| Literature DB >> 32024043 |
Sebastian Krämer1, Johannes Broschewitz1, Holger Kirsten2, Carolin Sell1, Uwe Eichfeld1, Manuel Florian Struck3.
Abstract
Iatrogenic tracheal ruptures are rare but severe complications of medical interventions. The main goal of this study was to explore prognostic factors for all-cause mortality and rupture-related (adjusted) mortality. We retrospectively analyzed patients admitted to an academic referral center over a 15-year period (2004-2018). Fifty-four patients met the inclusion criteria, of whom 36 patients underwent surgical repair and 18 patients were treated conservatively. In a 90-day follow-up, the all-cause mortality was 50%, while the adjusted mortality was 13%. Rupture length was identified as a predictor for all-cause mortality (area under the curve, 0.84; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.74-0.94) with a cutoff rupture length of 4.5 cm (sensitivity, 0.70; specificity, 0.81). Multivariate analysis confirmed rupture length as a prognostic factor for all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.5; 95% CI 1.2-1.9; p = 0.001), but not for adjusted mortality (HR 1.5; 95% CI 0.97-2.3; p = 0.068), while mediastinitis predicted adjusted mortality (HR 5.8; 95% CI 1.1-31.7; p = 0.042), but not all-cause mortality (HR 1.6; 95% CI 0.7-3.5; p = 0.243). The extent of iatrogenic tracheal rupture and mediastinitis might be relevant prognostic factors for all-cause mortality and adjusted mortality, respectively.Entities:
Keywords: iatrogenic; injury; laceration; survival; tracheal rupture; tracheobronchial
Year: 2020 PMID: 32024043 PMCID: PMC7074133 DOI: 10.3390/jcm9020382
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Clin Med ISSN: 2077-0383 Impact factor: 4.241
Comparison of characteristics between different causative events.
| Parameter | Overall | INT | TT | SUR |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patients; | 54 | 35 | 13 | 6 | |
| Female; | 40 (74.1) | 26 (74.3) | 10 (76.9) | 4 (66.7) | 0.903 |
| Age, years; mean (SD) | 66.9 (16.3) | 68.5 (17.7) | 64.6 (11.9) | 62.3 (16.7) | 0.261 |
| Weight, kg; mean (SD) | 76.1 (18.8) | 74.9 (16.7) | 79.2 (24.0) | 76.0 (20.9) | 0.795 |
| Height, kg; mean (SD) | 164.6 (6.7) | 164.3 (6.7) | 165.7 (7.6) | 164.5 (5.7) | 0.809 |
| ICU prior rupture; | 29 (53.7) | 16 (45.7) | 12 (92.3) | 1 (16.7) | 0.001 |
| Interfacility referral; | 19 (35.2) | 13 (37.1) | 5 (38.5) | 1 (16.7) | 0.761 |
| Rupture length; mean (SD) | 4.3 (1.8) | 4.4 (2.0) | 4.3 (1.7) | 4.2 (1.4) | 0.962 |
| Emphysema; | 44 (81.5) | 27 (77.1) | 11 (84.6) | 6 (100.0) | 0.592 |
| Mediastinitis; | 14 (25.9) | 8 (22.9) | 3 (23.1) | 3 (50.0) | 0.456 |
| Steroids; | 15 (27.8) | 10 (28.6) | 4 (30.8) | 1 (16.7) | 1 |
| COPD; | 18 (33.3) | 12 (34.3) | 4 (30.8) | 2 (33.3) | 1 |
| Surgical repair; | 36 (66.7) | 20 (57.1) | 10 (76.9) | 6 (100.0) | 0.089 |
| Respirator days; mean (SD) | 12.6 (11.8) | 13.5 (12.5) | 11.5 (10.5) | 9.7 (11.3) | 0.641 |
| ICU days; mean (SD) | 17.0 (14.3) | 17.8 (15.3) | 15.8 (13.0) | 14.7 (12.0) | 0.835 |
| Adjusted mortality; | 7 (13) | 4 (11.4) | 1 (7.7) | 2 (33.3) | 0.309 |
| All-cause mortality; | 27 (50) | 15 (42.9) | 8 (61.5) | 4 (66.7) | 0.415 |
Tracheal intubation-related (INT); tracheotomy-related (TT); surgery-related (SUR); intensive care unit (ICU); chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); p-value (p); number (n); standard deviation (SD). Only ICU admission prior to rupture showed significant differences across causative events (tracheotomy-related patients had almost entirely been admitted to the ICU prior to rupture, compared with patients of intubation-related and surgery-related causes).
