| Literature DB >> 34095725 |
Satoshi Ishikawa1, Norikatsu Miyoshi1,2, Shiki Fujino1, Takayuki Ogino1, Hidekazu Takahashi1, Mamoru Uemura1, Hirofumi Yamamoto1, Tsunekazu Mizushima1, Yuichiro Doki1, Hidetoshi Eguchi1.
Abstract
AIM: Many inflammation-nutrition scores, including the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), have been reported as prognostic biomarkers in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). We aimed to examine the predictive ability of the GPS and to improve the GPS.Entities:
Keywords: biomarkers; colorectal cancer; inflammation; nutrition; prognosis
Year: 2021 PMID: 34095725 PMCID: PMC8164459 DOI: 10.1002/ags3.12426
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ann Gastroenterol Surg ISSN: 2475-0328
FIGURE 1Flow diagram of the patients analyzed
The relationship between GPS (0/1, 2) and patient characteristics in the training set
| Variable | Number (%) | GPS | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 (%) | 1‐2 (%) |
| ||
| GPS | 157 (74.4) | 54 (25.6) | ||
| Age | 65.0 ± 11.1 | 70.4 ± 13.5 |
| |
| Gender | ||||
| Male | 128 (60.7) | 96 (75.0) | 32 (25.0) | .807 |
| Female | 83 (39.3) | 61 (73.5) | 22 (26.5) | |
| Primary tumor site | ||||
| Colon | 155 (73.5) | 115 (74.2) | 40 (25.8) | .906 |
| Rectum | 56 (26.5) | 42 (75.0) | 14 (25.0) | |
| Histological grade | ||||
| Pap, Tub1 or Tub2 | 197 (93.4) | 152 (77.2) | 45 (22.8) |
|
| Others | 14 (6.6) | 5 (35.7) | 9 (64.3) | |
| Tumor invasion | ||||
| Tis, T1 or T2 | 95 (45.0) | 82 (86.3) | 13 (13.7) |
|
| T3 or T4 | 116 (55.0) | 75 (64.7) | 41 (35.3) | |
| Lymph node metastasis | ||||
| Absent | 148 (70.5) | 114 (77.0) | 34 (23.0) | .166 |
| Present | 62 (29.5) | 42 (67.7) | 20 (32.3) | |
| Lymphatic invasion | ||||
| Absent | 63 (30.0) | 54 (85.7) | 9 (14.3) |
|
| Present | 147 (70.0) | 102 (69.4) | 45 (30.5) | |
| Venous invasion | ||||
| Absent | 145 (69.4) | 116 (80.0) | 29 (20.0) |
|
| Present | 64 (30.6) | 39 (60.9) | 25 (39.1) | |
| Preoperative CEA | ||||
| CEA < 5 | 142 (78.4) | 116 (81.7) | 26 (18.3) |
|
| CEA ≥ 5 | 39 (21.6) | 19 (48.7) | 20 (51.3) | |
| TNM stage | ||||
| 0, I | 79 (37.4) | 69 (87.3) | 10 (12.7) |
|
| II, III | 132 (62.6) | 88 (66.7) | 44 (33.3) | |
P < .05 indicated in bold.
Abbreviations: CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen; Pap, papillary adenocarcinoma; Tub1, well differentiated adenocarcinoma; Tub2, moderately differentiated adenocarcinoma.
Continuous variable.
Others: poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma, mucinous adenocarcinoma, or endocrine cell carcinoma.
Unknown in one case.
Unknown in one case.
Unknown in two cases.
Unknown in 30 cases.
