| Literature DB >> 31272470 |
Olalla Guzon-Illescas1, Elia Perez Fernandez2, Natalia Crespí Villarias3, Francisco Javier Quirós Donate4, Marina Peña1, Carlos Alonso-Blas5, Alberto García-Vadillo6, Ramon Mazzucchelli7.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: It is known that mortality after hip fracture increases compared to the general population; the trend in mortality is a controversial issue. The objective of this study is to examine incidence, trends, and factors associated with mortality in patients with osteoporotic hip fractures.Entities:
Keywords: Epidemiology; Femur fracture; Hip fracture; Incidence; Mortality; Osteoporosis
Year: 2019 PMID: 31272470 PMCID: PMC6610901 DOI: 10.1186/s13018-019-1226-6
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Orthop Surg Res ISSN: 1749-799X Impact factor: 2.359
Crude and age-adjusted mortality rate by year for both sexes
| Year | Hip fractures | Population at risk | Deaths | Crude rate/1000 patient-year | Age-adjusted rate/1000 patient-year | CI95% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999 | 190 | 190 | 39 | 202.07 | 208.69 | 144.96 | 355.57 |
| 2000 | 227 | 378 | 76 | 200.53 | 212.30 | 165.16 | 270.71 |
| 2001 | 237 | 539 | 75 | 135.44 | 150.20 | 116.95 | 190.17 |
| 2002 | 244 | 708 | 101 | 138.42 | 149.16 | 120.20 | 183.22 |
| 2003 | 265 | 872 | 142 | 162.84 | 174.71 | 146.27 | 207.41 |
| 2004 | 280 | 1010 | 146 | 142.57 | 151.77 | 127.38 | 179.61 |
| 2005 | 295 | 1159 | 194 | 167.39 | 174.70 | 150.39 | 201.93 |
| 2006 | 268 | 1233 | 177 | 142.74 | 148.01 | 126.69 | 172.04 |
| 2007 | 258 | 1314 | 204 | 155.25 | 158.82 | 137.63 | 182.77 |
| 2008 | 292 | 1402 | 237 | 169.04 | 171.75 | 150.40 | 195.82 |
| 2009 | 282 | 1447 | 210 | 145.13 | 147.46 | 128.15 | 169.01 |
| 2010 | 266 | 1503 | 223 | 148.37 | 149.55 | 130.54 | 170.65 |
| 2011 | 293 | 1573 | 223 | 141.13 | 142.51 | 124.37 | 162.68 |
| 2012 | 181 | 1531 | 218 | 142.39 | 142.56 | 124.25 | 162.95 |
| 2013 | 119 | 1432 | 169 | 117.32 | 118.79 | 101.49 | 138.31 |
| 2014 | 151 | 1414 | 147 | 103.96 | 105.00 | 88.70 | 123.43 |
| 2015 | 144 | 1411 | 189 | 133.95 | 133.95 | 115.53 | 154.47 |
| 1999–2015 | 3992 | 19,116 | 2770 | 144.90 | |||
Crude and age-adjusted mortality rate by sex and year
| Hip fractures | Population at risk | Deaths | Crude rate/1000 patient-year | Age-adjusted rate/1000 patient-year | CI95% | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Women | |||||||
| 1999 | 153 | 153 | 28 | 183.01 | 186.82 | 118.51 | 326.13 |
| 2000 | 177 | 302 | 63 | 208.61 | 224.13 | 169.38 | 293.99 |
| 2001 | 183 | 422 | 53 | 125.59 | 139.94 | 102.73 | 188.26 |
| 2002 | 192 | 561 | 74 | 131.91 | 141.15 | 109.32 | 179.84 |
| 2003 | 220 | 707 | 112 | 158.42 | 176.29 | 144.05 | 214.96 |
| 2004 | 222 | 817 | 109 | 133.41 | 150.59 | 123.30 | 182.75 |
| 2005 | 228 | 936 | 153 | 163.46 | 174.76 | 147.38 | 206.60 |
| 2006 | 206 | 989 | 127 | 128.41 | 135.91 | 113.05 | 162.60 |
| 2007 | 205 | 1067 | 153 | 143.39 | 150.12 | 126.99 | 177.06 |
| 2008 | 236 | 1150 | 183 | 159.13 | 169.62 | 145.95 | 196.90 |
| 2009 | 215 | 1182 | 154 | 130.29 | 135.11 | 114.44 | 159.03 |
