| Literature DB >> 32252672 |
Khalid Saad El Din1,2, Jonathan M Loree3,4, Eric C Sayre5, Sharlene Gill3,4, Carl J Brown6,7, Hallie Dau1,2, Mary A De Vera8,9,10.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Recent data suggest that the risk of young-onset colorectal cancer (yCRC), in adults less than 50 years of age, is increasing. To confirm findings and identify contemporary trends worldwide, we conducted a systematic review of studies examining population-level trends in yCRC epidemiology.Entities:
Keywords: Cancer; Epidemiology; Incidence; Meta-analysis; Young-adult cancer
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32252672 PMCID: PMC7137305 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-020-06766-9
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Cancer ISSN: 1471-2407 Impact factor: 4.430
Fig. 1PRISMA flow diagram for systematic review. This figure summarizes systematic review steps, combining the broad and specific search strategies as described in the Methods. Reporting is in accordance to Preferred Reporting for Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA)
Characteristics of included studies according to continent/region
| Study | Country | Population /Data Source | Cancer Information | yCRC age range (yr) | N (yCRC cases) | Outcomes | Quality Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Site | Definition | Stage | Primary/ Secondary | Incidence/Prevalence Trend | ||||||
| Chow, 1991 [ | USA | SEER-9 | colon | ICD-O | not reported | < 55 | not reported | incidence | AAPC x sex x ethnicity | 18 |
| Polednak, 1994 [ | USA | Connecticut Tumor Registry | colorectal | ICD-O | not reported | 0 to 44 | not reported | incidence | % change in ASR x sex | 18 |
| Marrett, 2002 [ | Canada | National Cancer Incidence Reporting System, CCR | colorectal | ICD-9 | not reported | 20 to 44 | w: 2692 m: 2876 | incidence | AAPC x sex | 18 |
| Cress, 2006 [ | USA | SEER-13 | colorectal, rectum | ICD-O-3 | in situ, invasive, localized, regional/distant | 0 to 49 | w: 6893 m: 7803 | incidence | 1. APC x sex 2. APC x sex x site | 17 |
| Siegel, 2009 [ | USA | SEER-13 | colorectal | ICD-O-3 | local, regional, distal | 20 to 49 | w: 9733 m: 10, 913 | incidence | APC x sex | 16 |
| Meyer, 2010 [ | USA | SEER-9 | colon, rectum | not reported | not reported | < 20 to 39 | w: 3662 m: 3999 | incidence | 1. APC x site 2. APC x sex x site | 17 |
| Merrill, 2011 [ | USA | SEER-9 | colorectal | ICD-O-2 | not reported | 30 to 49 | not reported | incidence | % change in RAIR x sex x ethnicity | 16 |
| Ellison, 2012 [ | Canada | CCR | colon, rectum | ICD-O-3 | not reported | 20 to 49 | not reported | prevalence | APC x age | 16 |
| Giddings, 2012 [ | USA | California Cancer Registry | colorectal | ICD-O-3 | localized, regional, distant | < 50 | w: 1278 m: 1259 | incidence | APC x sex x ethnicity | 19 |
