| Literature DB >> 31583325 |
Masaru Sasaki1, Norikatsu Miyoshi1,2, Shiki Fujino1, Satoshi Ishikawa1, Kazuhiro Saso1, Hidekazu Takahashi1, Naotsugu Haraguchi1, Taishi Hata1, Chu Matsuda1, Tsunekazu Mizushima1, Yuichiro Doki1, Masaki Mori1.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: It has been reported that there is an association between the nutritional condition and the prognosis of cancer. Here, we evaluated the relation between the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and colorectal cancer (CRC). <br> METHODS: A total of 184 patients with CRC who underwent curative surgery from October 2011 to December 2012 at the Osaka University Hospital were investigated. According to the median PNI value of our data set, patients were classified into a high-PNI (≥46) group and a low-PNI (<46) group. The relationship between the PNI and the disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) was analyzed by a Cox regression model. <br> RESULTS: A low PNI was significantly associated with poor DFS (P = 0.006) and OS (P < 0.001). A multivariate analysis showed that low PNI, venous invasion (present), and tumor location (rectum) were independent risk factors for recurrence. Low PNI, advanced age, and venous invasion were found to be independent risk factors for mortality. Using these clinicopathological factors, we developed nomograms to predict DFS and OS. The concordance index was 0.828 for DFS and 0.756 for OS. <br> CONCLUSIONS: A low PNI is a prognostic indicator for recurrence and mortality in CRC. Nomograms constructed by clinicopathological factors including the PNI can provide individual prognostic outcomes.Entities:
Keywords: PNI; colorectal cancer; nomogram; prediction model; prognosis; prognostic nutritional index
Year: 2019 PMID: 31583325 PMCID: PMC6774735 DOI: 10.23922/jarc.2018-041
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Anus Rectum Colon ISSN: 2432-3853
Figure 1.Flowchart of the patients included in this study.
The Characteristics of the 149 Patients with CRC.
| Variables | PNI | |
|---|---|---|
| High (n = 82) | Low (n = 67) | |
| Age (years) * | 63 (26-87) | 68 (42-85) |
| Sex | ||
| Male/female | 50/32 | 43/24 |
| BMI (kg/m2) * | 22.2 (8.7-32.0) | 21.8 (14.6-27.3) |
| ASA-PS | ||
| 1/2/3/4-6 | 42/37/3/0 | 23/35/9/0 |
| Alb (g/dL) * | 4.1 (3.6-4.9) | 3.5 (1.9-4.2) |
| TLC (/μL) * | 1,645 (881-3,734) | 1,222 (463-3,018) |
| WBCs (/μL) * | 5,415 (2,650-13,290) | 5,660 (860-13,700) |
| CRP (mg/dL) * | 0.06 (0.04-0.91) | 0.32 (0.04-15.31) |
| Preoperative CEA (ng/mL) * | 3 (1-19) | 4 (0.1-174) |
| Tumor location | ||
| Colon/rectum | 50/32 | 45/22 |
| Degree of differentiation | ||
| tub1/tub2/por/pap/muc | 38/37/2/2/3 | 35/26/3/0/3 |
| Depth of tumor invasion | ||
| Tis/T1/T2/T3/T4 | 4/33/17/27/1 | 5/9/11/32/10 |
| Lymph node metastasis | ||
| N0/N1/N2 | 60/15/7 | 46/17/4 |
| Venous invasion | ||
| Present/absent | 16/66 | 16/51 |
| Lymphatic vessel invasion | ||
| Present/absent | 37/45 | 42/25 |
| Distant metastasis | ||
| Present/absent | 2/80 | 5/62 |
| TNM stage | ||
| 0/I/II/III/IV | 4/43/12/21/2 | 5/17/21/19/5 |
CRC: colorectal cancer; PNI: prognostic nutritional index; BMI: body mass index; ASA-PS: American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status; Alb: albumin; TLC: total lymphocyte count; WBC: white blood cell; CRP: C-reactive protein; CEA: carcinoembryonic antigen; tub1: well-differentiated adenocarcinoma; tub2: moderately differentiated adenocarcinoma; por: poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma; pap: papillary adenocarcinoma; muc: mucinous adenocarcinoma; TNM: tumor node metastasis. *Median (range).
