| Literature DB >> 31921868 |
Tian Yang1,2,3, Na Li1,2,3, Chong Qiao1,2,3, Caixia Liu1,2,3.
Abstract
Objective: The aim of this study was to develop a nomogram to predict the risk of placenta accreta in scarred uterus patients in China.Entities:
Keywords: China; nomogram; placenta accreta; risk factors; scarred uterus
Year: 2019 PMID: 31921868 PMCID: PMC6927939 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2019.00289
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Med (Lausanne) ISSN: 2296-858X
Characteristics of the study population.
| Age (years) | 33.28 ± 4.19 | 33.41 ± 4.18 | 0.184 | ||
| BMI before delivery | 27.76 ± 3.69 | 27.73 ± 3.60 | 0.788 | ||
| Gravity | 3 (1–11) | 3 (1–9) | 0.354 | ||
| Parity | 1 (0–4) | 1 (0–3) | 0.954 | ||
| Number of previous vaginal delivery | 0 (0–4) | 0 (0–2) | 0.439 | ||
| Number of previous cesarean section | 1 (0–4) | 1 (0–3) | 0.959 | ||
| Number of previous medical abortion | 0 (0–8) | 0 (0–3) | 0.493 | ||
| Number of previous artificial abortion | 0 (0–7) | 0 (0–6) | 0.997 | ||
| Number of previous induction | 0 (0–4) | 0 (0–4) | 0.628 | ||
| Myomectomy | 0.229 | ||||
| Yes | 328 | 5.88 | 146 | 5.23 | |
| No | 5,253 | 94.12 | 2,644 | 94.77 | |
| History of gynecological surgery | 0.319 | ||||
| Yes | 335 | 6.00 | 183 | 6.56 | |
| No | 5,246 | 94.00 | 2,607 | 93.44 | |
| Regular menstruation | 0.862 | ||||
| Yes | 5,137 | 92.04 | 2,565 | 91.94 | |
| No | 444 | 7.96 | 225 | 8.06 | |
| Menstrual flow | 0.586 | ||||
| Hypomenorrhea | 174 | 3.12 | 80 | 2.87 | |
| Normal | 5,302 | 95.00 | 2,650 | 94.98 | |
| Menorrhagia | 105 | 1.88 | 60 | 2.15 | |
| Dysmenorrhea | 0.636 | ||||
| Yes | 1,157 | 20.73 | 566 | 20.29 | |
| No | 4,424 | 79.27 | 2,224 | 79.71 | |
| Medications during pregnancy | 0.412 | ||||
| Yes | 269 | 4.82 | 146 | 5.23 | |
| No | 5,312 | 95.18 | 2,644 | 94.77 | |
| Pregnancy route | 0.790 | ||||
| Conceived naturally | 5,494 | 98.44 | 2,746 | 98.42 | |
| IVF | 83 | 1.49 | 43 | 1.54 | |
| Ovarian stimulation | 4 | 0.07 | 1 | 0.04 | |
| Vaginal bleeding | 0.380 | ||||
| Yes | 511 | 9.16 | 272 | 9.75 | |
| No | 5,070 | 90.84 | 2,518 | 90.25 | |
| Regular perinatal visits | 0.109 | ||||
| Yes | 4,545 | 81.44 | 2,312 | 82.87 | |
| No | 1,036 | 18.56 | 478 | 17.13 | |
| Placenta previa | 0.507 | ||||
| Yes | 472 | 8.46 | 248 | 8.89 | |
| No | 5,109 | 91.54 | 2,542 | 91.11 | |
| PIH | 0.019 | ||||
| Yes | 870 | 15.59 | 491 | 17.60 | |
| No | 4,711 | 84.41 | 2,299 | 82.40 | |
| GDM | 0.183 | ||||
| Yes | 1,301 | 23.31 | 687 | 24.62 | |
| No | 4,280 | 76.69 | 2,103 | 75.38 | |
| Pregnancy complicated by medical disease | 0.596 | ||||
| Yes | 1,283 | 22.99 | 627 | 22.47 | |
| No | 4,298 | 77.01 | 2,163 | 77.53 | |
| Pregnancy complicated by surgical disease | 0.719 | ||||
| Yes | 96 | 1.72 | 45 | 1.61 | |
| No | 5,485 | 98.28 | 2,745 | 98.39 | |
| Pregnancy complicated by gynecological disease | 0.260 | ||||
| Yes | 470 | 8.42 | 215 | 7.71 | |
