| Literature DB >> 32134937 |
Lindsey Bargelt1, Marie-Josée Fortin2, Dennis L Murray1.
Abstract
Current targets for protected area network coverage call for increased protection but lack specificity in terms of criteria for parcel type, placement, and landscape connectivity. We assessed land conservation achieved by protected area networks in the contiguous United States, and assessed whether private lands contributed substantially to network coverage and connectivity given species dispersal abilities. On average, states have 4.1% (range: 0.2% to 15.8%, n = 48) protected area coverage with connectivity ≤10 km. Terrain ruggedness, percent farmland, and population density are the primary determinants of protected area placement, leading to biased representation of land features currently under protection. On average, private protected areas contribute <1.1% (range 0.0% to 9.2%) to current protected area coverage across the United States. We conclude that current levels of protection and connectivity are inadequate to support a functional protected area network, and that increased and strategic selection of private protected areas is necessary to meet conservation planning goals.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32134937 PMCID: PMC7058307 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0228946
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1A) Average percent of protected and connected lands (ProtConnAll), when considering all protected areas, for the contiguous United States, across seven dispersal distances (0.5 km, 1.0 km, 5.0 km, 10.0 km, 30.0 km, 50.0 km and 100.0 km). Standard error bars are n = 48 states. B) Percent of each state that is protected by a World Database of Protected Areas (WDPA) or National Conservation Easement Database (NCED) protected area patch and connected to another patch (ProtConnAll) within a median dispersal (d) of 10 km.
Fig 2Difference between protected and connected patches (ProtConnAll) and only publicly protected patches connected (ProtConnPublic), averaged for seven dispersal distances in the contiguous United States.
Modeling predictors of state protected areas.
| Parameter ( | AICc | ΔAIC | McFadden | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrain Ruggedness | 3 | 1425.2 | 0 | 0.256 | 0.014 |
| Terrain Ruggedness + Per Capita Income | 4 | 1426.1 | 0.9 | 0.161 | 0.016 |
| % Farmland + Population Density | 4 | 1426.7 | 1.5 | 0.123 | 0.001 |
| Terrain Ruggedness + % Private Protected | 4 | 1426.7 | 1.5 | 0.121 | 0.013 |
| Terrain Ruggedness + % Farmland | 4 | 1427.6 | 2.4 | 0.078 | 0.016 |
| Terrain Ruggedness * % Farmland | 5 | 1427.7 | 2.5 | 0.075 | 0.016 |
| % Farmland + Population Density + Per Capita Income | 5 | 1427.8 | 2.6 | 0.070 | 0.016 |
| Terrain Ruggedness + % Farmland + Per Capita Income | 5 | 1428.6 | 3.4 | 0.047 | 0.008 |
| Terrain Ruggedness + % Farmland + % Private Protected | 5 | 1429.2 | 4.0 | 0.035 | 0.011 |
| Population Density | 3 | 1429.4 | 4.2 | 0.031 | 0.004 |
Top ten multi-variable models relating percent of each state that is protected relative to geographic, sociopolitical and economic factors for the contiguous United States. Twelve additional models, including a null model, were used in the modeling exercise but are excluded from the table due to low AIC weight (all w < 0.001).
Modeling predictors of state ProtConnAll.
| Parameter ( | AICc | ΔAIC | McFadden | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrain Ruggedness | 3 | 1344.8 | 0 | 0.393 | 0.011 |
| Terrain Ruggedness + % Private Protected | 4 | 1347.0 | 2.3 | 0.126 | 0.011 |
| Terrain Ruggedness * % Farmland | 5 | 1347.1 | 2.3 | 0.125 | 0.013 |
| Terrain Ruggedness + % Farmland | 4 | 1347.1 | 2.3 | 0.125 | 0.011 |
| Terrain Ruggedness + Per Capita Income | 4 | 1347.1 | 2.4 | 0.119 | 0.011 |
| Terrain Ruggedness + % Farmland + % Private Protected | 5 | 1349.3 | 4.6 | 0.040 | 0.012 |
| Terrain Ruggedness + % Farmland + Per Capita Income | 5 | 1349.6 | 4.8 | 0.036 | 0.011 |
| % Farmland + Population Density + Per Capita Income | 5 | 1350.8 | 6.0 | 0.020 | 0.011 |
| % Farmland + Population Density | 4 | 1351.9 | 7.1 | 0.011 | 0.008 |
| Population Density | 3 | 1354.6 | 9.9 | 0.003 | 0.004 |
Top ten multi-variable models relating percent of each state that is protected and connected (ProtConnAll) for d = 10 km relative to geographic, sociopolitical and economic factors for the contiguous United States. Twelve additional models, including a null model, were used in the modeling exercise but are excluded from the table due to low AIC weight (all w < 0.001).