| Literature DB >> 31391066 |
Zachary Zihui Yong1, Grace Hwei Ching Tan1, Nicholas Shannon1, Claramae Chia1, Melissa Ching Ching Teo2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Twenty to thirty percent of planned cytoreductive surgery and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (CRS and HIPEC) procedures are abandoned intra-operatively. Pre-operative factors associated with unresectability identified previously were used to develop a Pre-Operative Predictive Score (PROPS), which was compared with current selection criteria-Peritoneal Surface Disease Severity Score (PSDSS), Verwaal's Prognostic Score (PS) and Colorectal Peritoneal Metastases Prognostic Surgical Score (COMPASS), to determine which score provides the best prediction for unresectability.Entities:
Keywords: CRS and HIPEC; Colorectal cancer; Peritoneal metastasis; Selection criteria; Unresectability
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31391066 PMCID: PMC6686533 DOI: 10.1186/s12957-019-1673-x
Source DB: PubMed Journal: World J Surg Oncol ISSN: 1477-7819 Impact factor: 2.754
Variables in PSDSS, PS and COMPASS
Demographics between unresectable and successful groups
| Variables | Unresectable ( | Successful ( | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (mean) | 49 (SD = 5.6) | 49 (SD = 2.6) | 0.97 |
| Gender (female) | 25% (1/4) | 63% (17/27) | 0.28 |
| Race | 0.21 | ||
| Chinese | 50%(2/4) | 81.5% (22/27) | |
| Malay | 0% (0/4) | 0% (0/27) | |
| Indian | 0% (0/4) | 0% (0/27) | |
| Others | 50% (2/4) | 18.5% (5/27) | |
| ECOG | 0.55 | ||
| 0 | 75% (3/4) | 59% (16/27) | |
| 1 | 25% (1/4) | 41% (11/27) | |
| Overall comorbidity | |||
| Cardiovascular | 25% (1/4) | 30% (8/27) | 0.85 |
| Pulmonary | 100% (4/4) | 11% (3/27) | 0.78 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 0% (0/4) | 19% (5/27) | 0.35 |
| Primary tumour location | 0.50 | ||
| Right-sided | 75% (3/4) | 44% (12/27) | |
| Left-sided | 25% (!/4) | 48% (13/27) | |
| Rectal | 0% (0/4) | 7% (2/27) | |
| Histology | 0.00* | ||
| Signet ring cell | 50% (2/4) | 0% (0/27) | |
| Mucinous | 50% (2/4) | 26% (7/27) | |
| Adenocarcinoma | |||
| Well differentiated | 0% (0/4) | 7% (2/27) | |
| Moderate differentiated | 0% (0/4) | 59% (16/27) | |
| Poor differentiated | 0% (0/4) | 7% (2/27) | |
| PCI score (mean) | 24 (SD = 2.6) | 10 (SD = 1.1) | 0.00* |
| Completeness of cytoreduction | NA | ||
| CC-0 | NA | 41% (11/27) | |
| CC-1 | NA | 52% (14/27) | |
| CC-2 | NA | 7% (2/27) | |
*Statistically significant results as P value is less than 0.05
Univariate analysis of preoperative factors associated with unresectability
| Unresectable ( | Successful ( | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Results | % ( | % ( | |
| Clinical presentation | |||
| Bloatedness | 75% (3/4) | 15% (4/26) | 0.03* |
| Altered bowel habits | 50% (2/4) | 12% (3/26) | 0.12 |
| Abdominal pain | 50% (2/4) | 15% (4/26) | 0.17 |
| Loss of weight | 50% (2/4) | 8% (2/26) | 0.08 |
| Nausea/vomiting | 25% (1/4) | 8% (2/26) | 0.36 |
| Abdominal distension | 0.0% (0/4) | 4% (1/26) | 1.00 |
| Abdominal mass | 25% (1/4) | 0.0% (0/26) | 0.04* |
| Pouch of Douglas nodules | 0.0% (0/4) | 0.0% (0/26) | – |