| Nancy You, 2012 [ | USA | National Cancer Database | colon, rectum | ICD-O-3 | stage III, IV | < 50 | 64,068 | incidence | APC x site | 18 |
| Austin, 2014 [ | USA | CDC NPCR | proximal colon, distal colon, rectum | ICD-O-3 | local, regional, distal | < 50 | not reported | incidence | 1. APC x ethnicity 2. APC x sex x ethnicity | 18 |
| Siegel, 2014 [ | USA | SEER-13, CDC NPCR | proximal colon, distal colon, rectum | ICD-O-3 | local, regional, distal | < 50 | w: 6250 m: 7270 | incidence mortality | APC x site | 17 |
| Singh, 2014 [ | USA | California Cancer Registry | proximal colon, distal colon, rectum | ICD-O-3 | local, regional, or distant | 20 to 49 | 20,520 | incidence | BAPC x sex x age | 19 |
| Bailey, 2015 [ | USA | SEER-9 | colon, rectum | not reported | localized, regional, distant | 20 to 49 | 30,708 | incidence | 1. APC x age 2. APC x age x site | 18 |
| Rahman, 2015 [ | USA | SEER-18, North American Association of Central Cancer Registries | colorectal | not reported | stage 0, I, II, II, IV | < 50 | 60,023 | incidence mortality | AAPC | 17 |
| Patel, 2016 [ | Canada | National Cancer Incidence Reporting System, CCR, Quebec Cancer Registry | colon, rectum | ICD-O-3 | not reported | 15 to 49 | 1969: 756 2010: 1475 | incidence | 1. APC x age 2. APC x sex x age | 20 |
| Koblinkski, 2017 | US | SEER-18 | colorectal | not reported | local, regional, distal | < 50 | not reported | incidence | percent change x ethnicity x stage | 16 |
| Sheneman, 2017 [ | US | Colorado Cancer Registry | colorectal | ICD-O-3 | early, late | < 50 | 3729 | incidence | 1. EAPC 2. EAPC x sex | 18 |
| Siegel, 2017 [ | US | SEER-9, CDC NPCR | proximal colon, distal colon, rectum | ICD-O-3 | local, regional, distal | 0 to 49 | w: 6650 m: 7550 | incidence mortality | 1. AAPC x site 2. IRR x site | 17 |
| Siegel, 2017 [ | US | SEER-9 | proximal colon, distal colon, rectum | ICD-O-3 | not reported | 20 to 49 | not reported | incidence | APC x age x site | 19 |
| Wang, 2017 [ | US | Texas Cancer Registry | colorectal | ICD-O-3 | localized, regional, distant | 20 to 49 | 13,028 | incidence mortality | APC x age | 17 |
| Ansa, 2018 [ | US | SEER-18 | proximal colon, distal colon, rectum | ICD-O-3 | localized, regional, distant, or unstaged | 0 to 49 | 57,938 | incidence | APC x age | 18 |
| Crosbie, 2018 [ | US | SEER-9 | colorectal | ICD-O-3 | not reported | 20 to 49 | w: 4010 m: 4578 | incidence | APC x sex | 19 |
| Ellis, 2018 [ | US | California Cancer Registry | colorectal | not reported | in situ, localized, regional, distant | 20 to 49 | w: 1304 m: 1276 | incidence | TAPC x sex x ethnicity | 18 |
| Garcia, 2018 [ | US | SEER-18, CDC NPCR | colorectal | ICD-O-3 | localized, regional, distant | 20 to 49 | not reported | incidence | relative change in IR | 18 |
| Jacobs, 2018 [ | US | SEER-9 | colon, rectum | ICD-O-3 | Stage 0–2, 3, 4 | < 55 | not reported | incidence | % change of IR | 19 |
