Literature DB >> 31254356

Pharmacological treatment for Type 2 diabetes integrating findings from cardiovascular outcome trials: an expert consensus in the UK.

S C Bain1, A Bakhai2, M Evans3, A Green4, I Menown5, W D Strain6.   

Abstract

In people with Type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality. Thus, as well as controlling glucose, reducing the risk of cardiovascular events is a key goal. The results of cardiovascular outcome trials have led to updates for many national and international guidelines. England, Wales and Northern Ireland remain exceptions, with the most recent update to the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) guidelines published in 2015. We reviewed current national and international guidelines and recommendations on the management of people with Type 2 diabetes. This article shares our consensus on clinical recommendations for the use of sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT-2is) and glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) in people with Type 2 diabetes and established or at very high risk of cardiovascular disease in the UK. We also consider cost-effectiveness for these therapies. We recommend considering each person's cardiovascular risk and using diabetes therapies with proven cardiovascular benefits when appropriate to improve long-term outcomes and cost-effectiveness.
© 2019 The Authors. Diabetic Medicine published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Diabetes UK.

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Year:  2019        PMID: 31254356      PMCID: PMC6771802          DOI: 10.1111/dme.14058

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Diabet Med        ISSN: 0742-3071            Impact factor:   4.359


Following positive cardiovascular outcome trial results, many national and international guidelines on the management of people with Type 2 diabetes have been updated for those also at high risk of cardiovascular disease. However, not all countries have updated their guidelines, notably England, Wales and Northern Ireland. This review shares a consensus on clinical recommendations for use of glucagon‐like peptide 1 receptor agonists and sodium–glucose co‐transporter 2 inhibitors in people with Type 2 diabetes. Although some countries have not yet updated their guidelines, we recommend consideration of each person's cardiovascular risk when selecting their diabetes therapy, to improve long‐term outcomes and cost‐effectiveness.

Introduction

The prevalence of Type 2 diabetes is rising rapidly in the UK and across the world, in part due to the increasing prevalence of obesity and the ageing population 1, 2. In people with Type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease remains the leading cause of morbidity and mortality 3. Once cardiovascular disease is present in a person with Type 2 diabetes, the risk of all‐cause mortality is increased threefold and the risk of cardiovascular death is increased fivefold 4. Thus, in addition to controlling glucose, reducing the risk of cardiovascular events is a key goal in the management of people with Type 2 diabetes. Before the establishment of cardiovascular disease, treatment should aim to reduce the risk of cardiovascular disease developing; whereas, once it occurs, the goal needs to be limiting its progression and reducing the risk of further adverse cardiovascular events. Attaining good glycaemic control, by whatever means, is important within the first 5 years after diagnosis of Type 2 diabetes, and prior to the onset of micro‐ or macrovascular disease, because this decreases the risk of cardiovascular events 5. However, prior to 2008, no individual anti‐hyperglycaemic agent had demonstrated a benefit with regard to cardiovascular events beyond 5 years within a clinical trial setting 5. As a result of safety concerns raised with the peroxisome proliferator‐activated receptor gamma agonist rosiglitazone 6, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) published a Guidance for Industry document requiring evidence of the cardiovascular safety of new anti‐hyperglycaemic agents 7. Since then, data from several cardiovascular outcome trials of dipeptidyl peptidase‐4 inhibitors (DPP‐4is) 8, 9, 10, 11, sodium–glucose co‐transporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT‐2is) 12, 13, 14, 15 and glucagon‐like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP‐1RAs) 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22 have been published (Table 1). To date, all these trials have met their primary endpoint of non‐inferiority compared with placebo with respect to the composite cardiovascular endpoint of cardiovascular mortality, non‐fatal myocardial infarction and stroke [3‐point major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE)] or 4‐point MACE, including hospitalization for unstable angina (Table 1). Trials of two SGLT‐2is (EMPA‐REG 15 with empagliflozin and CANVAS 12 with canagliflozin) and three GLP‐1RAs (LEADER 20 with liraglutide, HARMONY Outcomes 16 with albiglutide and REWIND 17 with dulaglutide) have demonstrated the superiority of these drugs compared with standard of care (including targeted glycaemic equipoise) for reducing the risk of MACE. Additionally, a post hoc analysis of the SUSTAIN 6 22 trial demonstrated the superiority of the GLP‐1RA semaglutide to placebo, and results from DECLARE‐TIMI 58 demonstrated that dapagliflozin was non‐inferior compared with placebo with regard to incidence of MACE, but significantly reduced rates of cardiovascular death and hospitalization for heart failure 24. In this review, we provide an overview of current national and international guidelines and recommendations for the management of people with Type 2 diabetes at high risk of cardiovascular disease, and share our consensus (from an endocrinology, cardiology and stroke perspective) on clinical recommendations and decision‐making for these people in the UK.
Table 1