The Relationship between the PNI Status and Clinicopathological Factors in 149 Patients with CRC.
| Variables | Number (%) | PNI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| High (%) | Low (%) |
| ||
| PNI | 149 (100) | 82 (55.0) | 67 (45.0) | |
| Age (years) | <0.001* | |||
| Age < 65 | 77 (51.7) | 53 (68.8) | 24 (31.2) | |
| Age ≥ 65 | 72 (48.3) | 29 (40.3) | 43 (59.7) | |
| Sex | 0.688 | |||
| Male | 93 (62.4) | 50 (53.8) | 43 (46.2) | |
| Female | 56 (37.6) | 32 (57.1) | 24 (42.9) | |
| BMI (kg/m2) | 0.369 | |||
| BMI ≥ 22 | 75 (50.3) | 44 (58.7) | 31 (41.3) | |
| BMI < 22 | 74 (49.7) | 38 (51.3) | 36 (48.7) | |
| ASA-PS | 0.028* | |||
| 1, 2 | 137 (91.9) | 79 (57.7) | 58 (42.3) | |
| 3-6 | 12 (8.1) | 3 (25.0) | 9 (75.0) | |
| Alb (g/dL) | <0.001* | |||
| Alb ≥ 3.5 | 116 (77.9) | 82 (70.7) | 34 (29.3) | |
| Alb < 3.5 | 33 (22.1) | 0 (0) | 33 (100) | |
| TLC (/μL) | <0.001* | |||
| TLC ≥ 1,500 | 66 (44.3) | 50 (75.8) | 16 (24.2) | |
| TLC < 1,500 | 83 (55.7) | 32 (38.6) | 51 (61.4) | |
| WBCs (/μL) | 0.076 | |||
| WBCs ≥ 10,000 | 8 (5.4) | 2 (25.0) | 6 (75.0) | |
| WBCs < 10,000 | 141 (94.6) | 80 (56.7) | 61 (43.3) | |
| CRP (mg/dL) | <0.001* | |||
| CRP ≥ 1 | 18 (12.1) | 0 (0) | 18 (100) | |
| CRP < 1 | 131 (87.9) | 82 (62.6) | 49 (37.4) | |
| Preoperative CEA (ng/mL) | <0.001* | |||
| CEA ≥ 5 | 49 (32.9) | 18 (36.7) | 31 (63.3) | |
| CEA < 5 | 100 (67.1) | 64 (64.0) | 36 (36.0) | |
| Tumor location | 0.434 | |||
| Colon | 95 (63.8) | 50 (52.6) | 45 (47.4) | |
| Rectum | 54 (36.2) | 32 (59.3) | 22 (40.7) | |
| Degree of differentiation | 0.928 | |||
| tub1, tub2 | 136 (91.3) | 75 (55.2) | 61 (44.8) | |
| por, pap, muc | 13 (8.7) | 7 (53.9) | 6 (46.1) | |
| Depth of tumor invasion | <0.001* | |||
| Tis, T1, T2 | 79 (53.0) | 54 (68.3) | 25 (31.7) | |
| T3, T4 | 70 (47.0) | 28 (40.0) | 42 (60.0) | |
| Lymph node metastasis | 0.546 | |||
| N0 | 106 (71.1) | 60 (56.6) | 46 (43.4) | |
| N1, N2 | 43 (28.9) | 22 (51.2) | 21 (48.8) | |
| Venous invasion | 0.518 | |||
| Present | 32 (21.5) | 16 (50.0) | 16 (50.0) | |
| Absent | 117 (78.5) | 66 (56.4) | 51 (43.6) | |
| Lymphatic vessel invasion | 0.033* | |||
| Present | 79 (53.0) | 37 (46.8) | 42 (53.2) | |
| Absent | 70 (47.0) | 45 (64.3) | 25 (35.7) | |
| Distant metastasis | 0.149 | |||
| Present | 7 (4.7) | 2 (28.6) | 5 (71.4) | |
| Absent | 142 (95.3) | 80 (56.3) | 62 (43.7) | |
| TNM stage | 0.003* | |||
| 0-I | 69 (46.3) | 47 (68.1) | 22 (31.9) | |
| II-IV | 80 (53.7) | 35 (43.8) | 45 (56.2) | |
CRC: colorectal cancer; PNI: prognostic nutritional index; BMI: body mass index; ASA-PS: American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status; Alb: albumin; TLC: total lymphocyte count; WBC: white blood cell; CRP: C-reactive protein; CEA: carcinoembryonic antigen; tub1: well-differentiated adenocarcinoma; tub2: moderately differentiated adenocarcinoma; por: poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma; pap: papillary adenocarcinoma; muc: mucinous adenocarcinoma; TNM: tumor node metastasis. Values with an asterisk indicate P-values of <0.05.
