Qian Song1, Jun-Zhou Wu2, Sheng Wang1, Wen-Hu Chen3. 1. Institute of Cancer and Basic Medicine (ICBM), Chinese Academy of Sciences; Department of Clinical Laboratory, Cancer Hospital of the University of Chinese Academy of Sciences; Department of Clinical Laboratory, Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China. 2. Institute of Cancer and Basic Medicine (ICBM), Chinese Academy of Sciences; Cancer Research Institute, Cancer Hospital of the University of Chinese Academy of Sciences; Cancer Research Institute, Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China. 3. Institute of Cancer and Basic Medicine (ICBM), Chinese Academy of Sciences; Department of Clinical Laboratory, Cancer Hospital of the University of Chinese Academy of Sciences; Department of Clinical Laboratory, Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China. hzjianyanke@163.com.
Abstract
Activated platelets play a multifaceted role in tumorigenesis and progression. Platelet distribution width (PDW) is generally applied platelet parameters from routine blood test. Preoperative PDW has been considered a prognostic factor in many cancers. Nevertheless, the prognostic value of PDW in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) remains unknown. The study aimed to investigate whether preoperative PDW could serve as a prognostic factor in patients with ESCC. A total of 495 patients with ESCC undergoing curative surgery were enrolled. The relationship between PDW and clinical features in ESCC was analyzed using chi-square tests. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the optimal cut-off value. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) stratified by PDW were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression were used to evaluate the prognostic effect of PDW. Of the 495 patients, elevated PDW was observed in 241(48.7%) of the patients, respectively. An elevated PDW was correlated with depth of tumor (T stage, P = 0.031), nerve infiltration (P = 0.016), hospital time after operation (P = 0.020), platelet (P < 0.001), red cell distribution width (P < 0.001), and aspartate transaminase (P = 0.001). Moreover, elevated PDW (PDW ≥ 13.4 fL) predicted a worse OS and DFS in patients with ESCC (both P < 0.001). Multivariate analyses revealed that PDW was independently associated with OS (hazard ratios 1.194; 95% confidence interval 1.120-1.273; P < 0.001) and DFS (hazard ratios 2.562; 95% confidence interval 1.733-3.786; P < 0.001). Our findings indicated that elevated PDW could serve as an independent worse survival in ESCC.
Activated platelets play a multifaceted role in tumorigenesis and progression. Platelet distribution width (PDW) is generally applied platelet parameters from routine blood test. Preoperative PDW has been considered a prognostic factor in many cancers. Nevertheless, the prognostic value of PDW in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) remains unknown. The study aimed to investigate whether preoperative PDW could serve as a prognostic factor in patients with ESCC. A total of 495 patients with ESCC undergoing curative surgery were enrolled. The relationship between PDW and clinical features in ESCC was analyzed using chi-square tests. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the optimal cut-off value. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) stratified by PDW were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression were used to evaluate the prognostic effect of PDW. Of the 495 patients, elevated PDW was observed in 241(48.7%) of the patients, respectively. An elevated PDW was correlated with depth of tumor (T stage, P = 0.031), nerve infiltration (P = 0.016), hospital time after operation (P = 0.020), platelet (P < 0.001), red cell distribution width (P < 0.001), and aspartate transaminase (P = 0.001). Moreover, elevated PDW (PDW ≥ 13.4 fL) predicted a worse OS and DFS in patients with ESCC (both P < 0.001). Multivariate analyses revealed that PDW was independently associated with OS (hazard ratios 1.194; 95% confidence interval 1.120-1.273; P < 0.001) and DFS (hazard ratios 2.562; 95% confidence interval 1.733-3.786; P < 0.001). Our findings indicated that elevated PDW could serve as an independent worse survival in ESCC.
