Relationship between birth weight and chronic kidney disease: evidence from systematics review and two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis.

Observational studies showed an inverse association between birth weight and chronic kidney disease (CKD) in adulthood existed. However, whether such an association is causal remains fully elusive. Moreover, none of prior studies distinguished the direct fetal effect from the indirect maternal effect. Herein, we aimed to investigate the causal relationship between birth weight and CKD and to understand the relative fetal and maternal contributions. Meta-analysis (n = ~22 million) showed that low birth weight led to ~83% (95% confidence interval [CI] 37-146%) higher risk of CKD in late life. With summary statistics from large scale GWASs (n = ~300 000 for birth weight and ~481 000 for CKD), linkage disequilibrium score regression demonstrated birth weight had a negative maternal, but not fetal, genetic correlation with CKD and several other kidney-function related phenotypes. Furthermore, with multiple instruments of birth weight, Mendelian randomization showed there existed a negative fetal casual association (OR = 1.10, 95% CI 1.01-1.16) between birth weight and CKD; a negative but non-significant maternal casual association (OR = 1.09, 95% CI 0.98-1.21) was also identified. Those associations were robust against various sensitivity analyses. However, no maternal/fetal casual effects of birth weight were significant for other kidney-function related phenotypes. Overall, our study confirmed the inverse association between birth weight and CKD observed in prior studies, and further revealed the shared maternal genetic foundation between low birth weight and CKD, and the direct fetal and indirect maternal causal effects of birth weight may commonly drive this negative relationship.