Comparison of characteristics between patients with and without surgical repair.
| Parameter | No Surgical Repair | Surgical Repair |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Patients; | 18 | 36 | |
| Female; | 14 (77.8) | 26 (72.2) | 0.751 |
| Age, years; mean (SD) | 71.3 (17.8) | 64.7 (15.3) | 0.068 |
| Weight, kg; mean (SD) | 72.4 (14.1) | 77.9 (20.7) | 0.295 |
| Height, cm; mean (SD) | 162.6 (6.6) | 165.6 (6.6) | 0.118 |
| ICU prior rupture; | 9 (50.0) | 20 (55.6) | 0.776 |
| Interfacility referral; | 2 (11.1) | 17 (47.2) | 0.014 |
| Rupture length, cm; mean (SD) | 3.7 (2.0) | 4.7 (1.7) | 0.078 |
| Emphysema; | 10 (55.6) | 34 (94.4) | <0.001 |
| Mediastinitis; | 4 (22.2) | 10 (27.8) | 0.751 |
| Steroids; | 2 (11.1) | 13 (36.1) | 0.062 |
| COPD; | 2 (11.1) | 16 (44.4) | 0.016 |
| Respirator days; mean (SD) | 13.3 (12.4) | 12.2 (11.7) | 0.713 |
| ICU days; mean (SD) | 17.9 (14.4) | 16.5 (14.3) | 0.582 |
| Adjusted mortality; | 2 (11.1) | 5 (13.9) | 1 |
| All-cause mortality; | 8 (44.4) | 19 (52.8) | 0.773 |
Intensive care unit (ICU); chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); number (n); standard deviation (SD); p-value (p). Patients receiving surgical repair had higher rates of emphysema (p < 0.001), interfacility referral (p = 0.014), and COPD (p = 0.016) compared to patients without surgical repair. Adjusted and all-cause mortality were comparable (p = 0.773 and p = 1).
Figure 1Kaplan–Meier survival probability related to causative events. Tracheal intubation-related (INT); tracheotomy-related (TT); surgery-related (SUR); p-value (p). Causes of iatrogenic tracheal rupture were comparable in all-cause mortality-free survival ((A); log-rank p = 0.366) and adjusted mortality-free survival ((B); log-rank p = 0.271).
Univariate analysis for survival of iatrogenic tracheal rupture.
| All-Cause Mortality | Adjusted Mortality | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Term | HR (95% CI) |
| HR (95% CI) |
|
| Age | 1 (0.99–1) | 0.222 | 1 (0.98–1.1) | 0.276 |
| COPD | 1.8 (0.81–3.8) | 0.151 | 3.4 (0.75–15) | 0.114 |
| Emphysema | 8.3 (1.1–62) | 0.038 | n.a.* | n.a.* |
| Female | 0.75 (0.32–1.8) | 0.521 | 0.7 (0.14–3.6) | 0.673 |
| Height | 1 (0.96–1.1) | 0.643 | 1 (0.92–1.2) | 0.639 |
| Mediastinitis | 2.3 (1.1–5) | 0.035 | 8.2 (1.6–43) | 0.012 |
| Rupture length | 1.6 (1.3–2) | <0.001 | 1.7 (1.1–2.7) | 0.019 |
| Steroids | 1.6 (0.71–3.5) | 0.262 | 4.2 (0.93–19) | 0.063 |
| Surgical repair | 1.3 (0.55–2.9) | 0.577 | 1.3 (0.26–6.8) | 0.742 |
Hazard ratio (HR); confidence interval (CI); chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); p-value (p); not applicable (n.a.). Effects were seen for both outcome-definitions for mediastinitis and rupture lengths and additionally for all-cause-mortality for emphysema (n = 54; 27 events for all-cause mortality and seven events for adjusted mortality). * Estimation not possible due to limited number of observations.
