| Literature DB >> 32301992 |
Muhammad Shahzeb Khan1, Maaz Shah Khan2, Zunaira Navid Ansari2, Tariq Jamal Siddiqi2, Safi U Khan3, Irbaz Bin Riaz4, Zain Ul Abideen Asad5, John Mandrola6, James Wason7,8, Haider J Warraich9,10, Gregg W Stone11, Deepak L Bhatt12, Samir R Kapadia13, Ankur Kalra13.
Abstract
Importance: Multiple analyses in a clinical trial can increase the probability of inaccurately concluding that there is a statistically significant treatment effect. However, to date, it is unknown how many randomized clinical trials (RCTs) perform adjustments for multiple comparisons, the lack of which could lead to erroneous findings.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32301992 PMCID: PMC7165301 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.3082
Source DB: PubMed Journal: JAMA Netw Open ISSN: 2574-3805
Characteristics of 511 Included Randomized Clinical Trials
| Variable | No. (%) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 (n = 106) | 2016 (n = 162) | 2017 (n = 159) | 2018 (n = 84) | Total (N = 511) | |
| Total participants, No. | 377 591 | 596 297 | 687 921 | 371 819 | NA |
| Participants per trial, No. | 3562 | 3681 | 4327 | 4426 | NA |
| Journals | |||||
| Cardiovascular | 74/342 (21.6) | 105/342 (30.7) | 105/342 (30.7) | 58/342 (17.0) | 342/511 (66.9) |
| General medicine | 32/169 (18.9) | 57/169 (33.7) | 54/169 (32.0) | 26/169 (15.4) | 169/511 (33.1) |
| Region | |||||
| North America | 9 (8.5) | 26 (16.0) | 31 (19.5) | 14 (16.7) | 80 (15.7) |
| Western Europe | 25 (23.6) | 39 (24.1) | 34 (21.4) | 12 (14.3) | 110 (21.5) |
| Multiregional | 35 (33.0) | 61 (37.7) | 57 (35.8) | 29 (34.5) | 182 (35.6) |
| Rest of the world | 15 (14.2) | 11 (6.8) | 11 (6.9) | 18 (21.4) | 55 (10.8) |
| Not mentioned | 22 (20.8) | 25 (15.4) | 26 (16.4) | 11 (13.1) | 84 (16.4) |
| Intervention type | |||||
| Drugs | 60 (56.6) | 79 (48.8) | 73 (45.9) | 39 (46.4) | 251 (49.1) |
| Procedures | 10 (9.4) | 23 (14.2) | 23 (14.5) | 18 (21.4) | 74 (14.5) |
| Medical devices | 7 (6.6) | 8 (4.9) | 8 (5.0) | 5 (6.0) | 28 (5.5) |
| Surgery | 5 (4.7) | 11 (6.8) | 7 (4.4) | 2 (2.4) | 25 (4.9) |
| Testing or imaging | 0 | 4 (2.5) | 7 (4.4) | 4 (4.8) | 15 (2.9) |
| Other | 24 (22.6) | 37 (22.8) | 41 (25.8) | 16 (19.0) | 118 (23.1) |
| Funding source | |||||
| No source | 0 | 1 (0.6) | 0 | 1 (1.2) | 2 (0.4) |
| Government funding | 27 (25.5) | 52 (32.1) | 45 (28.3) | 24 (28.6) | 148 (29.0) |
| University or organization | 17 (16.0) | 25 (15.4) | 30 (18.9) | 23 (27.4) | 95 (18.6) |
| Industry | 58 (54.7) | 76 (46.9) | 80 (50.3) | 34 (40.5) | 248 (48.5) |
| Not mentioned | 2 (1.9) | 6 (3.7) | 1 (0.6) | 1 (1.2) | 10 (2.0) |
| Other | 2 (1.9) | 2 (1.2) | 3 (1.9) | 1 (1.2) | 8 (1.6) |
| Trial size | |||||
| ≤500 Participants per group | 59 (55.7) | 86 (53.1) | 80 (50.3) | 43 (51.2) | 268 (52.4) |
| >500 Participants per group | 47 (44.3) | 76 (46.9) | 79 (49.7) | 41 (48.8) | 243 (47.6) |
Abbreviation: NA, not applicable.