| Disease factor | |||
| High-grade tumour | 50% (2/4) | 4% (0/27) | 0.01* |
| Prior neoadjuvant chemotherapy | 75% (3/4) | 96% (26/27) | 0.25 |
| Neoadjuvant cycles (median months) | 9 (3 to 15) | 6 (2 to 12) | 0.14 |
| Multiple lines of chemotherapy | 50% (1/2) | 29% (7/24) | 0.04* |
| Response to chemotherapy | |||
| Complete response | 0.0% (0/3) | 76% (16/21) | |
| Partial response | 67% (2/3) | 10% (2/21) | 0.11 |
| No response | 0.0% (0/3) | 14% (3/21) | 0.20 |
| Progressive disease | 33% (1/3) | 0.0% (0/21) | 0.00* |
| Suboptimal resection | 25% (1/4) | 7% (2/27) | 0.04* |
| Disease-free interval (median months) | 14 (4 to 16) | 16 (0 to 62) | 0.23 |
| Preoperative investigations | |||
| Elevated tumour markers | 100% (4/4) | 50% (11/22) | 0.03* |
| Thrombocytosis | 50% (2/4) | 15% (4/27) | 0.16 |
| Anaemia | 25% (1/4) | 41% (11/27) | 1.00 |
| Hypoalbuminemia | 50% (2/4) | 33% (9/27) | 0.60 |
| CT ascites | 100% (4/4) | 9% (2/23) | 0.00* |
| CT omental thickening | 100% (4/4) | 4% (1/23) | 0.00* |
| CT lymphadenopathy | 25% (1/4) | 17% (4/23) | 1.00 |
| CT small bowel disease | 25% (1/4) | 8% (2/23) | 0.01* |
*Statistically significant results as P value is less than 0.05
Development of PROPS with multivariate analysis
| Variables | Beta-coefficient | Score | OR (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poor tumour biology | ||||
| Suboptimal resection | 1.0 | 1 | 0.17 (0.05–0.63) | 0.01 |
| Multiple lines of chemotherapy | 1.0 | 1 | 0.18 (0.03–0.94) | 0.07 |
| High grade tumour | 1.0 | 1 | 0.16 (0.04–0.68) | 0.03 |
| Heavy tumour burden | ||||
| Bloatedness | 2.5 | 2 | 0.16 (0.04–0.58) | 0.01 |
| Palpable abdominal mass | 2.5 | 2 | 0.01 (0.00–0.24) | < 0.01 |
| CT ascites | 2.5 | 2 | 0.02 (0.00–0.33) | < 0.01 |
| CT omental thickening | 2.5 | 2 | 0.01 (0.00–0.17) | < 0.01 |
| CT small bowel disease | 2.5 | 2 | 0.14 (0.02–0.78) | 0.05 |
| Active tumour proliferation | ||||
| Elevated tumour markers | 2.0 | 2 | 0.10 (0.01–0.84) | 0.03 |
PROPS vs. PSDSS vs. PS vs. COMPASS
| Sensitivity | Specificity | Youden’s index | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROPS | |||
| 10 | 0.33 | 1 | 0.33 |
| 5.5 | 0.33 | 0.95 | 0.29 |
| 3.5 | 0.67 | 0.77 | 0.44 |
| 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| PSDSS | |||
| 17 | 0.33 | 0.90 | 0.24 |
| 14 | 0.67 | 0.86 | 0.53 |
| 11 | 0.67 | 0.81 | 0.48 |
| 9.5 | 1.0 | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| PS | |||
| 3.25 | 0.00 | 0.77 | −0.23 |
| 3.15 | 0.33 | 0.77 | 0.11 |
| 3.08 | 0.33 | 0.73 | 0.06 |
| 2.78 | 1.0 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| 2.38 | 1.0 | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| COMPASS | |||
| 81 | 0.27 | 0.67 | −0.06 |
| 90 | 0.27 | 1.00 | 0.27 |
| 96 | 0.23 | 1.00 | 0.23 |
| 101 | 0.18 | 1.00 | 0.18 |
| 109 | 0.14 | 1.00 | 0.14 |
Fig. 1Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for PROPS, PSDSS, PS and COMPASS. Area under the ROC curve for PROPS, PSDSS, PS and COMPASS when predicting unresectability are 0.86 (95% CI = 0.7–1.0), 0.76 (95% CI = 0.5–1.0), 0.85 (95% CI = 0.6–1.0) and 0.61 (95% CI = 0.3 = 1.0) respectively