| Literature DB >> 31544941 |
Katia Maria Cardinal1, Marcos Kipper1, Ines Andretta1, Andréa Machado Leal Ribeiro1.
Abstract
This study aimed to estimate the productive and economic impacts caused by the withdrawal of antibiotic growth promoters (AGP) from broilers diet. Indexed publications that compared diets with or without AGP (AGP+/AGP-) for broilers (from initial to final phase) were collected and the results of feed intake, weight gain, and feed conversion were compiled in a database. A meta-analysis was performed following sequential analyses: graphical approach (to observe biological data coherence), correlation (to identify related factors), and variance-covariance (to compare groups). The annual number of broiler slaughtered in Brazil, target weight gain and feed conversion for each phase, the variation in feed conversion, feed cost, and AGP costs were used to build a model to estimate the effects of the AGP withdrawal on feeding costs. The database comprised 174 scientific articles containing 183 experiments, totaling 121,643 broilers, most of which were Ross (52% of the studies). The most frequent AGP sources/forms in the database were Avilamycin (41% of the AGP+ treatments), Flavomycin (19%), Virginiamycin (16%), and Bacitracin (14%). Higher feed intake, weight gain, and lower feed conversion were attributed (P < 0.05) to AGP+ diets during Initial phase (1 to 21 D). In Final phase (22 to 42 D) no differences were observed in performance variables. Treatments AGP+ presented higher weight gain and better feed conversion in the Total period (1 to 42 D). The results of feed conversion were improved (P < 0.05) with Avilamycin and Flavomycin; Virginiamycin improved weight gain and feed conversion. In the Total period, the economic impact was $0.03 per animal and a total of $183,560,232 per year. It was concluded that broilers fed AGP+ diets have higher weight gain and better feed conversion than those fed AGP- diets, and withdrawing AGP increases production costs.Entities:
Keywords: broiler chicken; feed conversion; productive cost; sensitivity analysis; weight gain
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31544941 PMCID: PMC8913991 DOI: 10.3382/ps/pez536
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Poult Sci ISSN: 0032-5791 Impact factor: 3.352
Inputs for estimating the economic impact caused by the withdrawal of antibiotic growth promoters (AGP) from broiler diets.
| Initial phase | Total Period | |
|---|---|---|
| (1 to 21 D) | (1 to 42 D) | |
| Annual slaughterings, heads | 5.840.000.000 | 5.840.000.000 |
| Weight gain, kg | 0.80 | 2.50 |
| Feed conversion target (APC+), kg/kg | 1.47 | 1.66 |
| Feed conversion variation | 2.64 | 3.48 |
| Feed cost, $/ton | 232.00 | 230.00 |
Feed conversion variation: variation between diets with and without AGP obtained by the meta-analysis.
Figure 1Percentage change calculated for each treatment containing antibiotic growth promoter (AGP) in relation to its respective treatment without AGP in studies included in the database according to year of publication.
Performance -obtained by meta-analysis- of broilers fed diets with (AGP+) or without antibiotic growth promoters (AGP−).
| Treatments | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | AGP+ | AGP− | SER | R2 | % | |
| Initial (1 to 21 D) | ||||||
| Feed intake, g/D | 55 | 56 | 0.005 | 1.059 | 99.15 | 1.78 |
| (n:86) | (n:75) | |||||
| Weight gain, g/D | 38 | 37 | <0.001 | 1.043 | 98.29 | 2.70 |
| (n:87) | (n:76) | |||||
| Feed conversion, g/g | 1.47 | 1.51 | <0.001 | 0.049 | 92.66 | 2.64 |
| (n:86) | (n:75) | |||||
| Final (22 to 42 D) | ||||||
| Feed intake, g/D | 161 | 162 | 0.111 | 2.952 | 98.21 | 0.61 |
| (n:37) | (n:34) | |||||
| Weight gain, g/D | 82 | 82 | 0.561 | 1.841 | 97.70 | 0.00 |
| (n: 39) | (n:36) | |||||
| Feed conversion, g/g | 1.96 | 1.99 | 0.128 | 0.056 | 96.01 | 1.50 |
| (n:37) | (n:34) | |||||
| Total (1 to 42 D) | ||||||
| Feed intake, g/D | 90 | 91 | 0.127 | 15.707 | 87.85 | 1.09 |
| (n:476) | (n:452) | |||||
| Weight gain, g/D | 54 | 52 | 0.040 | 8.886 | 82.62 | 3.84 |
| (n:513) | (n:489) | |||||
| Feed conversion, g/g | 1.66 | 1.72 | <0.001 | 0.157 | 74.61 | 3.48 |
| (n:482) | (n:458) | |||||
P: Probability of treatment effect. The models included the study effect (P < 0.001).