Univariate and multivariate analyses of relapse‐free survival and overall survival by GPS in the training set
| Variable | Univariate | Multivariate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI |
| HR | 95% CI |
| |
| A. Analyses of relapse‐free survival | ||||||
| Age (≥65/<65 years) | 1.272 | 0.728‐2.222 | .397 | |||
| Gender (male/female) | 1.255 | 0.710‐2.218 | .435 | |||
| Preoperative CEA (≥5/<5) | 1.948 | 0.993‐3.821 | .052 | |||
|
Primary tumor site (Rectum/Colon) | 1.566 | 0.878‐2.791 | .129 | |||
|
Histological grade (Others | 1.602 | 0.637‐4.027 | .316 | |||
|
Tumor invasion (T3‐4/Tis, T1‐2) | 2.615 | 1.419‐4.819 |
| 1.643 | 0.839‐3.217 | .148 |
| Lymph node metastasis (present/absent) | 1.959 | 1.129‐3.399 |
| 1.241 | 0.685‐2.249 | .477 |
| Lymphatic invasion (present/absent) | 1.673 | 0.879‐3.183 | .117 | |||
| Venous invasion (present/absent) | 2.891 | 1.676‐4.986 |
| 2.020 | 1.096‐3.723 |
|
| GPS (1‐2/0) | 2.434 | 1.400‐4.234 |
| 1.877 | 1.052‐3.349 |
|
| B. Analyses of overall survival | ||||||
| Age (≥65/<65 years) | 2.532 | 1.235‐5.192 |
| 2.574 | 1.205‐5.502 |
|
| Gender (male/female) | 2.009 | 0.981‐4.111 | .056 | |||
| Preoperative CEA (≥5/<5) | 1.982 | 0.086‐4.331 | .086 | |||
|
Primary tumor site (Rectum/Colon) | 1.593 | 0.822‐3.090 | .168 | |||
|
Histological grade (Others | 1.606 | 0.570‐4.520 | .370 | |||
|
Tumor invasion (T3‐4/Tis, T1‐2) | 2.575 | 1.258‐5.269 |
| 1.612 | 0.732‐3.549 | .236 |
| Lymph node metastasis (present/absent) | 1.811 | 0.961‐3.410 | .066 | |||
| Lymphatic invasion (present/absent) | 1.562 | 0.743‐3.282 | .239 | |||
| Venous invasion (present/absent) | 2.550 | 1.360‐4.780 |
| 1.975 | 0.994‐3.923 | .052 |
| GPS (1‐2/0) | 3.042 | 1.628‐5.684 |
| 2.107 | 1.077‐4.123 |
|
P < .05 indicated in bold.
Abbreviations: CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen; CI, confidence interval; GPS, Glasgow prognostic score; HR, hazard ratio; Pap, papillary adenocarcinoma; Tub1, well differentiated adenocarcinoma; Tub2, moderately differentiated adenocarcinoma.
Others: poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma, mucinous adenocarcinoma, or endocrine cell carcinoma
The GPS and the improved GPS based on CRP and albumin
| GPS | CRP (mg/L) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤10 | 10< | ||
| Albumin (g/L) | 35≤ | 0 | 1 |
| <35 | 1 | 2 | |
Abbreviations: CRP, C‐reactive protein; GPS, Glasgow Prognostic Score; iGPS, improved Glasgow Prognostic Score.
Univariate and multivariate analyses of relapse‐free survival and overall survival by iGPS in the training set
| Variable | Univariate | Multivariate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI |
| HR | 95% CI |
| |
| A. Analyses of relapse‐free survival | ||||||
| Age (≥65/<65 years) | 1.272 | 0.728‐2.222 | .397 | |||
| Gender (male/female) | 1.255 | 0.710‐2.218 | .435 | |||
| Preoperative CEA (≥5/<5) | 1.948 | 0.993‐3.821 | .052 | |||
| Primary tumor site (Rectum/Colon) | 1.566 | 0.878‐2.791 | .129 | |||
| Histological grade (Others | 1.602 | 0.637‐4.027 | .316 | |||
| Tumor invasion (T3‐4/Tis, T1‐2) | 2.615 | 1.419‐4.819 |
| 1.556 | 0.795‐3.043 | .197 |
| Lymph node metastasis (present/absent) | 1.959 | 1.129‐3.399 |
| 1.257 | 0.692‐2.284 | .453 |
| Lymphatic invasion (present/absent) | 1.673 | 0.879‐3.183 | .117 | |||
| Venous invasion (present/absent) | 2.891 | 1.676‐4.986 |
| 2.079 | 1.129‐3.829 |
|
| iGPS (1‐2/0) | 2.634 | 1.533‐4.524 |
| 2.191 | 1.248‐3.849 |
|
| B. Analyses of overall survival | ||||||
| Age (≥65/<65 years) | 2.532 | 1.235‐5.192 |
| 2.422 | 1.131‐5.186 |
|
| Gender (male/female) | 2.009 | 0.981‐4.111 | .056 | |||
| Preoperative CEA (≥5/<5) | 1.982 | 0.086‐4.331 | .086 | |||
| Primary tumor site (Rectum/Colon) | 1.593 | 0.822‐3.090 | .168 | |||
| Histological grade (Others | 1.606 | 0.570‐4.520 | .370 | |||
| Tumor invasion (T3‐4/Tis, T1‐2) | 2.575 | 1.258‐5.269 |
| 1.523 | 0.695‐3.340 | .293 |
| Lymph node metastasis (present/absent) | 1.811 | 0.961‐3.410 | .066 | |||
| Lymphatic invasion (present/absent) | 1.562 | 0.743‐3.282 | .239 | |||
| Venous invasion (present/absent) | 2.550 | 1.360‐4.780 |
| 2.031 | 1.032‐3.997 |
|
| iGPS (1‐2/0) | 4.080 | 2.138‐7.785 |
| 2.683 | 1.376‐5.229 |
|
P < .05 indicated in bold.