| Haggar, 2012 [ | Australia | Western Australia Data Linkage Service | colorectal | ICD-O-3 | not reported | 15 to 39 | 500 | incidence mortality | APC x sex | 18 |
| Boyce, 2016 [ | Australia | New South Wales Central Cancer Registry | colon, rectum | ICD-O-3 and ICD-10 | localised, regional, distant | < 30 to 49 | w: 971 m: 1030 | incidence mortality | average annual linear trend in R | 19 |
| Gandhi, 2017 [ | New Zealand | New Zealand Cancer Registry | proximal colon, distal colon, rectum | not reported | not reported | < 50 | not reported | incidence | rate of change of IR | 19 |
| Troeung, 2017 [ | Australia | Western Australia Cancer Registry | colorectal | ICD-9 and ICD-10 | tumour grade | 15 to 39 | w: 256 m: 261 | incidence mortality | 1. APC overall 2. APC x sex | 19 |
| Zaridze, 1990 [ | Russia | not well described | colon, rectum | not reported | not reported | <29 to 49 | not reported | incidence | APC x type x sex x age | 9 |
| Larsen, 2010 [ | Norway | Cancer Registry of Norway | colon, rectum | ICD-7 | not reported | 35 to 54 | w: 1739 m: 1707 | incidence | APC x age | 18 |
| Ullah, 2018 [ | Ireland | National Cancer Registry of Ireland | colorectal | not reported | not reported | 20 to 49 | 2750 | incidence | APC x age | 18 |
| Nooyi, 2011 [ | India | Indian Population-Based Cancer Registries | rectum | ICD-O | not reported | 35 to 49 | not reported | incidence | EAPC x sex x age | 16 |
| Wu, 2012 [ | China | Shanghai Cancer Registry | colorectal | ICD-9 | not reported | 15 to 49 | w: 312 m: 259 | incidence | APC x sex | 19 |
| Zhou, 2015 [ | China | Guangzhou Cancer Registry | colon, rectum | ICD-10 | not reported | < 50 | not reported | incidence | 1. APC 2. APC x sex | 18 |
| Nakagawa, 2017 [ | Japan | Japanese Population-Based Cancer Registries | colon, rectum | ICD-10 | not reported | < 50 | not reported | incidence | 1. APC x overall 2. APC x site | 19 |
| Sarakarn, 2017 [ | Thailand | Khon Kaen Cancer Registry | colorectal | ICD-O | stage I, II, III, and IV | < 50 | w: 1566 m: 1798 | incidence | 1. APC 2. APC x sex | 17 |
| Zhang, 2018 [ | China | Hong Kong Cancer Registry | colon, rectum | not reported | not reported | 20 to 49 | 8829 | incidence | APC x sex x type | 20 |
| Hamdi Cherif, 2014 [ | Algeria | Population-Based Cancer Registry of Setif | colorectal | ICD-O-3 | not reported | 15 to 44 | not reported | incidence | APC x sex | 19 |
Abbreviations: APC annual percent change (in incidence or prevalence); AAPC average annual percent change; ASR age-standardized incidence rate; BAPC biannual annual percent change; EAPC estimated annual percent change; TAPC triannual percent change; IR incidence rate; w women; m men; yCRC young-onset colorectal cancer; CDC Centre for Disease Control; ICD-O International Classification of Diseases for Oncology; ICD International Classification of Diseases;
