| Literature DB >> 31354957 |
Serge C Harb1, Saleem Toro1, Jennifer A Bullen2, Nancy A Obuchowski2, Bo Xu1, Kevin M Trulock1, Niraj Varma1, John Rickard1, Richard Grimm1, Brian Griffin1,2, Scott D Flamm1, Deborah H Kwon1.
Abstract
Objective: Determine the prognostic impact of scar quantification (scar %) by cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) in predicting heart failure admission, death and left ventricular (LV) function improvement following cardiac resynchronisation therapy (CRT), after controlling for the presence of left bundle branch block (LBBB), QRS duration (QRSd) and LV lead tip location and polarity.Entities:
Keywords: cardiac MRI; cardiac resynchronisation therapy response; incremental value
Year: 2019 PMID: 31354957 PMCID: PMC6615837 DOI: 10.1136/openhrt-2019-001067
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Open Heart ISSN: 2053-3624
Figure 1Cardiac MRI and scar quantification. Example of cardiac magnetic resonance short axis stack acquisition, scar imaging and scar quantification from a patient with prior left anterior descending artery infarction and resultant ischaemic cardiomyopathy. For presentation purposes, only three slices (one at the base, one at the mid cavity and one at the apex) are shown. The yellow arrows point to the scar. Scar quantification is performed by first defining the endocardial (in red) and epicardial (in green) contours. Scar is shown here in pink. For accurate calculation of total scar %, the entire LV stack needs to be contoured from the atrioventricular junction (mitral annulus) to the apex. LV, left ventricle; RV, right ventricle; SSFP, steady state free precession.
Baseline characteristics of the overall population and by cardiomyopathy type
| All patients | ICM | NICM | |
| Clinical characteristics | |||
| Age (mean±SD, in years) | 62±12 | 66±9 | 57±12 |
| Female (%) | 37 | 35 | 39 |
| Diabetes mellitus (%) | 21 | 28 | 15 |
| Hypertension (%) | 40 | 28 | 54 |
| Hyperlipidaemia (%) | 42 | 44 | 39 |
| Atrial fibrillation* (%) | 29 | 35 | 22 |
| NYHA Class III/IV (%) | 90 | 91 | 90 |
| ECG pre-CRT | |||
| Presence of LBBB (%) | 50 | 40 | 61 |
| QRS duration (mean±SD in ms) | 151±24 | 147±23 | 154±24 |
| Echo characteristics | |||
| EF pre-CRT (mean %±SD) | 23±8 | 21±8 | 26±8 |
| EF ≥3 months post CRT (mean %±SD) | 34±14 | 28±13 | 40±13 |
| CMR characteristics | |||
| LVEF (mean %±SD) | 24±9 | 20±8 | 28±9 |
| Total scar % (mean %±SD) | 15±17 | 26±16 | 5±10 |
*Includes permanent, persistent and paroxysmal atrial fibrillation.
EF, ejection fraction;ICM, ischaemic cardiomyopathy;LBBB, left bundle branch block;LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction;NICM, non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy;NYHA, New York Heart Association;QRS, QRS complex duration in ms.
Univariable and multivariable associations with the post cardiac resynchronisation therapy (CRT) clinical endpoints (heart failure admission or death)
| Univariable | Multivariable | |||
| HR with 95% CI | P value | HR with 95% CI | P value | |
| Age | 1.04 (1.00 to 1.08) | 0.035 | 1.07 (1.01 to 1.13) | 0.017 |
| Female | 0.76 (0.36 to 1.61) | 0.469 | 0.97 (0.43 to 2.22) | 0.945 |
| Total scar (per 1% increase) | 1.05 (1.03 to 1.07) | <0.001 | 1.06 (1.02 to 1.10) | 0.003 |
| LBBB | 0.55 (0.26 to 1.17) | 0.119 | 0.29 (0.09 to 0.94) | 0.039 |
| QRS width | 0.99 (0.98 to 1.01) | 0.427 | 1.01 (0.98 to 1.04) | 0.600 |
| Diabetes | 0.88 (0.37 to 2.09) | 0.770 | 0.63 (0.23 to 1.73) | 0.367 |
| Hypertension | 0.79 (0.36 to 1.74) | 0.561 | 1.32 (0.53 to 3.32) | 0.549 |
| LV lead tip in scar | 2.26 (0.84 to 6.08) | 0.106 | 0.62 (0.16 to 2.37) | 0.486 |
| Unipolar lead | 2.76 (1.24 to 6.14) | 0.013 | 1.06 (0.34 to 3.28) | 0.918 |
On multivariable analysis, only increasing age, increasing scar burden and absence of LBBB were associated with lack of clinical response to CRT (heart failure admission or death).
