| Literature DB >> 32328455 |
Zhuoyi Liu1,2, Songshan Feng1,2, Jing Li3, Hui Cao4, Jun Huang1,2, Fan Fan1,2,5, Li Cheng6, Zhixiong Liu1,2, Quan Cheng1,2,7.
Abstract
Purpose: Our current understanding of low-grade brainstem glioma (LGBSG) is still limited. This study aimed to conduct a large-scale population-based real-world study to understand the epidemiological characteristics of LGBSG and determine the predictive factors of cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) of LGBSG patients. Patients andEntities:
Keywords: SEER; cancer-specific survival; low-grade brainstem glioma; nomogram; overall survival; real-world study
Year: 2020 PMID: 32328455 PMCID: PMC7160332 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2020.00391
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 6.244
Figure 1Flowchart of low-grade brainstem glioma patient selection.
Patient demographics, tumor characteristics, and treatment options of 305 low-grade brainstem glioma patients.
| Population size | 305 (100) | 165 (54.1) | 140 (45.9) | |
| Age, median (range), y | 8.31 (<22) | 46.01 (22–85) | ||
| Era of diagnosis | 0.353 | |||
| 2004–2009 | 134 (43.9) | 77 (25.2) | 57 (18.7) | |
| 2010–2015 | 171 (56.1) | 88 (28.9) | 83 (27.2) | |
| Sex | 0.500 | |||
| Female | 132 (42.3) | 68 (22.3) | 64 (20.0) | |
| Male | 173 (56.7) | 97 (31.8) | 76 (24.9) | |
| Race | 0.565 | |||
| Asian/Pacific Islander | 17 (5.6) | 9 (3.0) | 8 (2.6) | |
| Black | 27 (8.9) | 12 (3.9) | 15 (5.0) | |
| White | 261 (85.5) | 144 (47.2) | 117 (38.3) | |
| Marital status | ||||
| Unmarried | 224 (73.4) | 164 (53.8) | 60 (19.6) | <0.001 |
| Married | 81 (26.6) | 1 (0.3) | 80 (26.3) | |
| WHO grade | ||||
| I | 137 (44.9) | 98 (32.1) | 39 (12.8) | <0.001 |
| II | 168 (55.1) | 67 (22.0) | 101 (33.1) | |
| Surgery | 0.988 | |||
| Local excision/biopsy | 60 (19.7) | 32 (10.5) | 28 (9.2) | |
| STR | 65 (21.3) | 35 (11.5) | 30 (9.8) | |
| GTR | 180 (59.0) | 98 (32.1) | 82 (26.9) | |
| Size | ||||
| ≤ 3.6 cm | 158 (51.8) | 66 (21.6) | 92 (30.2) | <0.001 |
| >3.6 cm | 147 (48.2) | 99 (32.5) | 48 (15.7) | |
| Metastasis | ||||
| Yes | 8 (2.6) | 4 (1.3) | 4 (1.3) | 1.000 |
| No | 297 (97.4) | 161 (52.8) | 136 (46.6) | |
| Adjuvant therapy | ||||
| Both | 18 (5.9) | 14 (4.6) | 4 (1.3) | <0.001 |
| Radiotherapy | 100 (32.8) | 42 (13.7) | 58 (19.1) | |
| Chemotherapy | 25 (8.2) | 24 (7.9) | 1 (0.3) | |
| None/unknown | 162 (53.1) | 85 (27.9) | 77 (25.2) | |
| Extension | ||||
| Brainstem | 120 (39.4) | 75 (24.6) | 45 (14.8) | <0.001 |
| Cerebellum | 25 (8.2) | 15 (4.9) | 10 (3.3) | |
| Ventricular | 105 (34.4) | 43 (14.1) | 62 (20.3) | |
| Other | 55 (18.0) | 32 (10.5) | 23 (7.5) | |
| Cancer-specific death status | ||||
| Alive | 276 (90.5) | 155 (50.8) | 121 (39.7) | 0.042 |
| Dead | 29 (9.5) | 10 (3.3) | 19 (6.2) | |
| Vital status | ||||
| Alive | 265 (86.8) | 152 (49.8) | 113 (37.0) | 0.006 |
| Dead | 40 (13.2) | 13 (4.3) | 27 (8.9) | |
| Histology | ||||
| DAOT | 31 (10.2) | 19 (6.2) | 12 (4.0) | <0.001 |
| ET | 138 (45.2) | 45 (14.8) | 93 (30.4) | |
| OAT | 136 (44.6) | 101 (33.1) | 35 (11.5) |
P < 0.05, statistically significant.
Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analyses to determine prognostic factors of cancer-specific survival for patients with low-grade brainstem glioma.
| Age | ||||||
| ≥22 Adult | 84.9 | 74.7 | 1 [Reference] | 1 [Reference] | ||
| <22 Pediatric | 93.2 | 86.6 | 0.39 (0.18–0.84) | 0.016 | 0.28 (0.10–0.76) | 0.012 |
| Sex | ||||||
| Female | 88.1 | 83.5 | 1 [Reference] | 1 [Reference] | ||
| Male | 90.7 | 90.7 | 0.72 (0.35–1.49) | 0.375 | 0.96 (0.42–2.17) | 0.918 |
| Race | ||||||
| White | 90.0 | 7.6 | 1 [Reference] | 1 [Reference] | ||
| Black | 83.5 | 83.5 | 1.62 (0.56–4.66) | 0.374 | 1.42 (0.46–4.43) | 0.545 |
| Asian/Pacific Islander | 90.0 | / | 0.73 (0.10–5.37) | 0.753 | 1.41 (0.18–11.22) | 0.744 |
| Marital status | ||||||
| Unmarried | 88.1 | 93.6 | 1 [Reference] | 1 [Reference] | ||
| Married | 85.0 | 86.2 | 1.02 (0.45–2.31) | 0.956 | 0.54 (0.20–1.46) | 0.226 |
| Grade | ||||||
| I | 93.6 | 93.6 | 1 [Reference] | 1 [Reference] | ||
| II | 86.2 | 82.8 | 2.69 (1.15–6.30) | <0.001 | 2.57 (0.30–21.75) | 0.386 |
| Surgery | ||||||
| Local excision/biopsy | 81.3 | 81.3 | 1 [Reference] | 1 [Reference] | ||
| STR | 79.1 | / | 1.22 (0.50–2.97) | 0.659 | 1.64 (0.61–4.40) | 0.570 |
| GTR | 95.5 | 93.1 | 0.28 (0.11–0.69) | 0.005 | 0.40 (0.15–1.12) | 0.081 |
| Size | ||||||
| ≤ 3.6 cm | 88.4 | 86.2 | 1 [Reference] | 1 [Reference] | ||
| >3.6 cm | 90.6 | 88.9 | 0.82 (0.39–1.70) | 0.591 | 1.26 (0.49–3.25) | 0.634 |
| Metastasis | ||||||
| No | 90.0 | 87.8 | 1 [Reference] | 1 [Reference] | ||
| Yes | 68.6 | / | 2.75 (0.65–11.57) | 0.168 | 5.20 (1.03–26.38) | 0.046 |
| Adjuvant therapy | ||||||
| None/unknown | 93.9 | 92.0 | 1 [Reference] | 1 [Reference] | ||
| Radiotherapy | 81.6 | 81.6 | 2.46 (0.46–9.71) | 0.028 | 1.48 (0.57–3.82) | 0.421 |
| Chemotherapy | 94.4 | 78.7 | 1.37 (0.30–6.27) | 0.683 | 0.81 (0.14–4.50) | 0.806 |
| Both | 86.2 | / | 2.12 (0.46–9.71) | 0.333 | 0.93 (0.16–5.36) | 0.938 |
| Extension | ||||||
| Brainstem | 85.0 | 83.0 | 1 [Reference] | 1 [Reference] | ||
| Cerebellum | 92.0 | 92.0 | 0.58 (0.13–2.51) | 0.462 | 0.64 (0.13–3.16) | 0.581 |
| Ventricular | 95.4 | 92.2 | 0.36 (0.13–0.99) | 0.049 | 0.40 (0.14–1.20) | 0.010 |
| Other | 87.4 | 87.4 | 0.85 (0.33–2.16) | 0.727 | 0.91 (0.30–2.83) | 0.877 |
| Histology | ||||||
| ET | 92.1 | 88.2 | 1 [Reference] | 1 [Reference] | ||
| OAT | 93.6 | 93.6 | 0.64 (0.25–1.65) | 0.358 | 1.83 (0.20–17.33) | 0.596 |
| DAOT | 59.1 | 59.1 | 5.65 (2.45–13.08) | <0.001 | 5.14 (1.72–15.39) | 0.003 |
P < 0.05, statistically significant.
Figure 2Kaplan–Meier curves for patients with LGBSG by different variates. (A) Age group, (B) sex, (C) race, (D) marital status, (E) WHO grade, (F) surgery, (G) tumor size, (H) metastasis, (I) adjuvant therapy, (J) tumor extension, (K) histology.