| No | 5,111 | 91.58 | 2,575 | 92.29 | |
| Time between last CS and pregnancy (months) | 73.23 ± 45.25 | 75.01 ± 47.42 | 0.211 | ||
| Elected CS as last CS | 0.438 | ||||
| Yes | 702 | 12.58 | 345 | 12.37 | |
| No | 3,035 | 54.38 | 1,578 | 56.56 | |
| Missing | 1,844 | 33.04 | 867 | 31.08 | |
| CS during labor as last CS | 0.603 | ||||
| Yes | 440 | 7.88 | 213 | 7.63 | |
| No | 1,991 | 35.67 | 1,011 | 36.24 | |
| Missing | 3,150 | 56.44 | 1,566 | 56.13 |
Values are presented as the mean ± SD and median (range). BMI: body mass index; PIH: pregnancy-induced hypertension syndrome; GDM: gestational diabetes mellitus; CS: cesarean section; IVF: in vitro fertilization.
There were missing data in the variable, and 2,462 (44.13%) and 1,208 (43.30%) data were missing in the training set and validation set, respectively.
Univariable analyses between the placenta accreta group and the non-placenta accreta group in the training set.
| Age | <25 | 6 (2.1) | 105 (2.0) | 0.007 |
| 25–30 | 59 (20.3) | 851 (16.1) | ||
| 30–35 | 97 (33.4) | 2,296 (43.4) | ||
| 35–40 | 101 (34.8) | 1,713 (32.4) | ||
| ≥40 | 27 (9.3) | 326 (6.2) | ||
| BMI before delivery | 27.23 ± 3.59 | 27.79 ± 3.69 | 0.032 | |
| Gravity | 1 | 1 (0.3) | 124 (2.30) | <0.001 |
| 2 | 73 (25.2) | 2,170 (41.0) | ||
| 3 | 80 (27.6) | 1,498 (28.3) | ||
| 4 | 79 (27.2) | 937 (17.7) | ||
| ≥5 | 57 (19.7) | 562 (10.6) | ||
| Parity | 0 | 2 (0.7) | 270 (5.1) | <0.001 |
| 1 | 257 (88.6) | 4,681 (88.5) | ||
| ≥2 | 31 (10.7) | 340 (6.4) | ||
| History of vaginal delivery | 9 (3.1) | 105 (2.0) | 0.190 | |
| Number of previous cesarean section | 0 | 2 (0.7) | 266 (5.0) | <0.001 |
| 1 | 264 (91) | 4,749 (89.8) | ||
| ≥2 | 24 (8.3) | 276 (5.2) | ||
| Number of previous medical abortion | 0 | 265 (91.4) | 5,037 (95.2) | 0.013 |
| 1 | 17 (5.9) | 182 (3.4) | ||
| ≥2 | 8 (2.8) | 72 (1.4) | ||
| Number of previous artificial abortion | 0 | 127 (43.8) | 3,044 (57.5) | <0.001 |
| 1 | 70 (24.1) | 1,277 (24.1) | ||
| 2 | 60 (20.7) | 681 (12.9) | ||
| ≥3 | 33 (11.4) | 289 (5.5) | ||
| History of Induction | 7 (2.4) | 141 (2.7) | 0.796 | |
| Myomectomy | 4 (1.4) | 324 (6.1) | 0.001 | |
| History of gynecological surgery | 29 (10.0) | 306 (5.8) | 0.003 | |
| Regular menstruation | 263 (90.7) | 4,874 (92.1) | 0.381 | |
| Menstrual flow | Hypomenorrhea | 24 (8.3) | 150 (2.8) | <0.001 |
| Normal | 258 (89.0) | 5,044 (95.3) | ||
| Menorrhagia | 8 (2.8) | 97 (1.8) | ||
| Dysmenorrhea | 76 (26.2) | 1,081 (20.8) | 0.018 | |
| Medications during pregnancy | 30 (10.3) | 239 (4.5) | <0.001 | |
| Pregnancy route | Conceived naturally | 288 (99.3) | 5,206 (98.4) | 0.455 |
| IVF | 2 (0.7) | 81 (1.5) | ||
| Ovarian stimulation | 0 (0.0) | 4 (0.1) | ||
| Number of previous vaginal bleeding | 0 | 147 (50.7) | 4,923 (93.0) | <0.001 |
| 1 | 77 (26.6) | 301 (5.7) | ||
| ≥2 | 66 (22.8) | 67 (1.3) | ||
| Regular perinatal visits | 232 (80.8) | 4,313 (81.5) | 0.518 | |
| Placenta previa | 252 (86.9) | 220 (4.2) | <0.001 | |