| 2010 | 212 | 1240 | 180 | 145.16 | 147.71 | 126.68 | 171.52 |
| 2011 | 225 | 1285 | 173 | 134.63 | 138.09 | 118.22 | 160.79 |
| 2012 | 128 | 1240 | 171 | 137.90 | 143.76 | 123.26 | 167.07 |
| 2013 | 90 | 1159 | 138 | 119.07 | 117.93 | 98.71 | 139.93 |
| 2014 | 114 | 1135 | 117 | 103.08 | 100.49 | 82.73 | 121.03 |
| 2015 | 103 | 1121 | 148 | 132.02 | 125.78 | 105.88 | 148.34 |
| 1999–2015 | 3109 | 15,466 | 2136 | 138.11 | |||
| Men | |||||||
| 1999 | 37 | 37 | 11 | 297.30 | 295.79 | 147.56 | 591.88 |
| 2000 | 50 | 76 | 13 | 171.05 | 169.08 | 87.10 | 307.21 |
| 2001 | 54 | 117 | 22 | 188.03 | 196.58 | 125.59 | 309.22 |
| 2002 | 52 | 147 | 27 | 183.67 | 192.08 | 127.12 | 291.36 |
| 2003 | 45 | 165 | 30 | 181.82 | 175.55 | 116.41 | 256.60 |
| 2004 | 58 | 193 | 37 | 191.71 | 173.93 | 118.76 | 249.59 |
| 2005 | 67 | 223 | 41 | 183.86 | 180.97 | 129.09 | 251.78 |
| 2006 | 62 | 244 | 50 | 204.92 | 195.37 | 143.97 | 264.84 |
| 2007 | 53 | 247 | 51 | 206.48 | 209.05 | 155.70 | 277.16 |
| 2008 | 56 | 252 | 54 | 214.29 | 182.87 | 134.51 | 244.29 |
| 2009 | 67 | 265 | 56 | 211.32 | 201.32 | 151.36 | 265.03 |
| 2010 | 54 | 263 | 43 | 163.50 | 163.04 | 118.56 | 222.57 |
| 2011 | 68 | 288 | 50 | 173.61 | 183.14 | 135.40 | 244.04 |
| 2012 | 53 | 291 | 47 | 161.51 | 139.93 | 100.27 | 191.67 |
| 2013 | 29 | 273 | 31 | 113.55 | 127.14 | 88.17 | 180.23 |
| 2014 | 37 | 279 | 30 | 107.53 | 123.00 | 85.54 | 171.93 |
| 2015 | 41 | 290 | 41 | 141.38 | 164.95 | 121.62 | 218.70 |
| 1999–2015 | 883 | 3650 | 634 | 173.70 | |||
Fig. 1Trend in mortality rate for 30, 180, and 365 days
Fig. 2Probability of mortality density after hip fracture in the next 10 years, by sex
Risk factors associated with mortality
| Hazard ratio | CI95% for Exp(B) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Lower | Upper | ||
| Men | 1.323* | 1.213 | 1.443 |
| Charlson > 2 | 1.984* | 1.738 | 2.264 |
| > 75 years old | 2.482* | 2.173 | 2.835 |
| Age | 1.055* | 1.049 | 1.060 |
| Institutionalization | 1.476* | 1.362 | 1.600 |
| Diabetes | 1.120* | 1.024 | 1.225 |
| Obesity | 0.909 | 0.726 | 1.136 |
| Sever to moderate liver disease | 3.249* | 2.172 | 4.862 |
| COPD | 1.465* | 1.303 | 1.648 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 1.136 | .973 | 1.326 |
| Bedsores | 1.377 | .877 | 2.162 |
| Peripheral artery disease | 1.785* | 1.237 | 2.575 |
| Myocardial infarction | 1.711* | 1.399 | 2.094 |
| Intracapsular fracture | 0.953 | 0.884 | 1.026 |
| Heart failure | 2.498* | 2.077 | 3.004 |
| Neoplasm | 1.881* | 1.511 | 2.341 |
| Dementia | 1.456* | 1.309 | 1.621 |
| Renal insufficiency | 1.873* | 1.603 | 2.187 |
| Hearing impairment** | 1.529* | 1.186 | 1.970 |
| Vision disorders** | 1.503* | 1.110 | 2.037 |
| Urinary incontinence** | 1.537* | 1.251 | 1.889 |
| Fecal incontinence** | 1.660* | 1.329 | 2.075 |
| Antiaggregant therapy** | 1.173 | .918 | 1.498 |
| Anticoagulant therapy** | 1.320 | .969 | 1.798 |
| Downton scale** | 1.657* | 1.321 | 2.080 |
| Norton scale 5–11** | 0.469* | 0.356 | 0.619 |
*p < 0.05
**Data exclusively obtained from subgroup of patients with a Nursing Assessment Form on admission
Fig. 3Survival analysis by periods of study