Esophageal cancer is the sixth and fourth cause of cancer-related mortality in the world and in China[1,2], with ESCC accounting for 90% of all diagnosed esophageal cancer cases[3]. Although much progress has been achieved in the diagnosis and treatment, the prognosis of ESCC still remains unfavorable[4-6]. Currently, several factors are related to the outcome of ESCC including TNM stage and tumor differentiation. Nevertheless, even within the same staging category, there is disparate prognosis of ESCC because TNM stage could not reflect biological heterogeneity[7]. Therefore, identification of new and accurate prognosis biomarkers in patients with ESCC is of great importance. A growing number of studies have suggested that platelets play a vital role in tumor development, progression and metastasis[8,9]. Platelets take part in the different steps of angiogenesis including proliferation, migration, extracellular matrix degradation, and adhesion of endothelial cells[10]. Activated platelets are involved at cancer-associated thrombosis by releasing inflammatory information, and interacting with neutrophils and monocytes. In addition to activated platelets, an elevated platelet count that has been found in cancerpatients seem to be related to a higher proportion of cancer-related venous thromboembolism[11]. Due to these mechanisms, platelets may serve as a potential therapeutic target[12]. Some platelet indices including the platelet count (PLT), platelet distribution width (PDW), and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), can be readily available and have been confirmed to be associated with the prognosis of various cancers, such as non-small cell lung cancer, pancreatic adenocarcinoma, cervical cancer, and colon cancer[13-17].Recently, some researches have showed that an increased pretreatment PLT or PLR could serve as an independent prognosis factor in patients with ESCC[18,19]. However, whether PDW is related to the prognosis in ESCC remains unknown. Therefore, the aim of this retrospective study was to evaluate the prognostic value of PDW in ESCC, and to investigate the relationship between PDW and the clinical-pathological features.
Results
Patient characteristics
After screening, 495 patients (428 male and 67 female) with complete follow-up data were enrolled in the final study. The median age at diagnosis was 62 years (Interquartile range: 55–67 years). 38 (7.8%) with well differentiated pathology grade, 326 (67.1%) with middle differentiated pathology grade, 121 (24.9%) with poorly differentiated pathology grade, and 1 (0.02%) with undifferentiated pathology grade. In addition, 223 (45.1%) had high- pathological stage (≥TNM3a-3c), 181 (36.6%) had middle- pathological stage (=TNM2a-2b), 91 (18.4%) early- pathological stage (=TNM1a-1b). 264 (53.3%) had lymph node invasion, 138 (27.9%) had vessel invasive, 169 (34.1%) had nerve infiltration, and 339 (68.5%) only received surgery. The median of hospital time after operation was 11(Interquartile range: 10–13), and the median of the PDW was 13.2(Interquartile range: 11.7–15.0). The clinical-pathological features are listed in Table 1.
Table 1
Difference in PDW ratio according to clinical characteristics in ESCC patients.
Variables
Cases
N
%
Sex
Male
428
86.5
Female
67
13.5
Age at therapy initiation(years)
Median
62
Interquartile range
(55–67)
Pathology grade
Well differentiated
38
7.8
middle differentiated
326
67.1
Poorly differentiated
121
24.9
Undifferentiated
1
0.02
Depth of tumor
T1a–1b
51
10.3
T2
100
20.2
T3
344
69.5
Lymph node metastasis
N0
231
46.7
N1
165
33.3
N2
74
14.9
N3
25
5.1
Pathological stage
1a–1b
91
18.4
2a–2b
181
36.6
3a–3c
223
45.1
Vessel invasive
Yes
138
27.9
No
357
72.1
Nerve infiltration
Yes
169
34.1
No
326
65.9
Treatment regimen
S
339
68.5
S plus postoperative C
111
22.4
S plus postoperative CRT
45
9.1
Hospital time after operation(days)
Median
11
Interquartile range
(10–13)
PDW
Median
13.2
Interquartile range
(11.7–15.0)
Platelet
Median
198.5
Interquartile range
(160.0–236.0)
Albumin
Median
42.1
Interquartile range
(39.5–44.2)
RDW
Median
12.8
Interquartile range
(12.3–13.3)
Aspartate transaminase
Median
22
Interquartile range
(19.0–27.0)
Fibrinogen
Median
3.73
Interquartile range
3.19–4.34
Hemoglobin
Median
13.7
Interquartile range
(12.7–14.6)
Abbreviations: S, surgery; C, chemotherapy; CRT, chemoradiotherapy; PDW, platelet distribution width; RDW, red cell distribution width.
