| Literature DB >> 31292002 |
Atena Barat1, Michael J Goldacre1, Trevor W Lambert2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The rapidly rising rates of brain diseases due to the growing ageing population and the explosion in treatment options for many neurological conditions increase the demand for neurologists. We report trends in doctors' career choices for neurology; investigate factors driving their choices; and compare doctors' original choices with their specialty destinations.Entities:
Keywords: Career choice; Junior; Medical; Medical education; Neurology; Physicians; Workforce
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31292002 PMCID: PMC6621943 DOI: 10.1186/s12909-019-1650-7
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Med Educ ISSN: 1472-6920 Impact factor: 2.463
Trends among UK medical graduates in early first choices for eventual careers in neurology
| Year after graduation | Cohorts (years of graduation) | Statistical tests | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1974–1983 | 1993–2002 | 2005–2015 | All cohorts | Linear trend (χ21, p) | Heterogeneity (χ22, p) | |
| Year 1 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 49.8, < 0.001 | 52.6, < 0.001 |
| Year 3 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.9, 0.09 | 11.9, 0.003 |
| Year 5 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0, 0.32 | 2.8, 0.25 |
For doctors surveyed one, three and five years after graduation the table shows the percentages of doctors who specified neurology as their first choice of eventual specialty
Fig. 1Choosing neurology as first choice of eventual career in year 1, 3, and 5 after graduation
Certainty of career choice by specialty chosen one, three and five years after graduation: numbers (N) and percentages (%) of respondents
| Level of certainty about career choice | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year after graduation | Specialty choice | Definite | Probable | Uncertain | Total |
| Year 1 | Neurology | 81 (19.7) | 236 (57.4) | 94 (22.9) | 411 (100) |
| Other hospital physician specialties | 1191 (12.7) | 4663 (49.9) | 3498 (37.4) | 9352 (100) | |
| Year 3 | Neurology | 93 (32.9) | 133 (47.0) | 57 (20.1) | 283 (100.0) |
| Other hospital physician specialties | 1220 (25.3) | 2363 (49.1) | 1233 (25.6) | 4816 (100.0) | |
| Year 5 | Neurology | 149 (67.4) | 59 (26.7) | 13 (5.9) | 221 (100.0) |
| Other hospital physician specialties | 2079 (60.7) | 1074 (31.4) | 270 (7.9) | 3423 (100.0) | |
χ22 test results, comparing those who chose neurology with those who chose other hospital physician specialties: Year 1 χ22 = 41.8, p < .001; Year 3 χ22 = 9.3, p = .010; Year 5 χ22 = 4.1, p = .132
In this paper “other hospital physician specialties” comprises general medicine, cardiology, dermatology, endocrinology, geriatrics, nephrology, chest medicine, rheumatology/rehabilitation, academic medicine, genito-urinary medicine (or venereology), gastroenterology, vascular medicine, tropical medicine, clinical pharmacology, infectious diseases, occupational medicine (or industrial medicine)
UK doctors who specified each factor as influencing their choice of career “a great deal”
| Factor influencing career choice | Year 1 | Year 3 | Year 5 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neurology | Other hospital physician specialties | Neurology | Other hospital physician specialties | Neurology | Other hospital physician specialties | |
| Domestic situation | 62 (19.5*) | 1738 (24.9) | 36 (17.6*) | 801 (23.6) | 53 (24.2) | 921 (28.0) |
| Hours/working conditions | 79 (27.9) | 1925 (31.9) | 68 (48.2**) | 806 (36.3) | 69 (41.6) | 1027 (39.9) |
| Future financial prospects | 14 (6.0) | 455 (8.4) | 8 (5.7) | 192 (8.6) | 9 (5.4) | 208 (8.0) |
| Financial circumstances whilst training | 4 (11.8**) | 30 (3.1) | 3 (3.0) | 85 (5.3) | 5 (6.7) | 69 (6.0) |