Multiplicity Adjustment
| Variable | Frequency, No. (%) |
|---|---|
| Primary analysis contained multiple analyses, of those that identified a primary analysis (n = 511) | 300 (58.7) |
| Types of multiple analyses included, of those with multiple primary analyses (n = 300) | |
| Multiple treatment groups | 81 (27.0) |
| Multiple outcome variables | 45 (15.0) |
| Multiple analyses of the same outcome variable | 170 (56.7) |
| Multiple treatment groups and multiple outcome variables | 3 (1.0) |
| Multiple treatment groups and multiple analyses | 1 (0.3) |
| Adjusted for all multiple comparisons, of those with multiple primary analyses (n = 300) | 85 (28.3) |
Methods Used to Adjust for Multiplicity
| Variable | Articles that adjusted for multiplicity, No. (%) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For all primary analyses (N = 85) | With multiple treatment groups (n = 22) | With multiple outcome variables (n = 19) | With multiple analyses of the same outcome variable (n = 41) | With multiple treatment groups and multiple outcome variables (n = 3) | ||
| ≥2 Coprimary outcome variables with statistically significant treatment associations | 1 (1.2) | 0 | 1 (5.3) | 0 | 0 | <.001 |
| Bonferroni adjustment | 15 (17.6) | 4 (18.2) | 2 (10.5) | 8 (19.5) | 1 (33.3) | <.001 |
| Hochberg test | 5 (5.9) | 2 (9.1) | 1 (5.3) | 2 (4.9) | 0 | <.001 |
| Dunn test | 3 (3.5) | 2 (9.1) | 0 | 1 (2.4) | 0 | <.001 |
| Gatekeeping or hierarchical testing | 19 (22.4) | 5 (22.7) | 2 (10.5) | 11 (26.8) | 1 (33.3) | <.001 |
| Holm test | 3 (3.5) | 1 (4.5) | 1 (5.3) | 1 (2.4) | 0 | .001 |
| Adjusted | 26 (30.6) | 2 (9.1) | 11 (57.9) | 13 (31.7) | 0 | <.001 |
| Coprimary outcome variables and gatekeeping | 3 (3.5) | 3 (13.6) | 0 | 0 | 0 | <.001 |
| Fixed sequence test | 2 (2.4) | 0 | 1 (5.3) | 0 | 1 (33.3) | <.001 |
| Hommel test | 2 (2.4) | 0 | 0 | 2 (4.9) | 0 | <.001 |
| Dunnett test | 3 (3.5) | 3 (13.6) | 0 | 0 | 0 | <.001 |
| Tukey test | 3 (3.5) | 0 | 0 | 3 (7.3) | 0 | <.001 |
Comparisons of Reporting for Intervention Type, Funding Source, Trial Size, and Trial Type
| Variable | Primary analysis has multiple analyses, No./total No. (%) | Adjusted for multiplicity, No./total No. (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Intervention type | ||
| Drugs | 157/251 (62.5) | 48/157 (30.6) |
| Procedures | 42/74 (56.8) | 12/42 (28.6) |
| Medical devices | 17/28 (60.7) | 4/17 (23.5) |
| Surgery | 17/25 (68.0) | 2/17 (11.8) |
| Testing or imaging | 8/15 (53.3) | 1/8 (12.5) |
| Other | 59/118 (50.0) | 18/59 (30.5) |
|
| .27 | .22 |
| Funding source | ||
| None | 0/2 | 0/0 |
| Government | 88/148 (59.5) | 21/88 (23.9) |
| University or organization | 54/95 (56.8) | 16/54 (29.6) |
| Industry | 150/248 (60.5) | 46/150 (30.7) |
| Not mentioned | 4/10 (40.0) | 1/4 (25.0) |
| Other | 4/8 (50.0) | 1/4 (25.0) |
|
| .41 | .74 |
| Trial size | ||
| ≤500 Participants per group | 146/268 (54.5) | 52/146 (35.6) |
| >500 Participants per group | 154/243 (63.4) | 33/154 (21.4) |
|
| .04 | .001 |
| Trial type | ||
| Mortality | 177/267 (66.3) | 47/177 (26.6) |
| Nonmortality | 123/244 (50.4) | 38/123 (30.9) |
|
| <.001 | .09 |
P values from χ2 tests. For 8 comparisons, the ordered P values are compared with the Holm-corrected significance levels set at the following values until a comparison fails to reach significance: .0062, .007, .008, .01, .0125, .016, .025, and .05.