| Literature DB >> 31596518 |
Axel Åkerblom1,2, Stefan K James1,2, Tatevik G Lakic2, Richard C Becker3, Christopher P Cannon4, Philippe G Steg5,6,7,8, Anders Himmelmann9, Hugo A Katus10, Robert F Storey11, Lars Wallentin1,2, W Douglas Weaver12, Agneta Siegbahn2,13.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: We aimed to assess associations between circulating IL-18 concentrations and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS). HYPOTHESIS AND METHODS: Plasma IL-18 concentrations were measured at admission, discharge, 1 month, and 6 months in patients with ACS in the PLATelet inhibition and patient Outcomes (PLATO) trial. Associations with outcomes were evaluated with Cox regression models on the composite of CV death, spontaneous myocardial infarction (sMI), or stroke; and on CV death or sMI separately, including adjustment for clinical risk factors and biomarkers (cTnT-hs, NT-proBNP, cystatin C, CRP-hs, and GDF-15).Entities:
Keywords: acute coronary syndrome; inflammation; morbidity; mortality; myocardial infarction
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31596518 PMCID: PMC6906991 DOI: 10.1002/clc.23274
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Clin Cardiol ISSN: 0160-9289 Impact factor: 2.882
Baseline characteristics and biomarkers by quartile groups of IL‐18 concentrations at baseline
| Characteristic | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <180.0 ng/L | 180.0‐237.0 ng/L | 237.0‐311.0 ng/L | >311.0 ng/L |
| |
| n = 4176 | n = 4174 | n = 4118 | n = 4168 | ||
| Age (y) | 63 (55‐71) | 62 (54‐71) | 61 (54‐70) | 61 (53‐70) | <.0001 |
| Female | 1563 (37.4%) | 1211 (29.0%) | 1019 (24.7%) | 964 (23.1%) | <.0001 |
| BMI kg/m2 | 26.9 (24.3‐29.7) | 27.3 (24.8‐30.4) | 27.7 (24.9‐30.9) | 27.8 (25.1‐31.0) | <.0001 |
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| Habitual smoker | 1338 (32.0%) | 1484 (35.6%) | 1526 (37.1%) | 1561 (37.5%) | <.0001 |
| Hypertension | 2749 (65.8%) | 2670 (64.0%) | 2725 (66.2%) | 2734 (65.6%) | .1524 |
| Dyslipidemia | 2018 (48.3%) | 2030 (48.6%) | 1917 (46.6%) | 1886 (45.2%) | .0056 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 866 (20.7%) | 985 (23.6%) | 1045 (25.4%) | 1256 (30.1%) | <.0001 |
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| Angina pectoris | 1844 (44.2%) | 1846 (44.2%) | 1804 (43.8%) | 1898 (45.5%) | .4053 |
| Myocardial infarction | 825 (19.8%) | 883 (21.2%) | 835 (20.3%) | 895 (21.5%) | .1906 |
| Congestive heart failure | 215 (5.1%) | 243 (5.8%) | 218 (5.3%) | 288 (6.9%) | .0022 |
| PCI | 539 (12.9%) | 579 (13.9%) | 563 (13.7%) | 528 (12.7%) | .2985 |
| CABG | 265 (6.3%) | 239 (5.7%) | 224 (5.4%) | 251 (6.0%) | .3328 |
| TIA | 107 (2.6%) | 121 (2.9%) | 95 (2.3%) | 129 (3.1%) | .1232 |
| Non‐hemorrhagic stroke | 141 (3.4%) | 159 (3.8%) | 165 (4.0%) | 165 (4.0%) | .4195 |
| Peripheral arterial disease | 193 (4.6%) | 244 (5.8%) | 275 (6.7%) | 310 (7.4%) | <.0001 |
| Chronic renal disease | 133 (3.2%) | 157 (3.8%) | 181 (4.4%) | 220 (5.3%) | <.0001 |
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| ST‐elevation MI | 1630 (39.0%) | 1648 (39.5%) | 1708 (41.5%) | 1733 (41.6%) | .0281 |
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| cTnT‐hs ng/L | 183.0 (43.3‐627.0) | 189.0 (45.4‐636.0) | 188.0 (45.0‐657.0) | 205.0 (48.5‐714.0) | .0369 |
| NT‐proBNP pmol/L | 61.9 (20.4‐188.1) | 55.0 (18.3‐169.8) | 56.7 (18.4‐176.5) | 63.3 (19.5‐206.1) | .0012 |
| GDF‐15 pg/L | 1411 (1061‐1986) | 1492 (1121‐2099) | 1574 (1159‐2283) | 1731 (1265‐2564) | <.0001 |
| Cystatin C mg/L | 0.76 (0.63‐0.92) | 0.81 (0.67‐0.97) | 0.84 (0.69‐1.03) | 0.90 (0.73‐1.13) | <.0001 |
| White blood cells | 8.80 (7.00‐11.10) | 9.10 (7.30‐11.50) | 9.40 (7.50‐11.50) | 9.30 (7.50‐11.90) | <.0001 |
| CRP mg/L | 2.9 (1.2‐6.9) | 3.5 (1.5‐8.4) | 4.1 (1.8‐10.0) | 5.0 (2.1‐13.0) | <.0001 |
Notes: Categorical baseline variables were presented as frequencies and percentages and compared by quartile groups of IL‐18 using χ 2 tests. Continuous baseline variables were presented as medians and 25th to 75th percentiles and compared by quartile groups of IL‐18 using Kruskal‐Wallis tests.
