Peter A Ryan1, Andrew P Turley1, Geoff Wilson1, Tim P Hurst1,2, Kate Retzki1, Jack Brown-Kenyon1, Lauren Hodgson1, Nichola Kenny1, Helen Cook1, Brian L Montgomery1,3, Christopher J Paton4, Scott A Ritchie1,4, Ary A Hoffmann5, Nicholas P Jewell6,7, Stephanie K Tanamas1, Katherine L Anders1, Cameron P Simmons1,8, Scott L O'Neill1. 1. Institute of Vector-Borne Disease, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, 3800, Australia. 2. Biosecurity and Agricultural Services, Department of Jobs, Precincts and Regions, Victoria State Government, Atwood, Victoria, Australia. 3. Metro South Public Health Unit, Queensland Health, Coopers Plains, Queensland, Australia. 4. College of Public Health, Medical and Veterinary Sciences, James Cook University, Cairns, Queensland, Australia. 5. School of Biosciences, Bio21 Institute, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia. 6. Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, California, USA. 7. Centre for Statistical Methodology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK. 8. Oxford University Clinical Research Unit, Hospital for Tropical Diseases, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
Abstract
Background: The wMel strain of Wolbachia has been successfully introduced into Aedes aegypti mosquitoes and subsequently shown in laboratory studies to reduce transmission of a range of viruses including dengue, Zika, chikungunya, yellow fever, and Mayaro viruses that cause human disease. Here we report the entomological and epidemiological outcomes of staged deployment of Wolbachia across nearly all significant dengue transmission risk areas in Australia. Methods: The wMel strain of Wolbachia was backcrossed into the local Aedes aegypti genotype (Cairns and Townsville backgrounds) and mosquitoes were released in the field by staff or via community assisted methods. Mosquito monitoring was undertaken and mosquitoes were screened for the presence of Wolbachia. Dengue case notifications were used to track dengue incidence in each location before and after releases. Results: Empirical analyses of the Wolbachia mosquito releases, including data on the density, frequency and duration of Wolbachia mosquito releases, indicate that Wolbachia can be readily established in local mosquito populations, using a variety of deployment options and over short release durations (mean release period 11 weeks, range 2-22 weeks). Importantly, Wolbachia frequencies have remained stable in mosquito populations since releases for up to 8 years. Analysis of dengue case notifications data demonstrates near-elimination of local dengue transmission for the past five years in locations where Wolbachia has been established. The regression model estimate of Wolbachia intervention effect from interrupted time series analyses of case notifications data prior to and after releases, indicated a 96% reduction in dengue incidence in Wolbachia treated populations (95% confidence interval: 84 - 99%). Conclusion: Deployment of the wMel strain of Wolbachia into local Ae. aegypti populations across the Australian regional cities of Cairns and most smaller regional communities with a past history of dengue has resulted in the reduction of local dengue transmission across all deployment areas. Copyright:
Background: The wMel strain of Wolbachia has been successfully introduced into Aedes aegypti mosquitoes and subsequently shown in laboratory studies to reduce transmission of a range of viruses including dengue, Zika, chikungunya, yellow fever, and Mayaro viruses that cause human disease. Here we report the entomological and epidemiological outcomes of staged deployment of Wolbachia across nearly all significant dengue transmission risk areas in Australia. Methods: The wMel strain of Wolbachia was backcrossed into the local Aedes aegypti genotype (Cairns and Townsville backgrounds) and mosquitoes were released in the field by staff or via community assisted methods. Mosquito monitoring was undertaken and mosquitoes were screened for the presence of Wolbachia. Dengue case notifications were used to track dengue incidence in each location before and after releases. Results: Empirical analyses of the Wolbachia mosquito releases, including data on the density, frequency and duration of Wolbachia mosquito releases, indicate that Wolbachia can be readily established in local mosquito populations, using a variety of deployment options and over short release durations (mean release period 11 weeks, range 2-22 weeks). Importantly, Wolbachia frequencies have remained stable in mosquito populations since releases for up to 8 years. Analysis of dengue case notifications data demonstrates near-elimination of local dengue transmission for the past five years in locations where Wolbachia has been established. The regression model estimate of Wolbachia intervention effect from interrupted time series analyses of case notifications data prior to and after releases, indicated a 96% reduction in dengue incidence in Wolbachia treated populations (95% confidence interval: 84 - 99%). Conclusion: Deployment of the wMel strain of Wolbachia into local Ae. aegypti populations across the Australian regional cities of Cairns and most smaller regional communities with a past history of dengue has resulted in the reduction of local dengue transmission across all deployment areas. Copyright:
The
wMel strain of
Wolbachia has been successfully introduced into
Aedes aegypti mosquitoes and subsequently shown in laboratory studies to reduce transmission of a range of viruses including dengue, Zika, chikungunya, yellow fever, and Mayaro viruses that cause human disease (
Aliota
;
Aliota
;
Amuzu
;
Caragata
;
Caragata
;
Carrington
;
Dutra
;
Ferguson
;
Frentiu
;
Kho
;
Moreira
;
Pereira
;
Rocha
;
Tan
;
van den Hurk
;
Walker
;
Ye
;
Ye
;
Ye
) Early field trials involving releases of
Wolbachia infected
Ae. aegypti mosquitoes into two isolated communities in northern Australia showed that the
wMel strain of
Wolbachia could be deployed and establish in the local mosquito populations with full community support (
Hoffmann
) and persist (
Hoffmann
). Further it was shown that the dengue blocking properties of these mosquitoes remained stable several years after establishment (
Frentiu
). Additional releases into a number of urban settings in Cairns in northern Australia subsequently assessed the effects of release area size and landscape features on
Wolbachia establishment and spread into the mosquito populations (
Schmidt
). Subsequent city-wide
Wolbachia mosquito releases were undertaken across the medium-sized city of Townsville in northern Queensland, resulting in successful establishment of
Wolbachia in local mosquito populations and complete elimination of local dengue transmission (
O’Neill
).All prior field studies resulted in a patchwork of deployments of various sizes across areas of north Queensland, Australia (
Hoffmann
;
Hoffmann
;
O’Neill
;
Schmidt
). From 2013 to 2017 the World Mosquito Program (formerly known as the Eliminate Dengue Program) undertook a series of additional deployments in nearly all significant dengue transmission risk areas in Australia where
wMel
Wolbachia had not yet been deployed. These releases involved a variety of release methods, including releases of eggs and adult stages directly by project staff and through community assisted methods involving school children, businesses, community groups, and individual householders. Here we describe the entomological and epidemiological outcomes of this work.
Methods
Intervention area
Wolbachia mosquito releases were undertaken across four local government administrative areas in northern Queensland, Australia: the Cairns Region, the Cassowary Coast Region, the Douglas Shire and the Charters Towers Region (
Table 1,
Figure 1–
Figure 3). Within each region, the locations for
Wolbachia mosquito releases were selected based on historical dengue case reports, human population density, reported presence of
Ae. aegypti and logistical considerations. Depending on the specific objective of each
Wolbachia release, for example small scale releases to test different release methods (e.g. egg release trials in Stratford 1–3, Cairns North, Bungalow 1–3,
Table 1,
Figure 2), or an area-wide release across the entire location (e.g. adult releases across 23 Cairns suburbs between Nov 2016 and Jun 2017,
Table 1,
Figure 1B,
Figure 2), each area was mapped and the target release areas (generally the residential areas and some business areas) were identified. Areas deemed unsuitable for
Ae. aegypti, such as uninhabited forested and vegetated areas, open or vacant areas, sporting fields, large industrial and commercial areas, agricultural and farming areas, and major transport infrastructure (major roads, highways, railways and airports) were excluded from releases. The bounded size (km
2) of each release area was calculated, along with the residential population and the number of households (
Table 1).
Table 1.
Summary Information for release sites.
Region/Shire
Release Area name
(code)
Size
(km
2)
Population
Number
of
houses
Release type
(E = eggs,
A = Adults)
Release
start date
mm/yyyy)
Release
frequency
(1 = weekly,
2 = every 2
weeks)
Release
duration
(weeks)
Release Description
Cairns
Gordonvale (GV)
*
1.15
1904
796
A
01/2011
1
10
Weekly releases at 1:3 houses, release methods
and monitoring results to October 2014 described in
Hoffmann
et al., 2011,
Hoffmann
et al., 2014.
Yorkeys Knob (YK)
*
0.78
2196
1,218
A
01/2011
1
10
Weekly releases at 1:3 houses, release methods
and monitoring results to October 2014 described in
Hoffmann
et al., 2011,
Hoffmann
et al., 2014.
Edge Hill/Whitfield (EHW)
0.94
2,251
975
A
01/2013
1
15
Release at 1:5 households, 70 adult mosquitoes per
release point, release methods and monitoring results
to April 2015 described in
Schmidt
et al., 2017.
Parramatta Park (PP)
0.49
2,167
1,173
A
01/2013
1
15
Release at 1:5 households, 70 adult mosquitoes per
release point, release methods and monitoring results
to April 2015 described in
Schmidt
et al., 2017.
Westcourt (WC)
0.10
250
112
A
01/2013
1
16
Release at 1:5 households, 70 adult mosquitoes per
release point, release methods and monitoring results
to April 2015 described in
Schmidt
et al., 2017.