Figure 3Kaplan–Meier curve for patients with LGBSG in non-GTR group (A) and GTR group (B) treated with different adjuvant therapies. Kaplan–Meier curve for pediatric patients (C) and adult patients (D) with different histology types.
Figure 4Decision tree for the management of low-grade brainstem glioma patient.
Training and validation cohort for nomogram to predict 5- and 8-year cancer-specific survival rates of low-grade brainstem glioma patient.
| Age | 1.000 | ||
| ≥22 Adult | 70 (23.0) | 70 (23.0) | |
| <22 Pediatric | 82 (26.9) | 83 (27.1) | |
| Sex | 0.448 | ||
| Female | 62 (20.3) | 70 (23.0) | |
| Male | 90 (29.5) | 83 (27.2) | |
| Race | 0.199 | ||
| White | 126 (41.3) | 135 (44.3) | |
| Black | 14 (4.6) | 13 (4.3) | |
| Asian or Pacific Islander | 12 (3.9) | 5 (1.6) | |
| Marital status | 0.417 | ||
| Unmarried | 108 (35.4) | 116 (38.0) | |
| Married | 44 (14.4) | 37 (12.2) | |
| WHO grade | 0.272 | ||
| I | 63 (20.7) | 74 (24.3) | |
| II | 89 (29.2) | 79 (25.8) | |
| Surgery | 0.399 | ||
| Local excision/biopsy | 34 (11.2) | 26 (8.5) | |
| STR | 29 (9.5) | 36 (11.8) | |
| GTR | 89 (29.2) | 91 (29.8) | |
| Size | 0.862 | ||
| ≤ 3.6 cm | 80 (26.2) | 78 (25.6) | |
| >3.6 cm | 72 (23.6) | 75 (24.6) | |
| Metastasis | 0.287 | ||
| No | 150 (49.2) | 147 (48.2) | |
| Yes | 2 (0.6) | 6 (2.0) | |
| Adjuvant therapy | 0.920 | ||
| No/unknown | 83 (27.2) | 79 (25.9) | |
| Both | 9 (3.0) | 9 (3.0) | |
| Radiotherapy | 49 (16.0) | 51 (16.7) | |
| Chemotherapy | 11 (3.6) | 14 (4.6) | |
| Extension | 0.731 | ||
| Brainstem | 61 (22.0) | 59 (19.3) | |
| Cerebellum | 14 (4.6) | 11 (3.6) | |
| Ventricular | 53 (17.4) | 52 (17.0) | |
| Other | 24 (7.9) | 31 (10.2) | |
| Cancer-specific death event | 1 | ||
| Alive | 138 (45.3) | 138 (45.2) | |
| Dead | 14 (4.6) | 15 (4.9) | |
| Vital status | 0.595 | ||
| Alive | 130 (42.6) | 135 (44.3) | |
| Dead | 22 (7.2) | 18 (5.9) |
Figure 5L1-penalized (Lasso) regression model were applied to further identified prognostic factors in training cohort. Race, surgery, histology, and adjuvant therapy were identified for CSS (A). LASSO coefficient profiles of the features (B). Ten-time cross-validation for tuning paremeter selection in the Lasso Model.
Figure 6Nomogram and internal calibration for cancer-specific survival rate. (A) Nomogram to predict 5- and 8-year CSS rates of low-grade brainstem glioma patients. The internal calibration curve to predict 5-year CSS rate in training cohort (B) and validation cohort (C). The internal calibration curve to predict 8-year CSS rate in training cohort (D) and validation cohort (E).
Figure 7Time-dependent ROC curve and areas under ROC curve at different time points. Areas under ROC curve of 5- and 8-year cancer-specific survival rates in training cohort (A) and validation cohort (B). Areas under ROC curve at different time points in training cohort (C) and validation cohort (D).
Figure 8Decision curve analysis for the nomogram and the model including surgery only in the prediction of the cancer-specific survival rates of patients at 5-year point in training cohort (A,C) and validation cohort (B,D).
Studies reporting prognostic factors of pediatric low-grade brainstem glioma patients.
| Sandri et al. ( | Focal BSG | 17 | 25 | GTR |
| Fried et al. ( | LGBSG | 96 | 57.6 | RT and CT was not associated with OS |
| Klimo et al. ( | Focal LGBSG | 52 | 120 | GTR, intrinsic tumor |
| Ahmed et al. ( | LGBSG | 48 | 177.6 | GTR, WHO grade, diffuse tumor |
| Lundar et al. ( | Low-grade midbrain glioma | 15 | 96 | GTR |
| Upadhyaya et al. ( | LGBSG | 23 | 106 | Combination of surgery, RT and CT |