Cardiovascular outcome trials of anti‐hyperglycaemic agents

DrugTrialCardiovascularoutcome trial
Number randomizedTreatment interventionsPrimary endpointPrimary outcome
DPP‐4is
AlogliptinEXAMINE 8 NCT00968708538025, 12.5 or 6.25 mg OD (depending on eGFR) alogliptin vs. placebo3‐point MACENon‐inferiority demonstrated HR 0.96, 95% CI 1.16a
LinagliptinCAROLINA 9 NCT012434246051Linagliptin 5 mg OD vs. glimepiride 1–4 mg OD4‐point MACE(Trial ongoing)
CARMELINA 23 NCT018975326979Linagliptin OD vs. placebo3‐point MACENon‐inferiority demonstrated HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.17
SaxagliptinSAVOR‐TIMI‐53 10 NCT0110788616 4925 mg OD (2.5 mg if eGFR < 50 ml/min) saxagliptin vs. placebo3‐point MACENon‐inferiority demonstrated HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.12
SitagliptinTECOS 11 NCT0079020514 671100 mg OD (50 mg if eGFR ≥30 to >50 ml/min 1.73 m2) sitagliptin vs. placebo4‐point MACENon‐inferiority demonstrated HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.88 to 1.09
VildagliptinNo ongoing trialn/an/an/an/a
SGLT‐2is
CanagliflozinCANVAS 12 NCT0103262910 142100 mg OD canagliflozin vs. 300 mg OD canagliflozin vs. placebo3‐point MACESuperiority demonstrated HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.75 to 0.97
CREDENCE 13 NCT020657914401100 mg OD canagliflozin vs. placeboComposite endpoint of end‐stage kidney disease, doubling serum creatinine, and renal or CV deathSuperiority demonstrated HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.59 to 0.82
DapagliflozinDECLARE‐TIMI 58 14, 24 NCT0173053417 16010 mg OD dapagliflozin vs. placebo3‐point MACE; also CV death or hospitalisation for heart failureNon‐inferiority demonstrated Upper boundary of the 95% CI <1.3; P < 0.001 (Superiority demonstrated for co‐primary endpoint of CV mortality and hospitalisations due to heart failure [HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.95])
ErtugliflozinVERTIS CV 25 NCT0198688182465 mg OD ertugliflozin vs. 15 mg OD ertugliflozin vs. placebo3‐point MACE(Trial ongoing)
EmpagliflozinEMPA‐REG 15 NCT01131676702810 or 25 mg empagliflozin OD vs. placebo3‐point MACESuperiority demonstrated HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.99
GLP‐1RAs
Albiglutideb HARMONY Outcomes 16 NCT01522651946330–50 mg OW albiglutide vs. placeboComposite endpoint of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction or strokeSuperiority demonstrated HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.68 to 0.90
DulaglutideREWIND 26 NCT0139495299011.5 mg OW dulaglutide vs. placebo3‐point MACESuperiority demonstrated (press release) HR not reported
Exenatide EXSCEL 18 NCT0114433814 7522 mg OW exenatide vs. placeboComposite endpoint of cardiovascular death, non‐fatal myocardial infarction or non‐fatal strokeNon‐inferiority demonstrated HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.83 to 1.00
ITCA 650FREEDOM‐CVO 19 NCT01455857Not reported60 mcg/day ITCA 650 vs. placebo4‐point MACENon‐inferiority demonstrated (press release) HR not reported
Liraglutide LEADER 20 NCT0117904893401.8 mg liraglutide OD vs. placebo3‐point MACESuperiority demonstrated HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.78 to 0.97
LixisenatideELIXA 21 NCT01147250606810 μg (titrated up to 20 μg) OD lixisenatide vs. placebo4‐point MACENon‐inferiority demonstrated HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.17
SemaglutideSUSTAIN 6 (pre‐approval) 22 NCT017204463297(OW injection) 0.5 or 1.0 mg semaglutide vs. placebo3‐point MACENon‐inferiority demonstrated HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.58 to 0.95 (superiority demonstrated post hoc analysis)
PIONEER 6 (oral semaglutide) 27 NCT026927163183Oral semaglutide OD vs. placebo3‐point MACENon‐inferiority demonstrated (press release) HR 0.79