Babinda (BA)
*
1.18
900
476
E+A
07/2013
1
9
Weekly releases of adults (10 weeks) or eggs (9
weeks) at 1:9 houses (82% adult releases and 18%
egg releases), 25 adult mosquitoes per cup, 150
eggs per container (target emergence of 100 adults
per container)
Machans Beach (MB)
0.39
1,039
453
E+A
07/2013
1
11
Weekly releases of adults (11 weeks) or eggs (10
weeks) at 1:6 houses (70% adult releases and 30%
egg releases), 25 adult mosquitoes per release cup,
150 eggs per container (target emergence of 100
adults per container)
Stratford 1 (SF1)
0.17
354
155
E
6/2014
1
5
Release at 1:5 households, 75 viable eggs per
container
Stratford 2 (SF2)
0.15
291
114
E
6/2014
1
16
Release at 1:5 households, 75 viable eggs per
container
Stratford 3 (SF3)
0.14
221
113
E
6/2014
1
23
Release at 1:5 households, 75 viable eggs per
container
Bungalow 1 (BU1)
0.10
250
130
E
07/2014
1
13
Release at 1:10 households, 75 viable eggs per
container
Bungalow 2 (BU2)
0.12
358
232
E
07/2014
09/2015
1
2
9
16
2014 - Release at 1:5 households 75 eggs per
container; 2015 - Release at 1:5 households, 75
viable eggs per container
Bungalow 3 (BU3)
0.11
331
205
E
07/2014
1
13
Release at 1:10 households, 75 viable eggs per
container
Cairns North (CN1)
0.12
435
205
E
08/2014
1
13
Release at 1:5 households, 75 viable eggs per
container
Manunda (MDA)
1.31
3,860
1,810
E
05/2015
2
14
Release at 1:5 households, week release period, 100
viable eggs per container
Manoora (MRA)
1.35
4,189
1,952
E
06/2015
2
11
Release at 1:5 households, 100 viable eggs per
container
Mooroobool (MOO)
3.00
7,208
2,883
E
06/2015
2
15
Release at 1:5 households, 100 viable eggs per
container
Earlville (EA)
1.81
4,031
2,126
E
07/2015
2
13
Release at 1:5 households, 100 viable eggs per
container
Woree (WO)
1.80
4,842
2,454
E
08/2015
2
10
Release at 1:5 households, 100 viable eggs per
container
Bungalow Ext 1 (BUX1)
0.30
432
222
E
09/2015
2
12
Release at 1:5 households, 100 viable eggs per
container
Westcourt Ext 1 (WCX1)
0.42
1,471
626
E
09/2015
2
13
Release at 1:5 households, 100 viable eggs per
container
Mount Sheridan (MS)
0.50
1,437
615
E
09/2015
2
6
Release at 1:5 households, week release period, 100
viable eggs per container
White Rock (WR)
0.55
1,380
672
E
09/2015
2
11
Release at 1:5 households, 100 viable eggs per
container
Bungalow Ext 2 (BUX2)
0.22
218
127
E
10/2015
2
12
Release at 1:5 households, 100 viable eggs per
container
Westcourt Ext 2 (WCX2)
0.25
609
336
E
10/2015
2
12
Release at 1:5 households, 100 viable eggs per
container
Bentley Park (BP)
3.50
8,009
2,796
A
11/2016
1
12
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel
adult mosquitoes per grid per week, egg releases
undertaken by school children
Edmonton (EDM)
6.08
10,696
4,049
A
11/2016
1
12
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Bayview Heights (BH)
2.38
4,245
1,644
A
02/2017
1
10
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Kanimbla (KB)
1.35
2,654
939
A
02/2017
1
11
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Mount Sheridan Ext
(MSX)
2.88
6,811
2,520
A
02/2017
1
10
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
White Rock Ext (WRX)
2.32
3,345
1,262
A
02/2017
1
12
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Brinsmead (BRN)
2.99
5,369
2,121
A
03/2017
1
10
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Cairns North Ext (CNX)
1.07
5,397
2,899
A
03/2017
1
2
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Edge Hill Ext (EHX)
1.14
2,366
1,174
A
03/2017
1
10
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Manoora Ext (MRAX)
0.33
1,827
1,018
A
03/2017
1
10
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Parramatta Park Ext (PPX)
0.28
1,185
466
A
03/2017
1
10
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Portsmith (POR)
2.82
256
50
A
03/2017
1
10
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Whitfield Ext (WFX)
1.83
3,579
1564
A
03/2017
1
10
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Bungalow Ext 3 (BUX3)
0.50
13
7
A
04/2017
1
10
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Aeroglen (AER)
0.24
393
160
A
05/2017
1
10
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Holloways Beach (HB)
1.06
2,330
1,187
A
05/2017
1
10
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Kewarra Beach (KWB)
3.31
5,670
2,370
A
05/2017
1
10
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Smithfield (SMF)
3.13
5,178
2,131
A
05/2017
1
10
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Trinity Beach (TRB)
3.22
5,429
2,558
A
05/2017
1
10
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Clifton Beach (CB)
2.57
3,135
1,536
A
06/2017
1
10
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Freshwater (FW)
1.16
2,014
962
A
06/2017
1
10
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Palm Cove (PC)
1.03
1,791
1,213
A
06/2017
1
10
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Trinity Park (TRP)
1.25
3,098
1,273
A
06/2017
1
10
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Pyramid Estate (PE)
1.99
3,153
1135
None
None
None
No releases
Bungalow non-release
area (BUN NR)
0.22
570
307
None
None
None
No releases
Manunda non-release
area 1 (MDA NR1)
0.53
1,288
807
None
None
None
No releases
Manunda non-release
area 2 (MDA NR2)
0.13
310
143
None
None
None
No releases
Westcourt non release
area (WC NR)
0.36
1,532
869
None
None
None
No releases
Cassowary
Coast - Innisfail
Belvedere (BEL)
0.43
885
351
A
03/2017
1
14
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Flying Fish Point (FFP)
0.43
635
344
A
03/2017
1
16
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Innisfail East (IAE)
1.77
2,665
1,241
A
03/2017
1
14
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Innisfail Estate (IES)
0.63
1,333
624
A
03/2017
1
14
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Mundoo (MUN)
0.13
162
66
A
28/02/2017
1
16
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Wangan (WAN)
0.33
590
256
A
02/2017
1
16
Weekly releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel
adult mosquitoes per grid per week
Innisfail (INN)
1.95
3,331
1,439
A
03/2017
1
14
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week,
wAlbB infected male-
only
Ae. aegypti mosquito releases were undertaken
for 26 weeks between Dec 2017 and Jun 2018
Mourilyan (MOU)
0.29
420
195
A
02/2017
1
16
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week,
wAlbB infected male-
only
Ae. aegypti mosquito releases were undertaken
for 28 weeks between Nov 2017 and Jun 2018
South Johnstone (SJO)
0.34
390
175
A
28/02/2017
1
16
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week,
wAlbB infected male-
only
Ae. aegypti mosquito releases were undertaken
for 26 weeks between Dec 2017 and Jun 2018
Cassowary
Coast - Tully
Bingal Bay (BBY)
0.48
348
191
A
05/2017
1
12
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
El Arish (ELA)
0.24
250
137
A
05/2017
1
12
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
North Mission Beach
(NMB)
0.99
639
552
E+A
05/2017
1
12
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel
adult mosquitoes per grid per week, egg releases
undertaken by school children
South Mission Beach
(SMB)
1.03
931
547
A
05/2017
1
12
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Tully (TUL)
1.74
2,215
976
A
05/2017
1
12
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Wongaling Beach (WGB)
1.4
1,181
846
A
05/2017
1
12
Releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel adult
mosquitoes per grid per week
Charters
Towers
Charters Towers (CT)
6.93
6,996
3,359
E+A
10/2016
1
8
Weekly releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel
adult mosquitoes per grid per week, egg releases
undertaken by school children and community
volunteers
Douglas
Cooya Beach (CB)
0.45
888
395
E+A
10/2016
1
8
Weekly releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel
adult mosquitoes per grid per week, egg releases
undertaken by community volunteers
Mossman (MO)
1.90
1,862
927
E+A
10/2016
1
8
Weekly releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel
adult mosquitoes per grid per week, egg releases
undertaken by community volunteers
Mossman Gorge (MG)
0.10
125
49
E+A
10/2016
1
7
Weekly releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel
adult mosquitoes per grid per week, egg releases
undertaken by community volunteers
Mossman North (MN)
0.06
88
42
E+A
10/2016
1
8
Weekly releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel
adult mosquitoes per grid per week, egg releases
undertaken by community volunteers
Port Douglas (PD)
4.59
4,318
2,585
E+A
10/2016
1
8
Weekly releases across 100 × 100 m grid, 100
wMel
adult mosquitoes per grid per week, egg releases
undertaken by community volunteers
* In Gordonvale, Yorkeys Knob and Babinda, monitoring extended beyond the boundaries of the release area and demonstrated
Wolbachia establishment throughout this extended area. The population denominator used for epidemiological analysis was therefore calculated for the larger monitored area as follows: Gordonvale, population 2136 in 1.31 km
2; Yorkeys Knob, population 2701 in 0.97 km
2; Babinda, population 1079 in 1.04 km
2.
Figure 1.
Map of Douglas release areas.
Cooya Beach (CB), Mossman (MO), Mossman Gorge (MG), Mossman North (MN), Port Douglas (PD) (
A) and Cairns (northern) release areas: Clifton Beach (CB), Holloways Beach (HB), Kewarra Beach (KWB), Machans Beach (MB), Palm Cove (PC), Trinity Beach (TRB), Trinity Park (TRP), Smithfield (SMF), Yorkeys Knob (YK) (
B).
Figure 3.
Map of Cassowary Coast - Innisfail release areas.
Belvedere (BEL), Innisfail (INN), Innisfail Estate (IES), Flying Fish Point (FFP), Innisfail East (IAE), Mundoo (MUN), Wagan (WAN), Mourilyan (MOU), South Johnstone (SJO) (
A) and Cassowary Coast – Tully release areas Bingal Bay (BBY), El Arish (ELA), North Mission Beach (NMB), Wongaling Beach (WGB), South Mission Beach (SMB), Tully (TUL) (
B).
Figure 2.
Map of Cairns (central) release areas and non-release areas.
Aeroglen (AER), Bayview Heights (BH), Bentley Park (BP), Brinsmead (BRN), Bungalow 1 (BU1), Bungalow 2 (BU2), Bungalow 3 (BU3), Bungalow Ext 1 (BUX1), Bungalow Ext 2 (BUX2), Bungalow Ext 3 (BUX3), Bungalow non-release area (BU NR), Cairns North 1 (CN1), Cairns North Ext (CNX), Earlville (EA), Edge Hill Ext (EHX), Edge Hill/Whitfield (EHW), Edmonton (EDM), Freshwater (FW), Kanimbla (KB), Manoora (MRA), Manoora Ext (MRAX), Manunda (MDA), Manunda non-release area 1 (MDA NR1), Manunda non-release area 2 (MDA NR2), Mooroobool (MOO), Mount Sheridan (MS), Mount Sheridan Ext (MSX), Parramatta Park (PP), Parramatta Park Ext (PPX), Portsmith (POR), Stratford 1 (SF1), Stratford 2 (SF2), Stratford 3 (SF3), Westcourt (WC), Westcourt non-release area (WC NR), Westcourt Ext 1 (WCX1), Westcourt Ext 2 (WCX2), White Rock (WR), White Rock Ext (WRX), Whitfield Ext (WFX), Woree (WO) (
A), Gordonvale (GV) release area and Pyramid Estate non-release area (PE) (
B); Babinda (BA) release area (
C), and Charters Towers (CT) release area (
D).
* In Gordonvale, Yorkeys Knob and Babinda, monitoring extended beyond the boundaries of the release area and demonstrated
Wolbachia establishment throughout this extended area. The population denominator used for epidemiological analysis was therefore calculated for the larger monitored area as follows: Gordonvale, population 2136 in 1.31 km
2; Yorkeys Knob, population 2701 in 0.97 km
2; Babinda, population 1079 in 1.04 km
2.
Map of Douglas release areas.
Cooya Beach (CB), Mossman (MO), Mossman Gorge (MG), Mossman North (MN), Port Douglas (PD) (
A) and Cairns (northern) release areas: Clifton Beach (CB), Holloways Beach (HB), Kewarra Beach (KWB), Machans Beach (MB), Palm Cove (PC), Trinity Beach (TRB), Trinity Park (TRP), Smithfield (SMF), Yorkeys Knob (YK) (
B).
Map of Cairns (central) release areas and non-release areas.