SEER Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program Registry;
CCR Canadian Cancer Registry;
CDC NPCR Centre for Disease Control National Program for Cancer Registries
Pooled annual percent change in incidence (APCi), 95% confidence intervals, and p-values for yCRC overall, according to sex, and continent
*Sensitivity analyses to obtain pooled APCi overall, for women and men, and for North America were based on included USA studies using SEER data to account for potential overlap between studies; pooled APCi’s for Oceania, Europe, and Asia were unchanged as they were not subject to sensitivity analyses given fewer studies and different data sources;
-Primary analysis included 16 USA studies reporting APCi and thus represent the most inclusive pooling scenario.
-Sensitivity analysis 1 included 11 USA studies
-Sensitivity analysis 2 included 9 USA studies
-Sensitivity analysis 3 included 7 USA studies
‡Cochran’s Q-test non-significant and I-squared statistic (=0), suggesting no evidence of heterogeneity
Reported trends in incidence of yCRC incidence overall and according to sex
| Study | Date Range | Overall | Women | Men | Findingb |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chow 1991 [1991] | 1976–1987 | – | CC AAPC White: − 2.0 (< 0.05) CC AAPC Black: − 1.3 | CC AAPC White: − 0.7 CC AAPC Black: + 1.7 | not consistent |
| Polednak, 1994 [ | 1965–1991 | – | CRC % change ASR: − 19 ( | CRC % change ASR: − 29 ( | ↓ CRC m |
| Marrett 2002 [ | 1969–1996 | – | CRC AAPC: − 1.39 (− 1.69, − 1.08) | CRC AAPC: − 0.43 (− 0.77, − 0.08) | ↓ CRC w ↓ CRC f |
| Cress, 2006 [ | 1992–2001 | CRC APC: + 1.1a | CRC APC: + 1.4 RC APC: + 3.6 ( | CRC APC: + 0.8 RC APC: + 2.5 ( | ↑ RC w ↑ RC m |
| Siegel 2009 [ | 1992–2005 | – | CRC APC: + 1.6 ( | CRC APC: + 1.5 ( | ↑ CRC w ↑ CRC m |
| Meyer 2010 [ | 1973–2005 | CC APC: − 0.2 (− 0.6, 0.3) RC APC: + 2.6 (1.9, 3.3) | RC APC: + 2.5 (1.8, 3.8) | RC APC: + 2.5 (1.6, 3.4) | ↑ RC |
| Merrill, 2011 [ | 2000–2007 | – | CRC % change RAIR White: 21.7 CRC % change RAIR Black: 11.4 | % change CRC RAIR White: 2.0 CRC % change RAIR Black: 0.4 | ↑ CRC w ↑ CRC m |
| Giddings, 2012 [ | 1998–2007 | – | CRC APC Chinese: −1.8 (− 3.9, 0.3) CRC APC Japanese: − 0.1 (− 3.6, 3.7) CRC APC Filipino: − 0.1 (− 2.2, 2.1) CRC APC Korean: + 0.5 (− 2.0, 3.1) CRC APC South Asian: - CRC APC Vietnamese: + 2.2 (− 0.8, 5.2) | CRC APC Chinese: − 1.6 (− 3.3, 0.1) CRC APC Japanese: + 1.4 (− 2.5, 5.6) CRC APC Filipino: + 0.6 (− 1.6, 2.9) CRC APC Korean: + 3.4 (0.1, 6.7) CRC APC South Asian: + 1.5 (− 2.9, 6.2) CRC APC Vietnamese: + 1.8 (− 0.8, 4.4) | not consistent |
| Nancy You 2012 [ | 1998–2007 | CRC APC: + 2.1 (1.1, 3.1) CC APC: + 2.7 (2.0, 3.3) RC APC: + 3.9 (3.1, 4.7) | – | – | ↑ CRC ↑ CC ↑ RC |
