| Literature DB >> 32292686 |
Giovanni Gabutti1, Erica d'Anchera2, Federica Sandri2, Marta Savio2, Armando Stefanati1.
Abstract
In December 2019, some cases of viral pneumonia were epidemiologically related to a new coronavirus in the province of Hubei, China. Subsequently, there has been an increase in infections attributable to this virus throughout China and worldwide. The World Health Organization (WHO) has officially named the infection coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), and the virus has been classified as severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). This appears to be a virus from Rhinolophus bats, but the intermediate host has not yet been identified. The mechanism of infection of SARS-CoV-2 is not yet known; it appears to have affinity for cells located in the lower airways, where it replicates. The interhuman transmission of coronaviruses mainly occurs through saliva droplets and direct and indirect contact via surfaces. As of March 10, 2020, the number of cases worldwide was 113,702. Along with severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome (MERS), COVID-19 appears to cause a severe clinical picture in humans, ranging from mild malaise to death by sepsis/acute respiratory distress syndrome. The prognosis is worse in elderly patients with comorbidities. To date, there is no specific therapy for COVID-19. Prevention of SARS-CoV-2 infection implies strategies that limit the spread of the virus. WHO and other international and national bodies have developed continuously updated strategic objectives and provisions to contain the spread of the virus and infection.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; Coronavirus; Infectious disease; MERS; Pneumonia; Public health; SARS; SARS-COV-2
Year: 2020 PMID: 32292686 PMCID: PMC7139198 DOI: 10.1007/s40121-020-00295-5
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Infect Dis Ther ISSN: 2193-6382
List of important pathogenic coronaviruses (modified from [8])
| Host | Genus | Virus |
|---|---|---|
| Human | Alpha | Human CoV-229E Human CoV-NL63 |
| Beta | Human CoV-HKU1 Human CoV-OC43 SARS-CoV MERS-CoV | |
| Pig | Alpha | PRCV/ISU-1 TGEV/PUR46-MAD PEDV/ZJU-G1-2013 SeACoV-CH/GD-01 |
| Dog | Alpha | Canine CoV/TU336/F/2008 |
| Camel | Alpha | Camel alphacoronavirus isolate Camel/Riyadh |
| Cat | Alpha | Feline infectious peritonitis virus |
| Cow | Beta | Bovine CoV/ENT |
| Horse | Beta | Equine CoV/OBIHIRO12-1 |
| Mice | Beta | MHV-A59 |
| Chicken | Gamma | IBV |
| Whale | Gamma | Beluga whale CoV/SW1 |
| Bulbul | Delta | Bulbul coronavirus HKU11 |
Definition of cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection (modified from [23])
| Suspected case of COVID-19 | A patient with acute respiratory illness (fever and at least one sign/symptom of respiratory disease, e.g., cough, shortness of breath) AND with no other etiology that fully explains the clinical presentation AND a history of travel to or residence in a country/area or territory reporting local transmission of COVID-19 disease during the 14 days prior to symptom onset OR A patient with any acute respiratory illness AND having been in contact with a confirmed or probable COVID-19 case in the last 14 days prior to onset of symptoms OR A patient with severe acute respiratory infection (fever and at least one sign/symptom of respiratory disease, e.g., cough, shortness of breath) AND requiring hospitalization AND with no other etiology that fully explains the clinical presentation |
| Probable case | A suspect case for whom testing for COVID-19 is inconclusive |
| Confirmed case | A person with laboratory confirmation of COVID-19 infection, irrespective of clinical signs and symptoms |
Key findings from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention report (modified from [24, 25])
| Baseline characteristics | Confirmed cases, | Deaths, | Case fatality rate, % | Observed time, PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 44,672 | 1023 | 2.3 | 661,609 |
| Age, years | ||||
| 0–9 | 416 (0.9) | − | − | 4383 |
| 10–19 | 549 (1.2) | 1 (0.1) | 0.2 | 6625 |
| 20–29 | 3619 (8.1) | 7 (0.7) | 0.2 | 53,953 |