RSE: Residual standard error.
R2: Coefficient of determination of the model.
%: Percentage change between AGP+ and AGP−.
n: Number of studies observations in each mean.
Total performance* -obtained by meta-analysis- of broilers fed diets containing specifics antibiotic growth promoters (AGP+) or not (AGP−).
| Treatments | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | AGP+ | AGP− | SER | R2 | |
| Avilamycin | |||||
| Feed intake, g/D | 91 | 93 | 0.108 | 15.786 | 87.51 |
| (n:200) | (n:199) | ||||
| Weight gain, g/D | 54 | 53 | 0.248 | 8.952 | 82.47 |
| (n:219) | (n:218) | ||||
| Feed conversion, g/g | 1.63 | 1.71 | <0.001 | 0.118 | 82.17 |
| (n:206) | (n:205) | ||||
| Flavomycin | |||||
| Feed intake, g/D | 90 | 91 | 0.743 | 24.082 | 78.41 |
| (n:102) | (n:93) | ||||
| Weight gain, g/D | 51 | 51 | 0.622 | 9.921 | 78.13 |
| (n:104) | (n:95) | ||||
| Feed conversion, g/g | 1.72 | 1.76 | 0.037 | 0.312 | 67.39 |
| (n:102) | (n:93) | ||||
| Virginiamycin | |||||
| Feed intake, g/D | 83 | 85 | 0.566 | 14.406 | 88.45 |
| (n:65) | (n:64) | ||||
| Weight gain, g/D | 49 | 47 | 0.042 | 9.117 | 78.77 |
| (n:70) | (n:69) | ||||
| Feed conversion, g/g | 1.68 | 1.75 | 0.015 | 0.165 | 76.63 |
| (n:65) | (n:64) | ||||
P: Probability of treatment effect. The models included the study effect (P < 0.001).
RSE: Residual standard error.
R2: Coefficient of determination of the model.
%: Percentage change between AGP+ and AGP−.
n: Number of studies observations in each mean.
The model considered the effect of the study (P < 0.001) and the mean weight of animals as adjusted variable (P < 0.001).
Simulation of the economic impact of the antibiotic growth promoter withdrawal from broiler diets containing antibiotic growth promoters (AGP+) or not (AGP−).
| Treatments | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| AGP+ | AGP− | Variation | |
| Initial (1 to 21 D) | |||
| Feed conversion, g/g | 1.47 | 1.51 | 2.64 |
| Feed intake, g/animal | 1155 | 1176 | 1.78 |
| Feeding cost, $/animal | 0.27 | 0.28 | 0.01 |
| Feeding cost | 1,596,452,300 | 1,635,403,026 | 38,950,725 |
| Total (1 to 42 D) | |||
| Feed conversion, g/g | 1.66 | 1.72 | 3.48 |
| Feed intake, g/animal | 4.150 | 4.290 | 0.14 |
| Feeding cost, $/animal | 0.96 | 0.99 | 0.03 |
| Feeding cost, $/yr | 5,601,424,320 | 5,784,984,552 | 183,560,232 |
Feeding cost: considering 5,840,000,000 slaughtered broilers/yr (IBGE, 2017).
Figure 2Sensitivity analysis of antibiotic growth promoter (AGP) withdrawal of broiler diets according to the variation of the additive price and variation between feed conversion rate with or without AGP.
X: current price of antibiotic growth promoter.
AVOID: the situation where it is possible to raise broilers without AGP with no economic losses.
USE: the situation where it is indicated the use of AGP to have no economic losses.