| Career/promotion prospects | 48 (17.9) | 1282 (20.1) | 48 (28.2) | 833 (28.8) | 53 (24.0) | 856 (25.9) |
| Self-appraisal | 132 (49.3) | 2927 (45.8) | 119 (58.3) | 1855 (54.8) | 121 (55.0) | 1885 (57.0) |
| Advice from others | 25 (9.3**) | 997 (15.6) | 29 (17.2) | 584 (20.2) | 38 (17.2) | 546 (16.5) |
| Student experience of subject | 161 (50.6***) | 2590 (37.0) | 71 (39.0***) | 814 (25.6) | 76 (37.4***) | 701 (22.5) |
| Particular teacher/department | 90 (33.6**) | 1679 (26.3) | 62 (42.2) | 984 (36.1) | 66 (36.5) | 1028 (38.2) |
| Inclinations before medical school | 44 (16.4***) | 501 (7.8) | 39 (21.5***) | 220 (6.9) | 28 (13.9***) | 197 (6.3) |
| Experience of jobs so far | 77 (33.0***) | 2794 (51.3) | 113 (55.1) | 1973 (58.5) | 140 (63.6) | 2163 (65.4) |
| Enthusiasm/commitment | 183 (64.9*) | 3473 (57.9) | 100 (71.9) | 1540 (69.6) | 136 (81.4) | 2071 (80.1) |
| Other reasons | 22 (16.4**) | 249 (9.1) | 14 (14.3) | 263 (18.0) | 24 (26.1) | 268 (23.9) |
Key: * indicates p < .05; ** indicates p < .01; *** indicates p < .001, comparing neurology with other hospital physician specialties, within each year, for each factor
Career destinations at 10 years of doctors who expressed a career preference for neurology in years 1, 3, or 5
| Year 10 destinations | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neurology | Other hospital physician specialties | Others | All destinations | |
| Year 1 1st choices | ||||
| Men choosing neurology | 29 (47.5) | 16 (26.2) | 16 (26.2) | 61 (100.0) |
| Women choosing neurology | 8 (24.2) | 13 (39.4) | 12 (36.4) | 33 (100.0) |
| Total choosing neurology | 37 (39.4) | 29 (30.9) | 28 (29.8) | 94 (100.0) |
| Year 3 1st choices | ||||
| Men choosing neurology | 54 (70.1) | 10 (13.0) | 13 (16.9) | 77 (100.0) |
| Women choosing neurology | 22 (50.0) | 12 (27.3) | 10 (22.7) | 44 (100.0) |
| Total choosing neurology | 76 (62.8) | 22 (18.2) | 23 (19.0) | 121 (100.0) |
| Year 5 1st choices | ||||
| Men choosing neurology | 61 (95.3) | 0 (0.0) | 3 (4.7) | 64 (100.0) |
| Women choosing neurology | 32 (74.4) | 5 (11.6) | 6 (14.0) | 43 (100.0) |
| Total choosing neurology | 93 (86.9) | 5 (4.7) | 9 (8.4) | 107 (100.0) |
p-values, comparing the percentages of men and women who chose neurology in each year who later worked as neurologists: year 1 p = .047; year 3 p = .045; year 5 p = .004
Original career choices in years 1, 3, and 5 of doctors practising as neurologists in year 10
| Career choices | Male | Female | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | |||
| Neurology untied 1st choice | 23 (32.3) | 7 (18.9) | 30 (27.7) |
| Neurology tied 1st choice | 6 (8.4) | 1 (2.7) | 7 (6.4) |
| Neurology 2nd or 3rd choice | 7 (9.8) | 3 (8.1) | 10 (9.2) |
| Any choice for other hospital physician specialties | 26 (36.6) | 14 (37.8) | 40 (37.03) |
| Other choices | 9 (12.6) | 12 (32.4) | 21 (19.4) |
| Total | 71 (100.0) | 37 (100.0) | 108 (100.0) |
| Year 3 | |||
| Neurology untied 1st choice | 47 (70.1) | 20 (55.5) | 67 (65.04) |
| Neurology tied 1st choice | 7 (10.4) | 2 (5.5) | 9 (8.7) |
| Neurology 2nd or 3rd choice | 2 (2.9) | 2 (5.5) | 4 (3.8) |
| Any choice for other hospital physician specialties | 7 (10.4) | 6 (16.6) | 13 (12.6) |
| Other choices | 4 (5.9) | 6 (16.6) | 10 (9.7) |
| Total | 67 (100.0) | 36 (100.0) | 103 (100.0) |
| Year 5 | |||
| Neurology untied 1st choice | 56 (75.6) | 32 (76.1) | 88 (75.8) |
| Neurology tied 1st choice | 5 (6.7) | 0 (0.0) | 5 (4.3) |
| Neurology 2nd or 3rd choice | 7 (9.4) | 3 (7.1) | 10 (8.6) |
| Any choice for other hospital physician specialties | 5 (6.7) | 3 (7.1) | 8 (6.8) |
| Other choices | 1 (1.3) | 4 (9.5) | 5 (4.3) |
| Total | 74 (100.0) | 42 (100.0) | 116 (100.0) |
Data are for neurologists at ten years after medical school graduation (1993, 1996, 1999, 2000, 2002 cohorts)