Aeroglen (AER), Bayview Heights (BH), Bentley Park (BP), Brinsmead (BRN), Bungalow 1 (BU1), Bungalow 2 (BU2), Bungalow 3 (BU3), Bungalow Ext 1 (BUX1), Bungalow Ext 2 (BUX2), Bungalow Ext 3 (BUX3), Bungalow non-release area (BU NR), Cairns North 1 (CN1), Cairns North Ext (CNX), Earlville (EA), Edge Hill Ext (EHX), Edge Hill/Whitfield (EHW), Edmonton (EDM), Freshwater (FW), Kanimbla (KB), Manoora (MRA), Manoora Ext (MRAX), Manunda (MDA), Manunda non-release area 1 (MDA NR1), Manunda non-release area 2 (MDA NR2), Mooroobool (MOO), Mount Sheridan (MS), Mount Sheridan Ext (MSX), Parramatta Park (PP), Parramatta Park Ext (PPX), Portsmith (POR), Stratford 1 (SF1), Stratford 2 (SF2), Stratford 3 (SF3), Westcourt (WC), Westcourt non-release area (WC NR), Westcourt Ext 1 (WCX1), Westcourt Ext 2 (WCX2), White Rock (WR), White Rock Ext (WRX), Whitfield Ext (WFX), Woree (WO) (
A), Gordonvale (GV) release area and Pyramid Estate non-release area (PE) (
B); Babinda (BA) release area (
C), and Charters Towers (CT) release area (
D).
Map of Cassowary Coast - Innisfail release areas.
Belvedere (BEL), Innisfail (INN), Innisfail Estate (IES), Flying Fish Point (FFP), Innisfail East (IAE), Mundoo (MUN), Wagan (WAN), Mourilyan (MOU), South Johnstone (SJO) (
A) and Cassowary Coast – Tully release areas Bingal Bay (BBY), El Arish (ELA), North Mission Beach (NMB), Wongaling Beach (WGB), South Mission Beach (SMB), Tully (TUL) (
B).
Community engagement
For
Wolbachia mosquito releases between 2011–2014, communication and community engagement activities followed the approach described in
Hoffmann
. This included consultation with key stakeholders and community groups, one-on-one meetings, displays at community events and centers, and door-knocking and mail-outs to householders to assess support for and participation in
Wolbachia mosquito releases. Prior to releases residents were asked to provide permission for release of
Wolbachia mosquitoes, either as adult stages from the footpath near their house, or as eggs that were placed into containers by program staff in outdoor shaded areas at their properties. During the release period, we continued to undertake close engagement with the local communities to ensure that residents were informed about the study and were comfortable with continuation of release activities. This included random household surveys, meetings with reference groups of residents and community leaders, and ongoing promotion of a free phone number and accessible city project office in Cairns. Periodic result updates were provided to the communities through letterbox leaflet drops, attendance at community events and meetings, paid advertisements in local newspapers, community newsletters and radio and television media outlets. Residences of a small number of people that did not wish to participate were excluded from release activities.For
Wolbachia mosquito releases between 2015–2017, community engagement activities followed the Public Acceptance Model (PAM) as described in
O’Neill
. The PAM was comprised of the following four components:Raising broad community and stakeholder awareness. Information was provided to residents and key stakeholders about
Wolbachia and mosquito release and monitoring activities via various channels, including mass communication (newspapers, media events), school outreach programs and social media, and direct engagement through face-to-face meetings, stalls at community events and presentations at existing community networks and meetings, information kiosks and traditional electronic mails outs of information letters and updates.Quantitative surveys to assess community awareness and support. Pre-release surveys were conducted by an external market research company (Compass Research) (see methods in
O’Neill
), and were undertaken from July 2016 (
Table 2). In Charters Towers, Douglas and Cassowary Coast shires additional baseline surveys were undertaken prior to commencement of communication and engagement campaigns, along with an initial survey in Cairns in Nov 2013. Each survey involved 100–300 participants (
Table 2).
Table 2.
Community Reference Group membership and results of telephone surveys seeking to understand community awareness and support for
Wolbachia mosquito releases.
Cairns
Charters Towers
Douglas Shire
Cassowary Coast
Community
Reference
Group
No. of members
9
9
7
11
Membership
representation
Local government,
health, education,
women’s advocacy,
local business, tourism,
social development,
general community
Local government,
environment, local
business, arts and
culture, senior citizens,
general community
Local government,
tourism, environment,
health, Indigenous
Australians, local
business, education.
Local government,
social development,
local business,
environment,
agriculture, health,
Indigenous Australians,
women’s advocacy,
tourism, general
community
Pre-release
survey
Baseline
survey
Pre-release
survey
Baseline
survey
Pre-release
survey
Baseline
survey
Pre-release
survey
Qualitative
Survey
Sample size
300
200
200
200
200
200
200
100
Date
11/2013
07/2016
07/2016
09/2016
08/2016
09/2016
12/2016
02/2017
Awareness
(unprompted)
21%
56%
31%
31%
29%
43%
32%
44%
Awareness
(prompted)
N/A
81%
55%
37%
55%
58%
61%
57%
Heard about
WMP (TV, radio,
Newspaper)
45%
58%
73%
90%
83%
86%
84%
86%
Comfortable or
very comfortable
with release
86%
85%
82%
88%
84%
87%
91%
89%
Support
N/A
N/A
N/A
93%
N/A
92%
N/A
90%
Establishment of an issues management system. The system enabled community members to easily contact the program with any questions and concerns and have them quickly addressed by program staff typically within 24 hours of receipt. The system also allowed residents to opt in or out of direct participation in release and monitoring activities.Community reference group. Community reference groups were established in each location, with respected community members from key stakeholder groups (
Table 2). The reference group’s function was to independently review activities to ensure that engagement was carried out in accordance with our stated Public Participation Principles (
O’Neill
).In Cairns, the implementation of the PAM commenced in 2015 and included engagement of traditional mass media, establishment of the Cairns sign-up website (where residents registered their interest in participating in the project), leveraging of existing networks to spread information (particularly through educational institutions), direct-to-premise informative mail-outs, information kiosks at community events and public locations, engagement of high-level stakeholders, such as government representatives, indigenous interest groups and environmental advocacy groups, establishment and maintenance of independent community reference groups, maintenance of community feedback channels (telephone survey and online forms), and distribution of quarterly field trial updates to participants and stakeholders. In Charters Towers, Douglas Shire and the Cassowary Coast the PAM was implemented prior to releases.
Rearing
Two
Ae. aegypti wMel-infected lines were used in releases. The Cairns
Ae. aegypti wMel-infected line was released across Cairns, Douglas Shire and the Cassowary Coast areas, and a Townsville
Ae. aegypti wMel-infected line was released in Charters Towers, based on the proximity of the latter to Townsville where releases were undertaken between 2014–2015 (see description of the Townsville
Ae. aegypti wMel-infected line in
O’Neill
). The Cairns
Ae. aegypti wMel-infected line (described in
Walker
) was backcrossed to the offspring of Cairns field collected mosquitoes for six generations (
Hoffmann
). Between 2011 and 2015 the
wMel-infected mosquito colony was maintained at James Cook University, Cairns, in large semi-field cages (
Ritchie
) using methods described previously (
Hoffmann
). Cages contained up to 10,000
wMel-infected
Ae. aegypti and were provided access to human volunteer blood-feeders almost daily. To minimize laboratory adaptation, male
Ae. aegypti pupae/adults from field collected
Ae. aegypti (F1–F2 eggs) were introduced into the colony each generation, so that they constituted around 10–20% of the new male population. Eggs were collected on flannel cloth in plastic buckets acting as oviposition sites that were spread throughout the cage, incubated for 3 days and then stored in the laboratory.From 2016 the
wMel-infected mosquito colony was maintained at Monash University, Melbourne. The Townsville
Ae. aegypti wMel-infected line was established by backcrossing the Cairns
Ae. aegypti wMel-infected line to the offspring of Townsville collected wildtype mosquitoes for three generations (
O’Neill
). Both
wMel-infected lines were maintained in controlled laboratory conditions, in 30 cm
2 mesh-sided rearing cages (see description of methods in
O’Neill
). Each cage contained ~600 adults, and was fed using human volunteers once per week for two gonotrophic cycles. These colonies comprised of a broodstock, and a release-production colony. Male
Ae. aegypti adults (from F1–F3 field collected material) were introduced into the broodstock cages at a rate of 10% every generation. Material from the broodstock colony was then transferred to the release-production colony where material was amplified through one generation without the addition of field collected males. Eggs were collected on red flannel cotton strips, and were matured for four days before being dried. Once the drying process was complete (
O’Neill
), eggs were packed and shipped to field sites.Between 2011–2013, adult mosquitoes for releases were produced using previously described methods (
Hoffmann
). Briefly, immature stages were reared in 3 L buckets with 2 L of water and fed a diet of Tetramin Tropical Tablets (Tetra Holding [US] Inc. Germany, Product number 16110) (2011: 150 larvae per bucket) or ground Tetramin Tropical Flakes (Tetra Holding [US] Inc. Germany, Product number 77101) (2012–2013: 500 larvae/bucket). When approximately 90% of larvae had pupated, the larvae/pupae were sieved and the required number of larvae/pupae were then separated into individual 750 mL plastic containers with approximately 200 ml of water. Adults were allowed to emerge and were maintained for 4–6 days on a 50% honey solution. The cups were then stacked into polystyrene boxes for transport to the release site for release.For the 2016 Charters Towers releases,
wMel-infected mosquito eggs were produced at Monash University and were then shipped to Townsville where the eggs were hatched and the immatures stages were reared to adults in cups in a laboratory maintained at 25–28 °C. Egg strips were either hatched in tap water containing Aqua One Vege Wafers (Aqua Pacific UK Ltd, Southampton, UK, Product number 26050), and two days later approximately 100 larvae were aliquoted into individual release cups (paper drinking cups, 550 mL volume, 100 mm width × 180 mm height, C-DC9787, FPA, Australia) each containing 360 mL of tap water, or egg strips were cut into sections based on the required number of eggs to produce a target hatch of 100 larvae and the eggs were added directly to the individual rearing cups. Immatures were fed Aqua One Vege Wafers (1.5 wafers upon setup and 1.5 wafers on day 4). A mesh cover was placed on each cup and adults were maintained for 4–6 days on a 50% honey solution. Release cups were transferred to plastic tubs and transported to Charters Towers for release the following day between 0800–1000 hours. For the 2016–2017 Cairns releases, adult mosquitoes were reared as above, with initial rearing being undertaken at the James Cook University insectary and this transitioned to a laboratory in Cairns, maintained at 25–28 °C, in early 2017.For the 2017 Douglas Shire releases,
wMel-infected mosquito eggs were produced at Monash University and were then shipped to Port Douglas where the eggs were hatched and the immatures stages were reared to adults in a laboratory maintained at 25–28 °C. Rearing followed above procedures except that all eggs were hatched in water containing 1 Tetramin Tropical Tablet, and two days later approximately 100 larvae were aliquoted into individual release cups (Plastic [PET] drinking cup, 425 mL volume, Detpak, Australia) each containing 300 mL of tap water. Plastic (PET) lids (Detpak, Australia) were placed on top of a mesh cover on each cup and adults were maintained for 4–6 days on 50% honey solution. On the morning of release, release cups were transferred to plastic tubs and transported to the field for release between 0800–1000 hours.
