| Literature DB >> 31253815 |
Leila Cheraghi1, Parisa Amiri2, Mehrdad Karimi1,3, Yadollah Mehrabi4, Fereidoun Azizi5.
Abstract
Using quantile regression analysis, the current study, conducted within the framework of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) aimed to assess the effects of parental risk clusters on different percentiles of Body Mass Index (BMI) distribution in children. Participants included 2296 school-aged children who had participated in the baseline assessment of the TLGS and were followed for an approximate duration of fifteen years. Parental socio-demographic, behavioral and clinical characteristics were considered to determine risk clusters. Comparing of the high- to the low-risk parental clusters showed that after adjusting for age in boys, BMI was significantly higher at the 75th (1.82, p = 03), 85th (1.78, p = 0.007) and 95th (1.66, p = 0.03) percentiles; and in girls it was significantly higher at the 25th (1.45, p = 0.003), 50th (1.05, p = 0.015), 95th (2.31, p = 0.018) and 97th (2.44, p = 0.006) percentiles in the high risk cluster. Our data indicate that during a long-term follow up, children with a high-risk family are more likely to have higher BMI, compared to their counterparts in low-risk families, a difference observed mainly at the upper percentiles of BMI distribution for both genders and at all ages, findings that should be considered for strategies aimed at preventing childhood obesity and its consequences.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31253815 PMCID: PMC6599208 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-45543-y
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Figure 1Importance of variables associated with parental classification.
Baseline characteristics of parents in the low, moderate and high risk parental clusters of overweight/obesity.
| Low-risk (N = 646) | Moderate-risk (N = 671) | High-risk (N = 979) | P-value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Age (years) | 41.49 ± 5.10 | 45.86 ± 7.55 | 50.22 ± 8.42 | <0.001 |
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| Illiterate | 0 (0) | 21 (3.1) | 67 (6.8) | <0.001 |
| Primary school | 0 (0) | 303 (45.2) | 301 (30.7) | |
| Secondary school | 511 (79.1) | 237 (35.3) | 471 (48.1) | |
| Higher | 135 (20.9) | 110 (16.4) | 140 (14.3) | |
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| Employed | 643 (99.5) | 631 (94.0) | 729 (74.5) | <0.001 |
| Unemployed with income | 0 (0) | 23 (3.4) | 227 (23.2) | |
| Unemployed | 3 (0.5) | 17 (2.5) | 23 (2.3) | |
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| Normal | 241 (37.3) | 297 (44.3) | 309 (31.6) | <0.001 |
| Overweight | 294 (45.5) | 278 (41.4) | 493 (50.4) | |
| Obese | 111 (17.2) | 96 (14.3) | 177 (18.1) | |
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| No | 388 (57.0) | 389 (58.0) | 427 (43.6) | <0.001 |
| Yes | 278 (43.0) | 282 (42.0) | 552 (56.4) | |
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| Age (years) | 35.51 ± 4.55 | 39.46 ± 6.61 | 42.95 ± 7.29 | <0.001 |
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| Illiterate | 0 (0) | 14 (2.1) | 63 (6.4) | <0.001 |
| Primary school | 0 (0) | 316 (47.1) | 407 (41.6) | |
| Secondary school | 646 (100) | 219 (32.6) | 508 (51.9) | |
| Higher | 0 (0) | 122 (18.2) | 1 (1) | |
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| Employed | 0 (0) | 186 (27.7) | 22 (2.2) | <0.001 |
| Unemployed with income | 0 (0) | 8 (1.2) | 21 (2.1) | |
| Unemployed | 646 (100) | 477 (71.1) | 936 (95.6) | |
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| Normal | 249 (38.5) | 216 (32.2) | 67 (6.8) | <0.001 |
| Overweight | 309 (47.8) | 350 (52.2) | 368 (37.6) | |
| Obese | 88 (13.6) | 105 (15.6) | 544 (55.6) | |
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| No | 646 (100) | 611 (91.1) | 871 (89.0) | <0.001 |
| Yes | 0 (0) | 60 (8.9) | 108 (11.0) | |
Values are expressed as mean ± sd or number (%). P-value was assessed using Chi-square tests for categorical variables and ANOVA test for continuous variables.
Figure 2Gender- and age-specific BMI percentile curves during fifteen years of follow up.
Figure 3Gender-specific BMI percentile curves during fifteen years of follow up, according to children’s age and parental risk cluster.
