| Literature DB >> 31404070 |
Gaétan de Rassenfosse1, Adam Jaffe2,3,4,5, Emilio Raiteri1,6.
Abstract
The U.S. government invests more than $50 billion per year in R&D procurement but we know little about the outcomes of these investments. We have traced all the patents arising from government funding since the year 2000. About 1.5 percent of all R&D procurement contracts have led to at least one patent for a total of about 13,000 patents. However, contracts connected to patents account for 36 per cent of overall contract value. The gestation lag from the signing date of the contract to the patent filing is on average 33 months and does not depend on the type of R&D performed. Patents that are produced faster also seem to be more valuable. We find strong decreasing returns to contract size. Conditional on generating at least one patent, a 1-percent increase in the size of an R&D contract is associated with 0.12 percent more patents.Entities:
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31404070 PMCID: PMC6690509 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0218927
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1Panel A provides key descriptive statistics about the 3PFL database. Panel B displays the distribution by agency of patents and scientific publications associated with contracts and grants. Panel C reports the distribution of R&D contracts and patents by R&D stage.
Fig 2The lag is computed as the difference in months between the date of first priority of the patent application and the date of first signing of the contract (panel A) or the latest end date of the contracts (panel B).
See S1 File for additional notes.
Contract-patent lag and R&D stages.
| contract-patent lag | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | |
| applied_research | 0.161 | 1.076 | -1.460 | -1.320 | -1.391 |
| (1.809) | (1.530) | (1.140) | (1.137) | (1.098) | |
| development | 14.358 | 3.859 | -0.186 | -0.084 | -0.957 |
| (4.212) | (2.010) | (1.284) | (1.272) | (1.307) | |
| commercialization | -1.493 | 2.721 | 1.274 | 1.307 | 1.068 |
| (3.179) | (2.392) | (2.627) | (2.638) | (2.635) | |
| contract-length | 0.319 | 0.225 | 0.224 | 0.216 | |
| (0.035) | (0.026) | (0.026) | (0.025) | ||
| log_amount($) | -0.246 | 1.144 | 1.148 | 1.110 | |
| (0.676) | (0.258) | (0.258) | (0.265) | ||
| sbir | -4.790 | -3.852 | -3.790 | -3.711 | |
| (0.933) | (0.972) | (0.967) | (0.967) | ||
| competed | -6.403 | -0.922 | -0.922 | -0.896 | |
| (3.094) | (1.861) | (1.838) | (1.824) | ||
| fixed-price | -0.420 | 0.497 | 0.531 | -0.102 | |
| (1.216) | (1.093) | (1.092) | (1.069) | ||
| nr_independent_claims | -0.537 | -0.665 | |||
| (0.153) | (0.147) | ||||
| contract_start-year | No | No | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| contract_start-month | No | No | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| office | No | No | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| R&D_category | No | No | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| patent_class | No | No | No | No | Yes |
| constant | 28.314 | 19.705 | 51.675 | 53.261 | 37.676 |
| (1.294) | (9.348) | (10.667) | (10.459) | (10.613) | |
| Observations | 6946 | 6946 | 6946 | 6946 | 6946 |
| 0.059 | 0.326 | 0.381 | 0.382 | 0.435 | |
| 4.25 | 1.58 | 0.86 | 0.78 | 0.65 | |
Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.1,
** p < 0.05,
*** p < 0.01
The row F-test reports the results of a joint significance test for the R&D stage variables
The dollar amount of a procurement contract is computed by adding all the transactions recorded for a given contract in the time period we consider, i.e., 2000–2013.
