| Literature DB >> 32012369 |
F Pesola1, S Eloranta2, A Martling3, D Saraste3, K E Smedby2.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: A family history of colorectal cancer (CRC) is an established risk factor for developing CRC, whilst the impact of family history on prognosis is unclear. The present study assessed the association between family history and prognosis and, based on current evidence, explored whether this association was modified by age at diagnosis.Entities:
Keywords: colorectal cancer; family history; flexible parametric models; prognosis; survival
Year: 2020 PMID: 32012369 PMCID: PMC7318575 DOI: 10.1111/joim.13036
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Intern Med ISSN: 0954-6820 Impact factor: 8.989
Figure 1Flow chart summarizing how the final study population was obtained: 31 801 patients with a primary colorectal cancer diagnosed in Sweden between 2007 and 2016.
Clinical characteristics of 31 801 colorectal cancer (CRC) patients diagnosed in Sweden between 2007 and 2016 by family history of CRC
|
All cases
|
Negative family history
|
Positive family history
| |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sex | |||
| Males | 17 686 (56) | 14 808 (56) | 2878 (56) |
| Females | 14 115 (44) | 11 821 (44) | 2294 (44) |
| Age | |||
| <50 | 2181 (7) | 1882 (7) | 299 (6) |
| 50–74 | 23 576 (74) | 19 610 (74) | 3966 (77) |
| 75+ | 6044 (19) | 5137 (19) | 907 (18) |
| Median age (IQR) | 68 (61–73) | 68 (61–73) | 67 (61–73) |
| Pathological stage | |||
| Stage 0 | 301 (1) | 263 (1) | 38 (1) |
| Stage I | 4950 (16) | 4126 (16) | 824 (16) |
| Stage II | 7944 (25) | 6588 (25) | 1356 (26) |
| Stage III | 8948 (28) | 7511 (28) | 1437 (28) |
| Stage IV | 5339 (14) | 4464 (17) | 875 (17) |
| Missing | 4319 (14) | 3677 (14) | 642 (12) |
| Location | |||
| Colon | 20 497 (64) | 17 048 (64) | 3449 (67) |
| Rectum | 11 304 (36) | 9581 (36) | 1723 (33) |
| Grade | |||
| Low grade (high differentiation) | 19 839 (62) | 16 525 (62) | 3314(64) |
| High grade (low differentiation) | 5236 (17) | 4418 (17) | 818 (16) |
| Missing/not specified | 6726 (21) | 5686 (21) | 1040 (20) |
| Abdominal resection surgery |
|
|
|
| Yes | 25 333 (95) | 21 139 (94) | 4194 (96) |
| Adjuvant chemotherapy |
|
|
|
| Yes | 10 430 (35) | 8707 (35) | 1723 (35) |
| Nonradical surgery |
|
|
|
| Yes | 1169 (4) | 1007 (4) | 162 (4) |
Results are provided as n (%) unless otherwise specified.
Pathological TNM stage; tumour size (T), lymph node involvement (N) and metastatic status (M).
Number of colorectal cancer cases (%) by pathological stage, age at diagnosis and family history amongst complete cases (N = 27 482), and odds ratios (OR), 95% confidence intervals (CI) and P‐values from ordinal regression exploring the association between family history and age group on stage (0–IV).
| Age <50 ( | Age 50–74 ( | Age 75+ ( | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Positive family history ( | Negative family history ( | OR (95% CI) | Positive family history ( | Negative family history ( | OR (95% CI) | Positive family history ( | Negative family history ( | OR (95% CI) | |
| Stage 0 | 5 (2) | 30 (2) | 0.71 (0.56–0.89) 0.004 | 29 (1) | 201 (1) | 1.01 (0.94–1.1) 0.83 | 4 (1) | 32 (1) | 0.96 (0.84–1.1) 0.57 |
| Stage I | 43 (16) | 243 (15) | 625 (18) | 3037 (18) | 156 (20) | 846 (20) | |||
| Stage II | 83 (31) | 366 (22) | 997 (29) | 4792 (28) | 276 (36) | 1430 (34) | |||
| Stage III | 83 (31) | 585 (35) | 1119 (32) | 5566 (33) | 235 (30) | 1360 (32) | |||
| Stage IV | 54 (20) | 437 (26) | 718 (21) | 3450 (20) | 103 (13) | 577 (14) | |||
Figure 2Relative survival for colorectal cancer patients with positive and negative family history (FH) of colorectal cancer overall and amongst patients <50 years of age at diagnosis. Excess mortality rate ratios (EMRR) for patients with positive family history versus those with negative family history are also presented in the figure.
Excess mortality rate ratios (EMRR) for relative survival and hazard ratios (HR), 95% confidence intervals (CI) and P‐values for disease‐free survival
| Adjustment | Relative survival (positive FH vs. negative FH) | Disease‐free survival (positive FH vs. negative FH) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMRR (95% CI) |
| HR (95% CI) |
| |
| All patients | ||||
| Age | 0.94 (0.88–1.00) | 0.11 | 0.98 (0.91–1.05) | 0.53 |
| Age and stage | 0.96 (0.89–1.03) | 0.21 | 0.98 (0.91–1.06) | 0.67 |
| Young patients (<50) | ||||
| Age | 0.55 (0.41–0.75) | <0.001 | 0.69 (0.47–1.0) | 0.07 |
| Age and stage | 0.63 (0.47–0.84) | 0.002 | 0.74 (0.50–1.1) | 0.12 |
The estimates are obtained for patients with a positive family history (FH) compared to those with a negative history.
Figure 3Disease‐free survival for colorectal cancer patients with positive and negative family history (FH) of colorectal cancer overall and amongst patients <50 years of age at diagnosis. Hazard ratios (HR) for patients with positive family history versus those with negative family history are presented in the figure.