Literature DB >> 31327021

Open-minded imitation can achieve near-optimal vaccination coverage.

Ying Xin1,2, David Gerberry3, Winfried Just4,5.   

Abstract

Game-theoretic studies of voluntary vaccination predict that a socially unstructured population that is guided exclusively by individual rational self-interest always reaches a Nash equilibrium with vaccination coverage that is below the societal optimum. Human decision-making involves additional mechanisms, such as imitation of the successful strategies of others. However, previous research has found that imitation leads to vaccination coverage that is even below the Nash equilibrium. In this work, we note that these conclusions rely on the widely accepted use of Fermi functions for modeling the probabilities of switching to another strategy. We consider here a more general functional form of the switching probabilities. It involves one additional parameter [Formula: see text]. This parameter can be loosely interpreted as a degree of open-mindedness. The resulting dynamics are consistent with the ones that would be generated by functions that give best fits for empirical data in a widely cited psychological experiment. We show that sufficiently high levels of open-mindedness, as conceptualized by our parameter [Formula: see text], will drive equilibrium vaccination coverage levels above the Nash equilibrium, and in fact arbitrarily close to the societal optimum. These results were obtained both through mathematical analysis and numerical simulations.

Entities:  

Keywords:  Fermi function; Imitation; Vaccination dilemma; Vaccination game imitation

Year:  2019        PMID: 31327021     DOI: 10.1007/s00285-019-01401-z

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  J Math Biol        ISSN: 0303-6812            Impact factor:   2.259


  29 in total

1.  Group interest versus self-interest in smallpox vaccination policy.

Authors:  Chris T Bauch; Alison P Galvani; David J D Earn
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2003-08-14       Impact factor: 11.205

2.  Imitation dynamics of vaccination behaviour on social networks.

Authors:  Feng Fu; Daniel I Rosenbloom; Long Wang; Martin A Nowak
Journal:  Proc Biol Sci       Date:  2010-07-28       Impact factor: 5.349

3.  A susceptible-infected epidemic model with voluntary vaccinations.

Authors:  Frederick H Chen
Journal:  J Math Biol       Date:  2006-06-07       Impact factor: 2.259

4.  The annual impact of seasonal influenza in the US: measuring disease burden and costs.

Authors:  Noelle-Angelique M Molinari; Ismael R Ortega-Sanchez; Mark L Messonnier; William W Thompson; Pascale M Wortley; Eric Weintraub; Carolyn B Bridges
Journal:  Vaccine       Date:  2007-04-20       Impact factor: 3.641

5.  Human strategy updating in evolutionary games.

Authors:  Arne Traulsen; Dirk Semmann; Ralf D Sommerfeld; Hans-Jürgen Krambeck; Manfred Milinski
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2010-02-08       Impact factor: 11.205

6.  Why copy others? Insights from the social learning strategies tournament.

Authors:  L Rendell; R Boyd; D Cownden; M Enquist; K Eriksson; M W Feldman; L Fogarty; S Ghirlanda; T Lillicrap; K N Laland
Journal:  Science       Date:  2010-04-09       Impact factor: 47.728

7.  Evolutionary game theory and social learning can determine how vaccine scares unfold.

Authors:  Chris T Bauch; Samit Bhattacharyya
Journal:  PLoS Comput Biol       Date:  2012-04-05       Impact factor: 4.475

8.  The impact of imitation on vaccination behavior in social contact networks.

Authors:  Martial L Ndeffo Mbah; Jingzhou Liu; Chris T Bauch; Yonas I Tekel; Jan Medlock; Lauren Ancel Meyers; Alison P Galvani
Journal:  PLoS Comput Biol       Date:  2012-04-12       Impact factor: 4.475

9.  Can influenza epidemics be prevented by voluntary vaccination?

Authors:  Raffaele Vardavas; Romulus Breban; Sally Blower
Journal:  PLoS Comput Biol       Date:  2007-05       Impact factor: 4.475

10.  Effects of behavioral response and vaccination policy on epidemic spreading--an approach based on evolutionary-game dynamics.

Authors:  Hai-Feng Zhang; Zhi-Xi Wu; Ming Tang; Ying-Cheng Lai
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2014-07-11       Impact factor: 4.379

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  3 in total

1.  Open-minded imitation can achieve near-optimal vaccination coverage.

Authors:  Ying Xin; David Gerberry; Winfried Just
Journal:  J Math Biol       Date:  2019-07-20       Impact factor: 2.259

2.  Vaccination games in prevention of infectious diseases with application to COVID-19.

Authors:  Jingwen Ge; Wendi Wang
Journal:  Chaos Solitons Fractals       Date:  2022-06-10       Impact factor: 9.922

3.  A game-theoretic model of rabies in domestic dogs with multiple voluntary preventive measures.

Authors:  Vince N Campo; John Lawrence Palacios; Hideo Nagahashi; Hyunju Oh; Jan Rychtář; Dewey Taylor
Journal:  J Math Biol       Date:  2022-10-20       Impact factor: 2.164

  3 in total

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