Multivariable Cox regression analysis, and event rates, on baseline IL‐18 (ng/L) and the primary composite outcome; CV death, sMI or stroke, during up to 1 year of follow‐up (n = 16 636)
| Model | IL‐18 level | No of events | No of patients | Event rate (%) | HR (95% CI) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1a | Continuous | 1424 | 16 636 | 8.6 | 1.05 (1.02‐1.07) | .0003 |
| Model 1b | <Q1: <180.0 | 331 | 4176 | 7.9 | .0179 | |
| Q1‐<Q2: 180.0‐237.0 | 346 | 4174 | 8.3 | 1.05 (0.91‐1.23) | ||
| Q2‐<Q3: 237.0‐311.0 | 346 | 4118 | 8.4 | 1.08 (0.93‐1.25) | ||
| ≥Q3: ≥ 311.0 | 401 | 4168 | 9.6 | 1.25 (1.08‐1.44) | ||
| Model 2a | Continuous | 1407 | 16 577 | 8.5 | 1.04 (1.02‐1.07) | .0017 |
| Model 2b | <Q1: <180.0 | 326 | 4161 | 7.8 | .0763 | |
| Q1‐<Q2: 180.0‐237.0 | 343 | 4162 | 8.2 | 1.06 (0.91‐1.24) | ||
| Q2‐<Q3: 237.0‐311.0 | 343 | 4102 | 8.4 | 1.11 (0.95‐1.30) | ||
| ≥Q3: ≥311.0 | 395 | 4152 | 9.5 | 1.21 (1.04‐1.41) | ||
| Model 3a | Continuous | 1380 | 16 139 | 8.6 | 1.03 (1.00‐1.05) | .0625 |
| Model 3b | <Q1: <180.0 | 313 | 4052 | 7.7 | .6527 | |
| Q1‐<Q2: 180.0‐237.0 | 338 | 4057 | 8.3 | 1.07 (0.92‐1.25) | ||
| Q2‐<Q3: 237.0‐311.0 | 338 | 4008 | 8.4 | 1.07 (0.92‐1.25) | ||
| ≥Q3: ≥311.0 | 391 | 4022 | 9.7 | 1.10 (0.95‐1.29) | ||
| Model 4a | Continuous | 1230 | 14 488 | 8.5 | 1.01 (0.98‐1.04) | .4085 |
| Model 4b | <Q1: <180.0 | 280 | 3660 | 7.7 | .9427 | |
| Q1‐<Q2: 180.0‐237.0 | 308 | 3685 | 8.4 | 1.05 (0.89‐1.24) | ||
| Q2‐<Q3: 237.0‐311.0 | 302 | 3598 | 8.4 | 1.02 (0.86‐1.20) | ||
| ≥Q3: ≥311.0 | 340 | 3545 | 9.6 | 1.03 (0.87‐1.21) |
Notes: Model 1 includes ln(IL‐18) and randomized treatment. Model 2 includes ln(IL‐18) and clinical variables. Model 3 includes the covariates from Model 2 and biomarkers: ln(cystatin C), ln(cTnT‐hs), ln(NT‐proBNP). Model 4 includes the covariates from Model 3 and biomarkers: ln(CRP), ln(GDF‐15), and ln(WBC).