Upper boundary of the one‐sided repeated confidence interval, at an alpha level of 0.01.

Albiglutide is not currently available in the UK.

BID, twice daily; CI, confidence interval; DPP‐4i, dipeptidyl peptidase‐4 inhibitor; GLP‐1RA, glucagon‐like peptide‐1 receptor agonist; HR, hazard ratio; MACE, major adverse cardiovascular events; OD, once daily; OW, once weekly; SGLT‐2i, sodium‐glucose cotransporter‐2 inhibitor.

Cardiovascular outcome trials of anti‐hyperglycaemic agents Upper boundary of the one‐sided repeated confidence interval, at an alpha level of 0.01. Albiglutide is not currently available in the UK. BID, twice daily; CI, confidence interval; DPP‐4i, dipeptidyl peptidase‐4 inhibitor; GLP‐1RA, glucagon‐like peptide‐1 receptor agonist; HR, hazard ratio; MACE, major adverse cardiovascular events; OD, once daily; OW, once weekly; SGLT‐2i, sodium‐glucose cotransporter‐2 inhibitor.

Recent updates to diabetes treatment guidelines and recommendations

Since publication of EMPA‐REG 15, CANVAS 12, LEADER 20 and SUSTAIN 6 22, a number of national and international guidelines and recommendations for the management of Type 2 diabetes have been updated to include cardiovascular risk reduction as a key consideration, and specifically the use of anti‐hyperglycaemic agents that have demonstrated cardiovascular protection in those with Type 2 diabetes (Table S1). Indeed, some have explicitly named empagliflozin and liraglutide as appropriate choices for the management of people with Type 2 diabetes at high risk for cardiovascular disease 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47.

Recent updates to international guidelines and recommendations

Several major international guidelines and recommendations on the management of Type 2 diabetes specifically cite EMPA‐REG 15, CANVAS 12, LEADER 20 and SUSTAIN 6 22, and recommend a hierarchical approach to drug selection dependent on the strength of this evidence 3, 48, 49, 50. The updated joint American Diabetes Association (ADA) and European Association for the Study of Diabetes (EASD) consensus statement emphasizes a stratification of people based on the presence of pre‐existing atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease before considering which additional glucose‐lowering agent to add as dual therapy (following metformin failure) 51. In those with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, the ADA/EASD recommend the use of a SGLT‐2i (with a preference for empagliflozin) for those with a diagnosis of congestive cardiac failure or chronic kidney disease, or a GLP‐1RA (with a preference for liraglutide or semaglutide) for those with atherosclerotic disease, as these agents have been shown to reduce cardiovascular death and all‐cause mortality (except semaglutide) when added to standard care 51.

Diabetes treatment guidelines in the UK

In 2015, the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) of England (also followed in Wales and Northern Ireland) set up a ‘standing update committee for diabetes’ to enable faster updates of discrete areas of the guidelines when new and relevant data are published. Since then, a number of minor amendments have been made, including the addition of SGLT‐2is to the initial drug treatment section 52. However, as yet, no individual SGLT‐2i has been recommended, and there is no mention of reducing cardiovascular risk in the algorithm. Similarly, guidelines relating to GLP‐1RAs have not yet been updated, and they remain restricted to settings when triple oral therapy is not effective, not tolerated or contraindicated, and only if the person has a BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2 (adjusted accordingly for ethnic groups), cannot tolerate insulin or weight loss would benefit other significant obesity‐related comorbidities 52. Moreover, the algorithm has no mention of the use of GLP‐1RAs in people who cannot be treated with metformin.

