| Literature DB >> 32266143 |
Yue-Hua Zhang1,2, Yuquan Lu3, Hong Lu2, Yue-Min Zhou3.
Abstract
Lung cancer is a leading cause of cancer-related death, and >80% of lung cancer diagnoses are non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, when using current staging and prognostic indices, the prognosis can vary significantly. In the present study, we calculated a prognostic index for predicting overall survival (OS) in NSCLC patients. The data of 545 NSCLC patients were retrospectively reviewed. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were performed to evaluate the prognostic value of clinicopathological factors. Age (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.25, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.02-1.54), TNM stage (III, HR = 1.64, 95% CI = 1.08-2.48; IV, HR = 2.33, 95% CI = 1.48-3.69), lung lobectomy (HR = 1.96, 95% CI = 1.45-2.66), chemotherapy (HR = 1.42, 95% CI = 1.15-1.74), and pretreatment hemoglobin level (HR = 1.61, 95% CI = 1.28-2.02) were independent prognosticators. A prognostic index for NSCLC (PInscl, 0-6 points) was calculated based on age (≥65 years, 1 point), tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage (III, 1 point; IV, 2 points), lung lobectomy (no, 1 point), chemotherapy (no, 1 point), and pretreatment hemoglobin level (low, 1 point). In comparison with the "PInscl = 0" subgroup (survival time = 2.71 ± 1.86 years), the "PInscl = 2" subgroup (survival time = 1.86 ± 1.24 years), "PInscl = 3" subgroup (survival time = 1.45 ± 1.07 years), "PInscl = 4" subgroup (survival time = 1.17 ± 1.06 years), "PInscl = 5" subgroup (survival time = 0.81 ± 0.78 years), and "PInscl = 6" subgroup (survival time = 0.65 ± 0.56 years) exhibited significantly shorter survival times. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that patients with higher PInscl scores had poorer OS than those with lower scores (log-rank test: χ2 = 155.82, P < 0.0001). The area under the curve of PInscl for predicting the 1-year OS was 0.73 (95 % CI = 0.69-0.77, P < 0.001), and the PInscl had a better diagnostic performance than the Karnofsky performance status or TNM stage (P < 0.01). In conclusion, the PInscl, which is calculated from age, TNM stage, lung lobectomy, chemotherapy, and pretreatment hemoglobin level, significantly predicted OS in NSCLC patients.Entities:
Keywords: TNM; hemoglobin; non-small cell lung cancer; overall survival; prognostic model
Year: 2020 PMID: 32266143 PMCID: PMC7098984 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2020.00362
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 6.244
Figure 1Schematic diagram of participant enrollment in the present study.
Clinicopathological and lifestyle factors for patients with non-small cell lung cancer.
| Age (years), median ± SD | 63.9 ± 10.7 | 62.0 ± 9.3 | 0.036 | |
| <65 | 113 (48.5) | 177 (56.7) | 0.057 | |
| ≥65 | 120 (51.5) | 135 (43.3) | ||
| Sex | ||||
| Male | 160 (68.7) | 209 (67.0) | 0.678 | |
| Female | 73 (31.3) | 103 (33.0) | ||
| TNM stage | ||||
| I-II | 11 (4.7) | 65 (20.8) | <0.001 | |
| III | 84 (36.1) | 143 (45.8) | ||
| IV | 138 (59.2) | 104 (33.3) | ||
| KPS score | ||||
| ≥80 | 112 (48.1) | 212 (68.0) | <0.001 | |
| <80 | 121 (51.9) | 100 (32.1) | ||
| Lung lobectomy | ||||
| Yes | 29 (12.5) | 135 (43.3) | <0.001 | |
| No | 204 (87.6) | 177 (56.7) | ||
| Chemotherapy | ||||
| Yes | 94 (40.3) | 188 (60.3) | <0.001 | |
| No | 139 (59.7) | 124 (39.7) | ||
| Radiotherapy | ||||
| Yes | 29 (12.5) | 61 (19.6) | 0.027 | |
| No | 204 (87.6) | 251 (80.5) | ||
| Cigarette smoking | ||||
| No | 102 (43.8) | 136 (43.6) | 0.965 | |
| Yes | 131 (56.2) | 176 (56.4) | ||
| Alcohol consumption | ||||
| No | 186 (79.8) | 253 (81.1) | 0.713 | |
| Yes | 47 (20.2) | 59 (18.9) | ||
| Family history | ||||
| No | 217 (93.1) | 291 (93.3) | 0.950 | |
| Yes | 16 (6.9) | 21 (6.7) | ||
| Hemoglobin, g/L, median ± SD | 122.9 ± 20.3 | 130.3 ± 14.4 | <0.001 | |
| NPHb | 158 (67.8) | 265 (84.9) | <0.001 | |
| LPHb | 75 (32.2) | 47 (15.1) | ||
Data are presented as n (%) unless otherwise noted.