Gender-specific quantile regression results for the different percentiles of BMI.
| Coefficienta (95% CI)b | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5th | 25th | 50th | 75th | 85th | 95th | 97th | |
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| Intercept | 16.24 (15.54–16.94) | 18.12 (17.07–19.17) | 19.73 (19.37–20.09) | 20.97 (20.21–21.74) | 22.19 (21.41–22.98) | 23.36 (22.19–24.19) | 23.41 (22.55–24.27) |
| P values | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
| Age(years, centered at 13) | 0.48 (0.45–0.52) | 0.5 (0.48–0.53) | 0.51 (0.49–0.53) | 0.52 (0.49–0.55) | 0.54 (0.51–0.57) | 0.56 (0.51–0.61) | 0.58 (0.51–0.66) |
| P values | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
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| Intercept | 16.16 (15.03–17.29) | 16.78 (15.53–18.02) | 19.92 (18.84–21.00) | 20.74 (20.23–21.26) | 21.49 (20.81–22.18) | 22.85 (22.03–23.67) | 22.90 (21.45–24.36) |
| P values | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
| Age(years, centered at 13) | 0.50 (0.47–0.54) | 0.51 (0.48–0.53) | 0.52 (0.49–0.55) | 0.53 (0.51–0.56) | 0.55 (0.52–0.57) | 0.51 (0.45–0.56) | 0.54 (0.48–0.60) |
| P values | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
| Cluster (moderate vs. low) | −0.69 (−2.00–0.61) | 1.30 (−0.55–3.15) | −0.68 (−1.85–0.50) | −0.29 (−0.91–0.31) | −0.67 (−2.18–0.83) | 1.08 (−0.38–2.54) | 1.07 (−0.95–3.09) |
| P values | 0.29 | 0.17 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 0.37 | 0.15 | 0.29 |
| Cluster (high vs. low) | 0.70 (−0.67–2.07) | 1.30 (−0.09–2.69) | 0.04 (−1.58–1.67) | 1.82 (0.17–3.48) | 1.78 (0.49–3.08) | 1.66 (0.20–3.13) | 1.20 (−1.04–3.43) |
| P values | 0.32 | 0.07 | 0.96 | 0.03 | 0.007 | 0.03 | 0.29 |
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| Intercept | 16.21 (15.72–16.69) | 18.03 (17.19–18.87) | 19.60 (19.16–20.03) | 21.13 (20.76–21.51) | 21.64 (21.11–22.17) | 22.71 (21.45–23.98) | 22.81 (20.55–25.07) |
| P values | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
| Age(years, centered at 13) | 0.40 (0.36–0.44) | 0.41 (0.38–0.44) | 0.40 (0.38–0.43) | 0.40 (0.37–0.43) | 0.40 (0.37–0.43) | 0.41 (0.35–0.46) | 0.41(0.34–0.47) |
| P values | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
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| Intercept | 16.13 (15.33–16.91) | 17.47 (16.58–18.36) | 19.10 (18.29–19.70) | 20.72 (19.59–21.84) | 21.40 (20.28–22.53) | 22.78 (21.54–24.03) | 22.90 (21.64–24.16) |
| P values | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
| Age(years, centered at 13) | 0.41 (0.37–0.45) | 0.39 (0.37–0.41) | 0.40 (0.37–0.42) | 0.40 (0.37–0.43) | 0.39 (0.36–0.43) | 0.36 (0.31–0.41) | 0.37 (0.31–0.43) |
| P values | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
| Cluster (moderate vs. low) | −0.22 (−1.20–0.75) | −0.35 (−1.39–0.68) | −0.44 (−1.73–0.85) | −0.16 (−1.75–1.43) | 0.26 (−1.04–1.55) | −0.08 (−1.49–1.33) | 0.05(−1.60–1.71) |
| P values | 0.65 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.84 | 0.70 | 0.91 | 0.95 |
| Cluster (high vs. low) | 0.57 (−0.76–1.90) | 1.45 (0.49–2.43) | 1.05 (0.21–1.88) | 0.64 (−0.73–2.02) | 0.94 (−0.57–2.46) | 2.31 (0.40–4.23) | 2.44 (0.72–4.15) |
| P values | 0.40 | 0.003 | 0.015 | 0.36 | 0.22 | 0.018 | 0.006 |
BMI = Body Mass Index, CI: confidence interval.
aThe coefficient represents the difference in the value of BMI at the nth percentile for moderate- and high-risk parental clusters compare to low-risk. For age the coefficient represents the change in the value of BMI at the nth percentile for one year increase in age. The intercept is the value of the nth percentile of BMI when all variables are zero.
bConfidence intervals (CI) are based on 100 bootstrap samples.
P values were obtained using longitudinal quantile regression analysis.