Consensus treatment recommendations for people with Type 2 diabetes

Therapy choices based on efficacy

Lifestyle interventions are a key part of Type 2 diabetes management and should be considered concurrently with pharmacotherapy 52. Unless contraindicated, metformin remains the mainstay of first‐line drug therapy in all people with Type 2 diabetes. We then recommend assessing cardiovascular disease risk to guide further therapy (Fig. 1).
Figure 1

Initial therapy selection. Order does not denote any specific preference. *Metformin to be continued unless no longer tolerated. †Individuals are considered a high risk if they have a history of cardiovascular disease or at least one risk factor (see Table S2 for further details). DPP‐4i, dipeptidyl peptidase‐4 inhibitor; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; GLP‐1RA, glucagon‐like peptide‐1 receptor agonist; SGLT‐2i, sodium‐glucose co‐transporter‐2 inhibitor; SU, sulphonylurea; TZD, thiazolidinedione.

Initial therapy selection. Order does not denote any specific preference. *Metformin to be continued unless no longer tolerated. †Individuals are considered a high risk if they have a history of cardiovascular disease or at least one risk factor (see Table S2 for further details). DPP‐4i, dipeptidyl peptidase‐4 inhibitor; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; GLP‐1RA, glucagon‐like peptide‐1 receptor agonist; SGLT‐2i, sodium‐glucose co‐transporter‐2 inhibitor; SU, sulphonylurea; TZD, thiazolidinedione. For those with established cardiovascular disease, use of empagliflozin, canagliflozin, liraglutide or semaglutide is recommended (based on recent cardiovascular outcome trials data and in keeping with updated national and international guidelines; Fig. 1). The specific drug choice may be further guided by the individual's cardiovascular history and comorbidities. Given their favourable results in reducing hospitalization for heart failure, empagliflozin and canagliflozin are a key consideration for those with heart failure, although the licences do not allow for initiation if eGFR is < 60 ml/min 1.73 m2 12, 15, 53, 54. Empagliflozin and canagliflozin should be discontinued when eGFR is persistently below 45 ml/ min 1.73 m2 53, 54. Significant reductions in MACE were reported with canagliflozin 12 and empagliflozin 15, and a numerical reduction with dapagliflozin 24. However, notably, people with pre‐existing cardiovascular disease should be made aware of the increased risk of lower leg amputations associated with canagliflozin 12, 54, although no significant increase was seen in the CREDENCE study 13. A non‐significant increase in risk of stroke was reported with empagliflozin despite a reduction in blood pressure 15, and dapagliflozin should be discussed before treatment in people with a history of stroke 55. Liraglutide or semaglutide are recommended for people with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease or stroke (or a cardiovascular risk factor and eGFR ≤ 45 ml/ min 1.73 m2; Fig. 1), although the use of semaglutide should be cautioned in those with active diabetic retinopathy, due to an increased risk of retinopathy events found in SUSTAIN 6 22, 56. In LEADER, there was no significant difference in the risk of diabetic retinopathy associated with liraglutide vs. placebo 20. If further treatment intensification is required to achieve glycaemic control, additional drugs (from another class) with proven cardiovascular safety are recommended, consistent with recent international recommendations 51. Of interest will be the full results from REWIND, available June 2019, which evaluated dulaglutide in people with Type 2 diabetes, 69% of whom did not have a prior cardiovascular event at baseline. In this event‐driven study, the press release stated that dulaglutide significantly reduced the risk of cardiovascular events 17. Careful consideration of these data (once published) will be required when considering future guidelines to determine whether there was an effect on primary prevention, or whether the result was driven by the events occurring predominantly in the 31% with prior cardiovascular disease 17. For people without confirmed cardiovascular disease, cardiovascular risk factor modification is still important (including smoking cessation, hypertension management, and lipid‐lowering and anti‐platelet medication). The specific glucose‐lowering drug or drug combination choice is best guided by individual factors, including consideration of weight and risk of hypoglycaemia (Fig. 1). Unlike the results from EMPA‐REG for empagliflozin, the DECLARE‐TIMI 58 trial did not achieve a reduction in 3‐point MACE with dapagliflozin vs. placebo 24. This dapagliflozin trial, however, showed a significant reduction in the co‐primary outcome of cardiovascular mortality and hospitalizations due to heart failure, which were numerically similar in those with established disease and in the primary prevention population. Therefore, dapagliflozin may be considered for those without established cardiovascular disease but who are at high risk for heart failure with an eGFR ≥ 60 ml/min 1.73 m2. Of note, the mean eGFR of participants in DECLARE‐TIMI 58 (85.2 ml/min 1.73 m2) 24, was higher than in EMPA‐REG (74.1 ml/min 1.73 m2) 15 and CANVAS (76.5 ml/min 1.73 m2) 12. This differential in renal function and the observed differences in cardiovascular and mortality outcomes raise important questions around the mechanism of action of these drugs, in terms of cardiovascular effects as well as their optimal therapeutic positioning. Furthermore, the results of the CREDENCE study, which evaluated the renovascular outcomes associated with canagliflozin in people with Type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease, also require careful consideration. The study was discontinued early due to efficacy and outcome benefits in favour of canagliflozin, and future guidelines therefore need to take the trial results into consideration 13.

