Literature DB >> 31609446

Ending the Epidemic in America Will Not Happen if the Status Quo Continues: Modeled Projections for Human Immunodeficiency Virus Incidence in 6 US Cities.

Bohdan Nosyk1,2, Xiao Zang1,2, Emanuel Krebs1, Jeong Eun Min1, Czarina N Behrends3, Carlos Del Rio4, Julia C Dombrowski5, Daniel J Feaster6, Matthew Golden5, Brandon D L Marshall7, Shruti H Mehta8, Lisa R Metsch9, Bruce R Schackman3, Steven Shoptaw10, Steffanie A Strathdee11.   

Abstract

We estimated 10-year (2020-2030) trajectories for human immunodeficiency virus incidence in 6 US cities. Estimated incidence will only decrease in 2 of 6 cities, with the overall population-weighted incidence decreasing 3.1% (95% credible interval [CrI], -1.0% to 8.5%) by 2025, and 4.3% (95% CrI, -2.6% to 12.7%) by 2030 across cities. Targeted, context-specific combination implementation strategies will be necessary to meet the newly established national targets.
© The Author(s) 2019. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.

Keywords:  HIV/AIDS; dynamic transmission model; epidemiological projection; “Ending the HIV epidemic” plan

Year:  2019        PMID： 31609446     DOI： 10.1093/cid/ciz1015

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Clin Infect Dis        ISSN： 1058-4838            Impact factor:   9.079


  12 in total

1.  Dissemination Science to Advance the Use of Simulation Modeling: Our Obligation Moving Forward.

Authors:  Bohdan Nosyk; Janet Weiner; Emanuel Krebs; Xiao Zang; Benjamin Enns; Czarina N Behrends; Daniel J Feaster; Hawre Jalal; Brandon D L Marshall; Ankur Pandya; Bruce R Schackman; Zachary F Meisel
Journal:  Med Decis Making       Date:  2020-08-05       Impact factor: 2.583

2.  Can the 'Ending the HIV Epidemic' initiative transition the USA towards HIV/AIDS epidemic control?

Authors:  Xiao Zang; Emanuel Krebs; Cassandra Mah; Jeong E Min; Brandon D L Marshall; Daniel J Feaster; Bruce R Schackman; Lisa R Metsch; Steffanie A Strathdee; Czarina N Behrends; Bohdan Nosyk
Journal:  AIDS       Date:  2020-12-01       Impact factor: 4.177

3.  "Ending the Epidemic" Will Not Happen Without Addressing Racial/Ethnic Disparities in the United States Human Immunodeficiency Virus Epidemic.

Authors:  Bohdan Nosyk; Emanuel Krebs; Xiao Zang; Micah Piske; Benjamin Enns; Jeong E Min; Czarina N Behrends; Carlos Del Rio; Daniel J Feaster; Matthew Golden; Brandon D L Marshall; Shruti H Mehta; Zachary F Meisel; Lisa R Metsch; Ankur Pandya; Bruce R Schackman; Steven Shoptaw; Steffanie A Strathdee
Journal:  Clin Infect Dis       Date:  2020-12-31       Impact factor: 9.079

4.  What Will It Take to End HIV in the United States? : A Comprehensive, Local-Level Modeling Study.

Authors:  Anthony Todd Fojo; Melissa Schnure; Parastu Kasaie; David W Dowdy; Maunank Shah
Journal:  Ann Intern Med       Date:  2021-09-21       Impact factor: 25.391

5.  Simulating the End of AIDS in New York: Using Participatory Dynamic Modeling to Improve Implementation of the Ending the Epidemic Initiative.

Authors:  Erika G Martin; Roderick H MacDonald; Daniel E Gordon; Carol-Ann Swain; Travis O'Donnell; John Helmeset; Adenantera Dwicaksono; James M Tesoriero
Journal:  Public Health Rep       Date:  2020 Jul/Aug       Impact factor: 2.792

6.  Added Benefits of Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis Use on HIV Incidence with Minimal Changes in Efficiency in the Context of High Treatment Engagement Among Men Who Have Sex with Men.

Authors:  Alyson L Singleton; Brandon D L Marshall; Xiao Zang; Amy S Nunn; William C Goedel
Journal:  AIDS Patient Care STDS       Date:  2020-11-19       Impact factor: 5.078

7.  Ending the HIV Epidemic Among Persons Who Inject Drugs: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis in Six US Cities.

Authors:  Emanuel Krebs; Xiao Zang; Benjamin Enns; Jeong E Min; Czarina N Behrends; Carlos Del Rio; Julia C Dombrowski; Daniel J Feaster; Kelly A Gebo; Brandon D L Marshall; Shruti H Mehta; Lisa R Metsch; Ankur Pandya; Bruce R Schackman; Steffanie A Strathdee; Bohdan Nosyk
Journal:  J Infect Dis       Date:  2020-09-02       Impact factor: 5.226

8.  Ending the HIV epidemic in the USA: an economic modelling study in six cities.

Authors:  Bohdan Nosyk; Xiao Zang; Emanuel Krebs; Benjamin Enns; Jeong E Min; Czarina N Behrends; Carlos Del Rio; Julia C Dombrowski; Daniel J Feaster; Matthew Golden; Brandon D L Marshall; Shruti H Mehta; Lisa R Metsch; Ankur Pandya; Bruce R Schackman; Steven Shoptaw; Steffanie A Strathdee
Journal:  Lancet HIV       Date:  2020-03-05       Impact factor: 12.767

9.  Improving health equity and ending the HIV epidemic in the USA: a distributional cost-effectiveness analysis in six cities.

Authors:  Amanda My Linh Quan; Cassandra Mah; Emanuel Krebs; Xiao Zang; Siyuan Chen; Keri Althoff; Wendy Armstrong; Czarina Navos Behrends; Julia C Dombrowski; Eva Enns; Daniel J Feaster; Kelly A Gebo; William C Goedel; Matthew Golden; Brandon D L Marshall; Shruti H Mehta; Ankur Pandya; Bruce R Schackman; Steffanie A Strathdee; Patrick Sullivan; Hansel Tookes; Bohdan Nosyk
Journal:  Lancet HIV       Date:  2021-08-06       Impact factor: 16.070

10.  The impact of localized implementation: determining the cost-effectiveness of HIV prevention and care interventions across six United States cities.

Authors:  Emanuel Krebs; Xiao Zang; Benjamin Enns; Jeong E Min; Czarina N Behrends; Carlos Del Rio; Julia C Dombrowski; Daniel J Feaster; Kelly A Gebo; Matthew Golden; Brandon D L Marshall; Lisa R Metsch; Bruce R Schackman; Steven Shoptaw; Steffanie A Strathdee; Bohdan Nosyk
Journal:  AIDS       Date:  2020-03-01       Impact factor: 4.632
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