LBBB, left bundle branch block; LV, left ventricle; QRS, QRS complex duration in ms.
Figure 2Kaplan-Meier estimates of the survivor function for the primary endpoint (composite of death or heart failure admission) when adopting a scar threshold of 33%. Patients with higher burden of scar had more events compared with those with lower scar burden. In this figure, a threshold of 33% is selected for presentation purposes. Patients with scar ≥33% had significantly more events compared with those with <33% (HR: 5.6; 95% CI 2.4 to 12.7, p<0.001). CRT, cardiac resynchronisation therapy.
Figure 3Receiver-operating characteristics (ROCs) curves for distinguishing patients who were event-free for the primary composite outcome 3 years after cardiac resynchronisation therapy the primary outcome was defined as death or heart failure admission. In predicting the occurrence of this composite outcome at 3 years, the red line represents the ROC based on the presence of left bundle branch block and QRS duration. The blue line represents the ROC curve after addition of total scar %. There was a significant improvement in the predictive accuracy of the model (95% CI for the difference in area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) 0.02 to 0.36; p=0.027).
Estimates of the effect of location-specific scar % on the clinical and echocardiographic endpoints
| Adjusted* estimate of HR | ||||||||
| Septal scar† | Anterior scar‡ | Lateral scar§ | Inferior scar¶ | |||||
| A: clinical endpoint | Estimate | P value | Estimate | P value | Estimate | P value | Estimate | P value |
| Time between CRT and death or heart failure admission | 1.03 | 0.002 | 1.03 | <0.001 | 1.03 | 0.005 | 1.02 | 0.017 |
*Adjusted estimates are from a model where the following covariates were included as predictors (in addition to total scar %): age, gender, presence of left bundle branch block, QRS duration, diabetes mellitus and hypertension.
†Septal scar was calculated as the average of the scar per cent in AHA segments 2, 3, 8, 9 and 14.
‡Anterior scar was calculated as the average of the scar per cent in AHA segments 1, 7 and 13.
§Lateral scar was calculated as the average of the scar per cent in AHA segments 5, 6, 11, 12 and 16.
¶Inferior scar was calculated as the average of the scar per cent in AHA segments 4, 10 and 15.
AHA, American Heart Association; CRT, cardiac resynchronisation therapy; EF, ejection fraction.
Figure 4Associations between scar burden and change in ejection fraction (EF) lower scar % was associated with a larger increase in EF after cardiac resynchronisation therapy (CRT) (r=−0.49, 95% CI −0.66 to 0.26, p<0.001). Increase in EF by 10% or more (area shaded in darker grey) was considered clinically significant improvement. CMR, cardiac magnetic resonance.
Univariable and multivariable associations for the echocardiographic endpoint
| Univariable | Multivariable | |||
| Slope with 95% CI | P value | Slope with 95% CI | P value | |
| Age | −0.3% (−0.6% to 0.0%) | 0.045 | −0.2% (−0.6% to 0.1%) | 0.185 |
| Female | −0.8% (−7.9% to 6.2%) | 0.819 | −3.1% (−10.4% to 4.2%) | 0.399 |
| Total scar (per 1% increase) | −0.4% (−0.6% to −0.2%) | <0.001 | −0.6% (−0.9% to −0.3%) | <0.001 |
| LBBB | 7.4% (0.9% to 14.0%) | 0.028 | 8.9% (0.4% to 17.4%) | 0.040 |
| QRS width | 0.1% (−0.1% to 0.2%) | 0.409 | −0.1% (−0.3% to 0.1%) | 0.390 |
| Diabetes | −1.6% (−10.0% to 6.8%) | 0.706 | 0.2% (−8.5% to 8.9%) | 0.964 |
| Hypertension | −0.7% (−7.7% to 6.3%) | 0.851 | −2.4% (−9.6% to 4.8%) | 0.501 |
| LV lead tip in scar | −4.7% (−12.5% to 3.1%) | 0.229 | 6.1% (−2.6% to 14.8%) | 0.165 |
| Unipolar lead | −7.5% (−15.5% to 0.4%) | 0.064 | 3.3% (−5.7% to 12.3%) | 0.460 |
Slope is the mean change in ejection fraction difference. On multivariable analysis, only increase in scar burden and absence of LBBB were associated with lack of echocardiographic response to CRT.
LBBB, left bundle branch block; LV, left ventricle; QRS, QRS complex duration in ms.
Figure 5Receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curves for distinguishing patients with significant ejection fraction (EF) improvement (≥10%) the red line represents the ROC curve for predicting EF improvement by ≥10% based on the presence of left bundle branch block and QRS duration. The blue line represents the ROC curve after adding total scar %. There was a significant improvement in the predictive accuracy of the model (95% CI for the difference in area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC): 0.06, 0.36; p=0.007).