Difference in PDW ratio according to clinical characteristics in ESCCpatients.Abbreviations: S, surgery; C, chemotherapy; CRT, chemoradiotherapy; PDW, platelet distribution width; RDW, red cell distribution width.
High PDW is a predictor of adverse pathological features
The areas under the ROC curves (AUCs) were 0.716 and 0.615 for OS and DFS, respectively (Fig. 1). The larger AUC of 0.716 acquired for OS was chose to be the optimal cut-off value of 13.4, with maximum specificity (81.0%) and sensitivity (59.49%) (Fig. 1A). According to the cut-off of PDW, 254 patients (51.3%) with PDW < 13.4 were grouped into the low PDW group, whereas the remaining 241 patients (48.7%) with PDW ≥ 13.4 were divided into the high PDW group. The association between PDW and clinical-pathological features are shown in Table 2. None of the clinical-pathological features was notably related to the PDW including gender, age at diagnosis, pathology grade, lymph node metastasis, pathological stage, vessel invasive, treatment regimen, albumin, fibrinogen, and hemoglobin. However, an elevated PDW was significantly associated with depth of tumor (P = 0.031), nerve infiltration (P = 0.016), hospital time after operation (P = 0.020), platelet (P < 0.001), red cell distribution width (P < 0.001), and aspartate transaminase (P = 0.001). Moreover, high PDW independently predicted depth of tumor (OR = 1.575, P = 0.040), lymph node metastasis (OR = 1.704, P = 0.009), pathological stage (OR = 0.464, P = 0.007), and nerve infiltration (OR = 1.527, P = 0.042) using logistic regression analysis (Table 3 and Fig. 2).
Figure 1
ROC curves analysis of PDW for survival outcomes in patients with ESCC. (A) OS revealed the largest AUC (0.716), while PDW cutoff was set at 13.4 for the largest Youden Index (0.405) obtained (sensitivity, 81.0%; specificity, 59.5%). (B) DFS revealed the AUC (0.615). OS: overall survival; DFS: disease free survival; PDW: platelet distribution width; AUC: area under the ROC curve; ESCC: esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.
Table 2
Relationship between preoperative PDW and clinical-pathological features in patients with ESCC.
Characteristics
Total patients
PDW <13.4 (n = 254)
PDW ≥13.4 (n = 241)
P value
Sex
Male
219
209
0.870
Female
35
32
Age at therapy initiation(years)
≤60
112
117
0.321
>60
142
124
Pathology grade
Well differentiated
22
16
0.390
middle differentiated
170
156
Poorly differentiated
56
65
Undifferentiated
0
1
Depth of tumor
T1a–1b
34
17
0.031
T2
44
56
T3
176
168
Lymph node metastasis
N0
123
108
0.260
N1
89
76
N2
32
42
N3
10
15
Pathological stage
1a–1b
49
42
0.844
2a–2b
93
88
3a–3c
112
111
Vessel invasive
Yes
63
75
0.117
No
191
166
Nerve infiltration
Yes
74
95
0.016
No
180
146
Treatment regimen
S
163
176
0.102
S plus postoperative C
64
47
S plus postoperative CRT
27
18
Hospital time after operation(days)
≤14
215
184
0.020
>14
39
57
Platelet
Median
222.0
171.0
<0.001
Interquartile range
(190.0–257.0)
(142.0–206.0)
Albumin
Median
42.1
41.9
0.992
Interquartile range
(39.7–44.1)
(39.3–44.4)
RDW
Median
12.7
12.9
<0.001
Interquartile range
(12.3–13.2)
(12.4–13.4)
Aspartate transaminase
Median
21.0
23.0
0.001
Interquartile range
(19.0–26.0)
(19.0–29.0)
Fibrinogen
Median
3.8
3.7
0.108
Interquartile range
(3.3–4.4)
(3.1–4.3)
Hemoglobin
Median
13.8
13.7
0.169
Interquartile range
(12.8–14.7)
(12.6–14.5)
Abbreviations: S, surgery; C, chemotherapy; CRT, chemoradiotherapy; PDW, platelet distribution width; RDW, red cell distribution width.
