| Literature DB >> 31547215 |
Lu Li1, Junnan Jiang2, Li Xiang3, Xuefeng Wang4, Li Zeng5, Zhengdong Zhong6.
Abstract
Critical illness insurance (CII) in China was introduced to protect high-cost groups from health expenditure shocks for the purpose of mutual aid. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of CII on the burden of high-cost groups in central rural China. Data were extracted from the basic medical insurance (BMI) hospitalization database of Xiantao City from January 2010 to December 2016. A total of 77,757 hospitalization records were included in our analysis. The out-of-pocket (OOP) expenses and reimbursement ratio (RR) were the two main outcome variables. Interrupted time series analysis with a segmented regression approach was adopted. Level and slope changes were reported to reflect short- and long-term effects, respectively. Results indicated that the number of high-cost inpatient visits, the average monthly hospitalization expenses, and OOP expenses per high-cost inpatient visit were increased after CII introduction. By contrast, the RR from BMI and non-reimbursable expenses ratio were decreased. The OOP expenses and RR covered by CII were higher than those uncovered. We estimated a significant level decrease in OOP expenses (p < 0.01) and rise in RR (p < 0.01), whereas the slope decreases of OOP expenses (p = 0.19) and rise of RR (p = 0.11) after the CII were non-significant. We concluded that the short-term effect of the CII policy is significant and contributes to decreasing OOP expenses and raising RR for high-cost groups, whereas the long-term effect is non-significant. These findings can be explained by increasing hospitalization expenses, many non-reimbursable expenses, low coverage for high-cost groups, and the unsustainability of the financing methods.Entities:
Keywords: critical illness insurance; financial burden; high-cost; interrupted time series study; out-of-pocket; reimbursement ratio
Year: 2019 PMID: 31547215 PMCID: PMC6801576 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph16193528
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Figure 1Location of sample city.
Policy changes before and after the critical illness insurance (CII) policy was implemented.
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| (US$) | (%) | (US$) | (US$) | (%) | (US$) | ||
| A1 2 | 16 | 80 | 8070 | A1 2 | 0 | 90 | 16,140 |
| A2 3 | 32 | 60 | A2 3 | 32 | 80 | ||
| B 4 | 81 | 40 | B 5 | 81 | 60 | ||
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| (US$) | (%) | (US$) | (US$) | (US$) | (%) | (US$) | |
| A1 2 | 16 | 90 | 16,140 | 1291 | 1291–4842 | 50 | No cap |
| A2 3 | 81 | 60 | 4842–8070 | 60 | |||
| B 4 | 129 | 50 | >8070 | 70 | |||
1 PRR: Policy Reimbursement ratio. 2 A1: Seeking health services at primary hospital in-county. 3 A2: Seeking health services at secondary hospital in-county. 4 B: Seeking health services out-of-county. 5 Deductible is defined here as those medical expenses within the scope of insurance that exceed the threshold after being reimbursed by basic medical insurance (BMI).
Key indicators of policy effects in Xiantao.
| Variables | Implementation of the CII Policy | |
|---|---|---|
| Before | After | |
| Total number of high-cost inpatient visits | 28,448 | 49,309 |
| Proportion of high-cost inpatients visits covered by CII (%) | 0 | 44.0 ± 3.2 |
| Proportion of high-cost inpatients visits in-county (%) | 60.9 ± 34.1 | 86.9 ± 21.6 |
| Hospitalization expenses of high-cost inpatient visits (US$) | 2155.6 ± 438.6 | 3863.5 ± 207.5 |
| OOP expenses of high-cost inpatient visits (US$) | 1089.6 ± 216.8 | 2100.4 ± 140.1 |
| CII Reimbursement ratio per high-cost inpatient visit (%) | 0 | 8.0 ± 2.8 |
| BMI Reimbursement ratio per high-cost inpatient visit (%) | 42.6 ± 16.2 | 38.8 ± 2.1 |
| Non-reimbursable expenses ratio per high-cost inpatient visit (%) | 34.1 ± 28.1 | 25.4 ± 1.5 |
1 SD: Standard Deviation.
Figure 2Trends of out-of-pocket (OOP) expenses in 2010–2016.
Figure 3Trends of reimbursement ratio (RR) in 2010–2016.