| 30–39 | 7600 (17.0) | 18 (1.8) | 0.2 | 114,550 |
| 40–49 | 8571 (19.2) | 38 (3.7) | 0.4 | 128,448 |
| 50–59 | 10,008 (22.4) | 130 (12.7) | 1.3 | 151,059 |
| 60–69 | 8583 (19.2) | 309 (30.2) | 3.6 | 128,088 |
| 70–79 | 3918 (8.8) | 312 (30.5) | 8.0 | 55,832 |
| ≥ 80 | 1408 (3.2) | 208 (20.3) | 14.8 | 18,671 |
| Sex | ||||
| Male | 22,981 (51.4) | 653 (63.8) | 2.8 | 342,063 |
| Female | 21,691 (48.6) | 370 (36.2) | 1.7 | 319,546 |
| Comorbidity conditiona | ||||
| Hypertension | 2683 (12.8) | 161 (39.7) | 6.0 | 42,603 |
| Diabetes | 1102 (5.3) | 80 (19.7) | 7.3 | 17,940 |
| Cardiovascular disease | 873 (4.2) | 92 (22.7) | 10.5 | 13,533 |
| Chronic respiratory disease | 511 (2.4) | 32 (7.9) | 6.3 | 8083 |
| Cancer (any) | 107 (0.5) | 6 (1.5) | 5.6 | 1690 |
| None | 15,536 (74.0) | 133 (32.8) | 0.9 | 242,948 |
| Missing | 23,690 (53.0) | 617 (60.3) | 2.6 | 331,843 |
| Case severityb | ||||
| Mild | 36,160 (80.9) | − | − | − |
| Severe | 6168 (13.8) | − | − | − |
| Critical | 2087 (4.7) | 1023 (100) | 49.0 | 31,456 |
| Missing | 257 (0.6) | − | − | − |
PD person-days, – not applicable
aThe comorbidity condition variable only includes a total of 20,812 patients and 504 deaths, and these values were used to calculate percentages in the confirmed cases and deaths columns
bThe case severity variable only includes a total of 44,415 patients and 1023 deaths, and these values were used to calculate percentages in the confirmed cases and deaths columns
Different scenarios and options to limit the impact of the epidemic (modified from [18])
| Scenarios | Characterization | Risk management and options for response |
|---|---|---|
| Scenario 0 | No case | Rapid identification of individual cases and prevention of domestic transmission |
| Scenario 1 | Some imported cases and local transmission with epidemiologic identification | Prevent transmission where possible and slow the progression of infection |
| Scenario 2 | Increase in imported cases and more than two generations of cases with inter-human transmission within the country with epidemiologic identification | Strengthen the health system, protect the population most at risk, increase the availability of airborne transmission precautions (PPE) and diagnostic tests |
| Scenario 3 | Localized outbreaks, which start to merge, becoming epidemiologically indistinct | Reduce burden on the health system and protect the population at risk |
| Scenario 4 | Widespread sustained transmission and health care system over-burdened because of the large demand for services | Mitigate the impact of dissemination, protect the population at risk and reduce excessive mortality |
| In December 2019, some cases of viral pneumonia in China were associated with a new coronavirus, which subsequently spread worldwide. WHO has officially named the infection COVID-19, and the virus has been classified as SARS-CoV-2. |
| The infection has three worsening clinical pictures: at the onset a mild malaise with symptoms of the upper respiratory tract, subsequently a mild pneumonia, which can later worsen with a picture of acute respiratory distress. |
| Early recognition of the clinical picture is essential to be able to start the correct preventive measures and supportive treatments in a short time to avoid possible complications in patients. A combination of public health measures, such as rapid identification, diagnosis and case management, identification and follow-up of contacts, and prevention and control of infections in healthcare facilities, is essential for preventive purposes; also implementation of health measures for travelers, awareness raising in the population and risk communication are important. |
| As of March 10, 2020, the number of confirmed cases worldwide was 113,702. According to the ECDC, the CFR for hospitalized COVID-19 cases is 4% and the R0 is estimated between 2 and 3. |
| Currently, there are many uncertainties about the origin of the virus, the extent and duration of transmission in humans, the ability to infect other animal hosts and the pathogenesis of human infections. The data collected to date are essential for understanding the threat posed by SARS-CoV-2. |