Adult mosquito releases
Between 2011 and 2015, weekly releases were undertaken on a per household basis, at a density of 1:3 to 1:10 houses. Between 2016 and 2017, releases were undertaken on an area basis, where the target release area was divided into a series of 100 m × 100 m grids, with a single release point located inside each grid. Adult mosquitoes were transported to the field in release cups in vehicles and released on a single day each week, normally at the property line or front yard by removing the container lids and gently shaking. Releases were generally undertaken between 0800–1600 hours each day.Between 2011 and 2013 the duration of releases was fixed to between 9 and 16 weeks, except for an initial trial of egg releases in Stratford (SF3) where the methodology was being optimized over a longer period (23 weeks). Shorter duration release periods (7- or 8-weeks) were trialed in Charters Towers and Douglas Shire in 2016, and these were extended in Tully and Innisfail (Cassowary Coast) to 12-week releases and 14- to 16-week releases, respectively, in 2017. The 2016–2017 Cairns releases were staged, with releases continuing in a release area until the frequency of
Wolbachia in samples of field-caught mosquitoes was above 50% for two consecutive weeks. The duration of releases in these areas varied from 10–12 weeks, except for Cairns North Ext (CNX) where only two weeks of releases were undertaken. Releases in this area were discontinued after this time because the
Wolbachia infection frequency in mosquitoes already exceeded 90% following the spread of
Wolbachia from nearby release areas. Details of the releases in each area are summarized in
Table 1.
Direct egg releases
Small-scale field trials to develop and optimize the egg release methods were undertaken in parts of Babinda and Machans Beach in 2013, and in Bungalow (BU1–3), Cairns North (CN1) and Stratford (SF1–3) in 2014. For the 2013 trials, 3 L white polypropylene buckets with lids (Piber Plastics, Australia) were used (
Figure 4A). Each bucket had four 6 mm holes drilled 20 mm apart in a square pattern in the side. Tangle-Trap Sticky Coating (Tanglefoot, USA, Product number 300000588) was applied around the perimeter of the emergence holes (1–2 cm away from holes) to prevent the entry of ants into the buckets. The buckets interiors were roughened with sandpaper to provide perching for mosquitoes post-emergence. Containers were filled with 2 L of tap water and 1 lucerne pellet (0.5 g) (LLP, Carole Park, Australia) and 1 TetraMin Tropical Tablet (broken into four pieces) were added, along with an egg strip containing approximately 150 eggs (target emergence rate of 100 adults per container). Containers were placed in a shaded position near the front boundary of selected houses. Containers were serviced every 2 weeks, at which time live/dead larval/pupal counts were made and the general condition of the container (tipped over, dry/empty, fouled water) was recorded for quality assurance. During the cooler months, immature development in some containers was slowed and necessitated leaving containers in place for 3 weeks prior to servicing. Once immature development was complete, the remaining contents of the containers was discarded and the inside of the container was cleaned with a sponge to remove any residual eggs and larvae/pupae. The container was then refilled with clean tap water, and new food and eggs were added as described above.
Figure 4.
Mosquito-release containers.
Photos illustrating different mosquito release containers used in the deployment. Bucket mosquito release container (MRC) (
A) Single use Mozzie Box MRC (
B) (
O’Neill
).
Mosquito-release containers.
Photos illustrating different mosquito release containers used in the deployment. Bucket mosquito release container (MRC) (
A) Single use Mozzie Box MRC (
B) (
O’Neill
).The 2014 egg release trials were similar to the above, except these involved 2.3 L plastic buckets containing 1 L of tap water. An alternative feeding mixture involving ground red kidney beans (1.25 g per container) was used in these trials. An assessment of egg hatch rate (hatch rate quality assurance) was undertaken in the laboratory prior to each release round and this information was used to calculate the required numbers of eggs to be added to each container. The target emergence rate for these trials was 75 adults per container.For the 2015 egg releases, the conditions were the same as the 2014 releases except Aqua One Vege Wafers were used as a food source (4 wafers per containers in spring/summer/autumn months, and 5 wafers per containers in winter months), and each container received 100 viable eggs).
Community and school egg releases
Community egg releases undertaken by school children (Bentley Park 2016, Charters Towers 2016, Mission Beach 2016) and local council staff and Rotary group members (Douglas Shire 2016) involved single use “Mozzie Box” containers which consisted of a 775 ml food container (Detpak, Australia) without handle, and with measurements of 104 × 92 mm (top), 79 × 61 mm (base), 104 mm (height) (
Figure 4B,
O’Neill
). Four holes were punched into each container and 400ml of water was added to each container. Each Mozzie Box container received food and eggs as described above for 2015 egg releases.
Field monitoring
Mosquito collections were undertaken during and after releases using BG Sentinel (BGS) traps (Biogents AG, Regensburg, Germany, Product number NR10030). Mosquitoes were collected and returned to the laboratory for sorting, morphological identification and counting.
Aedes aegypti samples were stored in 70% ethanol prior to screening for
Wolbachia infection status. BGS trap samples were collected each week during releases, and every one to two after releases. Routine BGS trap collections were maintained for between 2–18 months post release, except for Charters Towers where BGS traps were withdrawn three weeks after completion of releases. After this time BGS traps were reinstalled periodically every 6–12 months and samples were collected after 1–2 weeks.The number and density of BGS traps in each area varied across the different release periods. Monitoring of releases up until 2014 involved relatively high numbers of BGS traps per area, ranging from 11–80 traps per area and equivalent to 27–160 traps per km
2. From 2015, as release areas increased in size, BGS monitoring was undertaken on a per area basis, with densities of 8 BGS traps per km
2 during 2015 in Cairns, and this was further reduced to 4 BGS traps per km
2 from 2016 onwards in Cairns, Charters Towers and the Cassowary Coast.
Ae. aegypti counts and
Wolbachia screening results, aggregated by release area and collection period are available as
Underlying data (
Ryan, 2019).
Diagnostics
Adult
Ae. aegypti were screened for
Wolbachia using Taqman qPCR on a Roche LightCycler 480 using an internally controlled qualitative assay for the presence or absence of
Wolbachia as previously described (
Dar
;
O’Neill
;
Yeap
). The qPCR cycling program consisted of a denaturation at 95°C for 5 min followed by 45 cycles of PCR (denaturation at 95 °C for 10 sec, annealing at 60 °C for 15 sec, and extension at 72 °C for 1 sec with single acquisition) followed by a cooling down step at 40°C for 10 sec. From September 2018
Wolbachia diagnostics were performed by LAMP. LAMP reactions were performed in a Bio-Rad C1000 96-well PCR thermocycler with a 30min incubation at 65°C as previously described (
O’Neill
). Individual reactions consisted of 2X WarmStart® Colorimetric LAMP Master Mix (New England BioLabs, Cat# M1800S), primers and 1 μL of target DNA in a total reaction volume of 17 μL. Reactions for individual samples were performed in 96-well PCR plates (LabAdvantage 96-well PCR plates, full skirt, clear). Plates were incubated in a thermocycler (BioRad C1000) at 65°C for 30 minutes then held at 12°C until scoring. Within one hour of incubation, colour changes of individual samples were recorded. Primers were as follows FIP 5’ TGTATGCGCCTGCATCAGCTTCGGTTCTTATGGTGCTAA, BIP 5’ GCAGAAGCTGGAGTAGCGTTGTGTCATGCCACTTAGATGG, F3 5’ TGATGTAACTCCAGAAGTCA, B3 5’ CTTATTGGACCAACAGGATCG, LpF 5’ AGCCTGTCCGGTTGAATT, LpB 5’ CAGTCTTGTTATCCCAGTGAGT.
Dengue case notification data
Dengue is a notifiable disease in Australia, which mandates clinicians and laboratories to report confirmed and suspected cases to local health authorities. De-identified data was provided by the Queensland Health Communicable Diseases Branch on all laboratory-confirmed and clinically diagnosed (probable) dengue cases notified from Townsville and Cairns and Hinterland Hospital and Health Services (THHS and CHHHS) to the Notifiable Conditions System (NoCS) between 1 January 2000 and 31 March 2019. The NoCS case records include a variable indicating whether the case was classified as imported, on the basis of a history of overseas travel during the 3–12 days prior to illness onset, or locally-acquired. This information is routinely captured in case notifications based on interview by local public health units.The Townsville Public Health Unit (PHU) provided line-listed data on addresses of all dengue cases notified from THHS and CHHHS, from the operational databases of the Cairns Tropical Public Health Service and the Townsville PHU. This data included one or more addresses per case, with an indication of the primary residential address, and of any address that had been classified as the probable location of dengue acquisition or a possible site of exposure, during the course of public health follow up. We linked the PHU dataset to the NoCS dataset by unique case notification identifier. All NoCS records were retained, with or without a linked PHU record. PHU records without a linked NoCS record were excluded, as NoCS is considered the master source of case notifications data, and holds the travel history variable to distinguish locally-acquired from imported cases.Approval to access anonymized spatially identifiable dengue case notification data, collected as part of routine disease surveillance, was obtained from the Townsville Hospital and Health Service human research ethics committee (HREC/16/QTHS/108) and research governance office (SSA/16/QTHS/238), and from the Office of the Director-General, Queensland Department of Health, under the Public Health Act 2005.
Classification of
Wolbachia exposure status
A case’s location, for the purpose of classifying
Wolbachia exposure status, was determined using geolocatable address information from the PHU operational database. The address indicated in the PHU dataset as the probable location of dengue acquisition was used where available (53%); if unavailable then the primary residential address was used (22%). For 20% of cases a geolocatable address was available in the operational database but was not designated as either ‘acquired’ or ‘residential’, and for the remaining 4% no geolocatable address was available in the PHU database, and the suburb of residence from the NOCS dataset was used to define the case’s designated location. Case geolocations were overlaid with
Wolbachia release area boundaries in
ArcMap (version 10.5, ESRI, Redlands, USA) (QGIS is an open-access alternative) to classify the
Wolbachia exposure status of each case at the time of case onset. An area was considered exposed (post-intervention) from the date of last release. Five ‘non-release areas’ in central Cairns, where BGS monitoring indicated that
Wolbachia had established by dispersal from neighboring release areas, were considered exposed from the inferred date that the
Ae. aegypti infection curve crossed 80%. The local government area (LGA) of each case was determined from its location, as classified above, and any cases located outside of Cairns, the Cassowary Coast, Charters Towers or Douglas LGAs were excluded from the analysis.
Population data
The populations of each release area and
Wolbachia-exposed non-release area (
Figure 1–
Figure 3) were estimated by aggregating from mesh blocks (ABS, 2016) to the boundaries of each intervention area (
Table 1), in ArcMap. In all but three release areas, the boundaries of the release area and monitored area were aligned, and defined the
Wolbachia-exposed population for the purpose of epidemiological analyses. The exceptions were Gordonvale, Yorkeys Knob, and Babinda, where monitoring extended beyond the boundaries of the release area and demonstrated
Wolbachia establishment throughout this extended area. The population denominator for these three areas was therefore calculated for the larger monitored area (
Table 1 footnote). A further exception was Stratford, where concurrent releases were conducted in three small non-contiguous areas, which represented ~75% of the area and 90% of the population of the suburb of Stratford. For the purpose of epidemiological analysis, the whole suburb population was considered
Wolbachia-exposed from the completion of the last releases in the three release zones. For the interrupted time series analysis, monthly aggregate treated and untreated areas (and their resident populations) were calculated, dynamic over time, with the treated area in any given month defined as the total area where
Wolbachia deployments had been completed to date (or where, for the five central Cairns non-release areas where
Wolbachia established, the inferred local
Wolbachia frequency had reached 80%, as above).