Figure 1Forest plot of the hazard ratios and 95% CIs, per 25% increase in baseline IL‐18 level, for the composite endpoint, and for CV death and spontaneous MI separately during up to 12 months of follow‐up
Multivariable Cox regression analysis, and event rates, on baseline IL‐18 (ng/L) and CV death during up to 1 year of follow‐up (n = 16 636)a
| Model | IL‐18 level | No of events | No of patients | Crude event rate (%) | HR (95% CI) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1a | Continuous | 677 | 16 636 | 4.1 | 1.10 (1.06‐1.14) | <.0001 |
| Model 1b | <Q1: <180.0 | 132 | 4176 | 3.2 | <.0001 | |
| Q1‐<Q2: 180.0‐237.0 | 143 | 4174 | 3.4 | 1.09 (0.86‐1.38) | ||
| Q2‐<Q3: 237.0‐311.0 | 180 | 4118 | 4.4 | 1.41 (1.12‐1.76) | ||
| ≥Q3: ≥311.0 | 222 | 4168 | 5.3 | 1.73 (1.40‐2.15) | ||
| Model 2a | Continuous | 665 | 16 577 | 4.0 | 1.09 (1.05‐1.13) | <.0001 |
| Model 2b | <Q1: <180.0 | 130 | 4161 | 3.1 | <.0001 | |
| Q1‐<Q2: 180.0‐237.0 | 140 | 4162 | 3.4 | 1.09 (0.86‐1.39) | ||
| Q2‐<Q3: 237.0‐311.0 | 177 | 4102 | 4.3 | 1.45 (1.15‐1.82) | ||
| ≥Q3: ≥311.0 | 218 | 4152 | 5.3 | 1.63 (1.31‐2.04) | ||
| Model 3a | Continuous | 658 | 16 139 | 4.1 | 1.06 (1.02‐1.10) | .0019 |
| Model 3b | <Q1: <180.0 | 128 | 4052 | 3.2 | .0169 | |
| Q1‐<Q2: 180.0‐237.0 | 138 | 4057 | 3.4 | 1.07 (0.84‐1.36) | ||
| Q2‐<Q3: 237.0‐311.0 | 175 | 4008 | 4.4 | 1.32 (1.05‐1.67) | ||
| ≥Q3: ≥311.0 | 217 | 4022 | 5.4 | 1.36 (1.08‐1.71) | ||
| Model 4a | Continuous | 571 | 14 488 | 3.9 | 1.04 (1.00‐1.08) | .0645 |
| Model 4b | <Q1: <180.0 | 112 | 3660 | 3.1 | .2917 | |
| Q1‐<Q2: 180.0‐237.0 | 123 | 3685 | 3.3 | 1.02 (0.79‐1.32) | ||
| Q2‐<Q3: 237.0‐311.0 | 152 | 3598 | 4.2 | 1.20 (0.94‐1.54) | ||
| ≥Q3: ≥311.0 | 184 | 3545 | 5.2 | 1.19 (0.93‐1.52) |
Notes: Model 1 includes ln(IL‐18) and randomized treatment. Model 2 includes ln(IL‐18) and clinical variables. Model 3 includes the covariates from Model 2 and biomarkers: ln(cystatin C), ln(cTnT‐hs), ln(NT‐proBNP). Model 4 includes the covariates from Model 3 and biomarkers: ln(CRP), ln(GDF‐15), and ln(WBC).
Quartile groups IL‐18: Q1; <180, Q2; 181‐236, Q3; 237‐311, Q4; 312.
Median IL‐18 concentrations (ng/L) during follow‐up: at baseline, discharge and after 1 and 6 monthsa
| Visit | Overall | Ticagrelor | Clopidogrel | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N | Median IL‐18 (ng/L; Q1‐Q3) |
| N | Median IL‐18 (ng/L; Q1;Q3) | N | Median IL‐18 (ng/L; Q1;Q3) |
| |
|
| 4585 | 233 (179‐306) | 2277 | 232 (179‐306) | 2306 | 233 (179‐305) | ||
|
| 4461 | 284 (216‐369) | 2211 | 284 (215‐367) | 2245 | 283 (217‐370) | ||
| Change from baseline | 4461 | 46 (2‐97) | <.0001 | 2211 | 46 (1‐95) | 2245 | 47 (4‐99) | .2471 |
|
| 3982 | 306 (233‐395) | 1982 | 304 (232‐395) | 2000 | 308 (234‐396) | ||
| Change from baseline | 3982 | 72 (17‐132) | <.0001 | 1982 | 68 (15‐129) | 2000 | 76 (18‐135) | .1255 |
| Change from discharge | 3859 | 25 (−34‐84) | <.0001 | |||||
|
| 1929 | 320 (244‐414) | 937 | 323 (245‐414) | 992 | 318 (243‐413) | ||
| Change from baseline | 1929 | 80 (28‐142) | <.0001 | 937 | 79 (26‐141) | 992 | 81 (30‐144) | .7980 |
| Change from discharge | 1856 | 35 (−23‐96) | <.0001 | |||||
| Change from 1 month | 1907 | 17 (−43‐80) | <.0001 | |||||
To the left presented overall and to the right in strata by randomized treatment. All subjects with a baseline value and at least one follow‐up sample were included in the analysis (n = 4583). The model includes a non‐parametric test with the baseline value as a covariate.