Interrupted time series (ITS) analysis results of policy effect on OOP expenses and reimbursement ratio (RR) in Xiantao.
| Variables | Value (SE 1) | t-Value | 95% CI | DW 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2.2 | ||||
| β0: Baseline level | 918.1 (111.1) | 8.3 | <0.01 3 | (697.0, 1139.2) | |
| β1: Baseline slope | 10.7 (4.6) | 2.3 | 0.02 | (1.6, 19.9) | |
| β2: Level change after CII policy | 682.6 (118.9) | 5.7 | <0.01 3 | (446.0, 919.2) | |
| β3: Slope change after CII policy | −9.1 (6.8) | −1.3 | 0.19 | (−22.6, 4.4) | |
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| 2.2 | ||||
| β0: Baseline level | 41.5 (3.0) | 13.8 | <0.01 3 | (35.5, 47.5) | |
| β1: Baseline slope | 0.3 (0.1) | 2.7 | 0.01 | (0.1, 0.6) | |
| β2: Level change after CII policy | −7.9 (2.1) | −3.7 | <0.01 3 | (−12.1, −3.7) | |
| β3: Slope change after CII policy | −0.3 (0.2) | −1.6 | 0.11 | (−0.7, 0.1) |
1 SE: Standard Error. 2 DW: Durbin–Watson test value. 3 p < 0.05.
Detailed information of interrupted time series (ITS) analysis, medical expenses and medical services utilization.
| Year | Observation | Time | Intervention | Time after Intervention | THE 1 | OOP 2 | RR 3 | Inpatient Visits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan. 2010 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1770.3 | 1080.5 | 39.0 | 359 |
| Feb. 2010 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1724.1 | 1014.6 | 41.2 | 261 |
| Mar. 2010 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1757.8 | 1047.1 | 40.4 | 475 |
| Apr. 2010 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1798.5 | 1095.9 | 39.1 | 480 |
| May 2010 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1791.5 | 1098.6 | 38.7 | 444 |
| June 2010 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1913.7 | 1190.0 | 37.8 | 455 |
| July 2010 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1881.4 | 1147.2 | 39.0 | 429 |
| Aug. 2010 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1812.8 | 1108.4 | 38.9 | 436 |
| Sep. 2010 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1852.1 | 1120.5 | 39.5 | 433 |
| Oct. 2010 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1771.0 | 1048.5 | 40.8 | 345 |
| Nov. 2010 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1766.0 | 1051.7 | 40.4 | 537 |
| Dec. 2010 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1840.6 | 1074.2 | 41.6 | 769 |
| Jan. 2011 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1909.8 | 971.2 | 49.1 | 398 |
| Feb. 2011 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1841.5 | 924.3 | 49.8 | 329 |
| Mar. 2011 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1895.4 | 924.7 | 51.2 | 599 |
| Apr. 2011 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2111.4 | 1065.3 | 49.5 | 562 |
| May 2011 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 2182.2 | 1029.5 | 52.8 | 627 |
| June 2011 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1994.8 | 896.5 | 55.1 | 750 |
| July 2011 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1982.1 | 875.9 | 55.8 | 789 |
| Aug. 2011 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 2116.7 | 953.2 | 55.0 | 785 |
| Sep. 2011 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1975.2 | 872.2 | 55.8 | 719 |
| Oct. 2011 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1930.3 | 853.3 | 55.8 | 655 |
| Nov. 2011 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1899.0 | 833.1 | 56.1 | 759 |
| Dec. 2011 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1964.4 | 838.3 | 57.3 | 926 |
| Jan. 2012 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 2304.4 | 1199.2 | 48.0 | 608 |
| Feb. 2012 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 2217.3 | 1081.6 | 51.2 | 828 |
| Mar. 2012 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 2246.2 | 1003.4 | 55.3 | 960 |
| Apr. 2012 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 2167.4 | 959.1 | 55.7 | 911 |
| May 2012 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 2550.1 | 1189.8 | 53.3 | 1035 |
