF (N = 333).
| Variables | Odds ratios | 95% Confidence interval for mean | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower bound | Upper bound | |||
| Donor score | 1.12 | 1.06 | 1.19 | <0.001 |
| Remuzzi | 1.21 | 1.02 | 1.43 | 0.029 |
| ATI | 4.72 | 2.32 | 9.60 | <0.001 |
| R1 ≥ 0.3 (mmHg/(mL/min)) | 1.84 | 0.85 | 4.01 | 0.124 |
Logistic regression were performed, odds ratios and the 95% confidence intervals were reported.
sCr: serum creatinine; AN: Arteriole Narrow; ATI: Acute tubular atrophy; F1: terminal flow; R1: terminal resistance.
Receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curves for clinical, histopathological and HMP parameters as predictors of DGF post-transplant.
| Area under the curve | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Test result variable(s) | Area | Std. Errora | Asymptotic Sig.b | Asymptotic 95% confidence interval | |
| Lower bound | Upper bound | ||||
| Donor score | 0.75 | 0.039 | <0.001 | 0.68 | 0.83 |
| Remuzzi | 0.65 | 0.048 | 0.001 | 0.55 | 0.74 |
| RI (mmHg/(mL/min) | 0.65 | 0.044 | 0.002 | 0.56 | 0.73 |
| ATI | 0.67 | 0.049 | <0.001 | 0.57 | 0.76 |
| Predicted probability | 0.89 | 0.025 | <0.001 | 0.84 | 0.94 |
The test result variable(s): Donor score, Remuzzi, RI, ATI has at least one tie between the positive actual state group and the negative actual state group. Statistics may be biased.
aUnder the nonparametric assumption.
bNull hypothesis: true area = 0.5.
Figure 2.Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for predicting DGF post-transplant. ATI: acute tubular injury score; RI: resistance index; Predicted probability: fitting value of all test variables.