Statistical methods
Locally-acquired and imported dengue case notifications were cross-tabulated by month of illness onset and LGA. Scaled ‘time-since-release’ (TSR) was calculated for each case located within a
Wolbachia exposed area, as (date of case onset – date of last release in the local release area) rounded to the nearest month. TSR is equal to zero for cases with onset in the same month as releases were completed, and is positive for cases with onset post-intervention. Cases located in
Wolbachia non-exposed areas were excluded from the TSR analysis. The staggered deployment of
Wolbachia across release areas from January 2011 to May 2017 means the distribution of pre-intervention and post-intervention time within the dengue case time series (Jan 2000 – Mar 2019) is variable between release areas. For each release area, the pre-intervention period was calculated as months from January 2000 to end of releases, and post-intervention period as months from end of releases to March 2019. Locally-acquired and imported dengue case notifications were tabulated by month of TSR, and summary statistics for the distribution of pre- and post-intervention time were calculated.To better visualize the temporal distribution of locally-acquired and imported dengue case notifications with respect to
Wolbachia deployments, release areas were grouped by calendar quarter of last release, and cases were plotted by release area group against date of illness onset, stratified by locally-acquired vs imported cases.Negative binomial regression was used to model monthly counts of locally-acquired dengue cases (January 2000 – March 2019) in aggregate
Wolbachia-treated and not-yet-treated areas. Cases located in
Wolbachia non-exposed areas were excluded from the analysis. The regression model was fitted in
Stata (SE version 14.2, StataCorp, TX) using generalized estimating equations, with epidemic year (September – August) as the cluster variable to account for temporal autocorrelation in the monthly case counts, adjusting for monthly imported dengue cases (any vs none) and season (dry: June – November vs wet: December – May), with a population size offset. A binary intervention variable was included in the regression model to distinguish the pre- or post-intervention status of each area in any given month, the coefficient of which provided the estimate of intervention effect (incidence rate ratio).
Ethical considerations and consent
Regulatory approval for the release of
Aedes aegypti containing
Wolbachia was provided by the Australian Pesticides and Veterinary Medicines Authority (Permit numbers 12311, 13183, 13718, 13810, 14266, 14762, 14530, 82947, 14762).Ethics approval for human blood feeding mosquito colonies in Melbourne was issued from Monash University (CF11/0766 a 2011000387). All volunteers (no children involved) provided written consent.In Cairns, Human Ethics approval for bloodfeeding was provided by Human Research Ethics Committee, James Cook University (H4907). All adult subjects provided informed oral consent (no children were involved). Names of subjects providing oral consent were recorded in writing.Verbal and/or written consent from participants was obtained by phone, online or face-to-face to set BG traps, set MRCs, or participate in Community Mosquito Releases.Surveys were undertaken under Monash ethics: CF13/2407 – 2013001272 Community knowledge of dengue and
Wolbachia based dengue control and CF13/2805 – 2013001515 Community knowledge of dengue and
Wolbachia based dengue control – Townsville.Approval to access anonymized spatially identifiable dengue case notification data, collected as part of routine disease surveillance, was obtained from the Townsville Hospital and Health Service human research ethics committee (HREC/16/QTHS/108) and research governance office (SSA/16/QTHS/238), and from the Office of the Director-General, Queensland Department of Health, under the Public Health Act 2005.
Results and discussion
Overall, there was a predictable and consistent trajectory of
Wolbachia establishment in
Ae. aegypti populations as a result of relatively short term (median release duration 12 weeks, range 5–23 weeks), low density releases of
Wolbachia infected mosquitoes (generally 20% of houses), either as adults or eggs, across a variety of communities in Cairns and surrounding areas in northern Australia (
Figure 5).
Wolbachia frequency data from mosquitoes collected during release and post-release monitoring periods were compiled by week (week 1 = first release) for each release area (non-release areas as per
Table 1 were excluded from the analyses, along with the following release areas KB, CNX, EHX, MRAX, BUX3, AER and FW as the frequency of
Wolbachia in mosquitoes in week 1 was already high as a result of likely spread of
Wolbachia from nearby release areas). By week 12 of releases, the median
Wolbachia frequency in mosquitoes was 82.4% and this increased to 92.3% by week 22. After completion of releases (>23 weeks), median weekly
Wolbachia frequencies ranged between 66.0–95.0% through until week 52, and were above 80% thereafter.
Figure 5.
Wolbachia infection rates in
Aedes aegypti mosquitoes collected from individual release areas during release and post-release monitoring periods.
Line represents median percentage infection rate across 62 individual release areas, box represents interquartile range, Week number 1 corresponds to commencement of
Wolbachia mosquito releases in each area. (
A), Number of release and post-release areas monitored each week (
B).
Wolbachia infection rates in
Aedes aegypti mosquitoes collected from individual release areas during release and post-release monitoring periods.
Line represents median percentage infection rate across 62 individual release areas, box represents interquartile range, Week number 1 corresponds to commencement of
Wolbachia mosquito releases in each area. (
A), Number of release and post-release areas monitored each week (
B).Longitudinal monitoring of the
Wolbachia infection frequency in mosquitoes collected from the initial Yorkeys Knob and Gordonvale release sites (
Hoffmann
;
Hoffmann
) indicated that
Wolbachia has been maintained in the mosquito populations at high levels with mean
Wolbachia frequencies of 94.7% and 95.4%, respectively, for over 8 years (
Figure 6). Similar results from releases undertaken in 2013 in inner Cairns suburbs (
Schmidt
) (
Figure 7A) indicated that once
Wolbachia had been established in local mosquito populations, it persisted at high levels, even in contiguous urban landscapes that were surrounded by areas with
Wolbachia uninfected
Ae. aegypti populations. Despite initial fluctuations in
Wolbachia frequency in the suburb of Westcourt (
Schmidt
), a small release site of approximately 0.1 km
2 in size,
Wolbachia eventually established in the mosquito population without any additional releases (
Figure 7A).
Aedes aegypti counts and
Wolbachia screening results, aggregated by release area and collection period are available as
Underlying data (
Ryan, 2019).
Figure 6.
Wolbachia infection rates in
Aedes aegypti mosquitoes collected from Gordonvale (GV) and Yorkeys Knob (YK) during release (triangles) and post-release (circles) monitoring periods.
Collections to week 17 from ovitraps, collections from BG Traps thereafter (
Wolbachia infected adult mosquito releases undertaken weekly for 10 weeks between Jan–Feb 2011, Week number 1 corresponds to commencement of
Wolbachia mosquito releases in each location).
Figure 7.
Wolbachia infection rates in
Aedes aegypti mosquitoes collected from Edge Hill/Whitfield (EHW), Parramatta Park (PP) and Westcourt (WC) (
A) and Babinda (BA) and Machans Beach (MB) (
B) during release (triangles) and post-release (circles) monitoring periods (
Wolbachia infected adult releases were undertaken weekly for 15–16 weeks between Jan–Apr 2013 in EHW, PP and WC;
Wolbachia infected adult and egg stage releases undertaken weekly for 9–11 weeks between Jul–Sep 2013 in BA and MB, Week number 1 corresponds to commencement of
Wolbachia mosquito releases in each location).
Wolbachia infection rates in
Aedes aegypti mosquitoes collected from Gordonvale (GV) and Yorkeys Knob (YK) during release (triangles) and post-release (circles) monitoring periods.
Collections to week 17 from ovitraps, collections from BG Traps thereafter (
Wolbachia infected adult mosquito releases undertaken weekly for 10 weeks between Jan–Feb 2011, Week number 1 corresponds to commencement of
Wolbachia mosquito releases in each location).Wolbachia infection rates in
Aedes aegypti mosquitoes collected from Edge Hill/Whitfield (EHW), Parramatta Park (PP) and Westcourt (WC) (
A) and Babinda (BA) and Machans Beach (MB) (
B) during release (triangles) and post-release (circles) monitoring periods (
Wolbachia infected adult releases were undertaken weekly for 15–16 weeks between Jan–Apr 2013 in EHW, PP and WC;
Wolbachia infected adult and egg stage releases undertaken weekly for 9–11 weeks between Jul–Sep 2013 in BA and MB, Week number 1 corresponds to commencement of
Wolbachia mosquito releases in each location).Early deployments of
Wolbachia involving egg releases, either in combination with adult mosquito releases (
Figure 7B) or on their own (
Figure 8), allowed testing and development of the egg release methods, and also calibration of release rates both in terms of the density and the duration of releases. Egg releases into small isolated sites (SF1–3), involving weekly releases at 20% of houses for between 5-23 weeks all resulted in successful establishment of
Wolbachia (
Figure 8A). Egg releases into four areas with higher populations of
Ae. aegypti (BU1–3 and CN1) at similar or lower release densities (5–10% of houses), resulted in the slower establishment of
Wolbachia in three of these areas (
Figure 8B, BU1 and BU3, > 1 year to reach 80% frequency). In contrast, in BU2 where the
Wolbachia frequency only reached 50% after 9 weeks of releases, the frequency of
Wolbachia declined to less than 10% after week 30 (
Figure 8B). The long-term decline in
Wolbachia frequencies in mosquitoes in BU2 suggests that releases in this area did not result in
Wolbachia exceeding the threshold frequency of infection, above which frequencies systematically increase (
Schmidt
). Given the decline in
Wolbachia frequencies, egg releases re-commenced at week 62 for 16 weeks and resulted in
Wolbachia establishment. Larger, operational scale egg releases were undertaken across the remaining inner Cairns areas in 2015 (
Figure 9) (11.5 km
2; 13,823 households) and involved a fixed density of releases at 20% of households, but with variable durations of releases of between 6-15 weeks (mean 11.5 weeks).
Wolbachia frequencies in mosquitoes at the end of releases in each area ranged from 67.4 to 100%. Periodic monitoring of mosquitoes from these areas between weeks 75–171 indicated that the
Wolbachia frequency in mosquitoes was high across all sites (mean 98.7%, range 75–100%).
Figure 8.
Wolbachia infection rates in
Aedes aegypti mosquitoes collected from Stratford 1-3 (SF1-3) (
A) and Bungalow 1-3 (BU1-3) and Cairns North (CN) (
B) and during release (triangles) and post-release (circles) monitoring periods (
Wolbachia infected egg releases were undertaken weekly for 4, 16 and 19 weeks in SF1-3, respectively, from Jun–Nov 2014, and for 12 and 13 weeks in BU1 and BU3, respectively, from Aug–Oct 2014; BU2 had two rounds of egg releases – 8 weekly releases from Aug–Sep 2014, followed by 12 weekly releases from Oct–Dec 2015, Week number 1 corresponds to commencement of
Wolbachia mosquito releases in each location).
Figure 9.
Wolbachia infection rates in
Aedes aegypti mosquitoes collected from Manunda (MDA), Manoora (MRA), Mooroobool (MOO), Earlville (EA), Woree (WO) and Bungalow Ext 1 (BUX1) (
A), Westcourt Ext 1 (WCX1), Mount Sheridan (MS), White Rock (WR), Bungalow Ext 2 (BUX2) and Westcourt Ext 2 (WCX2) (
B) during release (triangles) and post-release (circles) monitoring periods (
Wolbachia infected egg releases were undertaken every 2 weeks for 9–15 weeks in MDA, MRA, MOO, EA, WO and BUX1 between May–Dec 2015, and for 6–13 weeks in WCX1, MS, WR, BUX2 and WCX2 between Sep–Dec 2015), Week number 1 corresponds to commencement of
Wolbachia mosquito releases in each location).