Chi square test. SD, standard deviation; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis; KPS, Karnofsky performance status; NPHb, normal pretreatment hemoglobin (men, 120–160 g/L; women, 110–150 g/L); LPHb, low pretreatment hemoglobin (men, <120 g/L; women, ≤110 g/L).
Univariate and multivariate analysis of prognostic factors for patients with non-small cell lung cancer.
| Age | <65 | 290 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| ≥65 | 255 | 1.42 | 1.18–1.73 | <0.001 | 1.23 | 1.00–1.52 | 0.052 | |
| Sex | Male | 369 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| Female | 176 | 1.00 | 0.82–1.23 | 0.972 | 1.09 | 0.79–1.50 | 0.608 | |
| TNM Stage | I-II | 76 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| III | 227 | 2.62 | 1.81–3.79 | 1.62 | 1.06–2.45 | 0.024 | ||
| IV | 242 | 4.39 | 3.04–6.33 | <0.001 | 2.31 | 1.45–3.68 | <0.001 | |
| KPS score | ≥80 | 324 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| <80 | 221 | 1.85 | 1.52–2.25 | <0.001 | 1.14 | 0.92–1.40 | 0.239 | |
| Lung lobectomy | Yes | 164 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| No | 381 | 3.10 | 2.44–3.94 | <0.001 | 1.93 | 1.42–2.63 | <0.001 | |
| Chemotherapy | Yes | 282 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| No | 263 | 1.63 | 1.34–1.98 | <0.001 | 1.41 | 1.13–1.76 | 0.002 | |
| Radiotherapy | Yes | 90 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| No | 455 | 1.31 | 1.01–1.70 | 0.044 | 1.04 | 0.78–1.38 | 0.811 | |
| Smoking | No | 238 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| Yes | 307 | 0.98 | 0.81–1.20 | 0.870 | 1.20 | 0.88–1.63 | 0.239 | |
| Alcohol consumption | No | 439 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| Yes | 106 | 1.04 | 0.82–1.32 | 0.757 | 1.07 | 0.82–1.38 | 0.622 | |
| Family history | No | 508 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| Yes | 37 | 0.91 | 0.61–1.36 | 0.638 | 0.90 | 0.60–1.36 | 0.630 | |
| Hemoglobin | NPHb | 432 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| LPHb | 122 | 1.82 | 1.45–2.27 | <0.001 | 1.54 | 1.22–1.94 | <0.001 | |
For univariate analysis, Cox proportional-hazards model included survival time (<1 or ≥1 year) and one of the following factors: Age, sex, TNM stage, KPS score, lung lobectomy, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, smoking, alcohol consumption, family history or hemoglobin.
For multivariate analysis, Cox proportional-hazards model included survival time (<1 or ≥1 year), age, sex, TNM stage, KPS score, lung lobectomy, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, smoking, alcohol consumption, family history, and hemoglobin. HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis; KPS, Karnofsky performance status; NPHb, normal pretreatment hemoglobin (men, 120–160 g/L; women 110–150 g/L); LPHb, low pretreatment hemoglobin (men, <120 g/L; women, ≤110 g/L).