Table 3
Logistic regression analysis of PDW and its predictive value for adverse pathological outcomes.
Adverse pathological outcomes
Adjusted OR
95% CI
P value
Pathology grade
1.209
0.860–1.7
0.275
Depth of tumor
1.575
1.022–2.428
0.040
Lymph node metastasis
1.704
1.144–2.537
0.009
Pathological stage
0.464
0.264–0.814
0.007
Vessel invasive
1.224
0.791–1.896
0.364
Nerve infiltration
1.527
1.015–2.297
0.042
Figure 2
Forest map showing logistic regression analysis of PDW and its predictive value for adverse pathological outcomes.
ROC curves analysis of PDW for survival outcomes in patients with ESCC. (A) OS revealed the largest AUC (0.716), while PDW cutoff was set at 13.4 for the largest Youden Index (0.405) obtained (sensitivity, 81.0%; specificity, 59.5%). (B) DFS revealed the AUC (0.615). OS: overall survival; DFS: disease free survival; PDW: platelet distribution width; AUC: area under the ROC curve; ESCC: esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.Relationship between preoperative PDW and clinical-pathological features in patients with ESCC.Abbreviations: S, surgery; C, chemotherapy; CRT, chemoradiotherapy; PDW, platelet distribution width; RDW, red cell distribution width.Logistic regression analysis of PDW and its predictive value for adverse pathological outcomes.Forest map showing logistic regression analysis of PDW and its predictive value for adverse pathological outcomes.
High PDW is related to poor OS and DFS
The Kaplan–Meier curves exhibited that patients with high PDW had a worse OS (P < 0.001, Fig. 3A) compared with low PDW group. In subgroup analysis according to lymph node metastasis and pathological stage, high PDW was related to worse OS for patients with or without lymph node metastasis (both P < 0.001) and less or more advanced stage (both P < 0.001) (Figs 4 and 5). In addition, univariate analysis shown that high PDW was correlated with worse OS (HR = 5.111, P < 0.001) (Table 4). Using multivariate analysis, high PDW (HR = 1.194, P < 0.001), lymph node metastasis (P < 0.05), nerve infiltration (P = 0.004), and hospital time (P = 0.009) were notable related to worse OS (Table 4).
Figure 3
Kaplan–Meier curves for OS (A) and DFS (B) which was stratified according to PDW value (PDW <13.4 vs. PDW ≥13.4) for ESCC patients after surgery. The difference was evaluated by log-rank tests.
Figure 4
Subgroup analysis based on lymph node metastasis, Kaplan–Meier curves for OS (A,B) and DFS (C,D), which was stratified according to PDW value (PDW <13.4 vs. PDW ≥13.4) for ESCC patients after surgery. The difference was evaluated by log-rank tests.
Figure 5
Subgroup analysis based on pathological stage, Kaplan–Meier curves for OS (A,B) and DFS (C,D), which was stratified according to PDW value (PDW <13.4 vs. PDW ≥13.4) for ESCC patients after surgery. The difference was evaluated by log-rank tests.
Table 4
Overall survival analyses according to preoperative PDW in 495 patients with ESCC.