| PIH | 12 (4.1) | 858 (16.2) | <0.001 | |
| GDM | 44 (15.2) | 1,257 (15.8) | 0.001 | |
| Pregnancy complicated by medical disease | 48 (16.6) | 1,235 (23.3) | 0.007 | |
| Pregnancy complicated by surgical disease | 3 (1.0) | 93 (1.8) | 0.488 | |
| Pregnancy complicated by gynecological disease | 8 (2.8) | 462 (8.7) | <0.001 | |
| Time between last CS and pregnancy | 91.14 ± 51.23 | 71.78 ± 44.43 | <0.001 | |
| Elected CS as last CS | 109 (76.8) | 2,926 (81.4) | 0.166 | |
| CS during labor as last CS | 29 (20.9) | 411 (17.9) | 0.383 |
Values are presented as the mean ± SD and number (percentage). BMI: body mass index; PIH: pregnancy-induced hypertension syndrome; GDM: gestational diabetes mellitus; CS: cesarean section; IVF: in vitro fertilization.
There were missing data in the variable. In the placenta accreta group, there were 57 (19.7%) patients with missing data in the time between last CS and pregnancy, 148 (51.0%) patients with elective CS as last CS, and 151 (52.1%) patients with CS during labor as the last CS. In the non-placenta accreta group, there were 2,406 (45.5%) with missing data in the time between last CS and pregnancy, 1,696 (32.1%) with elected CS as last CS, and 2,999 (56.7%) with CS during labor as last CS.
Multivariable logistic regression analyses between the placenta accreta group and the non-placenta accreta group in the training set (N = 5,581).
| Placenta previa | |||
| Yes vs. no | 119.30 | 80.33–177.18 | <0.001 |
| Medications during pregnancy | |||
| Yes vs. no | 2.57 | 1.37–4.83 | 0.003 |
| Number of previous cesarean section | 0.044 | ||
| 0 | Ref. | Ref. | |
| 1 | 3.56 | 0.76–16.76 | |
| ≥2 | 6.56 | 1.25–34.50 | |
| Number of vaginal bleeding | 0.003 | ||
| 0 | Ref. | Ref. | |
| 1 | 1.62 | 1.08–2.44 | |
| ≥2 | 2.11 | 1.30–2.41 |
OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; Ref., reference.
Figure 1Placenta accreta Risk Assessment Tool. “Points” refers to point for the individual risk factor and add together to the “Total points.” “Placenta accreta risk” was calculated according to the ‘'Total points.” Example: For a patient with one previous CS (score = 2.6), with one vaginal bleeding (score = 1), with placenta previa (score = 10), and medication during pregnancy (score = 1.9), the total score is 15.5 corresponding to a 74% risk of placenta accreta (PA).
Figure 2Calibration plots of nomogram to predict the probability of placenta accreta in the training set (A) and validation set (B). The x-axis is the predicted placenta accreta calculated by the nomogram, and the y-axis is the observed placenta accreta. The “Ideal” is the ideal curve, and the solid line “Bias-corrected” is the actual curve.
Figure 3ROC curves of training set and validation set. The x-axis is the “1—Specificity,” and the y-axis is “Sensitivity”. AUCs were also presented with 0.930 and 0.927, respectively. AUC, area under the curve; ROC, receiver operating characteristic.