| Austin 2014 [ | 1998–2009 | CRC APC N Hispanic White: + 1.69 (1.47, 1.91) Black: + 0.44 (− 0.03, 0.92) Asian: + 0.61 (− 0.41, 1.35) Hispanic White: + 0.59 (− 0.15, 1.33) | CRC APC N Hispanic White: + 1.79 (1.46, 2.11) Blacks: + 0.47 (− 0.39, 1.34) Asian: + 0.45 (− 0.57, 1.49) Hispanic White: + 0.76 (0.03, 1.5) | CRC APC N Hispanic White: + 1.61 (1.35, 1.87) Blacks: + 0.40 (− 0.14, 0.93) Asian: + 0.72 (− 0.53, 1.99) Hispanic White: + 0.42 (− 0.63, 1.48) | not consistent |
| Siegel 2014 [ | 2001–2010 | CRC APC: + 1.1 ( | – | – | ↑ CRC ↑ RC |
| Singh, 2014 [ | 1988–2009 | – | CRC BAPC 20-29y: + 3.8 ( CRC BAPC 30-39y: + 4.5 ( CRC BAPC 40-49y: + 2.6 ( | CRC BAPC 20-29y: + 2.7 ( CRC BAPC 30-39y: + 3.5 ( CRC BAPC 40-49y: + 2.7 ( | ↑ CRC w ↑ CRC m |
| Bailey 2015 [ | 1975–2010 | CRC APC 20-34y: + 1.99 (1.48, 2.51) CRC APC 35-49y: + 0.41 (0.14, 0.69) RC APC 20-34y localized: + 4.03 ( regional: + 3.05 ( distant: + 2.66 ( RC APC 35-49y localized: + 1.62 ( regional: + 1.37 ( distant: + 1.46 ( | – | – | ↑ CRC ↑ RC |
| Rahman 2015 [ | 1992–2009 | CRC AAPC: + 1.68 ( | – | – | ↑ CRC |
| Patel 2016 [ | 1997 to 2010 | CRC APC 15-29y: + 6.7 (4.3, 9.3) CRC APC 30-39y: + 2.4 (1.5, 3.3) CRC APC 40-49y: + 0.8 (0.3, 1.4) | CRC APC 15-29y: + 7.9 (1.1, 15.1) CRC APC 30-39y: + 2.3 (0.8, 3.7) CRC APC 40-49y: + 0.6 (0.1, 1.2) | CRC APC 15-29y: + 7.0 (3.7, 10.4) CRC APC 30-39y: + 2.5 (1.5, 3.4) CRC APC 40-49y: + 1.0 (0.4, 1.5) | ↑ CRC |
| Koblinski 2017 [ | 2000–2010 | CRC % change Hispanic localized:↑77%; regional: ↑56% distant: ↑57% CRC % change White localized:↑21%; regional: ↑18% distant: ↑41% | – | – | ↑ CRC |
| Sheneman 2017 [ | 2003–2013 | CRC EAPC: + 1.7 | CRC EAPC: + 0.6 | CRC EAPC: + 2.7 ( | ↑ CRC m |
| Siegel 2017 [ | 2004–2013 | CRC AAPC: + 1.6 ( CRC IRR: + 1.22 (1.17, 1.28) RC AAPC: + 2.0 ( RC IRR: + 1.22 (1.13, 1.31) | – | – | ↑ CRC ↑ RC |
| Siegel 2017 [ | 1974–2013 | CC APC 20-29y: + 2.4 (1.6, 3.3) CC APC 30-39y: + 1.0 (0.5, 1.5) CC APC 40-49y: + 1.3 (0.7, 1.8) RC APC 20-29y: + 3.2 (2.4, 3.9) RC APC 30-39y: + 3.2 (2.7, 3.7) RC APC 40-49y: + 2.3 (1.8, 2.7) | – | – | ↑ CC ↑ RC |
| Wang 2017 [ | 1995–2010 | CRC APC 20-39y: + 1.82 ( CRC APC 40-49y: + 0.33 ( | – | – | no consistent |
| Ansa, 2018 [ | 2000–2014 | CRC APC < 40: + 2.7 ( CRC APC 40-49y: + 1.7 ( | – | – | ↑ CRC |
| Crosbie, 2018 [ | 1992–2014 | CRC APC: + 1.8 ( | CRC APC: + 1.8 ( | CRC APC: + 1.7 ( | ↑ CRC |
| Ellis, 2018 [ | 2010–2014 | – | CRC TAPC Chinese: + 0.1 (− 2.1, 2.4) CRC TAPC Japanese: + 0.5 (− 3.1, 4.1) CRC TAPC Filipino: − 0.6 (− 3.5, 2.4) CRC TAPC Korean: + 0.8 (− 3.8, 5.5) CRC TAPC South Asian: + 4.3 (− 2.0, 10.9) CRC TAPC Vietnamese: − 0.5 (− 3.1. 2.2) CRC TAPC SEast Asian: - CRC TAPC White: + 1.9 (0.8, 2.9) CRC TAPC Black: + 0.3 (− 0.7, 1.4) CRC TAPC Hispanic: + 2.1 (1.2, 3.1) | CRC TAPC Chinese: + 0.4 (− 2.0, 2.9) CRC TAPC Japanese: + 1.5 (− 2.0, 5.0) CRC TAPC Filipino: + 1.1 (− 1.1, 3.3) CRC TAPC Korean: + 0.7 (− 1.8, 3.3) CRC TAPC South Asian: − 0.9 (− 5.7, 4.2) CRC TAPC Vietnamese: + 1.1 (− 3.9, 6.2) CRC TAPC SEast Asian: − 1.0 (− 3.8, 1.9) CRC TAPC White: + 0.9 (0.4, 1.4) CRC TAPC Black: − 0.9 (− 2.2, 0.4) CRC TAPC Hispanic: + 1.6 (0.3, 2.9) | not consistent |