Wolbachia infection rates in
Aedes aegypti mosquitoes collected from Stratford 1-3 (SF1-3) (
A) and Bungalow 1-3 (BU1-3) and Cairns North (CN) (
B) and during release (triangles) and post-release (circles) monitoring periods (
Wolbachia infected egg releases were undertaken weekly for 4, 16 and 19 weeks in SF1-3, respectively, from Jun–Nov 2014, and for 12 and 13 weeks in BU1 and BU3, respectively, from Aug–Oct 2014; BU2 had two rounds of egg releases – 8 weekly releases from Aug–Sep 2014, followed by 12 weekly releases from Oct–Dec 2015, Week number 1 corresponds to commencement of
Wolbachia mosquito releases in each location).Wolbachia infection rates in
Aedes aegypti mosquitoes collected from Manunda (MDA), Manoora (MRA), Mooroobool (MOO), Earlville (EA), Woree (WO) and Bungalow Ext 1 (BUX1) (
A), Westcourt Ext 1 (WCX1), Mount Sheridan (MS), White Rock (WR), Bungalow Ext 2 (BUX2) and Westcourt Ext 2 (WCX2) (
B) during release (triangles) and post-release (circles) monitoring periods (
Wolbachia infected egg releases were undertaken every 2 weeks for 9–15 weeks in MDA, MRA, MOO, EA, WO and BUX1 between May–Dec 2015, and for 6–13 weeks in WCX1, MS, WR, BUX2 and WCX2 between Sep–Dec 2015), Week number 1 corresponds to commencement of
Wolbachia mosquito releases in each location).Large scale adult mosquito releases were undertaken across the remaining Cairns suburbs (46.4 km
2, 35,899 households), the Cassowary Coast (12.2 km
2, 7,940 households), Charters Towers (6.9 km
2, 3,359 households) and Douglas Shire (7.1 km
2, 2,585 households) between 2015–2017 (
Figure 10–
Figure 14). Similar patterns were observed in terms of
Wolbachia establishment in Cairns, Charters Towers and Douglas Shire releases, although frequencies were more variable in Palm Cove (PC) where the
Wolbachia frequency in mosquitoes didn’t reach 80% until after week 72 (
Figure 10D). Releases in the Cassowary Coast – Innisfail area were undertaken between Mar-Jun 2017 and coincided with a period of generally low
Ae. aegypti adult mosquito numbers.
Wolbachia frequencies in mosquitoes after 14–16 weeks of releases were relatively high (mean 67.8%, range 50.0-100.0%) across the releases areas, although this was followed by a drop in
Wolbachia frequencies and high variability between weeks 20–40 (mean 58.1%, range 30.0–80.2%) (
Figure 13). In three of these areas (subarea in Innisfail, Mourilyan and South Johnston) the
Verily Debug project undertook releases of
wAlbB infected male
Ae. aegypti mosquitoes which were expected to induce sterility when mated to
wMel infected females and well as uninfected females (
Axford
). Release dates were not stated, however
wAlbB infected male
Ae. aegypti mosquitoes were detected in BGS trap collections between weeks 39–66 in Mourilyan and weeks 41–66 in Innisfail and South Johnstone (
Figure 13B). The release of
wAlbB male
Ae. aegypti mosquitoes coincided with a period when there was a drop in
wMel
Wolbachia infection frequency in mosquitoes in Mourilyan (mean 61.5% between weeks 39–66), although the
wMel
Wolbachia frequency increased and was maintained generally above 80% from week 55 onwards. There was no appreciable effect of
wAlbB male
Ae. aegypti releases on the
wMel frequency in either Innisfail or South Johnstone (
Figure 13B).
Wolbachia (
wMel) infection frequencies in mosquitoes across the three
wAlbB release areas were high from weeks 70 onwards (mean 94.0%, range 85.7–97.0%), indicating that
wMel
Wolbachia Ae. aegypti persisted in these areas, despite the release of relatively large numbers (3 million,
Verily Debug project) of incompatible
wAlbB male
Ae. aegypti mosquitoes.
Figure 10.
Wolbachia infection rates in
Aedes aegypti mosquitoes collected from Bentley Park (BP), Edmonton (EDM), Bayview Heights (BH), Kanimbla (KB), Mount Sheridan Ext (MSX) and White Rock Ext (WRX) (
A), Brinsmead (BRN), Cairns North Ext (CNX), Edge Hill Ext (EHX), Manoora Ext (MRAX), Parramatta Park Ext (PPX) and Portsmith (POR) (
B), Whitfield Ext (WFX), Bungalow Ext 3 (BUX3), Aeroglen (AER), Holloways Beach (HB), Kewerra Beach (KWB) and Smithfield (SMF) (
C), Trinity Beach (TRB), Clifton Beach (CB), Freshwater (FW), Palm Cove (PC) and Trinity Park (TRP) (
D) during release (triangles) and post-release (circles) monitoring periods (
Wolbachia infected adult releases were undertaken every week for 9–11 weeks in BP, EDM, BH, KB, MSX and WRX between Nov 2016 and May 2017, for 3–9 weeks in BRN, CNX, EHX, MRAX, PPX and POR between Mar–May 2017, for 5–10 weeks in WFX, BUX3, AER, HB, KWB and SMF between Mar–Jul 2017, for 9–10 weeks in TRB, CB, FW, PC and TRP between May–Aug 2017), Week number 1 corresponds to commencement of
Wolbachia mosquito releases in each location).
Figure 14.
Wolbachia infection rates in
Aedes aegypti mosquitoes collected from Bingal Bay (BBY), El Arish (ELA), North Mission Beach (NMB), South Mission Beach (SMB), Tully (TUL) and Wongaling Beach (WGB) during release (triangles) and post-release (circles) monitoring periods (
Wolbachia infected adult releases were undertaken every week for 12 weeks between May–Aug 2017, Week number 1 corresponds to commencement of
Wolbachia mosquito releases).
Figure 13.
Wolbachia infection rates in
Aedes aegypti mosquitoes collected from Belvedere (BEL), Flying Fish Point (FFP), Innisfail East (IAE), Innisfail Estate (IES), Mundoo (MUN) and Wangan (WAN) (
A) and Innisfail (INN), Mourilyan (MOU) and South Johnstone (SJO) (
B) during release (triangles) and post-release (circles) monitoring periods (
Wolbachia infected adult releases were undertaken in BEL, FFP, IAE, IES, MUN, WAN, INN, MOU and SJO every week for 14–16 weeks between Mar–Jun 2017, Week number 1 corresponds to commencement of
Wolbachia mosquito releases). In INN, MOU and SJO,
wAlbB infected male-only
Ae. aegypti mosquito releases were undertaken between weeks 41–66 in INN and SJO, and between weeks 39–66 in MOU. Shaded horizontal bars correspond to
wAlbB male release period. Estimation of weekly
wMel
Wolbachia mosquito infection rates excluded
wAlbB males from the calculation.
Wolbachia infection rates in
Aedes aegypti mosquitoes collected from Bentley Park (BP), Edmonton (EDM), Bayview Heights (BH), Kanimbla (KB), Mount Sheridan Ext (MSX) and White Rock Ext (WRX) (
A), Brinsmead (BRN), Cairns North Ext (CNX), Edge Hill Ext (EHX), Manoora Ext (MRAX), Parramatta Park Ext (PPX) and Portsmith (POR) (
B), Whitfield Ext (WFX), Bungalow Ext 3 (BUX3), Aeroglen (AER), Holloways Beach (HB), Kewerra Beach (KWB) and Smithfield (SMF) (
C), Trinity Beach (TRB), Clifton Beach (CB), Freshwater (FW), Palm Cove (PC) and Trinity Park (TRP) (
D) during release (triangles) and post-release (circles) monitoring periods (
Wolbachia infected adult releases were undertaken every week for 9–11 weeks in BP, EDM, BH, KB, MSX and WRX between Nov 2016 and May 2017, for 3–9 weeks in BRN, CNX, EHX, MRAX, PPX and POR between Mar–May 2017, for 5–10 weeks in WFX, BUX3, AER, HB, KWB and SMF between Mar–Jul 2017, for 9–10 weeks in TRB, CB, FW, PC and TRP between May–Aug 2017), Week number 1 corresponds to commencement of
Wolbachia mosquito releases in each location).Wolbachia infection rates in
Aedes aegypti mosquitoes collected from Belvedere (BEL), Flying Fish Point (FFP), Innisfail East (IAE), Innisfail Estate (IES), Mundoo (MUN) and Wangan (WAN) (
A) and Innisfail (INN), Mourilyan (MOU) and South Johnstone (SJO) (
B) during release (triangles) and post-release (circles) monitoring periods (
Wolbachia infected adult releases were undertaken in BEL, FFP, IAE, IES, MUN, WAN, INN, MOU and SJO every week for 14–16 weeks between Mar–Jun 2017, Week number 1 corresponds to commencement of
Wolbachia mosquito releases). In INN, MOU and SJO,
wAlbB infected male-only
Ae. aegypti mosquito releases were undertaken between weeks 41–66 in INN and SJO, and between weeks 39–66 in MOU. Shaded horizontal bars correspond to
wAlbB male release period. Estimation of weekly
wMel
Wolbachia mosquito infection rates excluded
wAlbB males from the calculation.Overall, short-term releases of between 5–23 weeks involving either egg or adult stages, resulted in the establishment of
Wolbachia in mosquito populations across all release areas. There were no clear differences between egg or adult releases in terms of
Wolbachia establishment. The overall duration of egg and adult release periods were similar (average 12 weeks duration for both egg and adult releases), although egg releases were generally undertaken every 2 weeks compared with weekly adult mosquito releases. Although
Ae. aegypti populations varied seasonally across the study areas, there were no clear seasonal effects on
Wolbachia establishment, indicating that under the north Queensland conditions releases can be undertaken year round. Operationally, egg releases provided advantages over adult mosquito releases in that there was no need to rear immatures stages to adults in a local insectary. For egg releases, eggs were produced centrally in an insectary, and then transferred to the field and placed into mosquito release containers, either by staff or via community members themselves. These simple, low-cost egg release methods may represent a more scalable approach for future large-scale implementations, particularly in low resource settings where infrastructure for mass rearing of adult mosquitoes is limited.Previous analyses of the spatial spread of
Wolbachia from the 2013 inner Cairns release sites (EHW, PP and WC,
Figure 2A) indicated that spread of
Wolbachia from the release sites were spatially heterogeneous,
Wolbachia moved relatively slowly at 100–200m per year (
Schmidt
), and this was possibly due to barriers to
Ae. aegypti dispersal, higher incidence of long-range
Ae. aegypti dispersal, and intergenerational loss of
Wolbachia (
Schmidt
). The current analyses of
Wolbachia infection frequencies in mosquitoes from five non-release areas (
Figure 2A, 2B,
Figure 15) indicated that
Wolbachia became established in mosquito populations throughout each area. In the case of the Pyramid Estate non release area (PE NR) which was located west of a main highway which separated it from the initial Gordonvale release site (
Figure 2B),
Wolbachia infection frequencies remained low (<20%) for over 100 weeks, despite the high (>80%)
Wolbachia frequency in mosquitoes in Gordonvale during the same period (
Figure 15A). Periodic monitoring of mosquitoes in Pyramid Estate at week 228 indicated that the
Wolbachia frequency in mosquitoes had reached 50%, and had further increased to above 80% from week 268 onwards. Although monitoring was only undertaken periodically in Pyramid Estate from week 100, the increase in the
Wolbachia frequency in this area, despite a relatively low frequency during the first 100 weeks, suggests that the natural introduction of
Wolbachia mosquitoes, as either eggs or adults from nearby Gordonvale, was sufficient to result in eventual establishment of
Wolbachia. Similar results were found in the four other non-release sites, although in each of these sites the
Wolbachia infection frequency was generally correlated with the
Wolbachia infection frequency in mosquitoes in nearby release sites (
Figure 15B-E). In these four inner Cairns non-release sites there were only limited boundaries to mosquito movement, and once
Wolbachia became established in nearby release areas the infection spread into mosquitoes in nearby non-release areas. Overall, these five non-release areas constituted 3.23 km
2 and some 3,261 households, and indicated that releases of
Wolbachia mosquitoes do not need to be undertaken in all areas where
Ae. aegypti occur (
Turelli & Barton, 2017). This opens the way for more efficient deployment strategies in the future where areas are left intentionally with no mosquito releases and instead rely on natural spreading of
Wolbachia. This natural spreading may take some time depending on the size of deliberate deployment “holes” and local variation in mosquito density and mosquito habitat (
Hancock
) but has the potential to significantly reduce deployment costs. Moreover, these non-release areas can be considered in the vertical dimension and not just the horizontal dimension given the nature of dispersal of
Ae. aegypti within buildings (
Liew & Curtis, 2004). In this scenario deployments in upper floors of collections of high-rise apartment buildings may not be needed, instead relying on
Wolbachia to naturally invade these areas, simplifying deployment logistics.