Variables
Univariate
Multivariate
HR
95% CI
P value
HR
95% CI
P value
PDW (≥13.4 vs. <13.4)
5.111
3.101–8.425
<0.001
1.194
1.120–1.273
<0.001
Sex (male vs.female)
1.676
0.845–3.326
0.139
Age (>60 vs. ≤60)
1.238
0.833–1.838
0.291
Depth of tumor
T1a–1b
0.296
0.093–0.937
0.038
0.447
0.116–1.722
0.242
T2
0.607
0.355–1.038
0.607
0.435
0.135–1.399
0.162
T3
1.000
1.000
Lymph node metastasis
N0
0.112
0.056–0.222
<0.001
0.073
0.015–0.363
0.001
N1
0.308
0.164–0.576
<0.001
0.331
0.168–0.650
0.001
N2
0.432
0.219–0.855
0.016
0.486
0.240–0.985
0.045
N3
1.000
1.000
Pathological stage
1a–1b
0.194
0.084–0.447
<0.001
2.384
0.184–30.799
0.506
2a–2b
0.395
0.251–0.623
<0.001
1.556
0.386–6.283
0.534
3a–3c
1.000
1.000
Vessel invasive (absence vs. presence)
1.793
1.197–2.686
0.005
1.098
0.704–1.713
0.681
Nerve infiltration (absence vs. presence)
1.990
1.343–2.948
0.001
1.855
1.214–2.836
0.004
Treatment regimen
S
1.425
0.656–3.099
0.371
S plus postoperative C
1.430
0.611–3.348
0.410
S plus postoperative CRT
1.000
Hospital time (days) (>14 vs. ≤14)
1.811
1.169–2.803
0.008
1.828
1.159–2.881
0.009
Platelet
0.996
0.992–0.999
0.018
1.000
0.996–1.004
0.904
Albumin
0.931
0.884–0.981
0.007
0.947
0.892–1.006
0.076
RDW
1.258
1.016–1.557
0.035
1.072
0.838–1.370
0.579
Aspartate transaminase
0.995
0.972–1.019
0.709
Fibrinogen
1.137
0.909–1.422
0.262
Hemoglobin
0.831
0.729–0.948
0.006
0.853
0.726–1.002
0.053
Abbreviations: S, surgery; C, chemotherapy; CRT, chemoradiotherapy; PDW, platelet distribution width; RDW, red cell distribution width.
Kaplan–Meier curves for OS (A) and DFS (B) which was stratified according to PDW value (PDW <13.4 vs. PDW ≥13.4) for ESCCpatients after surgery. The difference was evaluated by log-rank tests.Subgroup analysis based on lymph node metastasis, Kaplan–Meier curves for OS (A,B) and DFS (C,D), which was stratified according to PDW value (PDW <13.4 vs. PDW ≥13.4) for ESCCpatients after surgery. The difference was evaluated by log-rank tests.Subgroup analysis based on pathological stage, Kaplan–Meier curves for OS (A,B) and DFS (C,D), which was stratified according to PDW value (PDW <13.4 vs. PDW ≥13.4) for ESCCpatients after surgery. The difference was evaluated by log-rank tests.Overall survival analyses according to preoperative PDW in 495 patients with ESCC.Abbreviations: S, surgery; C, chemotherapy; CRT, chemoradiotherapy; PDW, platelet distribution width; RDW, red cell distribution width.By Kaplan–Meier analysis, the DFS was poor in the high PDW group (P < 0.001, Fig. 3B). Similarly, based on subgroup analysis, with lymph node metastasis (P < 0.001) and advanced stage (P < 0.001) could serve as predictors for short DFS in patients with ESCC, which was not observed in patients without lymph node metastasis (P = 0.291) and less advanced stage (P = 0.219) (Figs 4 and 5). In the univariate analysis, high PDW was a significant predictor of unfavorable DFS (HR = 2.302, P < 0.001) (Table 5). After adjustment for confounders, high PDW (HR = 2.562, P < 0.001), lymph node metastasis (P < 0.05), and surgery (P = 0.047) were correlated with decreased DFS (Table 5). In a word, PDW was an independent prognostic factor for patients with ESCC undergoing surgery.