Therapy choices based on cost‐effectiveness analyses

Cost‐effectiveness analyses may be an additional consideration when choosing therapy. Assessments by NICE show that most SGLT‐2is and GLP‐1RAs are cost‐effective at reducing hyperglycaemia with incremental cost‐effectiveness ratios (ICERs) below the commonly accepted £20 000–30 000/quality‐adjusted life‐year (QALY) threshold (Table 2). An early analysis concluded that liraglutide 1.2 mg was cost‐effective but there was uncertainty regarding the 1.8 mg dose 61; however, this has been superseded by new analyses in health technology assessments conducted as part of the NICE Type 2 diabetes clinical guidelines published in 2015 (and updated in 2017) 52, which make positive recommendations for GLP‐1RAs as a drug class.
Table 2

Cost‐effectiveness of all sodium‐glucose cotransporter‐2 inhibitors and glucagon‐like peptide‐1 receptor agonists assessed by National Institute for Health and Care Excellence

DrugMost likely cost‐effectiveness estimate (as an ICER)
SGLT‐2is
CanagliflozinThe committee concluded that the minor differences in costs and QALYs between canagliflozin (100 and 300 mg) and its key comparators showed that canagliflozin was a cost‐effective use of NHS resources as dual therapy in combination with metformin, triple therapy in combination with metformin and either a sulphonylurea or a thiazolidinedione, and as an add‐on treatment to insulin 57.
Dapagliflozin

For dapagliflozin as dual therapy in combination with metformin, the committee considered the DSU deterministic analysis and scenario analyses, which included convergence of differences in weight between treatment groups at the time of switching to the last line of treatment. It noted that these showed that DPP‐4is were associated with higher costs and QALYs than dapagliflozin, but that these differences were small. It noted further that, in the DSU probabilistic sensitivity analysis, these differences were even smaller.

For dapagliflozin as an add‐on to insulin, the committee noted that, in all of the analyses conducted by the DSU, the estimate of the ICER for dapagliflozin, compared with DPP‐4is, was below £20 000 per QALY 58.

ErtugliflozinICER not yet available.
EmpagliflozinThe committee concluded that the minor differences in costs and QALYs between empagliflozin (10 and 25 mg) and its key comparators showed that empagliflozin was a cost‐effective use of NHS resources as dual therapy in combination with metformin, triple therapy in combination with metformin and either a sulphonylurea or a thiazolidinedione, and as an add‐on treatment to insulin 59.
GLP‐1RAs
DulaglutideICER not yet available.
ExenatideThe committee noted that the ICERs presented in the manufacturer's submission were not specific to the place of weekly prolonged‐release exenatide in triple‐ and dual‐therapy regimens. The committee did, however, consider on the basis of the ICERs presented in the manufacturer's submission, that weekly prolonged‐release exenatide is likely to be cost‐effective when used in the same place in the treatment pathway as twice‐daily exenatide and liraglutide 1.2 mg were currently recommended 60.
Liraglutide

There were many ICERs presented for different comparisons.

For liraglutide vs. exenatide (triple therapy), the committee accepted the ICER of £10 100 per QALY gained (although the committee noted that this ICER related to liraglutide 1.8 mg).

The committee did not consider the ICERs presented for other oral therapies in both dual‐ and triple‐therapy regimens to be robust enough to allow them to recommend liraglutide as a cost‐effective alternative.