| June 2012 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 2243.0 | 996.3 | 55.6 | 1019 |
| July 2012 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 2263.6 | 1027.4 | 54.6 | 1140 |
| Aug. 2012 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 2245.7 | 1015.0 | 54.8 | 1057 |
| Sep. 2012 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 2459.3 | 1211.7 | 50.7 | 1064 |
| Oct. 2012 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 2260.9 | 1037.9 | 54.1 | 1041 |
| Nov. 2012 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 2380.8 | 1115.4 | 53.1 | 1077 |
| Dec. 2012 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 2244.2 | 989.7 | 55.9 | 1041 |
| Jan. 2013 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 3340.6 | 1702.5 | 49.0 | 963 |
| Feb. 2013 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 3274.3 | 1656.1 | 49.4 | 564 |
| Mar. 2013 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 3231.4 | 1677.5 | 48.1 | 888 |
| Apr. 2013 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 3314.3 | 1605.7 | 51.6 | 931 |
| May 2013 | 41 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 3863.9 | 2117.3 | 45.2 | 725 |
| June 2013 | 42 | 42 | 1 | 2 | 3461.8 | 1954.2 | 43.5 | 729 |
| July 2013 | 43 | 43 | 1 | 3 | 3907.3 | 2146.2 | 45.1 | 925 |
| Aug. 2013 | 44 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 3448.6 | 1919.8 | 44.3 | 905 |
| Sep. 2013 | 45 | 45 | 1 | 5 | 3689.0 | 2030.8 | 44.9 | 773 |
| Oct. 2013 | 46 | 46 | 1 | 6 | 3691.9 | 2048.7 | 44.5 | 1010 |
| Nov. 2013 | 47 | 47 | 1 | 7 | 3285.1 | 1790.1 | 45.5 | 1051 |
| Dec. 2013 | 48 | 48 | 1 | 8 | 3486.2 | 1892.4 | 45.7 | 1135 |
| Jan. 2014 | 49 | 49 | 1 | 9 | 4016.0 | 2172.4 | 45.9 | 1067 |
| Feb. 2014 | 50 | 50 | 1 | 10 | 3760.6 | 2037.1 | 45.8 | 677 |
| Mar. 2014 | 51 | 51 | 1 | 11 | 3749.1 | 2025.6 | 46.0 | 1095 |
| Apr. 2014 | 52 | 52 | 1 | 12 | 3836.3 | 2096.7 | 45.3 | 984 |
| May 2014 | 53 | 53 | 1 | 13 | 3904.6 | 2100.3 | 46.2 | 1004 |
| June 2014 | 54 | 54 | 1 | 14 | 4028.7 | 2212.2 | 45.1 | 1056 |
| July 2014 | 55 | 55 | 1 | 15 | 3911.0 | 2173.0 | 44.4 | 1170 |
| Aug. 2014 | 56 | 56 | 1 | 16 | 4034.8 | 2244.4 | 44.4 | 1032 |
| Sep. 2014 | 57 | 57 | 1 | 17 | 4136.9 | 2270.9 | 45.1 | 1071 |
| Oct. 2014 | 58 | 58 | 1 | 18 | 4153.6 | 2300.6 | 44.6 | 1025 |
| Nov. 2014 | 59 | 59 | 1 | 19 | 4136.7 | 2313.0 | 44.1 | 1016 |
| Dec. 2014 | 60 | 60 | 1 | 20 | 4254.8 | 2330.0 | 45.2 | 1397 |
| Jan. 2015 | 61 | 61 | 1 | 21 | 3673.4 | 1996.6 | 45.6 | 898 |
| Feb. 2015 | 62 | 62 | 1 | 22 | 3857.2 | 2167.3 | 43.8 | 997 |
| Mar. 2015 | 63 | 63 | 1 | 23 | 3834.0 | 2140.5 | 44.2 | 1388 |
| Apr. 2015 | 64 | 64 | 1 | 24 | 4005.1 | 2168.1 | 45.9 | 1207 |
| May 2015 | 65 | 65 | 1 | 25 | 3969.7 | 2154.0 | 45.7 | 1190 |
| June 2015 | 66 | 66 | 1 | 26 | 3928.5 | 2114.2 | 46.2 | 1260 |
| July 2015 | 67 | 67 | 1 | 27 | 3966.8 | 2198.5 | 44.6 | 1407 |
| Aug. 2015 | 68 | 68 | 1 | 28 | 3918.8 | 2216.5 | 43.4 | 1328 |
| Sep. 2015 | 69 | 69 | 1 | 29 | 4077.6 | 2328.7 | 42.9 | 1200 |
| Oct. 2015 | 70 | 70 | 1 | 30 | 3892.7 | 2193.2 | 43.7 | 1160 |
| Nov. 2015 | 71 | 71 | 1 | 31 | 4015.3 | 2265.3 | 43.6 | 1188 |
| Dec. 2015 | 72 | 72 | 1 | 32 | 4153.8 | 2367.1 | 43.0 | 1368 |
| Jan. 2016 | 73 | 73 | 1 | 33 | 3734.3 | 2201.7 | 41.0 | 1359 |
| Feb. 2016 | 74 | 74 | 1 | 34 | 3519.7 | 1988.5 | 43.5 | 1201 |
| Mar. 2016 | 75 | 75 | 1 | 35 | 3764.9 | 1996.9 | 47.0 | 1523 |
| Apr. 2016 | 76 | 76 | 1 | 36 | 3830.5 | 1919.4 | 49.9 | 1152 |
| May 2016 | 77 | 77 | 1 | 37 | 4106.5 | 2059.6 | 49.8 | 1165 |
| June 2016 | 78 | 78 | 1 | 38 | 3911.4 | 2015.6 | 48.5 | 1178 |
| July 2016 | 79 | 79 | 1 | 39 | 3824.6 | 1937.5 | 49.3 | 1292 |
| Aug. 2016 | 80 | 80 | 1 | 40 | 3748.3 | 1926.7 | 48.6 | 1288 |
| Sep. 2016 | 81 | 81 | 1 | 41 | 3837.0 | 1955.5 | 49.0 | 1095 |
| Oct. 2016 | 82 | 82 | 1 | 42 | 3829.5 | 1926.1 | 49.7 | 1007 |
| Nov. 2016 | 83 | 83 | 1 | 43 | 4005.1 | 2078.4 | 48.1 | 1145 |
| Dec. 2016 | 84 | 84 | 1 | 44 | 3832.3 | 1926.9 | 49.7 | 1466 |
1 THE: total hospitalization expenses, 2 OOP: Out-of-pocket, 3 RR: reimbursement ratio.