Table 5
Disease-free survival analyses according to preoperative PDW in 495 patients with ESCC.
Variables
Univariate
Multivariate
HR
95% CI
P value
HR
95% CI
P value
PDW (≥13.4 vs. <13.4)
2.302
1.567–3.383
<0.001
2.562
1.733–3.786
<0.001
Sex (male vs.female)
1.545
0.830–2.878
0.170
Age (>60 vs. ≤60)
0.881
0.610–1.273
0.501
Depth of tumor
T1a–1b
0.838
0.435–1.614
0.597
T2
0.601
0.357–1.011
0.055
T3
1.000
Lymph node metastasis
N0
0.160
0.084–0.303
<0.001
0.205
0.074–0.569
0.002
N1
0.266
0.141–0.500
<0.001
0.265
0.136–0.515
<0.001
N2
0.471
0.243–0.915
0.026
0.424
0.217–0.827
0.012
N3
1.000
1.000
Pathological stage
1a–1b
0.376
0.203–0.694
0.002
1.039
0.363–2.975
0.943
2a–2b
0.511
0.337–0.775
0.002
1.082
0.517–2.261
0.835
3a–3c
1.000
1.000
Vessel invasive (absence vs. presence)
1.376
0.927–2.043
0.114
Nerve infiltration (absence vs. presence)
1.640
1.131–2.380
0.009
1.424
0.960–2.113
0.079
Treatment regimen
S
0.496
0.280–0.878
0.016
0.551
0.306–0.993
0.047
S plus postoperative C
1.344
0.748–2.416
0.323
1.304
0.719–2.364
0.382
S plus postoperative CRT
1.000
Hospital time (days) (>14 vs. ≤14)
1.214
0.773–1.905
0.399
Platelet
0.998
0.995–1.001
0.285
Albumin
0.969
0.922–1.019
0.217
RDW
1.149
0.931–1.418
0.195
Aspartate transaminase
0.997
0.975–1.019
0.791
Fibrinogen
0.931
0.748–1.159
0.524
Hemoglobin
0.962
0.847–1.091
0.545
Abbreviations: S, surgery; C, chemotherapy; CRT, chemoradiotherapy; PDW, platelet distribution width; RDW, red cell distribution width.
Disease-free survival analyses according to preoperative PDW in 495 patients with ESCC.Abbreviations: S, surgery; C, chemotherapy; CRT, chemoradiotherapy; PDW, platelet distribution width; RDW, red cell distribution width.
Discussion
Numerous researches showed that platelet activation play an important part in cancer progression. Thrombocytosis is related to worse clinical outcome in patients with various cancers, including ovarian cancer, colorectal cancer, and pancreatic cancer[20-22]. The PDW that is one of the platelet indices not merely check platelet volume heterogeneity, but also reactive platelet activity. Recently, several studies revealed that a high PDW is an unfavorable prognosis factor in melanomapatients, laryngeal cancer, and gastric cancer[23-25]. To the best of our knowledge, the prognostic value of the preoperative PDW in ESCCpatients remains unknown.This was the first retrospective research revealed that a PDW with a cut-off 13.4 fL was an independent prognostic factor for the OS and DFS in ESCCpatients. Our findings reported that an elevated PDW was correlated with depth of tumor, nerve infiltration, and hospital time after operation. Moreover, high PDW was an independent predictor for ESCCpatients with lymph node metastasis according to further subgroup analyses.Nevertheless, the potential mechanism by which PDW have an effect on cancer progression is unclear. One possible cause is that platelets facilitate the hypercoagulability in tumor. Activated platelets produce a procoagulant micro-environment and aggregate with tumor cell. Platelet-derived growth factor (PDGF) family members including PDGF-A, PDGF-B, PDGF-C and PDGF-D, play a vital role in cancer cell proliferation, apoptosis, transformation, invasion, metastasis and angiogenesis[26-31]. In esophageal cancer, PDGF-D expression is associated with clinical-pathological features and worse survival. Moreover, platelet-derived growth factor-D contributes to proliferation and invasion of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma by up-regulating NF-κB signaling pathways[32]. Consistent with previous studies, our findings indirectly suggested anti-platelet could serve as one part of cancer adjuvant therapy[33].Another possible mechanism is that bone marrow cells malfunction may be associated with the lower PDW. PDW reflects platelet heterogeneity, which is caused by heterogeneous demarcation of megakaryocytes[34]. Cytokines, including interleukin-6 (IL-6), macrophage colony stimulating factor (M-CSF), and granulocytes colony stimulating factor (G-CSF), have an effect on megakaryocytic