Figure 15.
Wolbachia infection rates in
Aedes aegypti mosquitoes collected from Pyramid Estate non-release area (PE NR) (
A), Bungalow non-release area (BUN NR) (
B), Manunda non-release area 1 (MDA NR1) (
C), Manunda non-release area 2 (MDA NR2) (
D) and Westcourt non-release area (WC NR) (
E) non-releases areas. Week number 1 corresponds to commencement of
Wolbachia mosquito monitoring in each non-release area (PE NR week 1 = 21/12/2012, BUN NR week 1 = 11/01/2013, MDA NR1 week 1 = 11/1/2013, MDA NR2 week 1 = 07/06/2013, WC NR week 1 = 11/01/2013). Grey lines show corresponding weekly
Wolbachia infection rates in
Aedes aegypti mosquitoes collected from adjacent release or non-release areas (areas described in
Figure 2 and
Table 1).
Wolbachia infection rates in
Aedes aegypti mosquitoes collected from Pyramid Estate non-release area (PE NR) (
A), Bungalow non-release area (BUN NR) (
B), Manunda non-release area 1 (MDA NR1) (
C), Manunda non-release area 2 (MDA NR2) (
D) and Westcourt non-release area (WC NR) (
E) non-releases areas. Week number 1 corresponds to commencement of
Wolbachia mosquito monitoring in each non-release area (PE NR week 1 = 21/12/2012, BUN NR week 1 = 11/01/2013, MDA NR1 week 1 = 11/1/2013, MDA NR2 week 1 = 07/06/2013, WC NR week 1 = 11/01/2013). Grey lines show corresponding weekly
Wolbachia infection rates in
Aedes aegypti mosquitoes collected from adjacent release or non-release areas (areas described in
Figure 2 and
Table 1).In the Cairns releases between 2011–2014, communication and community engagement activities followed earlier approaches described in
Hoffmann
, and relied heavily on face-to-face consultation with key stakeholders and community groups, including one-on-one meetings, attendance at community events, door-knocking and mail-outs to householders. This proved effective in building awareness of the project and generated support for and participation in releases. From 2015 as release activities scaled up to cover larger areas of Cairns, the PAM was used for community engagement, and this proved effective in building awareness of the project and broad support for activities (
Table 2). Community members volunteered to participate in activities and this lead to a pre-registered participant database through which field staff could distribute mosquito release containers and mosquito monitoring traps. In addition to hosting mosquito release containers and mosquito monitoring traps, local ownership of the WMP’s
Wolbachia method was achieved through a school program conducted at Bentley Park College in 2017. Known as the Wolbachia Warriors Program (
O’Neill
), the voluntary, applied-science program was undertaken by 636 students aged from five to 12 years of age. The free program involved the engagement of teachers, parents and students to enable participants to grow and release
Wolbachia carrying mosquitoes in their yards at home, three times, over six weeks. Each participant was provided with an instructive project booklet and three Mozzie Boxes (mosquito egg release kits). By participating in an applied science program, students learnt basic natural history that complemented in-class learning, while directly contributing to public health outcomes.Similar to the Cairns releases above, the PAM model was also implemented in Charters Towers, Douglas Shire and the Cassowary Coast. This was implemented prior to releases and included the same components as in Cairns (
Table 2), and generated significant awareness and support, and direct participation of communities in releases:Charters Towers – the Wolbachia Warriors Program was carried out at Charters Towers Central Primary School, with 200 students growing and releasing
Wolbachia carrying mosquitoesDouglas Shire - community mosquito releases were carried out in cooperation with the Douglas Shire Council (24 staff constituting 20% of the total workforce signed up to receive a Mozzie Box (mosquito egg release kit) once a fortnight for 8 weeks; Rotary Club of Mossman distributed Mozzie Boxes to neighbors and their personal networksThe Cassowary Coast – the Wolbachia Warriors Program was carried out at Mission Beach State School, with 120 students growing and releasing
Wolbachia carrying mosquitoesOver the past 20 years the prevalence of
Ae. aegypti mosquitoes, coupled with viremic international travelers has resulted in episodic local dengue outbreaks in northern Queensland. Between January 2000 and March 2019, 2,086 locally-acquired cases and 301 imported cases (travel history not documented for 3 cases) were notified to the Queensland Health notifiable conditions system from across the Cairns, Cassowary Coast, Charters Towers and Douglas local government areas (LGAs) (
Figure 16). Nearly all locally-acquired cases (94%), and two-thirds of imported cases, were notified during the monsoonal months December – May, and the large majority (87%) were in the populous Cairns regional area. The Department of Health responded in 1998 with emergency vector control activities through a specialized unit (Dengue Action Response Team) to conduct extensive source reduction and chemical intervention activities that included targeted interior residual spray, deployment of lethal ovitraps, and application of larvicides to water holding containers (
Queensland Health, 2015). Despite these efforts, and with the increasing numbers of imported dengue cases every year from 2000–2019 (
Figure 16B), local dengue transmission occurred most years in Cairns (
Figure 16A), with large outbreaks in 2003 (450 local cases) and 2009 (776 local cases).
Figure 16.
Dengue case notifications per month, January 2000 – March 2019, in four local government areas where
Wolbachia mosquitoes have been released.
Notifications include laboratory-confirmed and probable dengue cases, classified as locally-acquired (
A,
C,
E,
G) or imported (
B,
D,
F,
H) based on a history of overseas travel to a dengue-affected country during the period 3 – 12 days prior to illness onset. Case location was determined from geolocated address information from the Cairns and Townsville public health unit operational databases, where available, otherwise from suburb in the NoCS case record.
Dengue case notifications per month, January 2000 – March 2019, in four local government areas where
Wolbachia mosquitoes have been released.
Notifications include laboratory-confirmed and probable dengue cases, classified as locally-acquired (
A,
C,
E,
G) or imported (
B,
D,
F,
H) based on a history of overseas travel to a dengue-affected country during the period 3 – 12 days prior to illness onset. Case location was determined from geolocated address information from the Cairns and Townsville public health unit operational databases, where available, otherwise from suburb in the NoCS case record.The staggered deployment of
Wolbachia across Cairns in 2011 – 2017, and into the urban centres of the Cassowary Coast, Charters Towers and Douglas regions in 2016 and 2017, led to
Wolbachia establishment throughout communities with a total resident population of 165,000 people. When the timing of notified dengue cases is scaled relative to the local completion of
Wolbachia deployments (
Figure 17), this demonstrates the near elimination of locally-acquired dengue cases from
Wolbachia-treated communities. Only four local cases were notified from
Wolbachia-treated areas in the eight years since completion of the first releases in March 2011, while dengue case importations continued in these areas. All four of these local cases were notified in January – March 2014, more than five years ago, and three of the four were from early central Cairns release areas (Parramatta Park and Westcourt) which were at that time 8-10 months post-release and surrounded by untreated areas.
Figure 17.
Timing of dengue case notifications January 2000 – March 2019 from
Wolbachia intervention areas, relative to
Wolbachia deployments.
The date of case onset is scaled relative to the date that local
Wolbachia releases were completed or, for the five central Cairns non-release areas where
Wolbachia established, the inferred date when local
Wolbachia frequency reached 80%. In the post-intervention period (blue shaded area), imported cases continue to occur (
B) but locally-acquired cases have been effectively eliminated (
A). The post-intervention case surveillance period is variable across the release areas, due to staggered releases from Jan 2011 to May 2017: the median post-intervention observation period is 24 months (IQR 21–41 months, range 17–96 months), as shown in the box plots. The x-axis is left-censored at 15 years pre-release (excludes 8 local cases and 5 imported cases occurring >15 years pre-release).
Timing of dengue case notifications January 2000 – March 2019 from
Wolbachia intervention areas, relative to
Wolbachia deployments.
The date of case onset is scaled relative to the date that local
Wolbachia releases were completed or, for the five central Cairns non-release areas where
Wolbachia established, the inferred date when local
Wolbachia frequency reached 80%. In the post-intervention period (blue shaded area), imported cases continue to occur (
B) but locally-acquired cases have been effectively eliminated (
A). The post-intervention case surveillance period is variable across the release areas, due to staggered releases from Jan 2011 to May 2017: the median post-intervention observation period is 24 months (IQR 21–41 months, range 17–96 months), as shown in the box plots. The x-axis is left-censored at 15 years pre-release (excludes 8 local cases and 5 imported cases occurring >15 years pre-release).The spatial distribution of locally-acquired and imported dengue cases across the intervention areas is illustrated in
Figure 18, which highlights that the 2003 and 2009 outbreaks widely affected most parts of Cairns and the other urban centers. In striking contrast, in the years following the first
Wolbachia releases in Cairns in 2011, substantial local transmission continued to occur but was concentrated each season within the ever-diminishing area in which
Wolbachia had not yet been released. In total, 515 locally-acquired dengue cases were notified across the four regions since 2011, of which only four have been located in
Wolbachia-treated areas.
Figure 18.