The committee noted the lack of clinical trial evidence showing a significant benefit from increasing the liraglutide dose from 1.2 to 1.8 mg, the widely varying ICERs and the uncertainty in the economic analysis. The committee concluded that liraglutide 1.8 mg would not be a cost‐effective use of NHS resources, and therefore was not recommended (NICE 201061; superseded by NG28)52.

Note that, although there are no specific references to the cost‐effectiveness of liraglutide 1.2 mg, it is recommended for use in very specific conditions in dual or triple therapy (see: NICE 2010) 52, 61.

LixisenatideICER not yet available.
SemaglutideICER not yet available.

DPP‐4i, dipeptidyl peptidase‐4 inhibitor; DSU, decision support unit; GLP‐1RA, glucagon‐like peptide‐1 receptor agonist; ICER, incremental cost‐effectiveness ratio; NICE, UK National Institute for Health and Care Excellence; NHS, UK National Health Service; NG28, NICE guideline 28; QALY, quality‐adjusted life‐year; SGLT‐2i, sodium‐glucose cotransporter‐2 inhibitor.

Cost‐effectiveness of all sodium‐glucose cotransporter‐2 inhibitors and glucagon‐like peptide‐1 receptor agonists assessed by National Institute for Health and Care Excellence For dapagliflozin as dual therapy in combination with metformin, the committee considered the DSU deterministic analysis and scenario analyses, which included convergence of differences in weight between treatment groups at the time of switching to the last line of treatment. It noted that these showed that DPP‐4is were associated with higher costs and QALYs than dapagliflozin, but that these differences were small. It noted further that, in the DSU probabilistic sensitivity analysis, these differences were even smaller. For dapagliflozin as an add‐on to insulin, the committee noted that, in all of the analyses conducted by the DSU, the estimate of the ICER for dapagliflozin, compared with DPP‐4is, was below £20 000 per QALY 58. There were many ICERs presented for different comparisons. For liraglutide vs. exenatide (triple therapy), the committee accepted the ICER of £10 100 per QALY gained (although the committee noted that this ICER related to liraglutide 1.8 mg). The committee did not consider the ICERs presented for other oral therapies in both dual‐ and triple‐therapy regimens to be robust enough to allow them to recommend liraglutide as a cost‐effective alternative. The committee noted the lack of clinical trial evidence showing a significant benefit from increasing the liraglutide dose from 1.2 to 1.8 mg, the widely varying ICERs and the uncertainty in the economic analysis. The committee concluded that liraglutide 1.8 mg would not be a cost‐effective use of NHS resources, and therefore was not recommended (NICE 201061; superseded by NG28)52. Note that, although there are no specific references to the cost‐effectiveness of liraglutide 1.2 mg, it is recommended for use in very specific conditions in dual or triple therapy (see: NICE 2010) 52, 61. DPP‐4i, dipeptidyl peptidase‐4 inhibitor; DSU, decision support unit; GLP‐1RA, glucagon‐like peptide‐1 receptor agonist; ICER, incremental cost‐effectiveness ratio; NICE, UK National Institute for Health and Care Excellence; NHS, UK National Health Service; NG28, NICE guideline 28; QALY, quality‐adjusted life‐year; SGLT‐2i, sodium‐glucose cotransporter‐2 inhibitor. Empagliflozin and canagliflozin have both demonstrated cost‐effectiveness vs. comparators in the UK 62, 63, 64. Several studies of liraglutide in the UK have also concluded cost‐effectiveness, despite increased acquisition cost, due to reduction in diabetes‐related complications 65, 66, 67. However, cost‐effectiveness analyses evaluate drugs as glucose‐lowering entities, and modelling is therefore based on traditional risk equations 68, 69, 70, 71, which do not capture potential cardiovascular benefits 72. Further analyses are now required to ensure that the additional benefit of reducing cardiovascular events is captured in cost‐effectiveness evaluations in people with Type 2 diabetes, based on results from the respective cardiovascular outcome trials, and to incorporate these into updated ICER estimates. The accepted technique for evaluating potential additional benefits beyond glycaemic control is termed marginal‐effects analysis. This approach incorporates not just the traditional risk equation of improved glucose management, but also a fixed effect for reduction in cardiovascular events by implementing treatment strategies based around empagliflozin, canagliflozin, liraglutide or semaglutide in populations reflected by the study data. Evaluation of how the observed event rate reductions in the respective trials affect healthcare resources and hospital bed occupancy is also necessary. This may be a more comprehensive way of looking at how implementing the strategies of cardiovascular outcome trials, impact on the budget and healthcare system compares with the more typically employed number‐needed‐to‐treat analysis. These economic analyses will no doubt form the basis of future NICE technology appraisals and a guideline update. Meanwhile, we believe National Health Service (NHS) formularies should consider these international guidance updates to achieve earlier clinical and economic benefits or be rapidly responsive when NICE also evaluates these data. With an ever‐growing diabetes and cardiovascular disease population, it is important make these therapies available without delaying for NICE updates, where the data are compelling.