Multivariate analysis for survival of iatrogenic tracheal rupture.
| All-Cause Mortality | Adjusted Mortality | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Term | HR (95% CI) |
| HR (95% CI) |
|
| Emphysema | 3.0 (0.4–25) | 0.301 | - | - |
| Mediastinitis | 1.6 (0.7–3.5) | 0.243 | 5.8 (1.1–31.7) | 0.042 |
| Rupture length | 1.5 (1.2–1.9) | 0.001 | 1.5 (0.97–2.3) | 0.068 |
Hazard ratio (HR); confidence interval (CI); p-value (p). Covariates in the multivariate analysis included significant variables in the univariate analysis in Table 3. Emphysema, mediastinitis, and rupture length were adjusted for all-cause mortality; mediastinitis and rupture length were adjusted for adjusted mortality.
Figure 2Receiver operating characteristics curve for rupture length and all-cause mortality. (Area under the curve (AUC), 0.84 (95% CI 0.74–94)). The cutoff length was identified as 4.5 cm with a sensitivity of 0.7 (95% CI 0.5–0.86) and a specificity of 0.81 (95% CI 0.62–0.94). The positive predictive value at a cutoff length of 4.5 cm was 0.79 (95% CI 0.58–0.91), while the negative predictive value at a cutoff length of 4.5 cm was 0.73 (95% CI 0.53–0.90).
Comparison of characteristics between rupture length <4.5 cm and ≥4.5 cm.
| Parameter | <4.5 cm | ≥4.5 cm |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Patients; | 30 | 24 | |
| Female; | 26 (86.7) | 14 (58.3) | 0.028 |
| Age, years; mean (SD) | 64.7 (16.9) | 69.6 (15.4) | 0.216 |
| Weight, kg; mean (SD) | 75.5 (16.2) | 76.5 (22.0) | 0.951 |
| Height, cm; mean (SD) | 164.0 (6.4) | 165.5 (7.1) | 0.421 |
| ICU prior rupture; | 17 (56.7) | 12 (50.0) | 0.784 |
| Interfacility referral; | 8 (26.7) | 11 (45.8) | 0.164 |
| Rupture length, cm; mean (SD) | 3.0 (1.0) | 6.0 (1.0) | <0.001 |
| Emphysema; | 20 (66.7) | 24 (100) | 0.001 |
| Mediastinitis; | 6 (20.0) | 8 (33.3) | 0.353 |
| Steroids; | 6 (20.0) | 9 (37.5) | 0.223 |
| COPD; | 8 (26.7) | 10 (41.7) | 0.264 |
| Surgical repair; | 16 (53.3) | 20 (83.3) | 0.024 |
| Respirator days; mean (SD) | 14.2 (12.1) | 10.5 (11.4) | 0.236 |
| ICU days; mean (SD) | 19.9 (13.6) | 13.3 (14.4) | 0.028 |
| Adjusted mortality; | 1 (3.3) | 6 (25.0) | 0.036 |
| All-cause mortality; | 8 (26.7) | 19 (79.2) | <0.001 |
Intensive care unit (ICU); chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); number (n); standard deviation (SD); p-value (p). A rupture size of ≥4.5 cm was associated with higher rates of emphysema (p = 0.001), higher rates of surgical repair (p = 0.024), male sex (p = 0.028), and fewer ICU days (p = 0.028) than a rupture size of <4.5 cm.
Figure 3Kaplan–Meier curves in patients with rupture lengths of <4.5 cm vs. ≥4.5 cm for all-cause mortality-free survival ((A); log rank p < 0.001) and adjusted mortality-free survival ((B); log-rank p = 0.002).