maturation, platelet production, and platelet size[35]. IL-6 facilitates cancer cell proliferation, invasion, and metastasis. IL-6 is correlated with the prognosis and depression of cancerpatients and is considered to the therapy target[36-38]. Moreover, G-CSF stimulates megakaryopoiesis and constrains tumor to proliferation. M-CSF was an important factor in the cancer microenvironment, involving in the interactions between tumor-infiltrated macrophages and tumor cells[39-41]. Those reports are in accord with the point that activated platelets participate in the pathogenesis of esophageal cancer.There were several limitations of our study: first, this was the single-center design and retrospective study, which might have selection bias. Second, the biological mechanism of PDW affecting prognosis need to explored. Third, a controversial cut-off value determined by different ways, such as mean, ROC curve, and C index, could be the optimal predictor of clinical outcome in ESCCpatients. In this study, we chose ROC curve to determine the cut-off value. Future studies with multi-center design and prospective trials are necessary to validate the prognostic value of PDW in ESCCpatients.An elevated preoperative PDW indicates a worse OS and DFS of patients with newly diagnosed ESCC undergoing surgery. Our finding may contribute to assess the prognosis of ESCC.
Methods
Patient recruitment and data collection
This retrospective study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, and included 590 ESCCpatients who were newly diagnosed between 2008 and 2013. 95 patients who met the following standard were excluded from the study: neoadjuvant chemotherapy or radiotherapy before surgery; loss to follow-up; data missing; concomitant disease that could interfere with platelet, including autoimmune disease, splenic disease, severe hypertension, and a history of blood transfusion; other factors that could affect the PDW, including megaloblastic anemia, acute myeloid leukemia, splenectomy, giant platelet syndrome, and thrombotic disease. The enrolled 495 patients completed written informed consent.The pretreatment peripheral blood cell count was checked via a SYSMEX XE-2100 (Sysmex, Kobe, Japan) Automatic Blood Cell Analyzer. The PDW measurement is the first time of admission.
Follow-up strategy
After surgery, patients were followed up every three months for the first year, six months during the second year and 12 months thereafter. Physical examination, blood routine examination, and medical history were achieved conventionally. Bone scans, chest/abdominal CT/MRI, and chest radiography were acquired when in cases of suspicious metastasis or recurrence.
Statistical analysis
The PDW was analyzed as continuous variables and the clinical-pathological features were counted as categorical variables. The optimal cut-off value of PDW for predicting survival was determined by the ROC curve analysis. The relationship between PDW and clinical-pathological features in ESCC was analyzed by chi-square tests. The Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test were used for the overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) analyses. The association between PDW and clinical-pathological features were investigated by logistic regression analysis. Clinical-pathological features with P < 0.01 were selected to be the subgroup factor. Subgroup analysis was based on lymph node metastasis and pathological stage. Whether the OS and DFS was an independent prognosis factor was determined by Cox proportional hazards regression models. Risk factors with P < 0.01 in univariate analysis were chosen to multivariate analyses. The SPSS software version 19.0 (IBM SPSS, Chicago, IL, USA) was utilized for statistical analysis.
Ethics approval and consent to participate
All procedures in the present study were performed in accordance with the ethical standards of the World Medical Association Declaration of Helsinki. The study approval was obtained from ethics committee at Zhejiang Cancer Hospital and informed consents were informed from all participants.