Conclusions

Many people with Type 2 diabetes also have, or are at high risk of, concomitant cardiovascular disease and control of cardiovascular events remains a key goal for managing outcomes. Given highly favourable results of cardiovascular outcome trials, many national and international guidelines and recommendations, including the consensus statement from the ADA and EASD, have been updated to include these results and therefore optimize treatment approaches. Although, in England, Wales and Northern Ireland, NICE postponed updating recommendations for SGLT‐2i and GLP‐1RA classes as some trials are still ongoing, the current evidence base of these agents has been evaluated by international guidelines groups recognizing their benefits. We therefore recommend evaluating individual's cardiovascular risk factors before escalating diabetes therapy and considering anti‐hyperglycaemics with proven cardiovascular benefit, to improve long‐term outcomes, and reduce unplanned health resource use additionally. Formularies wishing to reduce the burden of care of diabetes should consider these latest guidelines as soon as possible to enable clinicians to maximize diabetes treatment.

Funding sources

This article was funded by Novo Nordisk, which also had a role in reviewing the manuscript for medical accuracy.

Competing interests

SCB reported research grants (includes principal investigator, collaborator, or consultant and pending grants as well as grants already received) from Healthcare and Research Wales (Welsh Government) and Novo Nordisk; other research and infrastructure support from Healthcare and Research Wales (Welsh Government); honoraria from Novo Nordisk, Sanofi, Lilly, Boehringer Ingelheim and Merck; ownership interest in Gycosmedia (diabetes online news service). AB has received fees from Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Pfizer, BMS, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, Sanofi, Janssen, Otsuka, Takeda, Roche and Amgen for educational meetings, advisory boards and supporting clinical trial design, registry studies and health‐economic modeling. ME has received consulting and speaking honoraria from Boehringer Ingelheim, Napp, Novartis, Novo Nordisk and Takeda. IM had received speaking honoraria from AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim and Novo Nordisk. WDS has received research grants from AstraZeneca, Bayer, Novartis, Novo Nordisk and Takeda, and speaker and/or advisory board honoraria from AstraZeneca, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol‐Myers Squibb, Eli Lilly, Janssen, Merck, Mundi‐Pharma, Napp, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, Pfizer, Sanofi Aventis, Servier and Takeda. Table S1. International and selected national guideline updates or recommendations since the publication of cardiovascular outcome trials. Table S2. Definitions of high risk cardiovascular events according to trial. Click here for additional data file.
  34 in total

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2.  Semaglutide and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes.

Authors:  Steven P Marso; Stephen C Bain; Agostino Consoli; Freddy G Eliaschewitz; Esteban Jódar; Lawrence A Leiter; Ildiko Lingvay; Julio Rosenstock; Jochen Seufert; Mark L Warren; Vincent Woo; Oluf Hansen; Anders G Holst; Jonas Pettersson; Tina Vilsbøll
Journal:  N Engl J Med       Date:  2016-09-15       Impact factor: 91.245

3.  Current prevalence of Type 1 and Type 2 diabetes in adults and children in the UK.

Authors:  N Holman; B Young; R Gadsby
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4.  Effects of Once-Weekly Exenatide on Cardiovascular Outcomes in Type 2 Diabetes.