Notifications of locally-acquired (
A) and imported (
B) dengue cases relative to
Wolbachia deployments, in Cairns, Cassowary Coast, Charters Towers and Douglas local government areas, January 2000 – March 2019. Cases are plotted by date of illness onset, and by grouped intervention area determined from geolocated address, or from suburb where address was unavailable. Intervention areas were grouped by the calendar quarter in which releases were completed or, for the five central Cairns non-release areas where
Wolbachia established, the inferred date when local
Wolbachia frequency reached 80%. Cases located in the four LGAs, but outside of any
Wolbachia established area, are shown in ‘Untreated area’ at the top of each graph. The Y-axis scale is proportionate to the population size of each intervention area (or untreated area). The grouped intervention areas, and the quarter in which they were considered
Wolbachia-treated for epidemiological purposes, were as follows: Group 1: Q1 2011 (GV, YK); Group 2: Q2 2013 (EHW, PP, WC); Group 3: Q3 2013 (BA, MB); Group 4: Q4 2014 (BU1, BU3, CN1, SF1-3); Group 5: Q3 2015 (MDA, MRA, BUN NR, EA); Group 6: Q4 2015 (M BU2, BUX1, BUX2, MDA NR1, MDA NR2, MS, OO, WCX1, WCX2, WO, WR); Group 7: Q1 2016 (WC NR); Group 8: Q4 2016 (CB, CT, MG, MN, MO, PD); Group 9: Q1 2017 (BP, CNX, EDM); Group 10: Q2 2017 (BEL, BH, BRN, BUX3, EHX, FFP, IAE, IES, INN, KB, MOU, MRAX, MSX, MUN, POR, PPX, SJO, WAN, WFX, WRX); Group 11: Q3 2017 (AER, BBY, CB, ELA, HB, FW, KWB, NMB, PC, SMB, SMF, TRB, TRP, TUL, WGB); Group 12: Q4 2017 (PE).
Notifications of locally-acquired (
A) and imported (
B) dengue cases relative to
Wolbachia deployments, in Cairns, Cassowary Coast, Charters Towers and Douglas local government areas, January 2000 – March 2019. Cases are plotted by date of illness onset, and by grouped intervention area determined from geolocated address, or from suburb where address was unavailable. Intervention areas were grouped by the calendar quarter in which releases were completed or, for the five central Cairns non-release areas where
Wolbachia established, the inferred date when local
Wolbachia frequency reached 80%. Cases located in the four LGAs, but outside of any
Wolbachia established area, are shown in ‘Untreated area’ at the top of each graph. The Y-axis scale is proportionate to the population size of each intervention area (or untreated area). The grouped intervention areas, and the quarter in which they were considered
Wolbachia-treated for epidemiological purposes, were as follows: Group 1: Q1 2011 (GV, YK); Group 2: Q2 2013 (EHW, PP, WC); Group 3: Q3 2013 (BA, MB); Group 4: Q4 2014 (BU1, BU3, CN1, SF1-3); Group 5: Q3 2015 (MDA, MRA, BUN NR, EA); Group 6: Q4 2015 (M BU2, BUX1, BUX2, MDA NR1, MDA NR2, MS, OO, WCX1, WCX2, WO, WR); Group 7: Q1 2016 (WC NR); Group 8: Q4 2016 (CB, CT, MG, MN, MO, PD); Group 9: Q1 2017 (BP, CNX, EDM); Group 10: Q2 2017 (BEL, BH, BRN, BUX3, EHX, FFP, IAE, IES, INN, KB, MOU, MRAX, MSX, MUN, POR, PPX, SJO, WAN, WFX, WRX); Group 11: Q3 2017 (AER, BBY, CB, ELA, HB, FW, KWB, NMB, PC, SMB, SMF, TRB, TRP, TUL, WGB); Group 12: Q4 2017 (PE).In an interrupted time series analysis of this case notification data, the regression model estimate of
Wolbachia intervention effect indicated a 96% reduction in dengue incidence in
Wolbachia treated populations (95% confidence interval: 84 – 99%), adjusted for season, imported cases, and allowing for temporal autocorrelation of cases.The
wMel strain of
Wolbachia has been deployed across the major regional cites of Cairns and Townsville, as well as nearby smaller regional communities that have historically been affected by dengue transmission. Consistent with modelling projections (
Ferguson
),
Wolbachia deployments have been associated with cessation of local dengue transmission. Alternative explanations for the absence of local dengue transmission are unlikely; there has been no change to local vector control activities and the number of notified imported dengue cases has not diminished with time. Ongoing long-term monitoring is expected to confirm the durability of
Wolbachia and its persistence in local
Ae. aegypti populations (
Ritchie
), and the “dengue proofed” status of northern Queensland. Additional public health evidence for
Wolbachia’s impact on dengue transmission will be delivered by a large cluster randomized trial currently underway in Indonesia (Clinical Trials.gov Identifier:
NCT03055585).This current report demonstrates
Wolbachia deployment is scalable, safe, long-lasting, acceptable to communities and is associated with cessation of dengue transmission. With the global burden of dengue clearly not adequately controlled by existing public health tools, the
Wolbachia approach should be considered for communities at risk of or endemic for dengue.
Data availability
Underlying data
Figshare: CNS_Monitoring_Results.xlsx.
https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.9831113 (
Ryan, 2019).This project contains all data underlying results presented in
Figure 6–
Figure 15.Human dengue case notification data was provided to us by Queensland Health. The conditions of the release of the raw dengue case notifications data to us by the Communicable Disease Branch of Queensland Health do not permit further sharing to a third party. This data (locally acquired and imported dengue case notifications) can be acquired by application to Queensland Health:
https://www.health.qld.gov.au/clinical-practice/guidelines-procedures/diseases-infection/surveillance/reports/notifiable/data-request. Access to data will be considered following completion of the
Data request form (PDF, 237 kB).Data deposited with Figshare are available under the terms of the
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license (CC-BY 4.0).This is a well-conceived and clearly written manuscript that gives a whole picture of the results obtained in dengue control by using
Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes in Australia.As stated in the manuscript, this work was needed to summarise the methodology and the results from several studies and interventions carried out in Queensland. It describes the steps undertaken to achieve
Aedes aegypti population replacement, from the community and stakeholder engagement to the mathematical modelling and the strategies to release
Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes.The conclusions are fully justified and the reduction in dengue incidence achieved by spreading
Wolbachia into the local
Ae. aegypti populations is unprecedented worldwide. No other tool has shown such a consistent and egalitarian result in fighting dengue virus transmission so far.In my opinion there will be two crucial tests for the
Wolbachia technology. The first one will be in highly urbanised areas of LMIC where arbovirus transmission is high and both
Ae. aegypti and
Aedes albopictus thrive and live in sympatry. The second one is time related: being
Wolbachia-
Ae. aegypti is a very recent symbiosis, will we continue observing the same arbovirus blocking effects in the decades ahead?As I mentioned above, the manuscript is clearly written, and I only have a minor comment below:The lower than expected spreading of
Wolbachia in the
Ae. aegypti population across the Pyramid Estate area is extensively commented in the Discussion section (Page 20-22), but I suggest citing Schmidt
et al. (2018
[1]), and comment on their findings to be thorough on this topic and better support pilot studies using
Wolbachia-infected
Ae. aegypti in different ecological settings.Hope this is helpful.I confirm that I have read this submission and believe that I have an appropriate level of expertise to confirm that it is of an acceptable scientific standard.Response to Review 2:1. The reference to Schmidt et al. 2018 and the text below has been added to page 20."... and this was possibly due to barriers to
Ae. aegypti dispersal, higher incidence of long-range
Ae. aegypti dispersal, and intergenerational loss of
Wolbachia (Schmidt
et al., 2018)."This is an impressive document summarizing a massive amount of work and data collection. It is very timely and helpful in assessing the efficacy of the Wolbachia release work that has been going on for about ten years. It pulls together a scattered literature distilling the essence of previous publications. So overall, I have no reservations about recommending this to be indexed.However, lest the authors think I’m brain dead, I do have some comments:It would have been useful to have some final summing up of what was learned, especially with regard to strategies to establish Wolbachia. Are egg or adult releases more effective? Why were some areas more difficult to get established than others? Is this due to lack of reaching the crucial threshold or other factors? Is season important?Figures could be clearer. For example, putting on the graphs the city or region would be useful, e.g. Figure 6 might have Cairns in the graph rather than relying on the reader to remember all the acronyms. Labeling Figure 8 as “Egg Releases”. It is annoying to need to read through the dense captions to get the gist of the information.Seems an annoying nuisance to have allowed releases of wAlbB males released for a while in some areas. Did this affect population sizes?In many of the graphs, the y-axis is simply %. Sample size would be interesting to know. BGS traps are not particularly efficient and I suspect some sample sizes were pretty small.A bit more about what was learned about the spread would be useful. Is the 100-200m/year still the case everywhere? It is concluded on page 22 that releases “do not need to be undertaken in all areas”, but it is not clear what this really means.I confirm that I have read this submission and believe that I have an appropriate level of expertise to confirm that it is of an acceptable scientific standard.Response to Reviewer 1:1. The following has been added to the Results and Discussion section:"Overall, short-term releases of between 5-23 weeks involving either egg or adult stages, resulted in the establishment of
Wolbachia in mosquito populations across all release areas. There were no clear differences between egg or adult releases in terms of
Wolbachia establishment. The overall duration of egg and adult release periods were similar (average 12 weeks duration for both egg and adult releases), although egg releases were generally undertaken every 2 weeks compared with weekly adult mosquito releases. Although
Ae. aegypti populations varied seasonally across the study areas, there were no clear seasonal effects on
Wolbachia establishment, indicating that under the north Queensland conditions releases can be undertaken year round. Operationally, egg releases provided advantages over adult mosquito releases in that there was no need to rear immatures stages to adults in a local insectary. For egg releases, eggs were produced centrally in an insectary, and then transferred to the field and placed into mosquito release containers, either by staff or via community members themselves. These simple, low-cost egg release methods may represent a more scalable approach for future large-scale implementations, particularly in low resource settings where infrastructure for mass rearing of adult mosquitoes is limited."2. Heading has been added to each figure indicating location and release type.3.
wAlbB releases were undertaken as part of an independent project. Our sampling strategy using BG traps was not designed to assess the
Ae. aegypti population size. While we detected
wAlbB
Ae. aegypti in some BG traps, the geographic extent of the
wAlbB releases was unknown.4. The numbers of mosquitoes collected from BG traps and screened for
Wolbachia varied by location and by season. As each frequency graph had up to six different release locations and individual locations had between 23-145 frequency calculations, we were unable to show the sample size for each calculation. The raw data, including sample sizes, for every location and frequency calculation, were listed in the underlying data (CNS_Montoring_Results.xlsx). Overall mean sample size was 32.4
Ae. aegypti per collection period (median 16.0, interquartile range 6.0 - 38.0).5. The monitoring in the five non-release areas did not specifically measure wave speed as was the aim in Schmidt
et al., 2017. The non-release areas in the current study were either small areas (0.13 - 0.53 km
2) surrounded by areas where
Wolbachia had been released, or an isolated area (1.99 km
2) separated by a main highway from a
Wolbachia release site. The spread and establishment of
Wolbachia in all of these areas is consistent with previous estimates of
Wolbachia spread at 100-200m per year as previously defined by Schmidt
et al., 2017. As we point out in the discussion, the main implication of this is the potential for more efficient deployment strategies where "areas are left intentionally with no releases and instead rely on natural spreading of
Wolbachia."
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