Figure 2.DFS curves according to the PNI. The Kaplan-Meier plots show the DFS based on the high-PNI (≥46) and the low-PNI (<46) group in 149 patients with CRC after curative resection. The DFS rate was significantly worse in the low-PNI group (P = 0.006).
Figure 3.OS curves according to the PNI. The Kaplan-Meier plots show the OS based on the high-PNI (≥46) and the low-PNI (<46) group in 149 patients with CRC after curative resection. The OS rate was significantly worse in the low-PNI group (P < 0.001).
Univariate and Multivariate Analyses of DFS in Patients with CRC.
| Variables | Univariate | Multivariate | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI |
| HR | 95% CI |
| ||
| Age (<65/≥65 years) | 2.227 | 0.961-5.759 | 0.062 | ||||
| Sex (male/female) | 1.008 | 0.449-2.401 | 0.984 | ||||
| BMI (<25/≥25) | 1.677 | 0.578-7.104 | 0.372 | ||||
| ASA-PS (<3/≥3) | 1.363 | 0.287-24.389 | 0.750 | ||||
| Alb (<3.5/≥3.5) | 1.493 | 0.541-3.563 | 0.412 | ||||
| TLC (<1,500/≥1,500) | 1.744 | 0.767-4.303 | 0.199 | ||||
| WBCs (≥10,000/<10,000) | 1.033 | 0.058-4.906 | 0.975 | ||||
| CRP (≥1/<1) | 1.376 | 0.325-3.993 | 0.620 | ||||
| Preoperative CEA (≥5/<5) | 2.865 | 1.281-6.528 | 0.010* | 1.393 | 0.564-3.554 | 0.474 | |
| Tumor location (rectum/colon) | 2.557 | 1.144-5.933 | 0.023* | 2.591 | 1.111-6.256 | 0.028* | |
| Degree of differentiation (por, pap, muc/tub1, tub2) | 2.097 | 0.610-5.543 | 0.214 | ||||
| Depth of tumor invasion (T3, T4/Tis, T1, T2) | 4.178 | 1.750-11.529 | 0.002* | 1.096 | 0.296-3.904 | 0.888 | |
| Lymph node metastasis (present/absent) | 3.951 | 1.765-9.177 | 0.001* | 2.550 | 0.955-7.640 | 0.062 | |
| Venous invasion (present/absent) | 6.850 | 3.053-15.948 | <0.001* | 3.714 | 1.384-11.030 | 0.009* | |
| Lymphatic vessel invasion (present/absent) | 5.000 | 1.890-17.192 | 0.003* | 1.174 | 0.282-5.198 | 0.825 | |
| Distant metastasis (present/absent) | 7.797 | 2.555-19.753 | <0.001* | 3.029 | 0.921-8.747 | 0.067 | |
| PNI (<46/≥46) | 2.972 | 1.306-7.335 | 0.009* | 3.446 | 1.376-9.290 | 0.008* | |
CRC: colorectal cancer; DFS: disease-free survival; HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval; BMI: body mass index; ASA-PS: American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status; Alb: albumin; TLC: total lymphocyte count; WBC: white blood cell; CRP: C-reactive protein; CEA: carcinoembryonic antigen; por: poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma; pap: papillary adenocarcinoma; muc: mucinous adenocarcinoma; tub1: well-differentiated adenocarcinoma; tub2: moderately differentiated adenocarcinoma; PNI: prognostic nutritional index. Values with an asterisk indicate P-values of <0.05.