Authors:  Rury R Holman; M Angelyn Bethel; Robert J Mentz; Vivian P Thompson; Yuliya Lokhnygina; John B Buse; Juliana C Chan; Jasmine Choi; Stephanie M Gustavson; Nayyar Iqbal; Aldo P Maggioni; Steven P Marso; Peter Öhman; Neha J Pagidipati; Neil Poulter; Ambady Ramachandran; Bernard Zinman; Adrian F Hernandez
Journal:  N Engl J Med       Date:  2017-09-14       Impact factor: 91.245

5.  DECLARE-TIMI 58: Participants' baseline characteristics.

Authors:  Itamar Raz; Ofri Mosenzon; Marc P Bonaca; Avivit Cahn; Eri T Kato; Michael G Silverman; Deepak L Bhatt; Lawrence A Leiter; Darren K McGuire; John P H Wilding; Ingrid A M Gause-Nilsson; Anna M Langkilde; Peter A Johansson; Marc S Sabatine; Stephen D Wiviott
Journal:  Diabetes Obes Metab       Date:  2018-02-14       Impact factor: 6.577

6.  Evaluation of the long-term cost-effectiveness of liraglutide vs lixisenatide for treatment of type 2 diabetes mellitus in the UK setting.

Authors:  Barnaby Hunt; Gabriela Vega-Hernandez; William J Valentine; Nana Kragh
Journal:  Diabetes Obes Metab       Date:  2017-02-23       Impact factor: 6.577

7.  Effect of Sitagliptin on Cardiovascular Outcomes in Type 2 Diabetes.

Authors:  Jennifer B Green; M Angelyn Bethel; Paul W Armstrong; John B Buse; Samuel S Engel; Jyotsna Garg; Robert Josse; Keith D Kaufman; Joerg Koglin; Scott Korn; John M Lachin; Darren K McGuire; Michael J Pencina; Eberhard Standl; Peter P Stein; Shailaja Suryawanshi; Frans Van de Werf; Eric D Peterson; Rury R Holman
Journal:  N Engl J Med       Date:  2015-06-08       Impact factor: 91.245

8.  Lixisenatide in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes and Acute Coronary Syndrome.

Authors:  Marc A Pfeffer; Brian Claggett; Rafael Diaz; Kenneth Dickstein; Hertzel C Gerstein; Lars V Køber; Francesca C Lawson; Lin Ping; Xiaodan Wei; Eldrin F Lewis; Aldo P Maggioni; John J V McMurray; Jeffrey L Probstfield; Matthew C Riddle; Scott D Solomon; Jean-Claude Tardif
Journal:  N Engl J Med       Date:  2015-12-03       Impact factor: 91.245

9.  Albiglutide and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease (Harmony Outcomes): a double-blind, randomised placebo-controlled trial.

Authors:  Adrian F Hernandez; Jennifer B Green; Salim Janmohamed; Ralph B D'Agostino; Christopher B Granger; Nigel P Jones; Lawrence A Leiter; Anne E Rosenberg; Kristina N Sigmon; Matthew C Somerville; Karl M Thorpe; John J V McMurray; Stefano Del Prato
Journal:  Lancet       Date:  2018-10-02       Impact factor: 79.321

10.  Evaluating the Long-Term Cost-Effectiveness of Daily Administered GLP-1 Receptor Agonists for the Treatment of Type 2 Diabetes in the United Kingdom.

Authors:  Barnaby Hunt; Qing Ye; William J Valentine; Donna Ashley
Journal:  Diabetes Ther       Date:  2017-01-05       Impact factor: 2.945

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  3 in total

Review 1.  Pharmacological treatment for Type 2 diabetes integrating findings from cardiovascular outcome trials: an expert consensus in the UK.

Authors:  S C Bain; A Bakhai; M Evans; A Green; I Menown; W D Strain
Journal:  Diabet Med       Date:  2019-07-17       Impact factor: 4.359

2.  Discharge pharmacotherapy for Type 2 diabetic inpatients at two hospitals of different tiers in Zhejiang Province, China.

Authors:  Xiaofang Yu; Long Zhang; Rongbin Yu; Jiao Yang; Saifei Zhang
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2020-04-08       Impact factor: 3.240

3.  Incidence and risk factors of vascular complications in people with impaired fasting glucose: a national cohort study in Korea.

Authors:  Eun Sun Yu; Kwan Hong; Byung Chul Chun
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2020-11-11       Impact factor: 4.379

  3 in total

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