Abbreviations: CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen; CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; iGPS, improved Glasgow prognostic score; Pap, papillary adenocarcinoma; Tub1, well differentiated adenocarcinoma; Tub2, moderately differentiated adenocarcinoma.
Others: poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma, mucinous adenocarcinoma, or endocrine cell carcinoma.
Univariate and multivariate analyses of relapse‐free survival by GPS and iGPS in the validation set
| Variable | Univariate | Multivariate (GPS) | Multivariate (iGPS) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI |
| HR | 95% CI |
| HR | 95% CI |
| |
| Analyses of relapse‐free survival | |||||||||
| Age (≥65/<65) | 1.930 | 1.051‐3.547 |
| 2.038 | 1.062‐3.911 |
| 1.956 | 1.015‐3.767 |
|
| Gender (male/female) | 1.437 | 0.798‐2.589 | .227 | ||||||
| CEA level (≥5/<5) | 2.989 | 1.686‐5.298 |
| 1.628 | 0.857‐3.093 | .136 | 1.540 | 0.803‐2.954 | .194 |
|
Primary tumor site (Rectum/Colon) | 0.992 | 0.546‐1.804 | .992 | ||||||
|
Histological grade (Others/Pap, Tub) | 1.694 | 0.671‐4.274 | .264 | ||||||
|
Tumor invasion (T3‐4/Tis,T1‐2) | 3.217 | 1.677‐6.172 |
| 1.460 | 0.663‐3.216 | .347 | 1.477 | 0.668‐3.265 | .335 |
|
Lymph node metastasis (N1‐3/N0) | 2.414 | 1.378‐4.229 |
| 1.414 | 0.716‐2.793 | .318 | 1.433 | 0.731‐2.809 | .295 |
|
Lymphatic invasion (Present/Absent) | 2.937 | 1.498‐5.761 |
| 1.178 | 0.483‐2.869 | .719 | 1.144 | 0.470‐2.784 | .766 |
|
Venous invasion (Present/Absent) | 3.307 | 1.865‐5.866 |
| 2.140 | 1.091‐4.198 |
| 2.176 | 1.108‐4.274 |
|
| GPS (1‐2/0) | 2.712 | 1.544‐4.763 |
| 1.548 | 0.831‐2.883 | .168 | — | — | — |
| iGPS (1‐2/0) | 3.166 | 1.805‐5.551 |
| — | — | — | 1.879 | 1.020‐3.461 |
|
P < .05 indicated in bold.
Abbreviations: CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen; CI, confidence interval; GPS, Glasgow prognostic score;HR, hazard ratio; iGPS, improved Glasgow prognostic score; Pap, papillary adenocarcinoma; Tub, Tubular adenocarcinoma.
Others: poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma, mucinous adenocarcinoma, or endocrine cell carcinoma.
FIGURE 2Kaplan‐Meier curves for relapse‐free survival (RFS) according to (A) the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) and (B) the improved GPS (iGPS) in the validation set. (A) The RFS rate of the high GPS group (GPS: 1‐2, n = 58) was significantly worse than that of the low GPS group (GPS: 0, n = 169) in the log‐rank test (P < .001). (B) The RFS rate of the high iGPS group (iGPS: 1‐2, n = 66) was significantly worse than that of the low iGPS group (GPS: 0, n = 161) in the log‐rank test (P < .001)
C‐indices of the GPS and iGPS for RFS and OS in the training and validation sets
| C‐index | GPS | iGPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RFS | Training set | 0.596 | 0.613 |
| Validation set | 0.621 | 0.644 | |
| OS | Training set | 0.650 | 0.677 |
| Validation set | 0.687 | 0.705 |
Abbreviations: GPS, Glasgow Prognostic Score; iGPS, improved Glasgow Prognostic Score; OS, overall survival; RFS, relapse‐free survival.