Patent value and contract-patent lag.
| patent value | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | |
| contract-patent_lag | -0.028 | -0.027 | -0.032 | -0.024 | -0.026 |
| (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.006) | (0.005) | |
| contract_length | 0.009 | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.003 | |
| (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | ||
| log_amount($) | -0.211 | -0.017 | -0.028 | -0.072 | |
| (0.062) | (0.081) | (0.080) | (0.087) | ||
| sbir | 0.016 | 0.184 | 0.177 | 0.066 | |
| (0.250) | (0.269) | (0.269) | (0.270) | ||
| competed | -0.227 | 0.151 | 0.134 | -0.184 | |
| (0.292) | (0.304) | (0.299) | (0.316) | ||
| fixed-price | -0.481 | -0.160 | -0.130 | -0.217 | |
| (0.253) | (0.255) | (0.259) | (0.246) | ||
| nr_independent_claims | 0.193 | 0.159 | |||
| (0.045) | (0.043) | ||||
| contract_start-year | No | No | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| office | No | No | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| R&D_category | No | No | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| R&D_stage | No | No | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| patent_filing-year | No | No | No | Yes | Yes |
| patent_class | No | No | No | No | Yes |
| constant | 3.523 | 6.540 | 3.181 | -2.555 | -0.235 |
| (0.241) | (1.006) | (1.399) | (1.670) | (2.701) | |
| Observations | 6946 | 6946 | 6946 | 6946 | 6946 |
| 0.018 | 0.025 | 0.051 | 0.064 | 0.135 | |
Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.1,
** p < 0.05,
*** p < 0.01
The dollar amount of a procurement contract is computed by adding all the transactions recorded for a given contract in the time period we consider, i.e., 2000–2013.
Fig 3Panel B displays how much each of the two agencies involved have proportionally contributed to the development of the patent, based on the size of each contract, for contracts in which either the Department of Defense (left) or the Department of Energy (right) was the largest contributor.
See SI for additional details.
Patents per contract and contract size.
| patents per contract | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | |
| log_amount($) | 0.125 | 0.122 | 0.128 |
| (0.013) | (0.016) | (0.015) | |
| contract_length | -0.002 | -0.002 | -0.002 |
| (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | |
| sbir | -0.036 | -0.018 | |
| (0.024) | (0.027) | ||
| competed | 0.008 | -0.003 | |
| (0.070) | (0.072) | ||
| fixed-price | 0.008 | 0.039 | |
| (0.032) | (0.036) | ||
| contract_start-year | No | No | Yes |
| office | No | No | Yes |
| R&D category | No | No | Yes |
| R&D stage | No | No | Yes |
| constant | -1.239 | -1.200 | -1.495 |
| (0.158) | (0.225) | (0.401) | |
| Observations | 2806 | 2806 | 2806 |
| 0.119 | 0.120 | 0.149 | |
Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.1,
** p < 0.05,
*** p < 0.01
Note: The dollar amount of a procurement contract is computed by adding all the transactions recorded for a given contract in the time-period we consider, i.e., 2000–2013.
The contract_length is computed as the difference in months between the date of first signing of the R&D procurement contract and the date of latest completion in the FPDS data. We consider in the analysis only those contracts for which we could clearly tell, by the structure of the award_id (see S1 File), that the actual starting date is in the same year as the first transaction we observe in the data.
Patent value and dual funded patents.
| patent_value | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | |
| dual_funding | 0.728 | 1.479 | 1.012 |
| (0.347) | (0.343) | (0.327) | |
| log_cost-per-patent ($) | -0.046 | ||
| (0.017) | |||
| nr_bwd_cites | 0.047 | ||
| (0.006) | |||
| nr_npl_cites | 0.031 | ||
| (0.007) | |||
| tot_ipc | 0.056 | ||
| (0.024) | |||
| nr_independent_claims | 0.065 | ||
| (0.038) | |||
| patent_filing-year | No | Yes | Yes |
| patent_class | No | Yes | Yes |
| constant | 2.728 | 4.523 | 1.323 |
| (0.076) | (2.825) | (2.809) | |
| Observations | 13248 | 13248 | 13248 |
| 0.001 | 0.138 | 0.152 | |
Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.1,
** p < 0.05,
*** p < 0.01
Given that the contract-patent relation can be a many to many relation, the variable cost-per-patent is computed as a fractional count based on the size of the contracts, the number of contracts associated with a patent, and the number of patents associated with a contract.
Fig 4Panel A reports the distribution of the total dollar amount received for R&D procurement contracts as a percentage of GDP by state. Panel B displays the distribution of total number of R&D contracts that are associated with at least one patent by Core Based Statistical Areas.