Prognostic factors included in the final Cox proportional hazard model for prediction of 1-year survival of 545 patients with non-small cell lung cancer.
| Age | <65 | 290 | 1.00 | ||
| ≥65 | 255 | 1.25 | 1.02–1.54 | 0.030 | |
| TNM Stage | I–II | 76 | 1.00 | ||
| III | 227 | 1.64 | 1.08–2.48 | 0.020 | |
| IV | 242 | 2.33 | 1.48–3.69 | <0.001 | |
| Lung lobectomy | Yes | 164 | 1.00 | ||
| No | 381 | 1.96 | 1.45–2.66 | <0.001 | |
| Chemotherapy | Yes | 282 | 1.00 | ||
| No | 263 | 1.42 | 1.15–1.74 | 0.001 | |
| Hemoglobin | NPHb | 423 | 1.00 | ||
| LPHb | 122 | 1.61 | 1.28–2.02 | <0.001 |
HR, hazard ratio by multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression; CI, confidence interval; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis; NPHb, normal pretreatment hemoglobin (men, 120–160 g/L; women, 110–150 g/L); LPHb, low pretreatment hemoglobin (men, <120 g/L; women, ≤110 g/L).
Combined prognostic effects of age, TNM stage, lung lobectomy, chemotherapy, and pretreatment hemoglobin levels for 545 patients with non-small cell lung cancer.
| Total | 545 | 1.47 ± 1.27 | |||
| 0 | 26 | 2.71 ± 1.86 | 1.00 | ||
| 1 | 59 | 2.43 ± 1.53 | 1.48 | 0.75–2.95 | 0.261 |
| 2 | 73 | 1.86 ± 1.24 | 2.36 | 1.21–4.59 | 0.012 |
| 3 | 151 | 1.45 ± 1.07 | 4.18 | 2.23–7.82 | <0.001 |
| 4 | 131 | 1.17 ± 1.06 | 5.69 | 3.03–10.66 | <0.001 |
| 5 | 80 | 0.81 ± 0.78 | 8.75 | 4.57–16.76 | <0.001 |
| 6 | 25 | 0.65 ± 0.56 | 13.13 | 6.32–27.28 | <0.001 |
PInscl, prognostic index for non-small cell lung cancer (ref. .
Figure 2Cumulative survival of patients with non-small cell lung cancer according to the PInscl. Patients with higher PInscl scores (refer to Supplementary Table) exhibited a poorer overall survival than those with lower PInscl scores (log-rank test, χ2 = 155.82; P < 0.0001).
Figure 3Discriminatory power for PInscl predicting 1-year overall survival (OS). The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.73 (95 % confidence interval = 0.69–0.77, P < 0.0001).
Discriminatory power of the PInscl, KPS, and TNM for overall survival of non-small cell lung cancer patients.
| PInscl | 0.73 ± 0.02 (0.69–0.77) | 0.73 ± 0.02 (0.68–0.77) | 0.77 ± 0.03 (0.71–0.83) | 0.75 ± 0.04 (0.66–0.83) | 0.83 ± 0.06 (0.72–0.94) |
| KPS | 0.64 ± 0.02 (0.59–0.68) | 0.59 ± 0.03 (0.54–0.64) | 0.63 ± 0.03 (0.57–0.7) | 0.600± 0.05 (0.49–0.7) | 0.76 ± 0.06 (0.64–0.87) |
| TNM | 0.67 ± 0.02 (0.63–0.71) | 0.67 ± 0.03 (0.62–0.73) | 0.70 ± 0.03 (0.64–0.77) | 0.66 ± 0.05 (0.55–0.76) | 0.69 ± 0.08 (0.54–0.85) |
PInscl, prognostic index for non-small cell lung cancer; KPS, Karnofsky performance status; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis stage.
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