Univariate and Multivariate Analyses of OS in Patients with CRC.
| Variables | Univariate | Multivariate | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI |
| HR | 95% CI |
| ||
| Age (≥65/<65 years) | 2.232 | 1.017-5.242 | 0.045* | 2.969 | 1.168-8.290 | 0.022* | |
| Sex (male/female) | 1.453 | 0.652-3.544 | 0.369 | ||||
| BMI (<25/≥25) | 3.034 | 0.900-18.882 | 0.078 | ||||
| ASA-PS (≥3/<3) | 3.283 | 0.959-8.599 | 0.057 | ||||
| Alb (<3.5/≥3.5) | 5.775 | 2.661-12.726 | <0.001* | ||||
| TLC (<1,500/≥1,500) | 1.309 | 0.601-2.991 | 0.502 | ||||
| WBCs (≥10,000/<10,000) | 3.770 | 0.891-10.895 | 0.068 | ||||
| CRP (≥1/<1) | 3.108 | 1.134-7.321 | 0.030* | 1.215 | 0.400-3.285 | 0.716 | |
| Preoperative CEA (≥5/<5) | 2.697 | 1.243-5.943 | 0.012* | 1.164 | 0.461-2.976 | 0.749 | |
| Tumor location (rectum/colon) | 1.459 | 0.663-3.161 | 0.340 | ||||
| Degree of differentiation (por, pap, muc/tub1, tub2) | 2.152 | 0.629-5.633 | 0.198 | ||||
| Depth of tumor invasion (T3, T4/Tis, T1, T2) | 2.970 | 1.333-7.244 | 0.007* | 1.242 | 0.400-3.863 | 0.706 | |
| Lymph node metastasis (present/absent) | 1.422 | 0.606-3.120 | 0.403 | ||||
| Venous invasion (present/absent) | 3.249 | 1.451-7.054 | 0.005* | 3.002 | 1.136-8.150 | 0.027* | |
| Lymphatic vessel invasion (present/absent) | 2.609 | 1.146-6.684 | 0.022* | 1.334 | 0.483-3.963 | 0.585 | |
| Distant metastasis (present/absent) | 4.173 | 1.218-10.945 | 0.026* | 2.861 | 0.723-9.502 | 0.125 | |
| PNI (<46/≥46) | 4.670 | 1.988-12.776 | <0.001* | 2.889 | 1.109-8.422 | 0.029* | |
CRC: colorectal cancer; OS: overall survival; HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval; BMI: body mass index; ASA-PS: American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status; Alb: albumin; TLC: total lymphocyte count; WBC: white blood cell; CRP: C-reactive protein; CEA: carcinoembryonic antigen; por: poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma; pap: papillary adenocarcinoma; muc: mucinous adenocarcinoma; tub1: well-differentiated adenocarcinoma; tub2: moderately differentiated adenocarcinoma; PNI: prognostic nutritional index. Values with an asterisk indicate P-values of <0.05.
Figure 4.Nomogram to predict DFS for CRC after curative surgical resection. The model was constructed using the Cox regression model. The clinicopathological factors used were the PNI, tumor location, and venous invasion. The prediction model can provide the probabilities of one-year, three-year, and five-year DFS after curative resection for individual patients by comparing the sum of the points identified on the points scale with the prediction scale.
Figure 5.Nomogram to predict OS for CRC after curative surgical resection. The model was constructed using the Cox regression model. The clinicopathological factors used were the PNI, age, and venous invasion. The prediction model can provide the probabilities of one-year, three-year, and five-year OS after curative resection for individual patients by comparing the sum of the points identified on the points scale with the prediction scale.