| Garcia, 2018 [ | 2001–2014 | CRC relative increase IR: 24% | – | – | ↑ CRC |
| Jacobs, 2018 [ | 1973–2014 | CC % change IR: 41.5 (37.4, 45.8) RC % change IR: 9.8 (6.2, 13.6) | ↑ CRC ↑ RC | ||
| Haggar 2012 [ | 1982–2007 | – | CRC APC: + 1.4 (0.1, 2.7) | CRC APC: − 0.4 (− 1.7, 1.0) | ↑CRC w |
| Boyce 2016 [ | 2001–2008 | CRC OR: 1.03 (0.99, 1.07) | – | – | no change |
| Gandhi 2017 [ | 1975–2012 | – | RC IRR: 1.13 (1.2, 1.26) | RC IRR: 1.18 (1.06, 1.32) | ↑ RC w ↑ RC m |
| Troeung 2017 [ | 1982–2007 | CRC APC: + 3.0 (0.7, 5.5) | CRC APC: + 3.4 (1.1, 5.7) | CRC APC: + 2.6 (− 0.9, 5.2) | ↑ CRC w |
| Zaridze, 1990 [ | 1971–1987 | – | CC APC <29y: − 0.1 (− 14.2, 14.3) CC APC 30-39y: − 1.3 (− 7.4, 5.1) CC APC 40-49y: + 8.2 (4.6, 11.9) RC APC < 29y: − 13.7 (− 26.4, 0.2) RC APC 30-39y: − 9.1 (− 18.3, 1.2) RC APC 40-49y: + 4.3 (0.5, 8.3) | CC APC <29y: − 9.1 (− 17.2, − 0.3) CC APC 30-39y: − 2.9 (− 9.7, 4.5) CC APC 40-49y: + 3.2 (− 0.1, 6.6) RC APC < 29y: − 16.5 (− 29.3, − 1.5) RC APC 30-39y: − 11.1 (− 16.4, − 5.4) RC APC 40-49y: + 3.7 (− 1.4, 9.1) | no consistent |
| Larsen 2010 [ | 1992–2006 | – | proximal CC EAPC: ≥ − 2 distal CC EAPC: − 1 RC EAPC: <+ 1 | proximal CC EAPC: < 1 distal CC EAPC: ≥ − 2 RC EAPC: <+ 1 | no change w no change m |
| Ullah, 2018 [ | 1994–2012 | CRC APC 20-29y: + 9.17 ( CRC APC 30-39y: + 4.6 ( CRC APC 40-49y: + 0.83 ( | – | – | not consistent |
| Nooyi, 2011 [ | 1983–2002 | – | RC EAPC 35–39 y: - RC EAPC 40-44y: + 1.7 ( RC EAPC 45–49y: + 0.4 ( | RC EAPC 35-39y: + 3.1 ( RC EAPC 40-44y: + 1.8 ( RC EAPC 45–49y: + 1.4 ( | no change w no change m |
| Wu 2012 [ | 1973–2005 | – | CRC APC: − 0.3 (− 0.9, 0.3) | CRC APC: 0.1 (− 0.4, 0.4) | no change w no change m |
| Zhou 2015 [ | 2005–2011 | CRC APC: −3.07 ( | CRC APC: −2.56 ( | CRC APC: −3.45 ( | ↓ CRC |
| Nakagawa 2017 [ | 1987–2004 | CRC APC: −0.8 (−1.7, 0.1) RC APC: − 1.9 (− 2.6, − 1.1) | – | – | ↓ RC |
| Sarakarn 2017 [ | 1989–2012 | CRC AAPC: + 5.7 | CRC AAPC: + 5.7 ( | CRC AAPC: + 3.2 ( | ↑ CRC w ↑ CRC m |
| Zhang, 2018 [ | 1983–2012 | CC APC: − 1.56 (− 1.73, − 1.39) RC APC: − 0.17 (− 0.40, 0.05) | CC APC: − 1.11 (− 1.32, 0.90) RC APC: + 0.60 (0.37, 0.84) | not consistent | |
| Hamdi Cherif, 2014 [ | 1986–2010 | – | CRC APC: − 2.1 (− 6.3, 2.3) | CRC APC: − 0.8 (− 4.7, 3.3) | no change w no change m |
a- obtained from authors after contacting them; b-key finding(s) indicate consistent trends identified from each study
Abbreviations: CRC colorectal cancer; RC rectal cancer; CC colon cancer; APC annual percent change; AAPC average annual percent change; ASR age-standardized incidence rates; EAPC estimated annual percent change; RAIR risk-adjusted incidence rate; BAPC biannual percent change; TAPC triannual percent change; IRR incidence rate ratio; OR odds ra