| Literature DB >> 31966919 |
Giulia Manzini1, Ursula Klotz1, Doris Henne-Bruns2, Michael Kremer1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: In 2015, Kidane published a Cochrane review and meta-analysis to summarise the impact of preoperative chemotherapy versus surgery alone on survival for resectable thoracic esophageal cancer. The authors concluded that preoperative chemotherapy improved overall survival (OS). AIM: The aim of this article was to assess the validity of the three most powerful studies included in the Cochrane review and the meta-analysis supporting the advantage of preoperative chemotherapy and to investigate the impact of an exclusion of these three studies on the result of the meta-analysis.Entities:
Keywords: Assessment of validity; CONSORT; Esophageal cancer; Meta-analysis; Overall survival
Year: 2020 PMID: 31966919 PMCID: PMC6960071 DOI: 10.4251/wjgo.v12.i1.113
Source DB: PubMed Journal: World J Gastrointest Oncol
Figure 1Four steps to the analysis of validity of a systematic review according to our previous work[26]. We identified the endpoint of interest (overall survival) and selected the three most powerful studies addressing this endpoint on the basis of the assigned weights by the authors of the systematic review, as these studies contributed essentially to the positive result of the systematic review. We finally assessed the validity of these studies by using the CONSORT checklist.
Summary of the three analysed studies
| Number of included patients (intervention | 85 | 400 | 113 |
| Inclusion criteria | 100% squamous-cell cancer of thoracic oesophagus (upper, middle and lower third), T1-3, any N, M0 (M1a eligible if distal oesophageal cancer and suspected celiac nodes) < 80 yr of age, Karnofsky > 70 | Squamous-cell cancer, adenocarcinoma, undifferentiated, upper, middle and lower thirds of oesophagus, as well as the gastric cardia | Resectable adenocarcinoma of the lower third of the oesophagus or gastro-oesophageal junction or stomach 18-75 years of age, WHO performance status 0 or 1, adequate renal (Cr < 120 mol/L) and hematologic functions |
| Intervention group | Preop. CTx | Preop.CTx: Cisplatin, 5-FU + preop.radiotherapy + surgery | Preop.CTx: 5-FU, Cisplatin + surgery |
| Control group | Surgery | Preop. radiotherapy + surgery | Surgery |
| Outcome (intervention | Median overall survival 16 mo | Overall survival is significantly greater in CS group (HR: 0.84, 95%CI: 0.72-0.98, | Overall survival significantly higher in CS group (HR for death 0.69, 95%CI: 0.50-0.95, |
| Weight assigned in the Cochrane review (%) | 24.1 | 20.5 | 24.5 |
CTx: chemotherapy,
HR: hazard ratio,
CI: Confidence interval. HR: Hazard ratio; CS: Chemotherapy + surgery; WHO: World Health Organization.
Assessment of validity of the three analysed studies according to the CONSORT checklist (REF)
| Title and Abstract | 1a | Yes | Yes | No |
| 1b | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Introduction | ||||
| Background and objectives | 2a | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| 2b | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Methods | ||||
| Trial design | 3a | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| 3b | Not applicable | Not applicable | Yes | |
| Participants | 4a | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| 4b | Yes | No | No | |
| Interventions | 5 | Yes | No | Yes |
| Outcomes | 6a | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| 6b | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | |
| Sample size | 7a | Yes | No | Yes |
| 7b | Not applicable | Not applicable | Yes | |
| Randomisation | ||||
| -Sequence generation | 8a | No | Yes | Yes |
| 8b | No | No | No | |
| -Allocation concealment mechanism | 9 | No | No | No |
| - Implementation | 10 | No | No | No |
| Blinding | 11a | No | Yes | No |
| 11b | Yes | No | No | |
| Statistical methods | 12a | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| 12b | Yes | Yes | Not applicable | |
| Results | ||||
| Participant flow | 13a | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| 13b | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Recruitment | 14a | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| 14b | Not applicable | Not applicable | Nes | |
| Baseline data | 15 | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Numbers analysed | 16 | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Outcomes and estimation | 17a | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| 17b | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Ancillary analysis | 18 | Yes | Yes | Not applicable |
| Harms | 19 | Yes | No | Yes |
| Discussion | ||||
| Limitations | 20 | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Generalisability | 21 | No | No | No |
| Interpretation | 22 | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Other information | ||||
| Registration | 23 | No | No | No |
| Protocol | 24 | No | No | No |
| Funding | 25 | Yes | Yes | No |
Figure 2Meta-analysis of seven studies after excluding the three analysed studies. HR: Hazard ratio; N(T): Number of patients in the experimental group; N(C): Number of patients in the control group; W(fixed): Weight assigned to the study by using a fixed-effect model; W(random): Weight assigned to the study by using a random-effect model.
Figure 3Meta-analysis of eight studies after excluding the studies by Ychou and MRC Allum. HR: Hazard ratio; N(T): Number of patients in the experimental group; N(C): Number of patients in the control group; W(fixed): Weight assigned to the study by using a fixed-effect model; W(random): Weight assigned to the study by using a random-effect model.
Figure 4Meta-analysis of six studies after excluding all studies which found a statistically significant survival advantage in the experimental group. HR: hazard ratio; N(T): Number of patients in the experimental group; N(C): Number of patients in the control group; W(fixed): Weight assigned to the study by using a fixed-effect model; W(random): Weight assigned to the study by using a random-effect model.