| Literature DB >> 32038988 |
Zheng Wang1, Hui Wang1, Xi Sun1, Yan Fang1, Shuang-Shuang Lu1, Shu-Ning Ding1, Xiao-Song Chen1, Kun-Wei Shen1.
Abstract
Background and Aims: This research aimed to construct a novel model for predicting overall survival (OS) and surgical benefit in triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) patients with de novo distant metastasis.Entities:
Keywords: metastasis; nomogram; overall survival; therapeutic decision; triple-negative breast cancer
Year: 2020 PMID: 32038988 PMCID: PMC6992581 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2020.00014
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 6.244
Figure 1Patient selection flowchart.
Baseline clinicopathological characteristics of the included patients with initially diagnosed metastatic triple-negative breast cancer.
| White | 630 (68.6) | 13.0 (11.9–14.1) | 194 (63.4) | 12.0 (10.0–14.0) | 343 (66.9) | 14.0 (12.4–15.6) |
| Black | 236 (25.7) | 12.0 (10.5–13.5) | 88 (28.8) | 12.0 (9.7–14.3) | 125 (24.4) | 11.0 (10.0–12.0) |
| OthersΔ | 52 (5.7) | 13.0 (8.0–18.0) | 24 (7.8) | 14.0 (11.1–16.9) | 45 (8.8) | 14.0 (11.3–16.7) |
| <50 | 225 (24.5) | 15.0 (13.2–16.8) | 74 (24.2) | 14.0 (12.3–15.7) | 120 (23.4) | 15.0 (12.7–17.3) |
| 50–69 | 485 (52.8) | 13.0 (11.4–14.6) | 164 (53.6) | 13.0 (11.3–1.47) | 257 (50.1) | 14.0 (10.8–17.2) |
| ≥70 | 208 (22.7) | 8.0 (5.6–10.4) | 68 (22.2) | 9.0 (5.0–13.0) | 136 (26.5) | 10.0 (7.8–12.2) |
| Married | 383 (41.7) | 15.0 (13.4–16.6) | 126 (41.2) | 14.0 (12.1–15.9) | 241 (47.0) | 16.0 (12.9–19.1) |
| Unmarried | 535 (58.3) | 11.0 (9.8–12.2) | 180 (58.8) | 12.0 (10.3–13.7) | 272 (53.0) | 11.0 (9.9–12.1) |
| I | 12 (1.3) | 13.0 (7.9–18.1) | 1 (0.3) | / | 7 (1.4) | / |
| II | 155 (16.9) | 13.0 (12.0–14.0) | 50 (16.3) | 13.0 (11.4–14.6) | 96 (18.7) | 13.0 (11.5–14.5) |
| III | 751 (81.8) | 11.0 (7.8–14.2) | 255 (83.3) | 12.0 (9.4–14.6) | 410 (79.9) | 13.0 (11.2–14.8) |
| T1 | 91 (9.9) | 16.0 (10.3–21.7) | 30 (9.8) | 14.0 (10.0–18.0) | 52 (10.1) | 17.0 (10.8–23.2) |
| T2 | 271 (29.5) | 15.0 (13.0–17.0) | 94 (30.7) | 14.0 (12.0–16.0) | 149 (29.0) | 14.0 (10.3–17.7) |
| T3 | 180 (19.6) | 14.0 (11.8–16.2) | 57 (18.6) | 13.0 (10.3–15.7) | 104 (20.3) | 13.0 (10.2–15.8) |
| T4 | 376 (41.0) | 9.0 (7.6–10.4) | 125 (40.8) | 11.0 (9.1–12.9) | 208 (40.5) | 12.0 (9.8–14.2) |
| Negative | 202 (22.0) | 13.0 (12.0–14.0) | 47 (15.4) | 13.0 (11.6–14.4) | 105 (20.5) | 14.0 (11.1–16.9) |
| Positive | 716 (78.0) | 11.0 (8.7–13.3) | 259 (84.6) | 11.0 (7.0–15.0) | 408 (79.5) | 13.0 (11.1–14.9) |
| No | 538 (58.6) | 15.0 (13.4–16.6) | 173 (56.5) | 14.0 (12.5–15.5) | 284 (55.4) | 15.0 (13.4–16.6) |
| Yes | 380 (41.4) | 11.0 (9.6–12.4) | 133 (43.5) | 10.0 (7.7–12.3) | 229 (44.6) | 11.0 (8.8–13.2) |
| No | 835 (91.0) | 13.0 (12.1–13.9) | 271 (88.6) | 13.0 (11.5–14.5) | 460 (89.7) | 14.0 (12.3–15.7) |
| Yes | 83 (9.0) | 6.0 (3.5–8.5) | 35 (11.4) | 7.0 (2.4–11.6) | 53 (10.3) | 6.0 (4.0–8.0) |
| No | 654 (71.2) | 15.0 (13.6–16.4) | 220 (71.9) | 13.0 (11.6–14.4) | 375 (73.1) | 14.0 (12.1–15.9) |
| Yes | 264 (28.8) | 9.0 (7.3–10.7) | 86 (28.1) | 8.0 (4.2–11.8) | 138 (26.9) | 11.0 (6.5–15.5) |
| No | 533 (58.1) | 13.0 (11.7–14.3) | 199 (65.0) | 14.0 (12.8–15.2) | 306 (59.6) | 14.0 (11.8–16.2) |
| Yes | 385 (41.9) | 12.0 (10.6–13.4) | 107 (35.0) | 10.0 (7.1–12.9) | 207 (40.4) | 12.0 (9.4–14.6) |
| No | 203 (22.1) | 3.0 (2.2–3.8) | 65 (21.2) | 2.0 (1.4–2.6) | 105 (20.5) | 3.0 (1.7–4.3) |
| Yes | 715 (77.9) | 15.0 (13.8–16.2) | 241 (78.8) | 15.0 (13.8–16.2) | 408 (79.5) | 15.0 (13.4–16.6) |
| No | 465 (50.7) | 8.0 (6.9–9.1) | 160 (52.3) | 10.0 (7.8–12.2) | 333 (64.9) | 10.0 (8.5–11.5) |
| Yes | 453 (49.3) | 18.0 (16.5–19.5) | 146 (47.7) | 16.0 (12.7–19.3) | 180 (35.1) | 18.0 (14.3–21.7) |
ΔOthers include American Indian, AK Native, Asian, and Pacific Islander.
OS, Overall Survival; CI, Confidence Interval.
Univariate and multivariate analyses for overall survival.
| Race | 0.810 | ||
| White | |||
| Black | |||
| Others | |||
| Age | 0.001 | 0.001 | |
| <50 | 0.671 (0.546–0.824) | <0.001 | |
| 50–69 | 0.765 (0.641–0.913) | 0.003 | |
| ≥70 | Reference | ||
| Marriage | <0.001 | 0.004 | |
| Married | 0.810 (0.702–0.936) | 0.004 | |
| Unmarried | Reference | ||
| Grade | 0.441 | ||
| I | |||
| II | |||
| III | |||
| T stage | <0.001 | <0.001 | |
| T1 | 0.664 (0.513–0.859) | 0.002 | |
| T2 | 0.689 (0.581–0.818) | <0.001 | |
| T3 | 0.705 (0.583–0.853) | <0.001 | |
| T4 | Reference | ||
| N stage | 0.249 | ||
| Negative | |||
| Positive | |||
| Bone metastasis | <0.001 | <0.001 | |
| Yes | 1.432 (1.239–1.655) | <0.001 | |
| No | Reference | ||
| Brain metastasis | <0.001 | <0.001 | |
| Yes | 1.769 (1.394–2.246) | <0.001 | |
| No | Reference | ||
| Liver metastasis | <0.001 | <0.001 | |
| Yes | 1.769 (1.518–2.060) | <0.001 | |
| No | Reference | ||
| Lung metastasis | <0.001 | <0.001 | |
| Yes | 1.313 (1.135–1.519) | <0.001 | |
| No | Reference | ||
Figure 2Forest plot showing the results of multivariate analysis for overall survival.
Figure 3Nomogram for predicting 2-, 3- and 5-years overall survival in TNBC patients with de novo distant metastasis.
Scores of clinical variables in each subgroup.
| Age | Bone metastasis | ||
| <50 | 0 | No | 0 |
| 50–69 | 23 | Yes | 63 |
| ≥70 | 70 | Lung metastasis | |
| Marriage | No | 0 | |
| Married | 0 | Yes | 47 |
| Unmarried | 36 | Liver metastasis | |
| T stage | No | 0 | |
| T1 | 0 | Yes | 99 |
| T2 | 7 | Brain metastasis | |
| T3 | 11 | No | 0 |
| T4 | 72 | Yes | 100 |
Figure 4Calibration curves for predicting 2-years (A) and 3-years (B) overall survival in the training cohort, 2-years (C) and 3-years (D) overall survival in validation cohort I and 2-years (E) and 3-years (F) overall survival in validation cohort II.
Figure 5Kaplan curves of low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups in all cohorts (A), the training cohort (B), and validation cohort I+II (C). Cumulative breast cancer-specific and competitive mortality curves stratified by risk groups in all cohorts (D), the training cohort (E), and validation cohort I+II (F).
Figure 6Survival benefit of surgery in the low-risk (A), intermediate-risk (B), and high-risk (C) groups.
Figure 7Survival benefit of chemotherapy in the low-risk (A), intermediate-risk (B), and high-risk (C) groups.